ISSN 1977-0375 Exer in vulla faci blamconse euis K E Methodologies and S x -C e nibh el utat dip ex elestisim D r W o r k i n g p a p e r s -0 in 6 Rilis augiati siscilit venis nim -0 v 0 u 1-EN lla Europe in figures - Eurostat yearbook 2006-07 presents - f C a a comprehensive selection of statistical data on the c i European Union, its Member States and candidate b l countries. Most data cover the period 1995-2005 and a m some data include other countries such as the USA and c o Japan. With almost 400 statistical tables, graphs and n maps, the yearbook treats areas such as population, s Eurostat-OECD Methodological Manual on e education, health, living conditions and welfare, the e u labour market, the economy, international trade, i Purchasing Power Parities s industry and services, science and technology, the n i environment, agriculture, forestry and fisheries, and b h 2nd Edition European regions. This edition’s spotlight chapter deals e with energy statistics. l u t a A new data code (for example, ‘TEN00076’) has been t d inserted above many graphs and tables in the yearbook. i p This code allows the reader to easily find on the Eurostat e website the most recent data related to the table or x e graph. For more details, consult the section on the new l e Eurostat code in the introduction. s t i s i A CD-ROM includes the electronic version of the m yearbook in PDF format as well as all tables and graphs in spreadsheet format and further information. R i l i The yearbook may be viewed as an introduction s a to European statistics and provides guidance u g to the vast range of data freely available i a from the Eurostat website at t i s http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat i s c i l i t v e n i s n i m 2012 edition 2 0 0 8 e d i t i o n Methodologies and W o r k i n g p a p e r s Eurostat-OECD Methodological Manual on Purchasing Power Parities 2nd Edition 2012 edition Europe Direct is a service to help you find answers to your questions about the European Union. Freephone number (*): 00 800 6 7 8 9 10 11 (*) Certain mobile telephone operators do not allow access to 00 800 numbers or these calls may be billed. More information on the European Union is available on the Internet (http://europa.eu). Cataloguing data can be found at the end of this publication. Luxembourg: Publications Office of the European Union, 2012 ISBN 978-92-79-25983-8 ISSN 1977-0375 doi:10.2785/33942 Cat. No KS-RA-12-023-EN-N Theme: Economy and finance Collection: Methodologies & Working papers © European Union / OECD, 2012 Reproduction is authorised provided the source is acknowledged. Contact for requests for translation: [email protected] or [email protected] Also available under the title Eurostat-OECD Methodological Manual on Purchasing Power Parities, OECD, ISBN 978-92-64-18923-2 The opinions expressed and arguments employed herein do not necessarily reflect the official views of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) or of the governments of its member countries or those of Eurostat or the European Commission. Foreword For the last three decades, Eurostat and OECD have worked together in producing and publishing Purchasing Power Parities (PPPs) for their respective member countries. PPPs are essential tools for the comparison of price and volume levels of GDP and other indicators. The common programme is called the "Eurostat-OECD PPP Programme". The full methodology underlying the Programme is described in this second edition of the Eurostat- OECD Methodological Manual on Purchasing Power Parities. It updates and replaces the first edition of the manual that was published in 2006. The manual describes the organisation of the work and the data collection, validation and calculation methods as applied for the reference year 2011. Finally, the manual looks ahead at future developments in key areas such as health services and the further integration of PPP and CPI data collection. The manual has three specific objectives: first, to provide essential methodological guidelines on the international price and volume comparisons of GDP to those directly engaged in the Programme, i.e. to practitioners in Eurostat, the OECD and National Statistical Institutes (NSIs) of participating countries; second, to communicate effectively on the objectives and outcomes of the Programme to key users – politicians, journalists, academics, researchers – and importantly, to advise these users on the use and interpretation of comparison results; and third, to provide a single point of reference on the Eurostat-OECD PPP Programme, accessible to teachers, students and the general public interested in PPPs and related statistics. In addition to the methodological advances made, we are pleased that the earlier problems of incomplete country coverage and timeliness, which were considered as impediments to the wider use of PPPs have now by and large been addressed. Eurostat and OECD co-operate with the World Bank in the revitalized International Comparison Programme, to produce global PPP data. In 2008, a world comparison was published for 2005 for 147 countries, while at the end of 2013 the results of a world comparison for 2011 covering some 180 countries are to be released. We trust that this edition of the Eurostat-OECD Methodological Manual on Purchasing Power Parities will foster a better understanding and greater use of PPPs in international price and volume comparisons of GDP. Walter Radermacher Martine Durand Chief Statistician of the EU and OECD Chief Statistician and Director General of Eurostat Director of Statistics Eurostat-OECD Methodological Manual on Purchasing Power Parities 3 Acknowledgements This edition of the Eurostat-OECD PPP methodological manual is the product of the Task Force set up by Eurostat to oversee the revision and updating of the 2005 edition of the manual that was published in 2006. The Task Force was established in the fourth quarter of 2010. It was chaired by Paul Konijn (Eurostat) and its principal members were Scott Johnson (United Kingdom), Harri Kananoja (Finland), Francette Koechlin (OECD), José Mouronho (Portugal), Fabrice Romans (France), Sergey Sergeev (Austria) and David Roberts (editor). The Task Force met five times between November 2010 and February 2012: Eurostat (12 November 2010), OECD (4-5 April 2011), Eurostat (27-28 June 2011), OECD (17-18 October 2011) and Eurostat (13-14 February 2012). Countries participating in the Programme received preliminary versions of individual chapters and annexes between July 2011 and July 2012 and were invited to comment on them either on the wiki designed for the purpose, at the meetings of the Eurostat PPP Working Group or by email. Countries were presented with a complete version of the manual in September 2012 with a request for further comments. The manual was drafted by David Roberts with contributions from Paul Konijn. Eurostat funded the editor and the Task Force. Eurostat and OECD would like to thank all people that contributed by providing comments and suggestions for the improvement of this manual. Eurostat-OECD Methodological Manual on Purchasing Power Parities 4 Contents Table of contents Foreword ......................................................................................................................................... 