DUNDEE CITY AND ANGUS REGIONAL OUTCOME AGREEMENT ACADEMIC YEAR 2013/14 Scottish Funding Council and Dundee City & Angus Regional Outcome Agreement 2013/14 From academic year 2012/13 funding to colleges will be distributed to the regional body responsible for planning and delivering college education provision in that region. This funding will be allocated on the basis of an outcome agreement between college region and the Scottish Funding Council (SFC), setting out the activities the region will undertake and the contribution that it is expected to make to nationally agreed outcomes. The two colleges set for merger on November 1 2013 within the Tayside region (Dundee and Angus) will receive £33,506,916 core funding from the SFC for academic year 2013/14, inclusive of £6,674,253 student support funds to plan and deliver Further and Higher Education in the Tayside region (see page 46 for details). All figures exclude Transformation Funding. This funding is on condition that the regional body signs and commits to deliver the outcomes detailed within this agreement document. Delivery of these outcomes will seek to support the achievement of the following three priorities: Priority Impacts Angus College and Dundee College deliver significantly above the Scottish average and are committed to increasing the WSUMS delivered to 16 to 19 year olds by 2% from AY 2012/13 to AY 2013/14. Between the period AY 2012/13 – AY 2013/14, the college regional grouping will deliver the following priority impacts: 1) To implement a fully merged regional college for the further education and training provision in the Dundee and Angus region which will deliver effective, efficient, and sustainable curriculum and services. 2) To provide streamlined regional curriculum which will shorten learner journeys, meet employer, learner, and community demands, and provide clear pathways to articulation and progression. 3) To ensure the sustainability of the regional college through sound financial management of the public funds available, and to direct the maximum level of resource towards learners. 1 For the Scottish Funding Council: Signed: ______________________________ Position: ______________________________ Date: ______________________________ For Dundee College: Signed: Position: Principal Date: 24 April 2013 For Angus College: Signed: Position: Principal Date: 24 April 2013 2 Dundee College & Angus College Strategic Partnership Outcomes Building on the Scottish Government‟s pre-legislative paper Putting Learners in the Centre, published on 14 September 2011, the SFC have identified five outcome areas: 1. Efficient regional structures 2. Right learning in the right place 3. High quality & efficient learning 4. A developed workforce 5. Sustainable institutions The table below indicates how these five SFC outcomes relate to the Priority Impacts on page 2 of this document: Priority Impacts Related SFC Outcomes e t c s n r n e e o o h ic fk it lano t ni g iffE & roW nutits igeR tn seru ninraeL ecalP ytilauQ gn depole I elban eiciffE tcurtS thgiR thgiR hgiH inraeL veD A iatsuS . . . . . 1 2 3 4 5 1. To implement a fully merged regional college for the further education and training provision in the X X X X X Dundee and Angus region which will deliver effective, efficient, and sustainable curriculum and services. 2. To provide streamlined regional curriculum which will shorten learner journeys, meet employer, X X X learner, and community demands, and provide clear pathways to articulation and progression. 3. To ensure the sustainability of the regional college through sound financial management of the X X public funds available, and to direct the maximum level of resource towards learners. 3 Environmental Context Categorisation of Environmental Factors The main categories of change arising from an external environment analysis are: the socio/economic and industrial environment – UK/Scotland; the social/economic and industrial environment – Tayside Region; the policies/priorities of the Scottish Government; and the funding context for Scotland‟s colleges. The Socio/Economic and Industrial Environment – UK/Scotland Key aspects are: UK economic recovery remains precarious – stalled economic growth, ongoing public spending cuts, uncertainty over exports to Eurozone countries, inflation (CPI) falling to 2.0%. Scottish economic growth below national average, but forecast growth in certain key sectors between 2010 and 2015: - Business Services +19.2% - Construction +9.8% - Hair & Beauty +5.2% - Hotels & Restaurants +5.0% Scottish industrial sector priorities remain: - Tourism/Leisure - Food/Drink - Creative Industries/Digital Media - Life Sciences - Oil/Gas/Renewables Scottish population is ageing, but this creates new opportunities in Health/Social Care. 4 The Socio/Economic and Industrial Environment – Tayside Region Economic trends and forecasts A full report of trends and forecasts for the global, UK, Scottish and local economies is provided in Appendix F. The key conclusions of this analysis are presented below. Global Economy The global economy has entered what the International Monetary Fund (IMF) calls a „dangerous new phase‟ of low growth and high public debt. The IMF‟s GDP growth forecast for the world's advanced economies has been reduced to 1.5% for this year. In the Eurozone, the economies of Italy and Greece remain fragile, threatening knock-on effects in other Eurozone countries, the UK and beyond. Whilst a repeat of the prolonged global recession of 2008-09 is felt to be unlikely, much of the ammunition that was used to fight the last recession, e.g. low interest rates, public capital spending and quantitative easing, is now harder to come by. Localised (national) recessions are therefore anticipated and a general recovery is likely to take several years. UK Economy High inflation, stalled economic growth and ongoing public spending cuts suggest that the effects of the UK economic crisis have yet to be fully realised. The UK economic recovery remains precarious and government efforts are currently focussed on managing debt reduction whilst avoiding a damaging return to recession. Scottish Economy Estimates for Scottish economic growth have been revised downwards in light of higher than expected inflation and higher commodity prices. In line with the UK as a whole, it will be some time before the full effects of public spending cuts become apparent in relation to the Scottish economy. 