ROI FOR TECHNOLOGY PROJECTS Measuring and Delivering Value D. BRIAN ROULSTONE JACK J. PHILLIPS AMSTERDAM (cid:129) BOSTON (cid:129) HEIDELBERG (cid:129) LONDON NEW YORK (cid:129) OXFORD (cid:129) PARIS (cid:129) SAN DIEGO SAN FRANCISCO (cid:129) SINGAPORE (cid:129) SYDNEY (cid:129) TOKYO Butterworth-Heinemann is an imprint of Elsevier Butterworth-Heinemann is an imprint of Elsevier 30 Corporate Drive, Suite 400, Burlington, MA 01803, USA Linacre House, Jordan Hill, Oxford OX2 8DP, UK First edition 2008 Copyright © 2008, D. Brian Roulstone and Jack J. Phillips. All rights reserved The right of Brian Roulstone and Jack J. Phillips to be identifi ed as the authors of this work has been asserted in accordance with the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988 No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or transmitted in any form or by any means electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise without the prior written permission of the publisher Permissions may be sought directly from Elsevier’s Science & Technology Rights Department in Oxford, UK: phone: (+44) 1865 843830, fax: (+44) 1865 853333, E-mail: [email protected]. You may also complete your request online via the Elsevier homepage (http://elsevier.com), by selecting “Support & Contact” then “Copyright and Permission” and then “Obtaining Permissions” Recognizing the importance of preserving what has been written, Elsevier prints its books on acid-free paper whenever possible Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Application submitted British Library Cataloguing in Publication Data A catalog record for this book is available from the British Library ISBN: 978-0-7506-8588-7 For information on all Butterworth-Heinemann publications visit our web site at books.elsevier.com Printed and bound in the USA 08 09 10 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Working together to grow libraries in developing countries www.elsevier.com | www.bookaid.org | www.sabre.org Contents Preface, ix Acknowledgments, xvi About the Authors, xviii 1 Measuring the Return on Investment for Technology Initiatives: Trends and Issues, 1 ROI Progress and Status, 3 Why ROI?, 9 ROI Concerns, 14 Barriers to ROI Methodology Implementation, 20 Benefi ts of the ROI Methodology, 22 ROI Best Practices, 23 Final Thoughts, 27 References, 28 2 The ROI Model: History and Background, 29 Building the ROI Methodology, 29 An Evaluation Framework, 31 The ROI Model, 34 Operating Standards and Philosophy, 48 Implementation Issues, 49 Application and Practice, 49 Final Thoughts, 50 References, 50 3 Establishing the Need for the Technology Project, 51 Pinning Down the Details: Project Requirements, 51 Levels of Objectives for Solutions, 55 The Importance of Specifi c Objectives, 60 v vi Contents How Is It All Connected? Linking Evaluation with Needs, 60 Planning for Measurement and Evaluation, 65 Final Thoughts, 71 4 Collecting Data, 73 Sources of Data, 73 Questionnaires and Surveys, 75 Tests, 93 Interviews, 98 Focus Groups, 100 Observations, 101 Business Performance Monitoring, 104 Action Planning and Follow-Up Assignments, 107 Performance Contracts, 116 Selecting the Appropriate Method, 118 Data Tabulation Issue, 121 Final Thoughts, 123 References, 123 5 Isolating the Effects of Strategic Technology Investments, 125 Preliminary Issues, 125 Use of Control Groups, 130 Trend Line Analysis, 135 Forecasting Methods, 138 Participant Estimate of IT’s Impact, 140 Supervisor Estimate of IT’s Impact, 150 Management Estimate of IT’s Impact, 152 Customer Input of IT’s Impact, 152 Expert Estimation of IT’s Impact, 153 Calculating the Impact of Other Factors, 153 Using the Techniques, 154 Final Thoughts, 155 References, 156 6 Exposing the Value of Strategic Technology Projects, 157 Preliminary Issues, 157 Techniques for Converting Data to Monetary Values, 161 Converting Output Data to Contribution, 162 Calculating the Cost of Quality, 165 Converting Employee Time, 166 Contents vii Using Historical Costs, 167 Using Internal and External Experts’ Input, 168 Using Values from External Databases, 169 Using Estimates from Participants, 169 Using Estimates from Supervisors and Managers, 170 Linking with Other Measures, 172 Using IT Staff Estimates, 174 Selecting the Appropriate Technique, 174 Accuracy and Credibility of Data, 175 Final Thoughts, 179 Case Study: Staggering ROI Results for a Successful Customer Relationship Management (CRM) Implementation, 180 References, 182 7 Tabulating Project Costs, 183 Cost Strategies, 183 Cost Tracking Issues, 188 Major Cost Categories, 190 Cost Accumulation and Estimation, 197 Final Thoughts, 202 References, 202 8 Calculating the Return, 203 Basic Issues, 203 ROI Interpretation, 206 Case Application, 214 Other ROI Measures, 218 Consequences of Not Investing in IT, 220 ROI, the Profi t Center, and EVA, 221 ROI Issues, 