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Sampling Strategies for Natural Resources and the Environment PDF

480 Pages·2007·1.968 MB·English
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Chapman & Hall/CRC Applied Environmental Statistics S S ampling trategieS n r for atural eSourceS e and the nvironment C3707_FM.indd 1 6/8/07 3:19:05 PM CHAPMAN & HALL/CRC APPLIED ENVIRONMENTAL STATISTICS Series Editor Richard Smith, Ph.D. Published Titles Timothy G. Gregoire and Harry T. Valentine, Sampling Strategies for Natural Resources and the Environment Steven P. Millard and Nagaraj K. Neerchal, Environmental Statistics with S Plus Michael E. Ginevan and Douglas E. Splitstone, Statistical Tools for Environmental Quality Forthcoming Titles Daniel Mandallaz, Sampling Techniques for Forest Inventory Thomas C. Edwards and Richard R. Cutler, Analysis of Ecological Data Using R Bryan F. J. Manly, Statistics for Environmental Science and Management, 2nd Edition Song S. Qian, Environmental and Ecological Statistics with R C3707_FM.indd 2 6/8/07 3:19:05 PM Chapman & Hall/CRC Applied Environmental Statistics S S ampling trategieS n r for atural eSourceS e and the nvironment timothY g. gregoire harrY t. valentine C3707_FM.indd 3 6/8/07 3:19:05 PM CRC Press Taylor & Francis Group 6000 Broken Sound Parkway NW, Suite 300 Boca Raton, FL 33487-2742 © 2007 by Taylor & Francis Group, LLC CRC Press is an imprint of Taylor & Francis Group, an Informa business No claim to original U.S. Government works Version Date: 20140313 International Standard Book Number-13: 978-0-203-49888-0 (eBook - PDF) This book contains information obtained from authentic and highly regarded sources. Reasonable efforts have been made to publish reliable data and information, but the author and publisher cannot assume responsibility for the validity of all materials or the consequences of their use. The authors and publishers have attempted to trace the copyright holders of all material reproduced in this publication and apologize to copyright holders if permission to publish in this form has not been obtained. If any copyright material has not been acknowledged please write and let us know so we may rectify in any future reprint. Except as permitted under U.S. Copyright Law, no part of this book may be reprinted, reproduced, transmit- ted, or utilized in any form by any electronic, mechanical, or other means, now known or hereafter invented, including photocopying, microfilming, and recording, or in any information storage or retrieval system, without written permission from the publishers. For permission to photocopy or use material electronically from this work, please access www.copyright. com (http://www.copyright.com/) or contact the Copyright Clearance Center, Inc. (CCC), 222 Rosewood Drive, Danvers, MA 01923, 978-750-8400. CCC is a not-for-profit organization that provides licenses and registration for a variety of users. For organizations that have been granted a photocopy license by the CCC, a separate system of payment has been arranged. Trademark Notice: Product or corporate names may be trademarks or registered trademarks, and are used only for identification and explanation without intent to infringe. Visit the Taylor & Francis Web site at http://www.taylorandfrancis.com and the CRC Press Web site at http://www.crcpress.com ForGeorgeM.Furnival, ourmentor,colleague,and friend. Contents Preface xvii 1 Introduction 1 1.1 Theneedforsamplingstrategies 1 1.2 Amedleyofsamplingscenarios 3 1.2.1 Samplingforbiomassestimation 3 1.2.2 Samplingtoestimatecomposition 3 1.2.3 Samplingforcoverinformation 4 1.2.4 HowmanytreesinSweden? 