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Rural poverty and poverty alleviation in Mozambique - SOAS PDF

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TheJournalofModernAfricanStudies,36,1(1998),pp.101–138 PrintedintheUnitedKingdom #1998CambridgeUniversityPress Rural poverty and poverty alleviation in Mozambique: what’s missing from the debate? Christopher Cramer and Nicola Pontara* i. introduction ThepeaceaccordsignedinOctober1992andmultipartyelectionsheld in October 1994 brought to Mozambique fresh hopes and oppor- tunities. Post-war reconstruction has been underway for some years, through an array of projects ranging from hand-outs for demobilised soldiers to the World Bank supported Roads and Coastal Shipping (ROCS) rehabilitation project running from 1994 to 2000. Although there is political tension between the two main parties and former contestants in the civil war, Frelimo and Renamo, and a combination of rising urban crime and sporadic banditry on roads in rural areas, generallytherehasbeenastrongimprovementinpoliticalstabilityand physicalsecurityforthemajorityofthepopulation.Economicreforms, broadly typical of World Bank(cid:125)IMF stabilisation and structural adjustment programmes, have accelerated during the 1990s and have been underwritten by substantial external financial support. The end of war together with deregulating policy reforms and a sweeping privatisation programme have provoked a surge in foreign investor interestinthecountry.Inaggregatetermsandinspiteofdatacaveats, the evidence suggests that Mozambique has become one of the fastest growing economies in Sub-Saharan Africa during the 1990s. Yet the country continues to be troubled by widespread extreme poverty,particularlyinruralareas.Oftheestimated80percentofthe population that is rurally based, ‘two thirds are deemed to be (cid:34) absolutelypoor’. Thechallengeofruralpovertyreductionasapolicy priority has provoked an increase in work on the characteristics of the ruralpoorandonthepolicyimplications.Theliteraturehasattempted * SchoolofOrientalandAfricanStudies.Theauthorsaregratefulforaresearchgrantmade to Dr Cramer by the SOAS research committee, that made the case study possible; and for commentsbyJohnSenderandHenryBernstein. (cid:34) Government ofMozambique [GOM], Policy FrameworkPaperfor (cid:129)(cid:137)(cid:137)(cid:134)–(cid:137)(cid:136),preparedby the Mozambican authorities in collaboration with the Staffs of the IMF and the World Bank, (Maputo,Mozambique,1996). 102 christopher cramer and nicola pontara to conceptualise an appropriate rural development strategy and has also sought to fill in some of the gaps left by the extremely unreliable (cid:35) data on virtually every aspect of the Mozambican economy. The urgency of poverty-reducing policies is recognised explicitly by the (cid:36) government. The Ministry of Agriculture (MOA) has set up a Food SecurityProject(FSP)andhasconductedresearchonthesmallholder sector in association with Michigan State University (MSU) since 1992.ThePovertyAlleviationUnit(PAU),setupwithintheMinistry of Planning and Finance, has also produced reports on poverty and poverty reduction strategies. Among the other sources of interest in poverty-related issues in Mozambique is the Land Tenure Centre (LTC), based in the University of Madison–Wisconsin. Official policy statements, which also reflect the view of the Washington-based international financial institutions, lay down the medium and long-term economic goal of creating conditions for (cid:37) poverty-reducing economic growth. This appears rather less am- bitious,giventhatonemayassumelagsbetweencreatingconditionsfor poverty-reducing growth and growth itself, and lags between growth andpovertyreduction;thoughclearlythelengthoflagsdependsonthe precise growth policies adopted. The official position is that com- mitment to smallholder farmers, in the form of market integration measures and secure tenure conditions, will provide both economic growth and the mechanism whereby this growth will be poverty reducing. This article highlights the main propositions put forward in the recent literature and argues that there are significant dimensions of ruralpovertyinMozambiquethathavebeenneglected,withimportant policy implications. There are differences within the literature, for example in terms of attitudes to the ro(cid:35)le of