3 Acknowledgements ........................................................................................................................ 4 Table of contents ............................................................................................................................ 5 Overview ........................................................................................................................................... 11 What does the Eurostat-OECD PPP Programme do? ................................................................... 13 Why is GDP compared from the expenditure side? ....................................................................... 13 What are PPPs? ............................................................................................................................. 13 What are PPPs used for? ............................................................................................................... 14 What are the price and volume indices that PPPs generate? ........................................................ 14 Why not to use exchange rates to make international comparisons of GDP? ............................... 15 Are PPPs necessary if countries share a common currency? ....................................................... 15 Can PPPs be used to determine whether a currency is undervalued or overvalued? ................... 16 Should PPPs always be used to make international comparisons? ............................................... 16 How are PPPs calculated? ............................................................................................................. 16 What products are used to calculate PPPs? .................................................................................. 16 What prices are used to calculate PPPs? ...................................................................................... 17 In what circumstances could PPPs be biased? .............................................................................. 17 What has to be considered when comparing PPP-derived data over time? .................................. 18 Who is responsible for calculating PPPs and for the quality and accuracy of PPP results? .......... 18 How often are comparisons made and the results updated? ......................................................... 19 What are purchasing power standards (PPS) and OECD dollars? ................................................ 19 What data are published? .............................................................................................................. 20 Which measure to use to compare material well-being? ................................................................ 20 How to get access to more data? ................................................................................................... 21 Chapter 1: Purpose of the Eurostat-OECD PPP Programme ...................................................... 23 1.1 Introduction ......................................................................................................................... 25 1.2 General approach ............................................................................................................... 25 1.2.1 Gross domestic product (GDP) ................................................................................... 25 1.2.2 Eurostat-OECD approach ............................................................................................ 26 1.3 Exchange rates and PPPs .................................................................................................. 28 1.3.1 Exchange rates ............................................................................................................ 28 1.3.2 Purchasing power parities (PPPs) ............................................................................... 30 1.3.3 Price, volume and value measures ............................................................................. 32 1.4 Using PPPs ......................................................................................................................... 34 1.4.1 Uses and users of PPPs .............................................................................................. 34 1.4.2 Points to remember when using PPPs ........................................................................ 35 Eurostat-OECD Methodological Manual on Purchasing Power Parities 5 Contents Chapter 2: Data requirements ......................................................................................................... 39 2.1 Introduction ......................................................................................................................... 41 2.2 Consistency with national accounts .................................................................................... 42 2.3 Comparability and representativity ...................................................................................... 43 2.3.1 Comparability ............................................................................................................... 44 2.3.2 Representativity ........................................................................................................... 45 2.3.3 Equi-representativity .................................................................................................... 46 2.4 Actual data requirements .................................................................................................... 47 Chapter 3: Organisation .................................................................................................................. 51 3.1 Introduction ......................................................................................................................... 53 3.2 Institutional framework ........................................................................................................ 53 3.2.1 PPP Regulation ........................................................................................................... 53 3.2.2 Responsibilities ............................................................................................................ 54 3.2.3 Quality control and compliance monitoring .................................................................. 55 3.3 Survey organisation ............................................................................................................ 56 3.3.1 Schedule of surveys .................................................................................................... 56 3.3.2 The 2011 comparison .................................................................................................. 59 3.3.3 Organisation of groups ................................................................................................ 60 3.3.4 Integrated information technology system ................................................................... 61 Chapter 4: Component expenditures of GDP ................................................................................ 63 4.1 Introduction ......................................................................................................................... 