WASHINGTON, D.C. Copyright©2008byCatoInstitute. Allrightsreserved. LibraryofCongressCataloging-in-PublicationData Niskanen,WilliamA.,1933– Reflectionsofapoliticaleconomist:selectedarticlesongovernmentpolicies andpoliticalprocesses/WilliamA.Niskanen. p.cm. Includesbibliographicalreferencesandindex. ISBN978-1-933995-20-5(alk.paper) 1.UnitedStates—Economicpolicy—2001– 2.UnitedStates—Economic conditions—2001– I.Title. HC106.83.N572008 330.973--dc22 2008029684 CoverdesignbyJonMeyers. PrintedintheUnitedStatesofAmerica. CATOINSTITUTE 1000MassachusettsAve.,N.W. Washington,D.C.20001 www.cato.org Contents INTRODUCTION 1 PARTI: POLICYANALYSIS 1. Oil Is Not Worth a War 7 2. R&D and Economic Growth: Cautionary 13 Thoughts 3. Too Much, Too Soon: Is a Global Warming Treaty 29 a Rush to Judgment? 4. Next Steps toward Health Policy Reform 41 5. The Economic Basis for Military Capability 49 6. Creating Good Jobs and Good Wages 61 7. Should the Ex-Im Bank Be Retired? 77 8. On the Death of the Phillips Curve 83 9. The Economic Burden of Taxation 91 10. Increasing Individual Responsibility Would 99 Improve Retirement Security 11. An Unnecessary War Is an Unjust War 107 12. Major Policy Lessons from the Corporate 113 Scandals 13. An Unconventional Perspective on the Greenspan 119 Record 14. The Several Costs of Responding to the Threat of 123 Terrorism 15. The Failure to Starve the Beast 131 v PARTII: PUBLICCHOICE 16. Autocratic, Democratic, and Optimal 139 Government: A Sketch 17. A Vote for Perot Was a Vote for the Status Quo 167 18. On the Constitution of a Compound Republic 175 19. Bureaucracy: A Final Perspective 189 20. Bringing Power to Knowledge: Choosing Policies 207 to Use Decentralized Knowledge 21. On the Origin and Identification of Government 221 Failures 22. The Intellectual Case for a Free Market Economy 229 23. U.S. Elections Are Increasingly Biased against 237 Moderates 24. Advice from a Friendly American on the 243 Proposed Constitution for the European Union 25. A Case for Divided Government 251 26. Alternative Political and Economic Futures for 255 Europe 27. On Wisconsin: Some Friendly Constitutional 267 Advice 28. A Reformulation of Voting Theory 281 PARTIII: BOOKREVIEWS 29. Pop Internationalism by Paul Krugman 293 30. Everything for Sale: The Virtues and Limits of 297 Markets by Robert Kuttner 31. Perspectives on Public Choice: A Handbook 301 edited by Dennis C. Mueller 32. Power and Prosperity: Outgrowing Communist and 305 Capitalist Dictatorship by Mancur Olson vi 33. In Defense of Free Capital Markets: The Case Against 309 a New International Financial Architecture by David F. DeRosa 34. Virginia Political Economy: The Selected Works 313 of Gordon Tullock, Volume 1, edited by Charles K. Rowley 35. Pay Without Performance: The Unfulfilled Promise of 317 Executive Compensation by Lucian Bebehuk and Jesse Fried 36. The Market for Virtue: The Potential and Limits of 321 Corporate Social Responsibility by David Vogel 37. Why I, Too, Am Not a Conservative: The Normative 327 VisionofClassicalLiberalismbyJamesM.Buchanan 38. The Age of Turbulence: Adventures in a New World 331 by Alan Greenspan PARTIV: PERSONALREFLECTIONS 39. A Reflection on the Major Developments in the 337 World, 1951–2000 40. Policy Proposals from the Libertarian Right 345 41. A Personal Reflection on the Trinity 349 ABOUTTHEAUTHOR 353 INDEX 355 vii Introduction: On Maturing as a Political Economist This book is a selection from the articles, reviews, and speeches that I have written beginning in 1997. One prior article, on ‘‘Oil, War,andtheEconomy’’(heretitled‘‘OilIsNotWorthaWar’’)was presented at a Cato Institute conference eight days before the start of the Gulf War in 1991 and is included because of its relevance to thesubstantialcontinuedU.S.militarypresenceintheMiddleEast. The other selections are reproduced in chronological order and reflect what I thought about these topics at the time. In some cases Ihaveaddedaprescriptorapostscripttoputthearticleincontext, but I have not revised or updated the selections even though my views and the data on some of these topics may have changed somewhat over time. IhavebeenprivilegedtoserveasthechairmanoftheCatoInstitute sinceApril1985,followingfouryearsasamemberandactingchair- manoftheCouncilofEconomic AdvisersunderPresidentReagan. My Cato position involves a variety of responsibilities and is the longest that I have served in any position. And I am now 75 years old. So the selection of papers in this book probably represents the focus,diversity,andqualityofanythingImightwriteinthefuture. The past 10 years have been a very productive period, both for Cato and for me. Cato has developed into one of the nation’s most effective policy institutes and has maintained a consistent commit- ment to the principles of individual liberty, free markets, limited government, and peace—principles that have led us to be increas- inglycriticalofthepoliciesoftheBushadministrationandcongres- sional Republicans. The sad prospect is that these same principles willprobablyleadustobeincreasinglycriticalofthecomingDemo- cratic administrationand congressionalmajority. Cato’smajor new activityhasbeentobroadenthereachofourmessagetotheworld. In addition to our long-standing Spanish-language website, for 1
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