large-scale commercial agricultural enterprises. However, it will be argued that the main strandsoftheliteraturesharesomecommonassumptionsregardingthe characteristics of the rural poor and the policies required to eradicate poverty. Fundamentally, the majority of contributions to the debate agree on the policy primacy of the smallholder farmer with secure access to his or her own plot of land. The World Bank, and those (cid:35) GOM, Policy Framework, p.18; Finn Tarp and Morten Igel Lau, ‘Mozambique: macroeconomicperformanceandcriticaldevelopmentissues’,paperpresentedtothe16thArne Ryde Symposium on Post-Apartheid Southern Africa, Lund University, 23–24 Aug. 1996; EconomistIntelligenceUnit,Mozambique(cid:129)(cid:137)(cid:137)(cid:134)–(cid:137)(cid:135)CountryProfile(London,1997),13. (cid:36) GOM, The Policy Reduction Strategies for Mozambique, Ministry of Planning and Finance, PovertyAlleviationUnit,April1996. (cid:37) GOM,PolicyFramework,p.4. rural poverty in mozambique 103 reportswhichtheBankhasinfluencedinvariousways,tendtobefairly sanguine about the ease of finding a solution to the problem of contested conditions of land access and about the ease of generating substantial income and nutritional improvements among smallholders and the rural poor. Others consider land access to be a source of political competition, and point to the incoherence resulting from the (cid:38) disintegrationofFrelimo’sruralstatefarmstrategies. Nevertheless,for most contributors to the literature, the access of rural households to cultivable land is considered the critical factor in the survival of the rural poor. Responding to data suggesting that land holdings are positively associated with caloric intake and income, some have dramatised the (cid:39) significanceoflandaccesstoruralsurvival. AccordingtothePAU,the most effective way to end poverty is to stabilise the population in the countryside and improve conditions there within a framework of prioritisingsmallholderagriculture,supporting this sector for example (cid:40) withinputprovisionpackages. LTCresearchershavestressedtheneed to promote so-called indigenous capitalist development as a defence against ‘external’ interests: the emphasis is on control of the land by smallholders, who are defined chiefly in opposition to larger private commercial enterprises and joint ventures between these and the (cid:41) government. These researchers, together with other commentators, callforathoroughgoingrevisionofexistinglandlaws,arguingthatthe ongoing consultative process of constructing new land legislation does not go far enough to assure land access for smallholders. Most of this literature is informed by an archetype of the African peasant smallholder, conceived as a stable family which produces on a small scale,virtuallyentirelyfromthelabourinputsoffamily members, and whichconsumesasignificantproportionofownfarmoutput,havingno (cid:42) access to other sources of consumption. (cid:38) SeeGregoryW.MyersandHarryG.West‘Apieceoflandinalandofpeace?Statefarm divestiture in Mozambique’, Journal of Modern African Studies 34, 1 (1996). See also Bridget O’Laughlin, ‘Through a divided glass: dualism, class and the agrarian question in Mozambique’,JournalofPeasantStudies23,4(1996);and‘Pastandpresentoptions:landreform inMozambique’,ReviewofAfricanPoliticalEconomy63(1995). (cid:39) GOM,Padro(cid:104)esdedistribuiça(cid:104)odaterranosectorfamiliaremMoçambique:asimilaridadeentreduas pesquisasdistintaseasimplicaço(cid:104)esparaadefiniça(cid:104)odepolı(cid:85)ticas,MinistryofAgriculture(cid:125)MichiganState University, Relato(cid:33)rio Preliminar, 1994; DavidL.Tschirley and MichaelT.Weber, ‘Food securitystrategiesunderextremelyadverseconditions:thedeterminantsofhouseholdincomeand consumptioninruralMozambique’,WorldDevelopment22,2(1994)159. (cid:40) GOM,PolicyReductionStrategies. (cid:41) See, for instance, Joseph Hanlon, Peace Without Profit: How the IMF blocks rebuilding in Mozambique(Heineman,1996). (cid:42) See,forexample,GOM,PolicyReductionStrategies,p.7. 