Russia's wrong direction : what the United States can and should do : report of an independent task force PDF
Preview Russia's wrong direction : what the United States can and should do : report of an independent task force
RUSSIA’S WRONG DIRECTION: WHAT THE UNITED STATES CAN AND SHOULD DO JOHN EDWARDS and JACK KEMP Chairs stephen SESTANOVICH Project Director INDEPENDENT TASK FORCE REPORT No. 57 Russia’s Wrong Direction: What the United States Can and Should Do Russia’s Wrong Direction: What the United States Can and Should Do Report of an Independent Task Force Sponsored by the Council on Foreign Relations Foundedin1921,theCouncilonForeignRelationsisanindependent,nationalmembership organizationandanonpartisancenterforscholarsdedicatedtoproducinganddisseminating ideassothatindividualandcorporatemembers,aswellaspolicymakers,journalists,students, and interested citizens in the United States and other countries, can better understand the worldandtheforeignpolicychoicesfacingtheUnitedStatesandothergovernments.The Councildoesthisbyconveningmeetings;conductingawide-rangingStudiesprogram;publish- ingForeignAffairs,thepreeminentjournalcoveringinternationalaffairsandU.S.foreignpolicy; maintainingadiversemembership;sponsoringIndependentTaskForces;andprovidingup- to-date information about the world and U.S. foreign policy on the Council’s website, www.cfr.org. THE COUNCIL TAKES NO INSTITUTIONAL POSITION ON POLICY ISSUES ANDHASNOAFFILIATIONWITHTHEU.S.GOVERNMENT.ALLSTATEMENTS OF FACT AND EXPRESSIONS OF OPINION CONTAINED IN ITS PUBLICA- TIONSARETHESOLERESPONSIBILITYOFTHEAUTHORORAUTHORS. TheCouncilwillsponsoranIndependentTaskForcewhen(1)anissueofcurrentandcritical importancetoU.S.foreignpolicyarises,and(2)itseemsthatagroupdiverseinbackgrounds andperspectivesmay,nonetheless,beabletoreachameaningfulconsensusonapolicythrough privateandnonpartisan deliberations.Typically,aTask Forcemeetsbetweentwo andfive timesoverabriefperiodtoensuretherelevanceofitswork. Uponreachingaconclusion,aTaskForceissuesareport,andtheCouncilpublishesitstext andpostsitontheCouncilwebsite.TaskForcereportsreflectastrongandmeaningfulpolicy consensus, with Task Force members endorsing the general policy thrust and judgments reachedbythegroup,thoughnotnecessarilyeveryfindingandrecommendation.TaskForce memberswhojointheconsensusmaysubmitadditionalordissentingviews,whichareincluded inthefinalreport.‘‘Chairman’sReports’’aresignedbyTaskForcechairsonlyandareusually precededorfollowedbyfullTaskForcereports.Uponreachingaconclusion,aTaskForce mayalsoaskindividualswhowerenotmembersoftheTaskForcetoassociatethemselves withtheTaskForcereporttoenhanceitsimpact.AllTaskForcereports‘‘benchmark’’their findingsagainstcurrentadministrationpolicyinordertomakeexplicitareasofagreementand disagreement. The Task Force is solely responsible for its report. The Council takes no institutionalposition. ForfurtherinformationabouttheCouncilorthisTaskForce,pleasewritetotheCouncil onForeignRelations,58East68thStreet,NewYork,NY10021,orcalltheCommunications officeat212-434-9400.Visitourwebsiteatwww.cfr.org. Copyright©2006bytheCouncilonForeignRelations(cid:1),Inc. Allrightsreserved. PrintedintheUnitedStatesofAmerica. Thisreportmaynotbereproducedinwholeorinpart,inanyformbeyondthereproduction permittedbySections107and108oftheU.S.CopyrightLawAct(17U.S.C.Sections107 and108)andexcerptsbyreviewersforthepublicpress,withoutexpresswrittenpermission fromtheCouncilonForeignRelations.Forinformation,writetothePublicationsOffice, CouncilonForeignRelations,58East68thStreet,NewYork,NY10021. Task Force Chairs John Edwards Jack Kemp Project Director Stephen Sestanovich Task Force Members Stephen E. Biegun Jack Kemp Coit D. Blacker Clifford A. Kupchan Robert D. Blackwill* Jessica T. Mathews Antonina W. Bouis Michael A. McFaul Mark F. Brzezinski Mark C. Medish Richard R. Burt* Stephen Sestanovich John Edwards David R. Slade* Robert J. Einhorn Walter B. Slocombe* John Lewis Gaddis Strobe Talbott John A. Gordon Judyth L. Twigg James A. Harmon Margaret D. Williams Steven E. Hellman Dov S. Zakheim* Fiona Hill *Theindividualhasendorsedthereportandsubmittedanadditionaloradissentingview. Contents Foreword xi Acknowledgments xiii Map xv Task Force Report 1 Introduction and Overview 3 Russia’s Social and Economic Transformation . . . 9 . . . And ‘‘De-Democratization’’ 16 U.S.-Russian Relations Today 22 Findings 1: Partnership, Selective Cooperation, or . . . ? 29 Findings 2: Democracy and Integration 35 Recommendations 1: Security 41 Recommendations 2: Energy, Trade, and Environmental Cooperation 51 Recommendations 3: Dealing with an Authoritarian Russia 62 Conclusion 70
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