65 4.2 The expenditure approach to GDP ..................................................................................... 65 4.2.1 Actual and imputed expenditures ................................................................................ 66 4.2.2 Individual and collective consumption expenditures .................................................... 67 4.2.3 Actual individual and collective consumption .............................................................. 69 4.2.4 Market and non-market services ................................................................................. 70 4.2.5 Gross capital formation ................................................................................................ 71 4.3 The expenditure classification ............................................................................................. 72 4.3.1 Structure of the classification ....................................................................................... 72 4.3.2 Basic headings ............................................................................................................ 74 4.3.3 Derivation of actual individual consumption ................................................................ 75 4.3.4 Main aggregates .......................................................................................................... 76 4.3.5 Presentation of the classification ................................................................................. 79 4.3.6 Correspondence with COICOP, COPNI, COFOG 98 and CPA 96 ............................. 80 4.3.7 Classification by type of product .................................................................................. 80 4.4 Reporting and validation of expenditure data...................................................................... 81 4.4.1 Reporting ..................................................................................................................... 81 4.4.2 Validation ..................................................................................................................... 82 4.5 Future developments .......................................................................................................... 84 4.5.1 SNA 2008 and ESA 2010 ............................................................................................ 85 4.5.2 Harmonisation of COICOP .......................................................................................... 86 4.5.3 CPA 2008 .................................................................................................................... 86 Chapter 5: Consumer goods and services .................................................................................... 87 5.1 Introduction ......................................................................................................................... 89 5.2 Survey process ................................................................................................................... 89 5.3 Preview and planning .......................................................................................................... 95 Eurostat-OECD Methodological Manual on Purchasing Power Parities 6 Contents 5.4 Pre-survey and product list creation.................................................................................... 96 5.4.1 Requirements for product lists ..................................................................................... 96 5.4.2 Pre-survey ................................................................................................................... 98 5.4.3 Establishment of the final product list .......................................................................... 99 5.4.4 Structured product descriptions ................................................................................. 101 5.4.5 Product specifications ................................................................................................ 103 5.5 Price collection and intra-country validation ...................................................................... 108 5.5.1 Prices to be collected ................................................................................................ 109 5.5.2 Selection of outlets .................................................................................................... 110 5.5.3 Number of products to be priced per basic heading .................................................. 113 5.5.4 Number of price observations per product ................................................................ 114 5.5.5 Assigning representativity indicators ......................................................................... 115 5.5.6 Intra-country validation .............................................................................................. 117 5.5.7 Survey report ............................................................................................................. 122 5.6 Inter-country validation ...................................................................................................... 122 5.6.1 Validation of prices .................................................................................................... 122 5.6.2 Validation of representativity indicators ..................................................................... 125 5.6.3 Comparison of results across surveys ....................................................................... 126 5.7 Evaluation ......................................................................................................................... 127 5.8 Derivation of national annual prices .................................................................................. 127 5.8.1 Survey prices to national prices ................................................................................. 127 5.8.2 National prices to annual national prices ................................................................... 129 5.8.3 Seasonal products ..................................................................................................... 129 5.9 Estimation of PPPs for non-survey years .......................................................................... 132 5.10 Synergies between PPP and CPI price collection ............................................................. 132 Chapter 6: Housing ........................................................................................................................ 135 6.1 Introduction ....................................................................................................................... 137 6.2 Actual and imputed rents .................................................................................................. 137 6.3 Rent survey ....................................................................................................................... 141 6.3.1 Price approach reporting form ................................................................................... 142 6.3.2 Quantity approach reporting form .............................................................................. 145 6.4 Calculating PPPs for housing............................................................................................ 