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Science in Negotiation: The Role of Scientific Evidence in Shaping the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals, 2012-2015 PDF

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Connecting the Goals Jessica Espey Science in Negotiation The Role of Scientific Evidence in Shaping the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals, 2012-2015 Sustainable Development Goals Series The Sustainable Development Goals Series is Springer Nature’s inaugural cross-imprint book series that addresses and supports the United Nations’ seventeen Sustainable Development Goals. The series fosters comprehensive research focused on these global targets and endeavours to address some of society’s greatest grand challenges. The SDGs are inherently multidisciplinary, and they bring people working across different fields together and working towards a common goal. In this spirit, the Sustainable Development Goals series is the first at Springer Nature to publish books under both the Springer and Palgrave Macmillan imprints, bringing the strengths of our imprints together. The Sustainable Development Goals Series is organized into eighteen subseries: one subseries based around each of the seventeen respective Sustainable Development Goals, and an eighteenth subseries, “Connecting the Goals,” which serves as a home for volumes addressing multiple goals or studying the SDGs as a whole. Each subseries is guided by an expert Subseries Advisor with years or decades of experience studying and addressing core components of their respective Goal. The SDG Series has a remit as broad as the SDGs themselves, and contributions are welcome from scientists, academics, policymakers, and researchers working in fields related to any of the seventeen goals. If you are interested in contributing a monograph or curated volume to the series, please contact the Publishers: Zachary Romano [Springer; zachary.romano@ springer.com] and Rachael Ballard [Palgrave Macmillan; rachael.ballard@ palgrave.com]. Jessica Espey Science in Negotiation The Role of Scientific Evidence in Shaping the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals, 2012-2015 Jessica Espey School of Geographical Sciences University of Bristol Bristol, UK ISSN 2523-3084 ISSN 2523-3092 (electronic) Sustainable Development Goals Series ISBN 978-3-031-18125-2 ISBN 978-3-031-18126-9 (eBook) https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-18126-9 © The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2023 Color wheel and icons: From https://www.un.org/sustainabledevelopment/ Copyright © 2020 United Nations. Used with the permission of the United Nations. The content of this publication has not been approved by the United Nations and does not reflect the views of the United Nations or its officials or Member States. This work is subject to copyright. All rights are solely and exclusively licensed by the Publisher, whether the whole or part of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission or information storage and retrieval, electronic adaptation, computer software, or by similar or dissimilar methodology now known or hereafter developed. The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, service marks, etc. in this publication does not imply, even in the absence of a specific statement, that such names are exempt from the relevant protective laws and regulations and therefore free for general use. The publisher, the authors, and the editors are safe to assume that the advice and information in this book are believed to be true and accurate at the date of publication. Neither the publisher nor the authors or the editors give a warranty, expressed or implied, with respect to the material contained herein or for any errors or omissions that may have been made. The publisher remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations. This Springer imprint is published by the registered company Springer Nature Switzerland AG The registered company address is: Gewerbestrasse 11, 6330 Cham, Switzerland Preface Between 2010 and 2015, I was deeply involved in the international negotia- tions for a new global development agenda. It began when I was working as a researcher with a large International Non-Governmental Organisation (INGO), exploring women and children’s rights and how to advance them in policy development. The global development cooperation framework, known as the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs), was set to expire in 2015 and discussions were rumbling amongst a small cadre of UK development professionals about what would come next and how any new agenda could help to advance specific issues. I decided to write a short opinion piece for my colleagues about what a ‘post-2015’ agenda might offer for children’s rights, health and well-being and how we could potentially use this international agenda-setting moment to advance our concerns. The piece triggered a surge of interest across the INGO and soon after I was tasked with co-authoring a ‘manifesto’ of sorts on what the INGO believed the new development agenda should look like. The report, entitled Ending Poverty in Our Generation, was the first publication of its kind from a large INGO like ours and attracted attention, not least of all from representatives in the United Nations (UN) who were deciding the modalities for a post-2015 consultation and decision- making process. Personally, the effects of this report and the various activities that stemmed from it were profound. In the years that followed, I found myself serving as an adviser to the President of Liberia, working for Professor Jeffrey Sachs, and directing the New York office of a global research network established by the UN Secretary General. It was a turbulent yet thrilling expe- rience and a great insight into the machinations of global politics and policy- making. The experience also crystallised my deep research interest in processes of international policy development and understanding how differ- ent political and research inputs form political outcomes. Through my professional experience I was able to take a look ‘under the hood’ of international governance and to see first-hand how compromises were reached, wording was crafted, and decisions were made. But I never felt I had a truly comprehensive picture. How were the thousands of positions statements issued by Member States, the messages from advocates and cam- paigners and the policy and research papers actually being used to derive a final UN General Assembly conclusion? Concurrently I wondered about the weight of inputs. Academics and NGOs were both invited to present at vari- ous moments in the deliberations. Was one group more compelling than the other? Who were Member States really listening to? And what weight was v vi Preface being given to the new and emerging science on the state of our planet? All of these questions prompted me to step away from the policy world and take the time to critically analyse the various dynamics at