104 christopher cramer and nicola pontara Thisarticlehastwoprincipalobjectives.First,weshallcriticisewhat we argue to be an overemphasis on the prioritisation of smallholder agricultural development. In particular, we take issue with the characterisation of the rural poor in Mozambique in terms of the isolation and lack of differentiation of the peasantry. We also argue that, partly as a result of this neglect of change and differentiation, there is in much of the existing literature a gross oversimplification of therelationsbetweenthepeasantryandlargecommercialand‘outside’ agricultural interests. For most recent literature ignores the fact that differentiation processes were well underway at independence, and (cid:34)(cid:33) that ‘proletarianisation was a deeply rooted process’. Furthermore, there is reason to suggest that these processes were not halted or reversedduringwartime.Norisitobviousthatlargefarmsownedfully or in part by overseas capital necessarily undermine the interests of poverty reduction. Second, we shall underline the potential significance of two factors whose role and implications are neglected in the literature: i.e. the importanceof farm wage labour income for the survival of the poorest Mozambicans (especially female-headed or female-dominated house- holds), and the extent to which rural–rural labour migration may be stimulated by the availability of wage employment opportunities on farms. These issues have received little or no attention in the studies surveyedhere.However,recentdevelopmentsintheagrariansectorin Mozambiquesuggestthattherecouldbeasubstantialincreaseinwage labour opportunities, both permanent and seasonal. Some 40 million hectares have been allocated by the government to joint venture (cid:34)(cid:34) companies and large private commercial enterprises. It will be arguedthatafailuretopaysufficientanalyticalandpolicyattentionto rural wage employment and rural–rural migration could have severe consequencesforthemostvulnerablesegmentsofMozambicansociety, especiallythosewithleastchanceofreproducingtheirfamilieswithout access to off-farm labour income. A failure to focus on this issue, moreover, diverts attention away from determinants of the living standardsofpoorruralpeople,suchasthewagelevelincommercialised agriculture and working conditions on farms using hired labour. Evidencepointstoahighdegreeofpopulationmobilitywithinrural areas in Mozambique. The end of the civil war has opened up the potential for refugees in neighbouring countries and the internally displaced (deslocados) to return to their homes and fields, and for those (cid:34)(cid:33) O’Laughlin,‘Dividedglass’,p.6. (cid:34)(cid:34) MyersandWest,‘Pieceofland’. rural poverty in mozambique 105 forcefully shunted into Frelimo’s communal villages also to return to originalsmallfarmsandcasheworchards.Italsoeasesthepotentialto move away from small farms in search of wage opportunities. To the extent that the current literature on rural Mozambique acknowledges theexistenceandpotentialforruralmigrationatall,itsemphasisison the negative effects this might have. But we argue that there may also be positive or ‘spread’ effects on the well-being of rural people . In short, the combination of rural social differentiation, existing and potential wage labour opportunities in agriculture, and a history and potentialforlabourmigrationwithinruralareas,pointstoaconception of the possibilities contained in the prevailing reality of the rural Mozambicaneconomythat is ratherdifferentfromthestandard view. For illustrative purposes, this article makes use of a small case study conducted at low cost for exploratory purposes in the district of Chokwe in December 1996(cid:125)January 1997. The aim of the case study was to gather data chiefly on female seasonal labourers on the cotton fieldsof theLonrho Mozambique AgriculturalCompany(Lomaco), a joint venture between Lonrho and the Mozambican government. Specifically, we seek to make a preliminary assessment of the significance of wage labour income for the survival of female-headed households. Such households supply a considerable proportion of the seasonal labour employed by Lomaco in Chokwe. The article is organised as follows. Section ii briefly surveys the propositions contained in the main body of the recent literature on rural poverty in Mozambique concerning the incidence and charac- teristics of rural poverty and the issues of land access and use. Section iii presents the case study carried out in Chokwe, discussing the questionnaire used,thesample frame and theresults. Sectioniv draws on a broader literature on social and economic relations in rural Mozambique to develop the argument for a reassessment