146 6.4.1 Directly by the price approach ................................................................................... 146 6.4.2 Indirectly by the quantity approach ............................................................................ 147 6.4.3 Linking the direct and indirect PPPs .......................................................................... 148 6.5 Validation of housing data ................................................................................................. 150 Chapter 7: Health ........................................................................................................................... 151 7.1 Introduction ....................................................................................................................... 153 7.2 Classification of health expenditures................................................................................. 153 7.3 Price collection: purchases from market producers .......................................................... 155 7.3.1 Full market price ........................................................................................................ 155 7.3.2 Pharmaceuticals and other medical products ............................................................ 156 7.3.3 Out-patient health services ........................................................................................ 156 7.4 Price collection: government-produced health services .................................................... 157 7.5 Hospital services ............................................................................................................... 158 Eurostat-OECD Methodological Manual on Purchasing Power Parities 7 Contents 7.6 Towards an output based approach.................................................................................. 160 7.6.1 Defining output .......................................................................................................... 160 7.6.2 Case types ................................................................................................................. 161 7.6.3 Quasi prices ............................................................................................................... 163 7.6.4 Weights ...................................................................................................................... 164 7.6.5 PPPs for actual individual consumption of health ...................................................... 164 Chapter 8: Education ..................................................................................................................... 167 8.1 Introduction ....................................................................................................................... 169 8.2 The output method ............................................................................................................ 169 8.3 Data sources ..................................................................................................................... 171 8.4 Quality adjustment factors ................................................................................................. 173 8.5 Calculating PPPs for education ......................................................................................... 176 8.6 Validation of education data .............................................................................................. 179 Chapter 9: Collective services ...................................................................................................... 181 9.1 Introduction ....................................................................................................................... 183 9.2 Collective services ............................................................................................................ 183 9.3 Input-price approach ......................................................................................................... 185 9.4 Survey of compensation of government employees ......................................................... 186 9.5 Productivity differences ..................................................................................................... 192 Chapter 10: Equipment goods ...................................................................................................... 195 10.1 Introduction ....................................................................................................................... 197 10.2 General approach ............................................................................................................. 197 10.3 Survey process ................................................................................................................. 199 10.4 Pre-survey and item list creation ....................................................................................... 199 10.4.1 Products, items and SPDs ......................................................................................... 199 10.4.2 Item specifications ..................................................................................................... 201 10.4.3 Representativity ......................................................................................................... 201 10.4.4 Pre-survey ................................................................................................................. 204 10.5 Price collection .................................................................................................................. 204 10.5.1 Equivalent items ........................................................................................................ 204 10.5.2 Number of products and items to be priced ............................................................... 205 10.5.3 Sources of prices ....................................................................................................... 207 10.5.4 Cars and motor cycles ............................................................................................... 207 10.6 Reporting prices ................................................................................................................ 208 10.6.1 Reporting items and their prices ................................................................................ 208 10.6.2 Survey report ............................................................................................................. 209 10.7 Validation of prices ............................................................................................................ 210 10.7.1 Intra-country validation .............................................................................................. 210 10.7.2 Inter-country validation .............................................................................................. 210 10.8 Adjustment for non-deductible VAT .................................................................................. 212 10.9 Estimation of PPPs for equipment goods in non-survey years ......................................... 213 Eurostat-OECD Methodological Manual on Purchasing Power Parities 8