5 As background to discussions regarding the college curriculum, forecasts for twelve key Scottish employment sectors from 2010- 2015 are summarised in the table below. Increasing Scottish Declining Scottish Employment Sectors Employment Sectors (forecast increase in employment (forecast decrease in employment 2010-2015) 2010-2015) Business Services (+19.2%) Public Administration (-16.0%) Construction (+9.8%) Education, Health & Social Work (-6.5%) Transport and Communication (+6.3%) Manufacturing (-6.5%) Distribution (+6.2%) Agriculture (-5.1%) Hair and Beauty etc. (+5.2%) Electricity, Water and Gas (-5%) Hotels and Restaurants (+5.0%) Financial Services (+2.1%) Ernst and Young Scottish ITEM Club - June 2011 Local Economy The population of Angus - accounting for 2.1% of the Scottish population - was 110,570 in 2010 and is forecast to rise to 118,774 by 2033, an increase of 7.4%. Angus has significantly fewer people below the age of 45 and significantly more people over the age of 45 than Scotland as a whole. Projected population changes for Angus and Scotland through to 2033 show a decline for most age groups below the age of 65 and steep increases for 65+ age groups. Forecasts also indicate an 11% increase in net migration into Angus (over 12,000 people) by 2033 compared to a Scottish-wide rise of 6%. (data from National Records of Scotland - Angus factsheet) Angus College serves a catchment area that can be defined by a range of factors, for example a specific travel time, rather than by a local authority boundary. In practice Angus College‟s catchment area is likely to include Angus, most of Dundee and parts of Aberdeenshire, Perth & Kinross and Fife. Dundee College serves a regional employment, education and retail centre with 300,592 people living within a 30 minute drive time of Dundee City Centre and 628,468 living within a 1 hour drive time. Within the city boundaries 145,570, including 95,892 working age people (aged 16-64) reside. 6 Key features of the Dundee economy are: - Dundee‟s employment rate (70.5%) is now broadly in line with the Scottish average and higher than the equivalent figure for the Cities (68.3%) - Unemployment in Dundee was 6.3% at June 2012 which remained above the 4.2% Scottish average - Economic inactivity levels in Dundee are at 23.1% which is now broadly in line with the Scottish average at 22.9% - JSA claimant rate among 16-24 year olds in Dundee (7.7%) was above the Scottish average of (6.9%) at January 2012 - Around 37% of Dundee residents held a degree in 2010 which was higher than the Scottish average of 35% - Dundee has also made good progress in recent years in terms of increasing the proportion of residents that possess mid-level skills (NVQ 1-3), which increased by 3.6 percentage points between 2004 and 2010. At the same time, the city has been successful in reducing the proportion of residents with no qualifications at all, which has fallen from 17% in 2004, to just 10% in 2010 – a lower proportion than across Scotland (12%) - The proportion of Dundee school leavers in positive and sustained destinations has increased by 5.5% since 2008, to 87.6% in 2011. - Average earnings in Dundee were 3.4% lower than the Scottish average of £488.8 and 5.7% lower than the UK median of £500.7 in 2011. - In 2011, there were 27 employers in the City that employed 300 or more staff. The largest employers in the public and education sectors were NHS Tayside, Dundee City Council and University of Dundee. In the private sector Tesco, BT and DC Thomson employed most staff. Outwith these large employers, the majority of the business base is dominated by small and medium businesses. 7 Key features of the Angus economy are: - The Angus economy is dominated by small and medium sized businesses - Angus is over-dependent on slow growing and declining sectors and is short of growth industries - The percentage of working age (16-64) people in Angus is 3.6% below that of Scotland as a whole - Total employment in Angus is 2% above that of Scotland as a whole - Unemployment in Angus is 0.9% below that of Scotland as a whole - Workforce qualifications are around 3% to 4% higher than the Scottish average at every NVQ level - Angus has relatively low levels of deprivation - Average full-time earnings in Angus are only 94.6% of the Scottish average - Angus jobs in finance and business services are around half the Scottish average - Angus jobs in manufacturing are 1.7 times the Scottish average (economic data from Angus Economic Digest 2010; NOMIS official labour market statistics; GROS Population Estimates Scotland 2010) In Dundee and Aberdeen, specific opportunities exist for the new College in relation to: - The development of the V&A Dundee project as part of a rejuvenated Dundee Waterfront offers the prospect of a major boost in tourism for Dundee and Angus - The anticipated establishment of a major renewable energy sector in Dundee offers a variety of training and employment opportunities for the wider area - Aberdeen aims to consolidate its position as a global energy hub and requires the ongoing development of a range of skills in order to achieve this 8 The key economic sectors within the new College catchment area for the curriculum review period 2012-13 to 2016-17 can be defined as: - Tourism and leisure – V and A museum, related hotel development, - Food and drink - Forestry - Biomass - Creative industries / digital media - Life sciences - Oil and gas / renewable energy - Health and care - Construction around Dundee Waterfront The Policies/Priorities of the Scottish Government The Scottish Government has a single over-arching purpose: “To create a more successful country where all of Scotland can flourish through increasing sustainable economic growth.” Achieving more economic success will then allow the achievement of national strategic objectives connected with making Scotland wealthier and fairer, smarter, healthier, safer and stronger and greener. Scotland‟s colleges have to make a contribution to this National Purpose and central to this is the Reform Agenda centres around the Scottish Government‟s consultation paper entitled “Putting Learners at the Centre: Delivery our Ambitions for Post-16 Education”. This stressed that the fundamental role for colleges is to “provide people with the skills they need to get a job, keep a job or get a better job and develop a good career”. Subsequent government announcements have indicated that the college learning process should be geared towards: contributing to the “Opportunities for All” agenda to ensure a reduction in youth unemployment and improved life chances for all 16- 19 year olds; ensuring provision meets national, regional and local learner and employer needs; and supporting and developing learners to complete their studies, achieve successful outcomes and, ultimately, achieve progression into employment. 9
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