play within international governance. Some of these questions are addressed by this book, but they are the tip of an iceberg and the deeper I dig the more issues and challenges become apparent. Excitingly, these are issues I hope to research long into the future. Also motivating my professional transition from policy to academia is the state of our planet. The world is on the cusp of an environmental precipice. The institutions of global governance are more important than ever before if we are to galvanise attention to and manage dramatic climatic and ecological shifts, and yet they are in a state of disarray. The past decade in particular has seen declining UN funding, declining international aid budgets, reneging on international rights commitments and more. If we are to devise an interna- tional governance architecture that is responsive to Member State concerns, whilst also sufficiently inspiring as to motivate transnational cooperation, we need to really understand the present system and understand the power differ- ent actors have, the value of different processes and inputs and how decisions are reached. Only with this understanding can we improve upon it and hope to inspire confidence in the future in new international governance models, be they like the existing UN or no. When I started to explore the theory behind international policy processes, I was quite startled to find it was relatively thin. Whilst political science offers concepts for understanding negotiation and compromise and policy studies offer theories of policy processes, there are few if any empirical publications testing these theories with reference to the international institutions of global governance. And there are none, that I could find, attempting to explore this with reference to multiple sectors. It appeared to me, and continues to do so, that sectoral experts spoke only to their epistemic community, and few attempts were being made to tease out replicable lessons that might bridge sectoral divides and be as interesting in a journal on climate science as on public health. It is this gap in the policy and political science literatures that I hope to contribute to. I should note to the reader that there is quite a bit of terminology used interchangeably throughout this book. First are terms relating to policy pro- cesses, policy cycles and policymaking. All are intended to refer to the pro- cess by which government officials deliberate upon and eventually reach consensus on a given area of government practice. In this book, it is acknowl- edged that policy processes can take many different forms and are messy and complex, as discussed in Part 2. Any use of this terminology should therefore be construed as referring to the complex and oftentimes chaotic processes that accompany policy development. Two other sets of terms are used interchangeably. First, the focus of this book is the use of science and scientific evidence in policy processes, but I oftentimes refer to academics and academia as well, meaning the person or group of persons producing scientific evidence. I use the term science holisti- cally to refer not only to the natural sciences but also social sciences, with a very wide range from those studying anthropologies to policy or criminology. People contributing written publications to these disciplines, in a university Preface vii setting, are considered to be academics (i.e. representing academia) and are assumed to have achieved a level of academic study (a PhD or otherwise), which has equipped them with a robust understanding of research methods. This methodological training has the intention of enabling them to produce findings aligned with and in accordance with a broad scientific tradition and (assuming they follow this training and make such methods transparent) the evidence produced is referred to as science. Finally, the empirical analysis is focused on a specific process that ran under the UN General Assembly from 2012 to 2015; the post-2015 delibera- tion process. It was called post-2015 as 2015 was the year the MDGs would expire, and the UN and other international stakeholders were mobilizing to discuss what, if anything, would come next. At the Rio+20 Conference in Rio de Janeiro 2012, it was proposed that a set of Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) were developed to succeed the MDGs, and whilst the term met some resistance at first (from those eager to maintain a focus on social development and not environmental concerns) by 2013 the idea of there being SDGs was well accepted by the members of the Open Working Group and had become common parlance. The Post-2015 and the SDG deliberative process, there- fore, refer to the same thing and are used interchangeably; the international, deliberative proceedings that ran from 2012 to 2015 to decide the new devel- opment agenda. Bristol, UK Jessica Espey Author’s Note Before publication, a variation of this manuscript was submitted to the University of Bristol for the pursuit of a Doctorate of Philosophy. ix Acknowledgements This book would not have been possible without the immense personal and professional support offered by Professor Susan Parnell (University of Bristol). Without her encouragement, I might never have been brave enough to embark on it and dream of a full-time academic career. I can’t thank her enough. Dr Sean Fox (University of Bristol) also supervised this research and offered incredible, constructive feedback throughout, constantly helping me to streamline and focus. Professionally, I am indebted to Dr Guido Schmidt Traub who was for- merly Executive Director of UNSDSN. Over the 7 years that we worked together he was an inspiration; efficient, thorough, personable and motivat- ing. He was always asking what we could do to improve processes, to get the best out of our people and to motivate political action. The President of UNSDSN was Professor Jeffrey Sachs; a tour de force, constantly writing, researching, encyclopaedic in his knowledge of sustainable development, and above all a fearless advocate for the world. I feel incredibly lucky to have been able to work so closely with both of these gentlemen, as well as the rest of the wonderful UNSDSN team and members of UNSDSN TReNDS. There are too many people to mention, but, suffice to say, they were all an inspira- tion in their own way. All my love and thanks are extended to my wonderful family, particularly my dear husband Richard Graham and our two children, Toby and Tristan, who have loved and supported me throughout this process. We have had some intense personal trials over the past few years, but they help me weather any storm and come out smiling. A final word of thanks to my dearest Granny, Christine Ross, who is near- ing 100 but never stops marveling at our beautiful world. She is the ultimate inspiration, always reminding me how precious each and every little bee, bug and leaf is and finding reserves of strength through their beauty. This book is dedicated to her. xi

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