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442 Pages·2005·4.397 MB·English
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(cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) Robots Unlimited (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) Robots Unlimited Life in a Virtual Age David Levy AKPeters,Ltd. Wellesley,Massachusetts (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) Editorial,Sales,andCustomerServiceOffice AKPeters,Ltd. 888WorcesterStreet,Suite230 Wellesley,MA02482 www.akpeters.com Copyright©2006byAKPeters,Ltd. All rights reserved. No part of the material protected by this copyright notice may be reproduced or utilized in any form, electronic or me- chanical,includingphotocopying,recording,orbyanyinformationstor- ageandretrievalsystem,withoutwrittenpermissionfromthecopyright owner. LibraryofCongressCataloging-in-PublicationData Levy,DavidN.L. Robotsunlimited:lifeinavirtualage/DavidLevy. p.cm. Includesbibliographicalreferencesandindex. ISBN1-56881-239-6 1.Robotics–History.I.Title. TJ211.L456 2005 629.8’92–dc22 2005045869 PrintedinIndia 09080706 10987654321 (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) ForDonald,whohasmadesomanythingspossible. (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) Contents Preface xi Acknowledgments xv PartI AnEarlyHistoryofArtificialIntelligence 1 1 EarlyHistory—Logic,GamesandSpeech 3 EarlyLogicMachines . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3 ElectricalLogicMachines . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 EarlyGamesMachines . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18 KonradZuseandtheFirstComputer . . . . . . . . . . . . 23 MechanicalSpeechSynthesis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28 ElectricalSpeechSynthesis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30 SpeechRecognition . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33 2 EarlyHistory—Robots,Thought,Creativity,Learning andTranslation 35 RobotTortoises . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35 AlanTuring . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39 Creativity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48 MachineLearning . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53 MachineTranslation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55 The1956DartmouthWorkshop . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 64 PartII FiftyYearsofProgress 69 3 HowComputersPlayGames 71 Chess . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 71 Checkers(Draughts) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 89 vii (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) Contents UsingDatabasestoSolveOtherGames . . . . . . . . . . . . 93 Go—TheMostDifficultGameofAll . . . . . . . . . . . . 94 PlayingMetagames—ProgramsthatLearntoPlayfrom theRules . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 97 GameswithImperfectInformationandGames withChance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 100 4 HowComputersRecognize 115 VisualRecognition—HowComputersSee . . . . . . . . . . 115 SomeApplicationsofComputerVision . . . . . . . . . . . 125 SpeechRecognition . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 134 TasteRecognition . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 138 SmellRecognition . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 140 TheRecognitionofCreativeStyle . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 141 5 CreativeComputers 149 HowComputersWritePoetry . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 152 HowComputersWriteFiction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 155 HowComputersWriteNon-Fiction . . . . . . . . . . . . . 163 HowComputersComposeMusic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 165 HowComputersCreateVisualArt . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 175 6 HowComputersThink 187 WhatisLogic? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 188 LogicalReasoning . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 189 ProblemSolving . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 193 Planning . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 200 CommonsenseReasoning . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 205 CaseBasedReasoning . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 208 HowComputersLearn . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 211 HowComputersDiscoverandInvent . . . . . . . . . . . . 224 KnowledgeDiscovery . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 232 ExpertSystems . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 234 7 HowComputersCommunicate 245 NaturalLanguageProcessing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 245 Text-to-SpeechSynthesis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 262 viii (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) Contents 8 ThingstoDoforRobots 267 RobotSoccer . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 267 ARobotSportsMiscellany . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 270 TheRobotChauffeur . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 274 UrbanSearch-and-RescueRobots . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 276 RobotSurgeons . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 278 Gastrobots . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 280 DomesticRobots . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 282 TheRobotGrandChallenge . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 286 HumanoidRobots . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 289 PartIII TheNextFiftyYears 293 9 TheExponentialGrowthofScientificAchievements 295 WhatIsExponentialGrowth? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 296 Moore’sLawofComputingPower . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 297 TheOpticalComputer . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 298 TheDNAComputer . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 301 TheMolecularComputer(Nano-Machines) . . . . . . . . . 303 TheQuantumComputer . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 304 ComputerMemory . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 305 TheKnowledgeExplosion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 306 SomeViewsoftheFuture . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 309 Super-Robots . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 314 10 EmotionandLove,AIStyle 315 FunctionsofEmotion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 316 PsychologicalTheoriesofEmotion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 316 FeelingEmotionsforOthers . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 317 HumansFeelingAffectionforRobots—TheTamagotchi . . . 318 FiveCriteriaforEmotions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 320 ModelsofEmotioninRobots . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 321 Empathy—HowRobotsRecognizeandMeasure EmotionsinHumans . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 327 MindReading . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 329 HowRobotsExpressEmotion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 334 RobotPersonality . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 336 LoveandMarriagewithRobots—AnAcceptableIdea? . . . . 339 ix (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) Contents 11 SexandReproduction,AIStyle 347 SexwithRobots . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 347 IntelligentSexMachines . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 348 ExperimentswithSexbots . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 350 TheMechanicsofSexwithRobots . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 351 WhenCanIBuyOne? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 352 DominicChoy’sPatentApplication . . . . . . . . . . . . . 353 RobotReproduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 356 RobotEvolution . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 365 RobotOffspring,withaDashofHumanAdded . . . . . . . 366 12 RobotConsciousness 369 WhatIsConsciousness? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 369 CanRobotsHaveConsciousness? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 372 RobotFeelings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 379 RobotHopesandWishes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 381 CanRobotsHaveBeliefs? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 382 RobotDreams . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 383 CanRobotsHaveFreeWill? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 383 TheReligiousLifeofRobots . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 385 13 RobotRightsandEthics 393 TheRightsofRobots . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 393 RobotEthics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 399 Bibliography 425 Index 439 x (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) Preface Thisbookisforeveryoneinterestedinthefuture. Althoughitssub- jectmatter,ArtificialIntelligence,isoneofthemostavant-garde and exciting of sciences, you do not need any prior technical or scientificknowledgeinordertounderstandwhatiswrittenhere. Nordo you need to know how computers work or how they are programmed. Everything is explained in easy-to-follow language. So any of you who consideryourselvestechnophobesshouldhaveabsolutelynofearofdelv- ingfurtherintothesepages. The first problem facing the author of any comprehensive book on AIisthesurprisinglyenormousbreadthofthefield,including,asitdoes, programs that play games, compose music and perform other creative tasks, programs that reason and learn. There are even programs and ro- bots that exhibit emotions and can reproduce. A huge mass of source material exists on almost every topic within the field of AI, material which ranges in the depth of its coverage from the “relatively elemen- tary” (which, in AI, tends to mean something written at a level suitable for first–year computer science students) to the detailed and technically advanced papers published in conference proceedings and learned jour- nalsandintendedforhigherlevelacademicsandresearchscientists. Had IbeenabletoincludeallthematerialthatIwished,thisbookwouldhave extendedtoaseriesofseveralvolumes,eachofasimilarsizetothisone. Instead I had to find a way, within this single tome, to convey not only thebreadthofideasandinventionswithinAI,butalsotheprogressthat has been made since 1955 when the field was conceived as a research subject in its own right,1 and to explain the inevitable advances of the comingdecades. 1Manysourcesgive1956astheyearinwhichArtificialIntelligencewasconceived,thatbeingthe yearoftheDartmouthworkshopwhereJohnMcCarthy’snameforthesubjectwasaffixed. Infact thename“ArtificialIntelligence”wascoinedbyMcCarthyintheproposalforfundingtheworkshop, adocumentpreparedandsubmittedin1955.Ithereforeregard1955astheyearoftheconception ofAIand1956astheyearofitsbirth. xi (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) Preface Even after I had decided on my choice of source material, a choice that often had to be fairly ruthless in its selectivity, my source papers forthisbookstillcomprisedsome5,000printedandphotocopiedpages. Fromalltheseitwasnecessarytodistiltheessenceofeachtopic,whileat thesametimepresentingthewholesubjectofAIinawaythatcouldbe understoodbyall,withouttheneedforanypreviousComputerScience, Artificial Intelligence or other technical education or knowledge. The necessity of restricting the length of this work to “only” 450 pages or thereabouts, with all this source material sitting on my shelves, forced me to think about what would be really important in getting across to my readers the essence, excitement and potential of Artificial Intel- ligence. TheapproachIdecideduponwasthis. Inordertodescribethe foundations of AI as they existed pre-1955, Chapters 1 and 2 present an account of various artefacts dating back as far, believe it or not, as 1650,2 all of which represent artificial forms of some kind of intelli- gence. These include methods for the composition of music, machines that played games, machines that could solve simple problems in logic, anddevicesfortranslatingfromonelanguagetoanother. Manyofthese historical artefacts are remarkable for their anticipation of techniques that reached some level of maturity as computer programs in the late twentiethcentury. Aftersettingthestageinthisway,thebookcontinueswithfivechap- ters (Chapters 3–7) that divide up between them most of the exciting and important topics within AI, demonstrating the progress made in each of these domains during the 50 years spanning 1955 to 2004. In general I have described these progressions by first recounting the ear- liest computerized attempts within each topic,3 and then by present- ing one or more state-of-the-art exemplars, demonstrating how much progresshasbeenmadetodatewithineachdomain. Betweenthesetwo stagesofresearch—theseminalattemptsandthecurrentstate-of-the-art 2Itwasin1650thatAthanasiusKircherpublisheddetailsofhismethodfortheautomaticcom- positionofmusic(seeChapter5). IdonotregardRamonLlull’sideasonlogicinthethirteenth century(seeChapter1)asbeingofcomparableimport,astheydidnotleaddirectlytoanyuseful processorartifact.InsteadLlull’swritingsactedasacatalystforothers.Thereisalsoanotherclaim madeastotheearliestartificiallyintelligentartefact.SomeresearcherssubscribetotheviewthatEu- doxusandArchytas,inancientGreece,inventedsomesortofproofmachine.Thatattributionstems fromapassageinPlutarch’sLifeofMarcelluswhich,infact,doesnotrefertoanysuchmachine,and authoritativesourcessuchastheStanfordEncyclopaediaofPhilosophyarethereforedismissiveofthe claim. 3Manyoftheseearlyeffortswerebasedonideasandtechniquesthatnotonlywereseminalfor theirrespectivedomainsbutwhicharestillinusetoday. xii (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1)

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