223 Final Thoughts, 229 References, 230 9 Identifying Intangible Measures, 231 Key Issues, 231 Typical Intangible Measures, 238 Final Thoughts, 245 References, 246 viii Contents 10 ROI Forecasting, 247 Why Forecast ROI?, 247 The Tradeoffs of Forecasting, 249 Forecasting/Estimating Performance Improvement, 253 Case Example, 254 Forecasting with a Pilot Project, 257 Forecasting ROI with Reaction Data, 257 Forecasting ROI with Knowledge Data, 260 Forecasting ROI with Skills and Competencies, 263 Forecasting Guidelines, 264 Final Thoughts, 266 References, 267 11 Communicating Results, 268 The Importance of Communication, 268 Principles of Communicating Results, 270 Analyzing the Need for Communication, 272 Planning the Communication, 274 Selecting the Audience for Communications, 277 Developing the Information: The Impact Study, 280 Selecting the Communication Media, 283 Communicating the Information, 289 Analyzing Reactions to Communication, 296 Final Thoughts, 297 Reference, 297 12 Implementing the ROI Methodology, 298 Overcoming the Resistance to ROI, 298 Planning the Implementation, 300 Preparing the IT Staff, 312 Initiating the ROI Process, 316 Preparing the Management Team, 318 Monitoring Progress and Communicating Results, 323 Cost Saving Approaches, 324 Final Thoughts, 327 References, 328 Appendix, 329 Index, 337 Preface ROI is Exploding Calculating the return on investment (ROI) has become one of the most challenging and intriguing issues facing the information tech- nology (IT) sector. The interest in ROI evaluation has been pheno- menal, with the topic appearing on almost every IT conference and convention agenda and articles regularly featured in CIO Magazine and research journals. Several books have been written on the topic, and consulting fi rms have been formed just to tackle this important issue. Several factors are driving this increased interest in ROI. Probably the most infl uential factor is the pressure from clients and senior managers to show the return on their IT investment. Competitive economic pressures are causing intense scrutiny of all expenditures, including IT and technology-focused product development costs. Total quality management, reengineering, and Six Sigma have created a renewed interest in measurement and evaluation, including weigh- ing the effectiveness of IT. The general trend toward accountability with all staff support groups is causing some IT departments to measure their contributions. These and other drivers have created an unprecedented wave of applying the ROI process. An Effective ROI Methodology The challenging aspect of ROI analysis is the nature and accuracy of its development. The process often seems confusing, surrounded as it is by models, formulas, and statistics that frighten even the most capable practitioners. Coupled with this concern are the mis- understandings about the process and the gross misuse of ROI techniques in some organizations. These issues sometimes leave practitioners with a distaste for ROI evaluations. Unfortunately, ix x Preface ROI cannot be ignored. To admit to clients and senior managers that the impact of IT or technology cannot be measured is to admit that IT does not add value or that IT investments should not be subjected to accountability requirements. In practice, ROI analysis must be explored, considered, and ultimately implemented in most organizations. What is needed is a rational, logical approach that can be simpli- fi ed and implemented within the current budget constraints and resources of the organization. This book presents a proven ROI Methodology based on almost 20 years of development and improve- ment. It is a process that is rich in tradition and refi ned to meet the demands facing IT and technology development projects. The ROI Methodology described in this book meets the require- ments of three important groups. First, the practitioners who have used this model and have implemented the ROI process in their organizations continue to report their satisfaction with the method- ology and the success it has achieved. The ROI Methodology pre- sented here is user-friendly, easy to understand, and has been proven to pay for itself time and time again. A second important group is the clients and senior managers who must approve IT and technology development budgets. They want measurable results, preferably expressed as a return on investment. The ROI Methodology pre- sented in this book has fared well with these groups. Senior managers view the process as credible, logical, practical, and easy to under- stand from their perspectives. More important, it has their buy-in, which is critical for securing future support. The third important group is the evaluation researchers who develop, explore, and analyze new processes and techniques. When exposed to this methodology in a two-day or one-week workshop, the