R EDEFINING U & S RBAN UBURBAN A MERICA V IO LUIM E E V I D E N C E F R O M C E N S U S 2 0 0 0 TWO A B , B K & R E. L LAN ERUBE RUCE ATZ OBERT ANG E D I T O R S 2634-00_FM-rev.qxd 2/24/05 2:10 PM Page i Redefining Urban and Suburban America 2634-00_FM-rev.qxd 2/24/05 2:10 PM Page ii JAMES A. JOHNSON METRO SERIES The Metropolitan Policy Program at the Brookings Institution is integrat- ing research and practical experience into a policy agenda for cities and met- ropolitan areas. By bringing fresh analyses and policy ideas to the public debate, the program hopes to inform key decisionmakers and civic leaders in ways that will spur meaningful change in our nation’s communities. As part of this effort, the James A. Johnson Metro Series aims to intro- duce new perspectives and policy thinking on current issues and attempt to lay the foundation for longer-term policy reforms. The series examines tra- ditional urban issues, such as neighborhood assets and central city competitiveness, as well as larger metropolitan concerns, such as regional growth, development, and employment patterns. The James A. Johnson Metro Series consists of concise studies and collections of essays designed to appeal to a broad audience. While these studies are formally reviewed, some will not be verified like other research publications. As with all publications, the judgments, conclusions, and recom- mendations presented in the studies are solely those of the authors and should not be attributed to the trustees, officers, or other staff members of the Institution. Also available in this series: Edgeless Cities: Exploring the Elusive Metropolis Robert E. Lang Evaluating Gun Policy: Effects on Crime and Violence Jens Ludwig and Philip J. Cook, editors Growth and Convergence in Metropolitan America Janet Rothenberg Pack Growth Management and Affordable Housing Anthony Downs, editor Laws of the Landscape: How Policies Shape Cities in Europe and America Pietro S. Nivola Low-Income Homeownership: Examining the Unexamined Goal Nicolas P. Retsinas and Eric S. Belsky, editors Redefining Urban and Suburban America: Evidence from Census 2000, vol. 1 Bruce Katz and Robert E. Lang, editors Reflections on Regionalism Bruce J. Katz, editor Savings for the Poor: The Hidden Benefits of Electronic Banking Michael A. Stegman Still Stuck in Traffic: Coping with Peak-Hour Traffic Congestion Anthony Downs Sunbelt/Frostbelt: Public Policies and Market Forces in Metropolitan Development Janet Rothenberg Pack, editor Taking the High Road: A Metropolitan Agenda for Transportation Reform Bruce Katz and Robert Puentes, editors 2634-00_FM-rev.qxd 2/24/05 2:10 PM Page iii Redefining Urban and Suburban America E V I D E N C E F R O M C E N S U S 2 0 0 0 VOLUME TWO Alan Berube, Bruce Katz, and Robert E. Lang Editors BROOKINGS INSTITUTION PRESS Washington, D.C. 2634-00_FM-rev.qxd 2/24/05 2:10 PM Page iv Copyright © 2005 THE BROOKINGS INSTITUTION 1775 Massachusetts Avenue, N.W., Washington, D.C. 20036 www.brookings.edu All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means without written permission from the Brookings Institution Press. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication data Redefining urban and suburban America : evidence from Census 2000 / Bruce Katz and Robert E. Lang, eds. p. cm. Includes bibliographical references and index. ISBN-13: 978-0-8157-4896-0 (cloth : alk. paper) ISBN-10: 0-8157-4896-5 ISBN-13: 978-0-8157-4897-7 (pbk. : alk. paper) ISBN-10: 0-8157-4897-3 1. Metropolitan areas—United States. 2. Suburbs—United States. 3. City and town life—United States. 4. United States—Population. 5. Sociology, Urban— United States. I. Katz, Bruce. II. Lang, Robert, 1959– HT334.U5 R43 2003 307.76′4′0973—dc21 2002151690 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 The paper used in this publication meets minimum requirements of the American National Standard for Information Sciences—Permanence of Paper for Printed Library Materials: ANSI Z39.48-1992. Typeset in Minion and Univers Condensed Composition by Circle Graphics Columbia, Maryland Printed by R. R. Donnelley Harrisonburg, Virginia 2634-00_FM-rev.qxd 2/24/05 2:10 PM Page v Contents Foreword vii Introduction 1 Alan Berube, Bruce Katz, and Robert E. Lang 1 Metropolitan Magnets for International and Domestic Migrants 13 William H. Frey 2 The Rise of New Immigrant Gateways: Historical Flows, Recent Settlement Trends 41 Audrey Singer 3 The New Great Migration: Black Americans’ Return to the South, 1965–2000 87 William H. Frey 4 A Decade of Mixed Blessings: Urban and Suburban Poverty in Census 2000 111 Alan Berube and William H. Frey 5 Stunning Progress, Hidden Problems: The Dramatic Decline of Concentrated Poverty in the 1990s 137 Paul A. Jargowsky 6 The Trajectory of Poor Neighborhoods in Southern California, 1970–2000 173 Shannon McConville and Paul Ong 7 The Shape of the Curve: Household