of the characteristicsoftheruralpoor.Thissectionwillsuggestthatthereare significantdynamicfeaturesofruralMozambiquethatrequiregreater attention than they are paid in recent literature. A concluding section draws together the main points made and will suggest the most important research and policy implications. ii. dominant themes in the literature on rural poverty in mozambique Assessing the extent and range of characteristics of poverty in rural Mozambiqueisverymuchanongoingproject.Thankstothelongwar 106 christopher cramer and nicola pontara and the weakness of statistical services, data coverage is particularly poorinMozambique,beyond theusual degreeof unreliability of Sub- Saharan African statistics. However, during the mid-1990s there have been a number of attempts, official and independent, to improve the coverageinordertoprovideabasisforpovertyassessmentsandpolicy recommendations. This section highlights the main themes of the literature, focusing particularly on works such as the PAU’s Rural Poverty Profile and its Poverty Reduction Strategy, the papers of the MOA(cid:125)MSU, and work by Myers and West and by Tshirley and Weber. The poverty alleviation unit (PAU) The two key documents of the PAU, as of early 1997, are the Poverty ReductionStrategyforMozambique(PRS), publishedinMarch1995, and Mozambique: Rural Poverty Profile (RPP), published in April 1996. The RPPstatesthatpovertyistobedefined‘insuchawaythatitcanhelp the formulation of specific policies and programmes for population (cid:34)(cid:35) groups considered to be poor’ (RPP, ii). The same document makes itclear that thework doneprovidesa ‘snapshot’,whichmaybe taken tosuggest that it doesnot fullytake account of underlyingprocesses of change. The RPP acknowledges the paucity of poverty data. In particular, there are no reliable data on income and consumption. But the profile does draw on a number of surveys done before 1996, such as the 1995 Multiple Indicators Survey, the National Demographic Survey of 1991, and a 1995 Centre for Population Studies (Eduardo Mondlane University)participatorysurvey.Itisanticipatedthatastrongerbasis for poverty assessment is to be provided by the National Household Survey,dueforcompletionduring1997.So,itisclearlystatedthatthe RPP is preliminary and indicative. The main features of rural Mozambican poverty as highlighted in this profile can be summarised as follows: the poor live in extremely isolated and self-contained households with little access to productive (cid:34)(cid:35) GOM,ii.Itisslightlydisconcertingthatthisstatementcanbereadanotherway,giventhat thisdocumentwaswrittenafterthePRS,thathadalreadysetoutthedesiredpovertyreduction policies.Hence,itispossibletosuspectthatthedefinitionandconceptualisationofpovertyinthe RPP were constructed to support a pre-determined set of policy priorities and that there are shortcomingsintheapproachtakentoassessingpovertyanditscharacteristics.Insofarasthis isevidenceofoverlydeductivistreasoning,onemaynotethedominationofmainstreameconomic thoughtbydeductivistmethodologyandthat‘freereinhasbeengiventodeductiviststodevelop theory according to an internal agenda’ (Sheila Dow, ‘Critical survey: mainstream economic methodology’,CambridgeJournalofEconomics21(1997),75). rural poverty in mozambique 107 Table 1 Basic social indicators for Mozambique Least Sub-Saharan developed Mozambique Africa countries Lifeexpectancy(years) 47 52 51 Mortalityrate(per1,000livebirths) 150 103 114 Under-fivemortalityrate(per1,000livebirths) 273 165 – Maternalmortalityrate(per100,000livebirths) 1,100 690 740 Adultliteracyrate(%) 33 47 45 Dailycaloriesupply(%requirement) 77 93 90 Source: Poverty Alleviation Unit, The Poverty Reduction Strategy for Mozambique (Ministry of PlanningandFinance,1995). inputsandlittleincentivetoincreaseproduction;mostofthepoorlive on small land holdings with insecure property rights; in spite of some evidence of differentiation and apart from regional differences, it is possible to characterise the poor as members of a fairly homogeneous peasantry; the most disadvantaged Mozambicans are women, es- pecially those in female headed households; and problems of poverty have been exacerbated by out-migration, typically of males, leaving high dependency ratios. Thus, a ‘very high proportion of rural households in Mozambique are subsistence oriented in the organisation of