4 1.3 Probabilitysample 5 1.3.1 Selectionprobabilityofasample 5 1.3.2 Inclusionprobability 7 1.3.3 Samplingframe 8 1.4 Inference 9 1.5 Populationdescriptiveparameters 10 1.5.1 Discretepopulations 10 1.5.2 Continuouspopulations 12 1.6 Historicalnote 13 1.7 Termstoremember 14 1.8 Appendix 14 1.8.1 Alternativeexpressionsfor2 14 y 2 SamplingDistributionofanEstimator 15 2.1 Distributionofvalues 15 2.2 Estimation 18 2.2.1 Consistency 19 2.2.2 Expectedvalue 21 2.2.3 Bias 24 2.2.4 Variance 25 2.2.5 Standarderror 27 2.2.6 Meansquareerror 27 2.3 Intervalestimation 28 2.4 Theroleofsimulatedsampling 32 2.5 Otherconsiderations 32 2.6 Termstoremember 33 2.7 Exercises 33 vii viii CONTENTS 2.8 Appendix 34 2.8.1 Derivationoftherelationshipbetweenmeansquareerror, variance,andsquaredbias 34 3 SamplingDesignsforDiscretePopulations 35 3.1 Introduction 35 3.2 Equalprobabilitydesigns 35 3.2.1 Simplerandomsampling 35 Simplerandomsamplingwithoutreplacement 36 SelectingaSRSwoRsample 42 Simplerandomsamplingwithreplacement 44 SelectingaSRSwRsample 48 3.2.2 Systematicsampling 49 Circularsystematicsampling 56 3.2.3 Bernoullisampling 57 3.3 Unequalprobabilitydesigns 61 3.3.1 Listsampling 62 Manipulatingselectionprobabilitiestoincreaseprecision 63 3.3.2 Poissonsampling 68 3.3.3 Unequalprobabilitysystematicsampling 71 3.3.4 Rao,Hartley,Cochransamplingstrategy 74 3.4 Termstoremember 77 3.5 Exercises 77 3.6 Appendix 79 3.6.1 Factorialandcombinatorialnotation 79 3.6.2 Derivationoftheinclusionprobabilityofanelementfor SRSwoR. 79 3.6.3 ProofofunbiasednessofO asanestimatorof 80 y y 3.6.4 DerivationofV ŒNyNin(3.6)followingSRSwoR 81 3.6.5 Proofofunbiasednessofs2 asestimatorof2 following y y SRSwoR 83 3.6.6 Derivationoftheinclusionprobabilityofanelementfor SRSwR 84 3.6.7 Derivation of EŒn and VŒn following Bernoulli sampling 84 3.6.8 DerivationoftheexpectedvalueandvarianceofO 85 yp 3.6.9 ProofoftheunbiasednessofvOŒO asanestimatorof yp VŒO  89 yp 3.6.10 Varianceofestimatedproportions 89 3.6.11 Nearlyexactconfidenceintervalsforproportions 90 3.6.12 Expectedsamplesize 91 4 SamplingDesignsforContinuousPopulations 93 4.1 Introduction 93 4.2 CrudeMonteCarlo 94 CONTENTS ix 4.2.1 Definitions 95 4.2.2 Selection 97 4.2.3 Estimation 98 4.2.4 Antitheticvariates 102 4.2.5 Systematicselection 104 4.3 Importancesampling 106 4.3.1 Proxyfunction 107 4.3.2 Selectionbytheinverse-transformmethod 108 4.3.3 Selectionbytheacceptance-rejectionmethod 109 4.3.4 Estimation 110 4.4 Controlvariateestimation 114 4.5 Samplingintwoorthreedimensions 116 4.5.1 Selectionofasamplepoint 117 4.5.2 Estimation 118 4.5.3 Systematicselection 119 4.5.4 Threedimensions 120 4.6 Generalnotation 121 4.7 Termstoremember 121 4.8 Exercisesandprojects 122 4.9 Appendix 123 4.9.1 Proofoftheunbiasednessof O asanestimatorof  124   4.9.2 DerivationofV O 125 4.9.3 TheHorvitz-Thompsonestimatorof anditsvariance 126  5 StratifiedSamplingDesigns 127 5.1 Introduction 127 5.2 Rationaleforstratifiedsampling 127 5.3 Estimationwithstratifiedsampling 129 5.3.1 Notation 129 5.3.2 HTestimation 130 5.3.3 Moregeneralestimation 134 5.3.4 Stratifiedrandomsampling 137 5.4 Sampleallocationamongstrata 140 5.4.1 Equalallocation 140 5.4.2 Proportionalallocation 141 5.4.3 x-Proportionalallocation 143 5.4.4 Optimalallocation,equalsamplingcosts 143 5.4.5 Optimalallocation,unequalsamplingcosts 145 5.4.6 Powerallocation 145 5.4.7 Allocationformultiresourcesurveys 146 5.4.8 Comparisonofallocationrules 147 5.5 Incorrectassignmentofpopulationelementsintostrata 148 5.6 Doublesamplingforstratification 149 5.7 Poststratification 152 5.7.1 Preliminarydetailsaboutpoststratification 152

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