researchers, without excep- tion, gave this process high praise. They often applaud the techniques for isolating the effects of IT and the techniques for converting data to monetary values. Unanimously, they characterize the process as an important—and needed—contribution to the fi eld. Why Write this Book Now? This book—the fi rst of its kind—focuses on ROI analysis for technology investments and is written for technology decision makers by a technology executive and a foremost authority on the discipline of return on investment. This book leverages the talents of both authors to provide a framework and method that can ensure greater success in mobilizing technology initiatives. No other book on the Preface xi market specifi cally addresses the critical need to prove ROI on resource-intensive technology projects with a time-tested and industry-leading process. To date, most ROI books have focused on the areas of performance, training, marketing, and other human capital related disciplines, but the need for ROI evaluation in other areas is growing. With increased scrutiny of technology spending by the most complex organizations in the world, technology leaders need a tool to help them prepare for hard-hitting discussions with their organi- zations’ CFO, president, CEO, or chairman about the return they should expect from critical technology projects. Rather than focus- ing top managers’ attention on cutting, challenging, and controlling expenditures (as many C-level accountants prefer), this approach guides technology managers in providing executives with more com- prehensive, balanced information that helps all involved make better business decisions. Along the way, technology managers get help communicating more effectively with the fi nancial decision makers within their organizations. The book also shows executives how partnering with IT leaders can help them and other managers under- stand the return these technology projects can provide to their organizations in increased human effi ciency, automation of manual processes, unifi ed organizational data, and other high-return results from complex and critical technology initiatives. At the same time, executives and IT professionals must have their projects measured with balanced perspectives. While the ROI itself is important, capturing intangible benefi ts related to the project and information about the application and implementation of the project is important, as well. Even earlier in the cycle, gathering reaction to the technology and the extent to which individuals have learned the technology is crucial. Together, these data sets represent a balanced profi le of success, with ROI at the pinnacle. What this Book Covers This is the fi rst book to present the ROI Methodology for technol- ogy. This methodology generates six measures of the values of tech- nology projects: 1. Reaction and perceived value 2. Learning and confi dence 3. Application and implementation xii Preface 4. Impact and consequences 5. Return on investment 6. Intangible Benefi ts In addition, this methodology always has a process in place to isolate the effects of the technology solution from other solutions and factors, another critical element to ensure the credibility of the IT project’s evaluation. All this is presented in a logical, systematic way, with specifi c standards that provide guidelines and rules for collecting data, analyzing data, and reporting results. These provide the consistency and credibility needed to secure management’s buy-in of the process. The book concludes with chapters on ROI forecasting—a critical tool for determining the value of projects before implementation, ways to communicate the data to stakeholders, and methods for implementing and sustaining the process. Who should Read this Book This book is written primarily for managers and executives who are charged with mobilizing and executing key technology projects and initiatives within their organizations. It is also for anyone in busi- ness who is concerned about the value of technology-focused projects, programs, processes, and resources. Although executives are often committed to these projects, they need to see the value in terms that they can appreciate and understand—monetary value and ROI. This book is also designed for technology consultants, business analysts, and practitioners who are responsible for scoping, design- ing, and implementing key technology initiatives within organiza- tions. The book represents a source of basic research techniques, applications, experiences, and resources available to expose the value of key technology initiatives. Functional Areas Designed for a spectrum of functional areas within an organiza- tion, outside the obvious IT function, professionals in the following areas represent the audience for this book: 1. IT management 2. IT planning 3. IT implementation