their economic activities…and they can be described as relatively economically, (cid:34)(cid:36) socially and physically isolated’. This isolation fosters self-sufficiency strategies, as opposed to the trade-related exploitation of comparative (cid:34)(cid:37) advantage based on differences in terrain and soil fertility. Because this inward-turned reproductive strategy is biased towards low-return activities, it acts as a major constraint on the accumulation of productiveassets.Hence,suchhouseholdsareexposedtoextremerisk, for example from climatic fluctuations. Vulnerability is intensified by lack of education and high dependency rates. The ultimate reason for this predicament is the lack of penetration into rural Mozambique of marketinstitutions,aproblemseentobeexacerbatedbytheexperience ofwarfarethatdisruptedtransportnetworksandheightenedexchange- related insecurity and increased productive risk. The problem of (cid:34)(cid:36) PolicyReductionStrategies,ii. (cid:34)(cid:37) Ibid.,p.5. 108 christopher cramer and nicola pontara isolationextendstothosewhocultivatecashcrops,sinceitisestimated in the RPP that almost two-thirds of those households that cultivate (cid:34)(cid:38) cash crops do not market their produce. Anotherreinforcing featureof povertyis theweak intensityof useof productive inputs. There is negligible use of fertilisers, mechanical tools or animal draught power and, while this makes labour power particularly critical to agricultural reproduction, household labour supply is limited by prevailing household structure. Household structure, on average, is dominated by a dependency ratio of 110 (i.e. for every 100 persons of working age there are 110 dependents). Moreover,hiredlabourisnotmuchused:lessthan20percentofrural households use hired labour. To the extent that hired labour does feature, it is greater in the north, an estimation that may conflict with theportrayalofthenorthaslessintegratedintomarkets,moreisolated. Hired labour is greater among those with more land. This last statement refers to absolute use of hired labour, not the relative intensityoflabouruse.Indeed,theRPPalsoassertsthatthereisaclear inverserelationshipbetweensizeoflandholdingandintensityoflabour (cid:34)(cid:39) use; it does not consider why this might be so, or how it might be subject to change. While the implications of this are not explicitly drawn out, this allusion to the size–productivity debate in agriculture does seem to inform the policy preference in the official literature for support to small farmers rather than larger farmers. Land holdings generally are small. Nationally, 29 per cent of rural householdscultivatelessthan1hectare:butinthecentreandsouththe proportion cultivating less than 1 hectare is closer to 40 per cent.(cid:34)(cid:40) Security of land tenure is regarded as problematic, too (Table 2). It is suggestedthat less thanone-third of rural householdshad legal title to the land they cultivated. Although the RPP states that the essential pointatpresentisthatthereisgreatuncertaintyoverrightstolanduse, the document adopts a relatively optimistic attitude to the problem, pointing to evidence from Nampula suggesting that where official concessions are made in areas already farmed by smallholders without appropriate ‘legal’ entitlements, then compensation is usually made. The significance of this issue is backed up by the PAU’s Poverty Reduction Strategy (PRS), which opens with the statement that the ‘equitable growth of agriculture can not be achieved without secure (cid:34)(cid:41) land tenure’. (cid:34)(cid:38) Ibid.,p.11. (cid:34)(cid:39) Ibid.,p.12. (cid:34)(cid:40) Ibid.,iv. (cid:34)(cid:41) GOM,ii,1995. rural poverty in mozambique 109 Table 2 Land tenure: sources of acquisition of machambas (%) Allocatedby Purchased Traditional Formal With Without Regions authority authority Borrowed Occupied title title Others Total North 11(cid:177)4 3(cid:177)6 8(cid:177)2 48(cid:177)7 0(cid:177)6 24(cid:177)1 3(cid:177)5 100(cid:177)0 Central 28(cid:177)9 6(cid:177)2 7(cid:177)6 21(cid:177)9 2(cid:177)2 30(cid:177)7 2(cid:177)5 100(cid:177)0 South 32(cid:177)0 18(cid:177)5 11(cid:177)0 13(cid:177)9 1(cid:177)9 21(cid:177)1 1(cid:177)6 100(cid:177)0 Total 24(cid:177)5 9(cid:177)1 8(cid:177)8 27(cid:177)8 1(cid:177)6 25(cid:177)8 2(cid:177)5 100(cid:177)0 Source: Poverty Alleviation Unit, Mozambique: Rural