Reserve Requirements of the New York State Electric Power Systems

73 Pages·2.721 MB·English

by  Flitner, David P

RESERVE REQUIREMENTS
OF
THE NEW YORK STATE BIECTRIC POWER SYSTEMS
THESIS
Submitted in Partial Fulfilment
of the requirements for the
degree of
MASTER/OF MECHAHIGAL ENGINEERING
at the
POLYTECHNIC INSTITUTE OF BROOKLYN
by
David P. Flitner
and
Walter Tamlyn, Jr.
May 1951
Approved ;
Head of lartm*
ProQuest Number: 27591588
All rights reserved
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COPYRIGHTED
1951
by
David P. Flitner and 7/alter Tamlyn, Jr.
All rights reserved
This thesis, or any part of it, may
not be reproduced in any way without the
written permission of The Polytechnic
Institute of Brooklyn.
VTTA
David P. Flitner was born November 28th, 1924 in Greenville,
New Hampshireo He attended Greenville Grammar School and Brew­
ster Academy, Wolfeboro, New Hampshire.
His professional education was pursued at 1,'crtheast.cra
University and Tufts College. He was admitted to the degree of
Bachelor of Science in Mechanical Engineering at Tufts College
in June, 1945o Since September, 1946, he has been employed by
Pratt Institute as Instructor in Mechanical Engineering.
Walter Tamlyn, Jr. was born February 15th, 1922 in Brook­
lyn, New York. He attended grammar school in Queens County
and Jamaica High School, Jamaica, New York.
His professional education was pursued at The Polytech­
nic Institute of Brooklyn and The School of Engineering of
Columbia University* He was admitted to the degree of Bachelor
of Mechanical Engineering at The Polytechnic Institute in Novem­
ber, 1944, and was licensed to practice Professional Engineer­
ing by the State of New York in November, 1949. He is now em­
ployed by a consulting engineer specializing in industrial
power plant design.
The work of the present thesis was done between March, 1950
and May 1951 « The thesis was done almost entirely in the homes
of the students. An average of six hours per week, throughout
the academic year, was devoted to the work by each student.
}
2
The extensive calculations were lightened by the use of
a Monroe automatic calculating machine loaned to the students
by Pratt Institute.
David Po Flitner
Walter Tamlyn, J
Brooklyn, N. Y
May 28th, 1951
3
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
Grateful acknowledgement is made to the following per­
sons, who gave great assistance and encouragement to the
authors:
Max J. Steinberg, of The Consolidated Edison Co* of New
York, InCo, our thesis adviseip and the author of various pub­
lications on allied subjects;
Franklin Jo Leerburger, consulting engineer to The Power
Authority of The State of New York, who is currently studying
various problems concerning the future of the New York State
electric pcwer industry;
Philip Doane, of The Consolidated Edison Co. of New York,
InCv, who has devoted much time to the problem of electric
system reserve requirements;
Vo M. Cook, of The Consolidated Edison Co. of New York,
Inc. ;
John P. Thoene^ of the New York City office of the Fed­
eral Power Commission.
ABSTRACT
The object of this thesis is to determine the reserve ca­
pacity requirements for New York State's major electric power
systems, as independent systems, and as part of an integrated
statewide system, for the year 1948. The effect of intercon­
nections on reserve requirements is also investigated. An
estimate of the reserve capacity required in the year I96O is
made.
Data regarding the existing generating units were compiled
from The Federal Power Commission's Annual Power System State­
ments for the year 1948. The thirteen major power systems of
the state were subdivided into eight study areas, according to
geographical location. By application of the probability the­
ory, reserve requirements were then calculated for each study
area, operated as an independent system, and for the entire
state as a single, integrated system.
The investigation of independent operation indicates that
four of the study areas would have been unable to meet their an-.
nual peak loads due tc deficiencies of Installed capacity, three
of the study areas might have carried their annual peak loads,
but would have rendered substandard service, and that only one
area would have been able to carry its own load with a good level
of reliability.
As a result of the investigation of the effects of inter­
connections, certain criteria are presented by which the ade-
quacy of interconnections may be evaluated*
It is demonstrated that complete integration of the state
would lead to a great saving in reserve capacity, and that, in
1948, the existing interconnections were substantially heavy
enough to permit such integrated operation.
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Table of Contents
.t
Page
Abstract ...... *......... 5
*
Section X, Introduction . 10
,
Section XI Description of Procedure .............. 26
}7
Section III, Results of Calculations
Section IV, Results of Calculations for
The Statewide System ...... 55
t-
Section V, The Effect of Interconnections 58
Section VI, Conclusions and Comments 65
Appendix ..... 67
References and Bibliography 69
LIST OF FIGURES AND TABLES
Pig. 1 Map of No Y. State, Showing the Page
Study Areas 14
o o . . * . # . . o * . * o o . o o . . . . o * . . . . . .
Fig. 2 Explanatory Curves, The Simplied Load
Duration Curve .................... 19
Fig. 3 Plot of the Probability of Outage in
Excess of a Given Outage For a
Hypothetical System *............ 25a
Figo 4 Plot of the Probability of Outage in
Excess of a Given Outage For
Fig. 5 The Assumed Load Duration Curve For
34
Fig. 6 The Reliability Curve, Area I ......... ........ 38
Fig. 7 The Reliability Curve, Area II ...000.00..0...0 40
Pig. 8 The Reliability Curve, Area III ................ 42
Pig. 9 The Reliability Curve, Area I*....u.*.c\oo..u. 44
Fig.10 The Reliability Curve, Area V ............... . 46
Fig.11 The Reliability Curve, Area 48
Pig.12 The Reliability Curve, Area VII ................ 50
Fig.13 The Reliability Curve, Area VIII .............. 52
Fig.14 The Reliability Curve, Integrated 54
State Operation, 1948 .............. ........
Fig.15 Graphical Presentation of Required
Reserves for the Study Areas ............. 55
Figol6 Diagram of the Bulk Interconnections
Between Study Areas, 1948 .......... 56
Fig*17 The Effect of a Limited Interconnection
On Reliability . 60
FigolS The Effect of a Limited Interconnection
On Required Reserves ......* «.*....*.» o.« = 61
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