Reliability Data Collection and Use in Risk and Availability Assessment: Proceedings of the 5th EuReDatA Conference, Heidelberg, Germany, April 9–11, 1986

721 Pages·1986·13.59 MB·English

by  A. Birkhofer

Reliability Data
Collection and Use in
Risk and Availability
Assessment
Proceedings of the
5th Conference
eu~DCltf.l
Heidelberg, Germany, April 9-11, 1986
Editor
H.-I Wingender
Springer-Verlag
Berlin Heidelberg New York Tokyo
Dr. Hans Jorg Wingender
NUKEMGmbH
Rodenbacher Chaussee 6
P. O. Box 11 00 80
6450 HanauI1, FRG
ISBN-13:978-3-642-82775-4 e-ISBN-13 :978-3-642-82773-0
DOl: 10.1007/978-3-642-82773-0
This work is subject to copyright. All rights are reserved, whether the whole or part of the material is
concerned, specifically those of translation, r!lprinting, re-use of illustrations, broadcasting, reproduction
by photocopying machine or similar means, and storage in data banks. Under§ 54 oft he German Copyright
Law where copies are made for other than private use, a fee is payable to "Verwertungsgesellschaft Wort",
Munich.
© Springer·Verlag Berlin, Heidelberg 1986
Softcover reprint of tbe hardcover 1st edition 1986
The use of registered names, trademarks, etc. in this publication does not imply, even in the absence of a
specific statement, that such names are exempt from the relevant protective laws and regulations and there
fore free for general use.
216113020-543210
Programme Committee
Eu~[)at,",
H.1. Wingender, Organizing Chairman, NUKEM (FRG)
A. Amendola, Joint Research Centre (CEq
G. C. Bello, TEMA-ENI (I)
P. Bockholts, TNO (NL)
C. A. Campbell, British Petrol (GB)
V. Ionescu, Motor Columbus (CH)
A. Z. Keller, University of Bradford (GB)
A. Leroy, Total (F)
O. Lindwall, Volvo (S)
T. R. Moss, RM Consultants (GB)
A. L. Smith, Reliability Consultant (CH)
S. Vikman, Volvo (S)
The Conference was
supported by
Commission of the European Communities
~
~ JOINT RESEARCH CENTRE
Ispra Establishment
oIrga.niz'ed b y
IIUKEM NUKEM GmbH HANAU FRG
'-YI
Foreword
Reliability data collection and its use in risk and availability
assessment is a subject of increasing importance. The founders of
EuReDatA, and in particular, Arne Ullman, the originator 'and first
Chairman of the Association, recognised the need for a body capable of
acting as a catalyst and providing a unified approach to this subject.
It is therefore a prevailing objective of the European Reliability
Databank Association to initiate and support contact between experts,
companies and institutions active in reliability engineering and
research.
Although the first and principle interest of EuReDatA is reliability
data and data banks, the Association is aware that these are tools
that are used with others to establish and maintain reliability and
safety.
It is with this objective that EuReDatA regularly holds conferences
and seminars covering a range of reliability topics.
C.A. Campbell H.J. Wingender
EuReDatA Chairman Organiser, Editor
Contents
CHAPTER 1: OVERVIEWS
Data Situation and the Quality of Risk Assessment (FRG)
A. Birkhofer, K. Koberlein (GRS) ..••••....•.•...••.....•.•.. 3
Reliability Engineering in Europe (CEC)
G. Volta (JRC-Ispra) •...••••... •...........•••.•....•.••..••. 16
1984: A Year of Industrial Catastrophies.
Would Preliminary Risk Analysis Have Avoided Many of
them? (Italy)
G.C. Bello (TEMA-ENI), B. Frattini (ICARD) .....•..•..•..•..• 24
Status of the oREDA Project (France)
A. Leroy (TOTAL) .•.............•.•.•...•.................•.. 38
EuReDatA - Project Groups:
An Overview of Objectives and Results (CEC)
T. Luisi (JRC-Ispra) •...•.•....•.•.•.•.•••••..•..•••.•••.•.• 47
A Guide to Reliability Data Collection, Validation and
Storage (U.K.)
