Russian Regions and Regionalism The emergence of large regions within Russia as centres of gravity for polit- ical and international power, and the changing relationship between these emerging regions and the centre are critically important factors currently at work within Russia. This book examines the whole question of Russian regions and regionalism, including demography, security, military themes and international relations, and looks at a wide range of particular regions and case studies. It discusses the extent to which regions have succeeded in establishing themselves as centres of power, and assesses the degree to which President Putin is succeeding in incorporating regions into a hierarchy of power in which the primacy of the centre is retained. Graeme P. Herd is Professor of Civil–military Relations at the George C. Marshall Center for Security Studies, Garmisch-Partenkirchen, Germany. He was formerly Lecturer in International Relations and Deputy Director of the Scottish Centre for International Security (SCIS), University of Aberdeen. He has published extensively on post-Soviet security politics, and is a Research Associate of the Conflict Studies Research Centre. Anne Aldis is Research Manager at the Conflict Studies Research Centre, where she has been an active analyst and facilitator of the processes of transformation taking place in the states of central and eastern Europe. For many years she has edited the Centre’s publications, including The Second Chechen War. Russian Regions and Regionalism Strength through weakness Edited by Graeme P. Herd and Anne Aldis First published 2003 by RoutledgeCurzon 11 New Fetter Lane, London EC4P 4EE Simultaneously published in the USA and Canada by RoutledgeCurzon 29 West 35th Street, New York, NY 10001 This edition published in the Taylor & Francis e-Library, 2003. RoutledgeCurzon is an imprint of the Taylor & Francis Group © 2003 Graeme P. Herd and Anne Aldis; individual chapters © the individual contributors All rights reserved. No part ofthis book may be reprinted or reproduced or utilised in any form or by any electronic, mechanical, or other means, now known or hereafter invented, including photocopying and recording, or in any information storage or retrieval system, without permission in writing from the publishers. The publisher makes no representation, express or implied, with regard to the accuracy ofthe information contained in this book and cannot accept any legal responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions that may be made. British Library Cataloguing in Publication Data A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library Library ofCongress Cataloging in Publication Data Russian regions and regionalism:strength through weakness/edited by Graeme P. Herd and Anne Aldis. Includes bibliographical references and index. 1. Central–local government relations–Russia (Federation) 2. Regionalism–Russia (Federation) 3. Russia (Federation)–Politics and government–1991– I. Herd, Graeme P. II. Aldis, Anne. JN6693.5.S8 R88 2002 320.8'0947'090511–dc21 2002028450 ISBN 0-203-22171-0 Master e-book ISBN ISBN 0-203-27625-6 (Adobe eReader Format) ISBN 0–7007–1735–8 (Print Edition) Contents List of illustrations vii Notes on contributors ix Preface xiii Acknowledgements xv PART I Introduction 1 1 Characterising centre–periphery relations in the Yeltsin era 3 MARTIN NICHOLSON 2 Putin: an end to centrifugalism? 19 DR MARK A. SMITH PART II Thematic aspects of Russian regionalism 39 3 Russia’s demographic crisis and federal instability 41 PROFESSOR GRAEME P. HERD 4 Transborder security and regionalism 63 DR DEREK L. AVERRE 5 ‘Regionology’and Russian foreign policy: identifying the theoretical alternatives 82 DR CHRISTER PURSIAINEN 6 Russia’s regionalisation: the interplay of domestic and international factors 101 DR ALEXANDER SERGOUNIN vi Contents 7 Military aspects of regionalism 120 DR PAVEL K. BAEV PART III Russia’s regions under Putin: case studies 139 8 Sakhalin oblast: sectoral globalisation 141 PROFESSOR MICHAEL BRADSHAW 9 Centre–periphery conflict as a security dilemma: Moscow v. Vladivostok 164 DR MIKHAIL A. ALEXSEEV 10 The ‘power vertical’and horizontal networking: competing strategies of domestic and international integration for Nizhniy Novgorod oblast 185 DR ANDREY S. MAKARYCHEV 11 Regionalisation of Russian foreign and security policy: the case of St Petersburg 204 DR STANISLAV L. TKACHENKO 12 Kaliningrad: a pilot region? 224 DR STEVEN J. MAIN 13 Moscow: centre and periphery 246 OLEG ALEXANDROV PART IV Conclusions 265 14 Russian federal stability and the dynamics of the twenty-first century 267 ANNE ALDIS AND PROFESSOR GRAEME P. HERD Appendix: Russia’s regional structure 278 Bibliography 282 Index 297 Illustrations Figures 1 Russian Federation xvi 8.1 The administrative districts of Sakhalin oblast 142 8.2 Industrial decline 1990–2000 143 8.3 The Sakhalin Oil and Gas Project, as of late 2001 150 8.4 Key axes of interaction 161 Tables 3.1 International migration (per 1,000 population) 42 3.2 Russia’s population (as of 1 January; millions) 43 3.3 Vital statistics (per 1,000 population) 46 3.4 Economically active population (thousands) 55 8.1 Production of important industrial products, 1990–2000 144 8.2 Sakhalin oil and gas projects and participants (as of late 2001) 151 8.3 Scales and actors influencing the progress of the Sakhalin projects 158 10.1 Capital of networking actors 189 10.2 Market v. networking strategies 189 10.3 Regional governance 1991–2001 192 10.4 Types of communication 201 11.1 Regional foreign investment in 2000 216 Contributors Anne Aldis is Research Manager at the Conflict Studies Research Centre, where she has been an active analyst and facilitator of the processes of transformation taking place in the states of central and eastern Europe. For many years she has edited the centre’s publications, as well as the Strategic and Combat Studies Institute’s The Second Chechen War(2000) and Central and Eastern Europe: Problems and Prospects(1998). Oleg Alexandrov is a Doctoral Candidate and Lecturer in International Relations at Moscow State Institute of International Relations. His main interest is the role of regions in Russian foreign and security policy. His major publications include The City of Moscow in Russia’s Foreign and Security Policy: Role, Aims and Motivations (ETH Centre for Security Studies and Conflict Research, 2001) and On the Way to the Global World: Administrative and Networking Strategies of Russia’s Regions (co- author with Andrey Makarychev, ETH Centre for Security Studies and Conflict Research, 2001). Dr Mikhail A. Alexseevis Assistant Professor of Political Science at the San Diego State University. He is the author of Without Warning: Threat Assessment, Intelligence, and Global Struggle (St Martin’s Press and Macmillan, 1997) and the editor of A Federation Imperiled: Center–Periphery Conflict in Post-Soviet Russia (St Martin’s Press and Macmillan, 1999). Dr Derek L. Averreis a Research Fellow at the Centre for Russian and East European Studies, European Research Institute, University of Birmingham. His principal research interests are in Russian security and foreign policy issues, arms control and non-proliferation policy, on which he has published several articles and book chapters. He is co-editor of New Security Challenges in Postcommunist Europe: Securing Europe’s East(Manchester University Press, 2002) and is currently writing a book on new security thinking in Russia. Dr Pavel K. Baev is a Senior Researcher and the leader of the Foreign and Security Policies programme at the International Peace Research