Income Distributions in U.S. Cities, 1979–99 195 Alan Berube and Thacher Tiffany v 2634-00_FM-rev.qxd 2/24/05 2:10 PM Page vi Contents 8 Homeownership and Younger Households: Progress among African Americans and Latinos 245 Dowell Myers and Gary Painter 9 Rising Affordability Problems among Homeowners 267 Patrick A. Simmons 10 The Sheltered Homeless in Metropolitan Neighborhoods: Evidence from the 1990 and 2000 Censuses 285 Barrett A. Lee and Chad R. Farrell 11 Patterns and Trends in Overcrowded Housing: Results from Census 2000 311 Patrick A. Simmons Contributors 331 Index 333 vi 2634-00_FM-rev.qxd 2/24/05 2:10 PM Page vii Foreword U rban areas will claim nearly all of the world’s population growth during the next thirty years, according to the United Nations. It is no surprise, then, that the fortunes of cities and metropolitan areas figure prominently among the concerns of leaders across the globe. Public- and private-sector officials from Philadelphia to London to Beijing are grappling with the universal challenges of population growth or decline, poverty, housing, traffic, and their effects on metropolitan dwellers and urban form. The rising importance of these issues led Brookings in 2004 to establish the Metropolitan Policy Program as the institution’s fourth major program, our first new program since 1948. Under the direction of Bruce Katz, the Metro program enjoys a reputation as a unique model for research, analy- sis, and public education on the issues confronting metropolitan areas. That reputation is built in part on the program’s Living Cities Census Series, a three-year effort to distill major findings from Census 2000 for a wide audi- ence of public- and private-sector leaders across the United States. Brookings’s interest in this area follows naturally from the essential role the census plays in our nationhood. Conducted every ten years since 1790, the census links each generation of Americans across the whole of our his- tory. It yields the population counts on which our representative democracy depends, provides an essential evidence base for implementing a host of fed- eral policies, and effectively tells us “who we are” as a society. The Metro program’s work in this area acknowledges that the influence of the census extends far beyond Washington. Urban and suburban leaders recognize the unique capacity of the census to describe the state of places that vii 2634-00_FM-rev.qxd 2/24/05 2:10 PM Page viii Foreword define our day-to-day lives: metropolitan areas, big cities, small towns, even neighborhoods and streets. That information helps local corporate, political, and civic officials to understand their customers, their voters, and their com- munities. Increasingly, mayors and other local elected leaders are using cen- sus results to establish baselines and set targets for future performance. They are also identifying peer cities and suburbs, in order to exchange ideas and aspirations with counterparts who face similar opportunities and challenges. Census research by the Metro program and its network of scholars, and by the Fannie Mae Foundation, has provided a critical framework for those efforts. This second volume of Redefining Urban and Suburban America unites the two organizations once again and collects several of their best cen- sus analyses to portray the disparate demographic trends affecting cities and metropolitan areas in the 1990s. The first volume in this series focused on population growth and decline, and dramatic changes occurring in the racial and ethnic makeup of cities and suburbs. The current volume focuses on an even richer set of subjects from Census 2000—migration and immigration; income and poverty; and hous- ing and homeownership. The findings in this volume demonstrate the con- tinued ascendance of the Sunbelt, whose cities and suburbs are growing magnets for both domestic migrants and immigrants. They portray stunning improvements in the conditions of the nation’s poorest neighborhoods, alongside growing numbers of lower-income households in cities. And the chapters highlight significant progress on homeownership, amid a troubling countercurrent of families increasingly burdened by housing costs. This book and this series represent a continuing partnership among Living Cities (formerly the National Community Development Initiative), the Fannie Mae Foundation, and the Brookings Institution’s Metropolitan Policy Program. The collection further cements the 1990s as a time of pro- found change in metropolitan America, foreshadows important develop- ments in the current decade, and urges new thinking about the role of our nation’s cities and suburbs in an emerging global urban age. strobe talbott President Washington, D.C. February 2005 viii 2634-00_FM-rev.qxd 2/24/05 2:10 PM Page ix Redefining Urban and Suburban America
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