B. Stevens (UKAEA-NCSR) •...•.•.•.....•.•....•.•.•......•.•.. 57
The Use of Nuclear Power Plant Operating Experience in
Probabilistic Safety Assessment
L. Lederman (IAEA) .••••..•....•.•••••.•.•.•.•.•.•.•.•.•.•..• 66
"IX
CHAPTER 2: RELIABILITY DATA BANKS (PROJECTS AND EXPERIENCE)
Reliability Data Bank in Electronics:
ITALTEL Experience over 10 Years of Operation (Italy)
G. Turconi (ITALTEL) .................•.................•.... 77
Component Event Data Bank Fast Breeder Reactors (Italy)
G. Cambi (Univ. of Bologna), R. Righini (ENEA), P. Sola,
G. Zappelini (NIER) ......................•......•..........• 83
The Organization and Collection of System's Data in
Fusion (U.S.A.)
C.W. Maynard, Z. Musicki (Univ. of Wisconsin) ............... 90
HARIS - an Information System for Reliability and
Risk Studies (U.K.) "
T.R. Moss, V. Piotrovicz (R.M. Consultants) ................. 100
Classification Scheme for Process Plants (Italy, CEC)
G.C. Bello (TEMA), L. Ferrario (JRC-Ispra) , B. Frattini
(ICARD), S. Zanelli (Univ. of Pisa) .... ; ...........•...•••.. 110
Merging of Heterogeneous Data Sources on Nuclear Power
Plant Operating Experience (CEC, Italy)
H.W. Kalfsbeek (JRC-Ispra), M. Melis, B. Lisanti
(EDRA-Milano) ............................................... 120
A Survey on Industrial Accident Data Bases (Netherlands,
U.K., Italy, CEC)
P. Bockholts, I. Heidebrink (TNo), T.R. Moss, J.A. Butler
(R.M. Cons.), C. Fiorentini (TECSA), P.Bastianini (JRC-
Ispra) .........................•............•............... 130
Data Bank of Events with the Rijnmond Process Industry
(Netherlands)
D. Goos, E.F. Blocker (Central Environmental Control Agency
Rijnmond) ................................................... 137
x
SONATA: An Accident Data Base for Industrial Activities
and Transport. Scope, Organization and Main Results (Italy)
E. Galatola, V. Colombari, G.C. Bello (TEMA-ENI) •.•••••••••• 146
CHAPTER 3: RELIABILITY DATA PROCESSING
Computerized Data Handling and Data Storage on Production
Control of Aircraft Components and Test Equipment Reliabi
lity (F.R.G.)
K. JUngling, A. Maurer (NUKEM) ....•.••.•.•...•••.••.••..•.•• 159
Reliability Data Collection on IC and VLSI Devices Tested
under Accelerated Life Conditions (Canada)
D.M. Barry, M. Meniconi (Lakehead Univ. Ontario) 165
Field Data as a Correction of Mil-Handbook Estimates (Italy)
C.A. Clarotti, M. de Marinis (ENEA), A. Manella (Garanzia
Qualita) .•.....••••.•.•.••.•.•••..•.•.•.•.•••.•.••.•.•..•••• 177
Developing Replacement Policies for Failing Components Using
Discriminant Analysis (U.K.)