Poverty Profile (Ministry of Agriculture, 1996). Women are especially vulnerable in rural Mozambique. They are lesslikelythanmentohaveoff-farmemployment.Some25percentof rural households are female-headed, according to the 1991 National Demographic Survey (though an alternative survey estimates the proportionat19percent).Theshareofhouseholdsheadedbywomen increases from the north through the centre to the south, and those in the north appear to be more likely to be unmarried female household heads. The higher incidence of female (and married female) headship inthesouthislinkedexplicitlytotheimpactofmigration,particularly totheminesinSouthAfrica,ontheruraleconomyofthesouth.Hence, in the representation of poverty as more acute among female-headed households, the RPP also assumes, without further analysis, that out- migration from rural Mozambique is clearly a negative economic factor, chiefly because it increases the dependency ratio and reduces labour availability. While women are shown by the profile to be more readily exposed to extreme poverty, and while the RPP at one stage suggeststhatitisharderforMozambicanruralfemalestogetaccessto off-farmemployment,atotherpointsadifferentemphasisissuggested. For it is estimated by one source on which the RPP draws that 37 per (cid:34)(cid:42) centoflabourhiredforlandpreparationisfemalelabour. Thisisput in the context of a reportedly typical gender division of labour, wherebymen prepare land and women cultivate it. The potential link between female wage labour and survival strategies of the poorest people in Mozambique, however, is not drawn out. (cid:34)(cid:42) GOM,PolicyReductionStrategies,p.26. 110 christopher cramer and nicola pontara Because of the emphasis on aggregation, it is characteristic of this document that it plays down the evidence of social and economic differentiation that its data nevertheless convey. Indeed, the only category of differentiation among the Mozambican peasantry that attracts any sustained attention in the report is that of geography. Again and again, distinctions are drawn between the features of rural poverty in the north, the centre and the south, most of them based on two factors: variations in agro-climatic conditions and differences in historicalexperience,forexampleinintegrationintoregionalSouthern African labour markets via labour migration. The priorities of the PAU are suggested by the RPP–the chief one beingtoeliminatetheisolationofthepoorsincethisisregardedasthe dominant characteristic of rural poverty in Mozambique–but are given greater emphasis, though still inadequate elaboration, in the PovertyReductionStrategy(PRS).ThePRSfocuses,aboveall,onthe interlinkedprioritiesofincentives,informationandinfrastructure.This involves standard ‘market friendly’ policies. Improving rural liveli- hoods is to be achieved by means of maximising competition in (cid:35)(cid:33) agricultural markets and hence further market liberalisation; by publicising market prices; and by investing in rural infrastructure, especially roads, to raise the supply response of smallholders to improved market incentives. This core strategy is to be supported by improvementsintheprovisionofandaccesstoprimaryeducationand healthcare, safe water and sanitation, and by the establishment of a comprehensive poverty database at the national level. In short, poverty in rural Mozambique is associated with market isolation and the lack of off-farm income sources, with a young population and dependency ratios that are especially high where out- migration is a frequent option for working-age males, with female headed households, and with insecurity of land rights. Where there is social and economic differentiation, it is not a factor of dynamic significance, but rather a less than emphatic factor resulting from geographical and, implicitly, conjunctural factors (not even the latter are explored). On the basis of a ‘snapshot’ that stresses these features, a set of clear strategic measures is outlined. The ultimate aim of these measures appears to be the stabilisation of population and livelihoods on the basis of smallholder farming. Alternatives that consider more assertive measures for combining incentives with risk reduction, in ordermorerapidlytopromoteengagementintheproductionofhigher (cid:35)(cid:33) GOM,p.16,1995.

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