RELIGION AND DEMOCRACY This fully updated new edition empirically assesses the relationship between religion and democracy, looking at global, regional, and individual countries’ perspectives. Using a wide range of quantitative data, the author tests the validity of Huntington’s claim that democracy and religion are tightly connected, and that Western Christianity is the only religion capable of supporting democratic institutions. He evaluates both the broader assumptions that the introduction and the stability of a democratic form of government is dependent on the dominating religion in the country at the macro level, and the suggestion that, at the individual level, religious adherence is related to pro- democratic values. Examining religions including Christianity, Islam, Buddhism, Hinduism, Chinese folk religion, and Judaism, this book demonstrates that geographical and political contexts are more important than religious affiliation for explaining levels of, and attitudes towards, democracy. As well as offering a broad empirical picture of the relationship between religion and democracy, this new edition delves deeper into the religion–s tate nexus, focusing particularly on events that have taken place during the last decade. The author explores how religion is used instrumentally by political leaders in different parts of the world. He also discusses the extent to which religious minorities are under increasing pressure in secularized environments; prospects for democracy in the MENA region a decade after the Arab Spring; the growing influence of evangelical Christianity in Latin America; and how increasing levels of religious conflict in Asia and the Pacific as well as in Sub-S aharan Africa pose a threat to the emergence and survival of democracy. This book will be of great interest to students, academics, and researchers within the field of comparative politics, as well as journalists and various theological associations. Carsten Anckar is Professor of Political Science at Åbo Akademi University, Finland. He has published widely in the field of comparative politics and is the author of Determinants of the Death Penalty: A Comparative Study of the World (2004). Routledge Studies in Religion and Politics Edited by Jeffrey Haynes, London Metropolitan University, UK This series aims to publish high- quality works on the topic of the resurgence of political forms of religion in both national and international contexts. This trend has been especially noticeable in the post- cold war era (that is, since the late 1980s). It has affected all the ‘world religions’ (including Buddhism, Christianity, Hinduism, Islam, and Judaism) in various parts of the world (such as the Americas, Europe, the Middle East and North Africa, South and Southeast Asia, and sub- Saharan Africa). The series welcomes books that use a variety of approaches to the subject, drawing on scholarship from political science, international relations, security studies, and contemporary history. Books in the series explore these religions, regions and topics both within and beyond the conventional domain of ‘church–s tate’ relations to include the impact of religion on politics, conflict and development, including the late Samuel Huntington’s controversial – yet influential – thesis about ‘clashing civilisations’. In sum, the overall purpose of the book series is to provide a comprehensive survey of what is currently happening in relation to the interaction of religion and politics, both domestically and internationally, in relation to a variety of issues. A Quarter Century of the “Clash of Civilizations” Edited by Jeffrey Haynes Religion and Democracy (2nd edition) A Worldwide Comparison Carsten Anckar For more information about this series, please visit: www.routledge.com/ Routledge- Studies- in- Religion- and- Politics/ book- series/ RSRP RELIGION AND DEMOCRACY A Worldwide Comparison Second Edition Carsten Anckar Second edition published 2022 by Routledge 2 Park Square, Milton Park, Abingdon, Oxon OX14 4RN and by Routledge 605 Third Avenue, New York, NY 10158 Routledge is an imprint of the Taylor & Francis Group, an informa business © 2022 Carsten Anckar The right of Carsten Anckar to be identified as author of this work has been asserted by him in accordance with sections 77 and 78 of the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988. All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reprinted or reproduced or utilized in any form or by any electronic, mechanical, or other means, now known or hereafter invented, including photocopying and recording, or in any information storage or retrieval system, without permission in writing from the publishers. Trademark notice: Product or corporate names may be trademarks or registered trademarks, and are used only for identification and explanation without intent to infringe. First edition published by Routledge 2011 British Library Cataloguing- in- Publication Data A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library Library of Congress Cataloging- in- Publication Data Names: Anckar, Carsten, 1969– author. Title: Religion and democracy: a worldwide comparison / Carsten Anckar. Description: 2nd edition. | Abingdon, Oxon; New York, NY: Routledge, 2022. | Series: Routledge studies in religion and politics | Includes bibliographical references and index. Identifiers: LCCN 2021024229 (print) | LCCN 2021024230 (ebook) | ISBN 9780367714611 (hardback) | ISBN 9780367721343 (paperback) | ISBN 9781003153566 (ebook) Subjects: LCSH: Democracy–Religious aspects. Classification: LCC BL65.P7 A49 2022 (print) | LCC BL65.P7 (ebook) | DDC 201/.72–dc23 LC record available at https://lccn.loc.gov/2021024229 LC ebook record available at https://lccn.loc.gov/2021024230 ISBN: 978- 0- 367- 71461- 1 (hbk) ISBN: 978- 0- 367- 72134- 3 (pbk) ISBN: 978- 1- 003- 15356- 6 (ebk) DOI: 10.4324/ 9781003153566 Typeset in Bembo by Newgen Publishing UK For Oxana, Nadine, Beatrice, and Richard CONTENTS List of tables ix Preface to the first edition xiii Preface to the second edition xv 1 The research design 1 Introduction 1 Defining and measuring religious dominance 3 Defining and measuring democracy 9 Controlling extraneous variance 14 Religious affiliation and democratic values 20 2 Relating religion to democracy 25 Introduction: Religion and politics 25 Christianity 26 Judaism 45 Islam 50 Buddhism 60 Hinduism 68 Chinese folk religions 77 Ethnoreligions 82 Knitting the threads together 85 Secularism and religious constellations 88 viii Contents 3 Macrolevel findings 98 Bivariate patterns 98 Multivariate patterns 105 Regional patterns 120 Conclusion 134 4 Microlevel findings 141 Introduction 141 Global patterns 142 Regional patterns 154 Conclusion 162 5 Religion and democracy 167 What have we learnt? 167 How much do numbers tell us? 169 What numbers do not tell us: Religion and democracy 2010– 2020 174 Conclusion 190 Appendix 193 References 196 Index 210 TABLES 1.1 Theoretical contextual settings for survey analyses of the impact of religious affiliation on democratic values 23 3.1 Religion and degree of democracy in 1972 and 1985. Arithmetic means and median values 99 3.2 Religion, degree of democracy in 2009, and level of democratic stability, 1972– 2019. Arithmetic means and median values 100 3.3 Associations between proportions of adherents of various religions and degree of democracy/ democratic stability. Pearson’s correlation coefficients 103 3.4 Associations between secularism and democracy. Pearson’s correlation coefficients 104 3.5 Share of adherents of different religions, GDP/ cap., insularity, British colonial heritage, linguistic fragmentation, and democracy 106 3.6 Religion, GDP/ cap., insularity, British colonial heritage, and linguistic fragmentation as determinants of the degree of democracy in 1972 and 1985, applying four criteria of religious dominance 107 3.7 Religion, GDP/ cap., insularity, British colonial heritage, and linguistic fragmentation as determinants of democracy in 2009 and democratic stability, 1972– 2019, applying four criteria of religious dominance 108 3.8 Religion, secularism, GDP/ cap., insularity, colonial heritage, and linguistic fragmentation as determinants of the degree of democracy in 2009 and democratic stability, 1972– 2019 111 3.9 Religious fragmentation, degree of democracy, and democratic stability. Pearson’s correlation coefficients 112