D. Jerwood, F.A. Georgiakodis (Univ. of Bradford) .......•... 186
Statistical Inference by the Use of Truncated Exponential
Distribution: Estimates with Failure and Survival Times
(Argentina)
D. Chiavassa, M. Masera (INGAR - Santa Fe) 194
Analysis of the Component Event Data Bank (CEDB) of the
European Reliability Data System (ERDS): General Lines of
Investigation and Objectives (CEC)
A. Besi (JRC - Ispra) •..•.••••••.•••••......•••.......••.... 204
Data Treatment and Trend Analysis at SKI (Schweden)
R. Nyman, L. Carlsson (SKI-Swedish Nuclear Power Inspec-
torate) ••.•.•....••.••...••.•.•••••.•.••....•......•.•.••... 214
XI
Multiple Correspondence Analysis of Abnormal Event Data
from Nuclear Power Plants
H.W. Kalfsbeek (JRC-Ispra) .•.••.......•..•. ~ ......•.•...•.•. 229
CHAPTER 4: SAfETY AND RELIABILITY ASSESSMENT (CASE STUDIES)
New Developments in Probabilistic Risk Assessment
Methodology for Nuclear Fuel Cycle Facilities (F.R.G.)
R. Leicht, H.J. Wingender (NUKEM) ....•....•....•..•.•.•..••• 243
Use of PRA Methods in the Safety Analysis of Nuclear Waste
Facilities (F.R.G.)
R. Leicht, J. Neuber, B. Puttke (NUKEM) •.•••.••••....••••••. 253
Use of the Steady States Method in the Probabilistic Safety
Analysis of an Encapsulation Plant for Spent Fuel Elements
(F .R.G.)
R. Leicht, A.R. Neghabian, B. Puttke (NUKEM) •••.•..••..•..•. 263
Assessment of PSA Methods and Procedures: a Wide Scoping
European Research Programme (CEC)
A. Amendola (JRC-Ispra) ........•.•....••...........•.....•.• 273
A Feedback of the Probabilistic Safety Study (S.P.S.)
into P.U.N. Design (Italy)
P. Moretti, M. Prelati (ENEL) 281
The Influence of Reliability and Safety on System Design
(U. K. )
P. Grimshaw, H. Hamlin (Normalair-Garrett Ltd) ....••.......• 289
The Viggen Aircraft Radar, Reliability Achievement (Sweden)
G. Marklin, G. Holmberg (Ericsson Radio Systems AB) .....•... 301
XII
Relevance of Availability Evaluation Methodologies to
Consumer Products Manufacturing Systems (Iraq)
N.A. Stipho (Min. of Light Industries, Baghdad) 314
Availability Study of a Polyethylene Plant (Italy)
D. Barone (ENICHEM), L. Negro, N. Piccinini (Politecnico
Torino) ••••••.•••••.•.•••.••••.•••.•.•.•.••••..•••.•.•..•••• 322
Availability and Risk Assessment of Power and Chemical
Plants Utilizing PEAT (Finland)
H. Perhonen (Techn. Res. Centre VTT), A. Lyytikainen ...••••. 332
Risk Analysis of a Large Tank Farm of Liquefied Petroleum
Gases (Italy)
S. Mazzocchi (TEMA-ENI), M. Campana (TRR) •...•....•...•...•. 344
Assessment of Accident Frequencies and Consequences for a
New Danish Tunnel (Denmark)
K.E. Petersen (RISO Nat. Lab.) 357
Safety Assessment of Offshore Installations Using a Com
puter Model (Norway)
J.E. Vinnem, S. Haugen, L.R. Saetran (Sikte C A/S) ••••••...• 364
Reliability Data Required for a Seismic Risk Assessment
(U.S.A.)
J.E. Wells (Univ. of California, LLNL) ...••.•..•..•....••••. 374
Structural and Mechanical Reliability Assessment in Ship
Design and Operation (F.R.G.)
C. Oestergaard (Germanischer Lloyd Hamburg) .••••••.....•..•• 384
Data Acquisition, Probabilistic Design and Safety Margins
at the Eastern ScheIdt Barrier Project (Netherlands)
F.C. Hamer, J.K. Vrijling (Ministry of Transport and Public
Works) .••••...•••.•....••.•.....•..••....•••.......••••.•••. 394