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Rural Poverty Alleviation in Brazil: Toward an Integrated Strategy (World Bank Country Study) PDF

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Preview Rural Poverty Alleviation in Brazil: Toward an Integrated Strategy (World Bank Country Study)

A W O R L D B A N K C O U N T R Y S T U D Y Rural Poverty Alleviation in Brazil: Toward an Integrated R Rural Poverty Alleviation Strategy is part of the World Bank Country Study series. u These reports are published with the approval of the subject r a in Brazil government to communicate the results of the Bank’s work on l the economic and related conditions of member countries to P governments and to the development community. o v Toward an Integrated Strategy e This study contains a detailed profile of the rural poor in the r northeast and southeast regions of Brazil. This report’s six the- t y matic studies identify the key microeconomic determinants of A rural poverty in these regions by reviewing the dynamics of l the small farm sector, rural labor markets, rural land markets, l e rural non-farm employment, rural education and pensions. v This study proposes a five-pronged framework for integrating i a policy to help reduce rural poverty in Brazil. It concludes that t i such an integrated policy approach is necessary to generate o n the multiple poverty exit pathways needed in Brazil. This approach involves agricultural intensification in the small farm i n sector, dynamism in the commercial agricultural sector, rural B non-farm employment stimulation, youth migration, and safe- r ty net provisions. a z i World Bank Country Studies are available individually or by l subscription, both in print and on-line. ISBN 0-8213-5206-7 THE WORLD BANK 1818 H Street, NW Washington, DC 20433 USA Telephone: 202 473-1000 THE WORLD BANK Internet: www.worldbank.org E-mail: [email protected] A W O R L D B A N K C O U N T R Y S T U D Y Rural Poverty Alleviation in Brazil Toward an Integrated Strategy THE WORLD BANK Washington, D.C. Copyright © 2003 The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank 1818 H Street, N.W. Washington, D.C. 20433, U.S.A. All rights reserved Manufactured in the United States of America First printing: June 2003 1 2 3 4 05 04 03 World Bank Country Studies are among the many reports originally prepared for internal use as part of the continuing analysis by the Bank of the economic and related conditions of its developing member countries and to facilitate its dialogues with the governments. Some of the reports are pub- lished in this series with the least possible delay for the use of governments, and the academic, busi- ness, financial, and development communities. The typescript of this paper therefore has not been prepared in accordance with the procedures appropriate to journal printed texts, and the World Bank accepts no responsibility for errors. Some sources cited in this paper may be informal docu- ments that are not readily available. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this paper are entirely those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Board of Executive Directors of the World Bank or the governments they represent. The World Bank cannot guarantee the accuracy of the data included in this work. The boundaries, colors, denominations, and other information shown on any map in this work do not imply on the part of the World Bank any judgment of the legal sta- tus of any territory or the endorsement or acceptance of such boundaries. The material in this publication is copyrighted. The World Bank encourages dissemination of its work and normally will grant permission for use. Permission to photocopy items for internal or personal use, for the internal or personal use of specific clients, or for educational classroom use, is granted by the World Bank, provided that the appropriate fee is paid. Please contact the Copyright Clearance Center before photocopying items. Copyright Clearance Center, Inc. 222 Rosewood Drive Danvers, MA 01923, U.S.A. Tel: 978-750-8400 • Fax: 978-750-4470. For permission to reprint individual articles or chapters, please fax your request with complete information to the Republication Department, Copyright Clearance Center, fax 978-750-4470. All other queries on rights and licenses should be addressed to the World Bank at the address above, or faxed to 202-522-2422. ISBN: 0-8213-5206-7 eISBN: 0-8213-5207-5 ISSN: 0253-2123 Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Rural poverty alleviation in Brazil: toward an integrated strategy. p. cm. -- (World Bank country study) Includes bibliographical references (p.). ISBN 0-8213-5206-7 1. Poverty--Brazil. 2. rural poor--Brazil. 3. Economic assistance--Brazil. I. World Bank. II. Series. HC 190.P6 R87 2003 339.4’6’0981091734--dc21 2002032186 C ONTENTS Abstract . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .vii Preface . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .ix Abbreviations and Acronyms . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .xi Executive Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1 A Profile of Rural Poverty: Updated Facts and New Findings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .2 A Five-Pronged Strategic Framework for rural Poverty Reduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .3 1. A Agricultural Intensification on the Small Farm Sector . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .3 2. A More Dynamic Commercial Agricultural Sector . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .4 3. Stimulating rural Non-Farm (RNF) sector Growth . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .4 4. Migration of the Young . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .4 5. Safety Net Provision for those “Trapped” in Poverty . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .5 A Tentative Portfolio of Integrated Rural Poverty Reduction Policies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .5 Overview . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .7 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .7 A Profile of Rural Poverty: Updated Facts and New Findings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .8 A Strategic Framework for Rural Poverty Reduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .12 Rural Poverty Exit Paths: A Five-Prong Approach . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .13 Agricultural Intensification of the Small Farm Sector . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .13 More Dynamic Commercial Agriculture . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .14 Rural Non-Farm Employment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .15 Migration of the Young . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .15 A Safety Net for those “Trapped” in Poverty . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .16 An Integrated Policy Portfolio for Rural Poverty Reduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .18 Improving Human Capital Endowment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .18 Rural Land Market Reform . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .19 Increasing R&D and Transfer of Technology . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .21 Rural Finance Market Reform . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .22 Rural Labor Market Reform . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .22 Reviewing the Labor Code . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .23 RNF Issues . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .24 Supply of Public Goods and Building of Social Capital . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .24 Price and Trade Policy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .25 Transfer Programs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .25 A Preliminary Policy Portfolio Selection Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .26 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .28 iii IV CONTENTS 1. Poverty Profile in Brazil . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .29 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .29 The Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .30 Main Characteristics of Rural Households . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .31 Comparison among Different Rural Population Groups . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .36 Poverty Estimates . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .41 Summary of Main Findings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .43 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .45 Appendix . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .46 2. Dynamics of the Brazilian Small Farm Sector . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .53 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .53 The Structural Changes of Brazilian Agriculture and their Implications on Family Agriculture . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .54 Implications on Family Farming . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .70 Main Implications on Public Policies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .74 Main Determinants . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .74 Main Alternative Policy actions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .76 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .78 3. An Assessment of Rural Labor Markets in the 1990s . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .81 Abstract . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .81 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .81 Labor Organization in Brazil . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .82 The Appearance of Cooperatives . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .84 Government Reaction to Cooperatives . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .85 Cooperatives or Condomínios? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .86 The Evolution of Agricultural Employment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .87 Driving Forces of Migration . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .87 Rural-Urban Migration Trends in Brazil . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .88 The Structure of Employment in the Agricultural Sector . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .92 The Growth of Temporary Employment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .93 Non-Agricultural Employment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .95 Less Formal Jobs in Agriculture . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .97 Regional Differences in Rural Labor Markets . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .99 Policy Recommendations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .100 Earnings and Poverty in the Rural Sector . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .100 Poverty . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .101 Conclusions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .105 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .107 CONTENTS V 4. Land Markets and Rural Poverty Alleviation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .111 Executive Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .111 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .112 Recent Changes in Land Markets and Land Policies in Brazil . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .113 The Ownership Structure: Concentration . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .116 Tax Assessment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .118 Titling and Registration . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .118 Recent Changes in Legislation and Impact on Land Rental Markets . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .119 Alternatives to the Traditional Land Reform Program . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .123 The Impacts on Rural Poverty Alleviation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .124 Conclusion and Policy Recommendation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .126 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .127 Appendix . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .129 5. Determinants of Farm Revenues and Factor Returns for Poor Farmers in Brazil . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .139 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .139 Farm Revenues and Prices . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .140 Policies and Real Farm Revenues . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .142 Trade Liberalization: Reducing Nominal Protection to Agricultural And Non-agricultural Goods . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .145 Determinants of Farm Revenue . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .146 The Role of Prices on Factor Returns . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .150 Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .151 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .152 Appendix . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .152 6. Poverty and Non-farm Employment in Rural Brazil . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .153 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .153 Rural Poverty in Brazil . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .155 Preliminary Regional Poverty Estimates for the NE/SE of Brazil . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .156 Urban versus Rural Poverty: a Misleading Dichotomy? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .159 State-Level Poverty Estimates . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .160 Non-Farm Activities in Northeast and Southeast Brazil . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .163 Employment Trends in the Non-Farm Sector . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .176 Incomes from Non-Farm Activities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .177 Concluding Comments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .186 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .189 7. Rural Education . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .191 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .191 What is the Situation Regarding Rural Education? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .191 VI CONTENTS Access to Schools (enrollment) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .192 Student Flow in Rural and Urban Schools . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .194 Scores on Standardized Tests in Rural and Urban Areas—Using the SAEB Data . . . . . . . .197 School Inputs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .198 MEC Policies for Rural Education and the Impact of MEC Universal Policies on Rural Education . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .203 The Education Maintenance and Development Fund—FUNDEF . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .204 Programs Focusing on Students . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .206 Programs Focusing on Schools . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .209 Support for Technological Innovation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .210 Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .211 8. Social Insurance or Social Assistance for Brazil’s Rural Poor? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .213 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .213 RGPS Benefits for Rural Households . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .214 The Impact of Rural Pensions on Poverty and Welfare . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .216 Should Rural Old Age Pensions be Replaced with Social Assistance? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .220 Conclusions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .223 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .224 9. Public Policies to Reduce Rural Poverty a Selective Assessment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .225 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .225 Government Policies and Spending Related to Rural Poverty, Targeting, and Impact . . . . . . . .228 Overview . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .228 Land Reform . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .228 Northeast Rural Poverty Alleviation Projects . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .235 Drought Relief . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .238 Pensions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .241 Water and Sanitation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .243 Transport . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .244 Energy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .245 Education . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .245 Health . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .246 Nutrition . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .249 Agricultural Credit . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .250 Comparing the Effectiveness of Different Programs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .254 Priorities for Policy Reform . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .258 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .261 Appendix . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .262 A BSTRACT The objective of this report is to design an integrated strategy for rural poverty reduction in Brazil. It contains an updated and detailed profile of the rural poor in the northeast and southeast regions of Brazil; identifies key determinants of rural poverty in these regions; and pro- poses a five-pronged strategic framework and a tentative set of policy options. The latter were identified via an analysis of rural poverty determinants complemented with an evaluation of rele- vant current public programs and six in-depth thematic studies: (a) the dynamics of the Brazilian small farm sector, (b) rural labor markets, (c) rural land markets, (d) rural non-farm employment, (e) rural education, and (f) rural pensions. vii P REFACE This study was prepared by Alberto Valdés (Task Manager) and Johan A. Mistiaen (Consultant). We gladly acknowledge the helpful observations by the peer reviewers Malcolm Bale (Sector manager, EASRD) and Robert Thompson (Director, RDV) and the constructive comments by Gobind Nankani (Former Country Director, LCC5C), Joachim von Amsberg (Lead Economist, LCC5C), Norman Hicks (Sector Manager, LCSPP), Indermit Gill (Lead Economist, LCSHD), and Mark Roland Thomas (Economist, LCC5A). Drafts of this report have been discussed with many institutions and individuals of the Brazilian Government, and their comments have been taken into account. However, the views expressed in this report are exclusively those of the World Bank. Vice President: David de Ferranti Country Director: Vinod Thomas Sector Director: Ernesto May Sector Manager: Norman L. Hicks Task Manager: Alberto Valdés ix

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