Recent Advances in Linear Models and Related Areas Shalabh Christian Heumann ● Recent Advances in Linear Models and Related Areas Essays in Honour of Helge Toutenburg Dr. Shalabh Dr. Christian Heumann Department of Mathematics & Statistics Institute of Statistics Indian Institute of Technology Kanpur Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich Kanpur - 208016 India Akademiestr. 1 [email protected] 80799 Munich [email protected] ISBN 978-3-7908-2063-8 e-ISBN 978-3-7908-2064-5 Library of Congress Control Number: 2008929501 © 2008 Physica-Verlag Heidelberg This work is subject to copyright. All rights are reserved, whether the whole or part of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilm or in any other way, and storage in data banks. Duplication of this publication or parts thereof is permitted only under the provisions of the German Copyright Law of September 9, 1965, in its current version, and permissions for use must always be obtained from Physica-Verlag. Violations are liable for prosecution under the German Copyright Law. The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, etc. in this publication does not imply, even in the absence of a specific statement, that such names are exempt from the relevant protective laws and regulations and therefore free for general use. Cover design: WMXDesign GmbH, Heidelberg, Germany Printed on acid-free paper 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 springer.com Preface This collection contains invited papers by distinguished statisticians to honour and acknowledge the contributions of Professor Dr. Dr. Helge Toutenburg to Statistics on the occasion of his sixty-fifth birthday. These papers present the most recent developments in the area of the linear model and its related topics. Helge Toutenburg is an established statistician and currently a Professor in the Department of Statistics at the University of Munich (Germany) and Guest Professor at the University of Basel (Switzerland). He studied Mathematics in his early years at Berlin and specialized in Statistics. Later he completed his dissertation (Dr. rer. nat.) in 1969 on optimal prediction procedures at the University of Berlinand completedthe post-doctoral thesisin 1989at the University of Dortmund on the topic of mean squared error superiority. He taught at the Universities of Berlin, Dortmund and Regensburg before joining the University of Munich in 1991. He has various areas of interest in which he has authored and co-authored over 130 research articles and 17 books. He has made pioneering contributions in several areas of statistics, including linear inference, linear models, regression analysis, quality engineering, Taguchi methods, analysis of variance, design of experiments, and statistics in medicine and dentistry. His most influential contributions are in the area of optimal prediction in linear models, mean squared error superiority of biased estimators, weighted mixed estimation in missing data analysis, repeated measures designs and the unification of various parameterizations of the carry-over effect in cross-over designs. His books Prediction and Improved Estimation in Linear VI Preface Models (Wiley) and Prior Information in Linear Models (Wiley) laid the foundations for further work in the field of utilization of prior information as well as in the field of prediction. Other pioneering works include Linear Models and Generalizations: Least Squares and Alternatives (Springer) and Statistical Analysis of Designed Experi- ments (Springer). His books in German on descriptive and inductive statistics, quality engineering, design of experiments and linear models are among the popular textbooks in several universities in Germany. He has also translated the celebrated books of Professor C.R. Rao into German. His book on statistics in dentistry is the first book in German in this area. Helge Toutenburg maintains fruitful research collaboration with researchers in different countries like the USA, India, Korea, etc. He has hosted DAAD and Humboldt fellows. He is not only a well known researcher but also an excellent teacher. He has advised Ph.D. students from germany and abroad. His efficient working style has always been appreciatedbythosewhohadachancetocollaboratewithhim.Hehas been actively associated with the International Statistical Institute, Deutscher Hochschulverband, Deutsche Statistische Gesellschaft, Biometrical Society and Bernoulli Society for Mathematical Statistics and Probability. Besides having a great interest in statistics, Helge Toutenburg has a great sense of humor, too. He has written several books on humor in German to the pleasure of his friends and colleagues. This collection of invited papers brings together the recent deve- lopments in the field of linear models and its related sub-fields as well as papers from Helge Toutenburg‘s other areas of interest. As the editors of this book, we would like to express our heart- ful thanks to the authors whose contributions and commitment made this book possible. We would like to thank Michael Schomaker for his immense help in the editorial process and Valentin Wimmer for his help in typing. We are also thankful to Dr. Mu¨ller of Springer for his cooperation in the publication of this book. Munich, Shalabh June, 2008 Christian Heumann Contents On the Identification of Trend and Correlation in Temporal and Spatial Regression Ludwig Fahrmeir, Thomas Kneib ............................ 1 Estimating the Number of Clusters in Logistic Regression Clustering by an Information Theoretic Criterion Guoqi Qian, C. Radhakrishna Rao, Yuehua Wu, Qing Shao ..... 29 Quasi Score and Corrected Score Estimation in the Polynomial Measurement Error Model Hans Schneeweiss .......................................... 45 Estimation and Finite Sample Bias and MSE of FGLS Estimator of Paired Data Model Weiqiang Qian, Aman Ullah ................................ 59 Prediction of Finite Population Total in Measurement Error Models Hyang Mi Kim, A.K.Md. Ehsanes Saleh ...................... 79 The Vector Cross Product and 4×4 Skew-symmetric Matrices Go¨tz Trenkler, Dietrich Trenkler ............................. 95 Simultaneous Prediction of Actual and Average Values of Response Variable in Replicated Measurement Error Models Shalabh, Chandra Mani Paudel, Narinder Kumar .............. 105 VIII Contents Local Sensitivity in the Inequality Restricted Linear Model Huaizhen Qin, Alan T.K. Wan, Guohua Zou .................. 135 Boosting Correlation Based Penalization in Generalized Linear Models Jan Ulbricht, Gerhard Tutz.................................. 165 Simultaneous Prediction Based on Shrinkage Estimator Anoop Chaturvedi, Suchita Kesarwani, Ram Chandra........... 181 Finite Mixtures of Generalized Linear Regression Models Bettina Gru¨n, Friedrich Leisch .............................. 205 Higher-order Dependence in the General Power ARCH Process and the Role of Power Parameter Changli He, Hans Malmsten, Timo Tera¨svirta ................. 231 Regression Calibration for Cox Regression Under Heteroscedastic Measurement Error — Determining Risk Factors of Cardiovascular Diseases from Error-prone Nutritional Replication Data Thomas Augustin, Angela Do¨ring, David Rummel.............. 253 Homoscedastic Balanced Two-fold Nested Model when the Number of Sub-classes is Large Shu-Min Liao, Michael Akritas .............................. 279 QR-Decomposition from the Statistical Point of View Hilmar Drygas............................................. 293 On Penalized Least-Squares: Its Mean Squared Error and a Quasi-Optimal Weight Ratio Burkhard Schaffrin ......................................... 313 Optimal Central Composite Designs for Fitting Second Order Response Surface Linear Regression Models Sung Hyun Park, Hyuk Joo Kim, Jae-Il Cho................... 323 Does Convergence Really Matter? Jo¨rg Drechsler, Susanne Ra¨ssler ............................. 341 Contents IX OLS-Based Estimation of the Disturbance Variance Under Spatial Autocorrelation Walter Kra¨mer, Christoph Hanck ............................ 357 Application of Self-Organizing Maps to Detect Population Stratification Nina Wawro, Iris Pigeot .................................... 367 Optimal Designs for Microarray Experiments with Biological and Technical Replicates Rashi Gupta, Panu Somervuo, Sangita Kulathinal, Petri Auvinen 389 Weighted Mixed Regression Estimation Under Biased Stochastic Restrictions Christian Heumann, Shalabh ................................ 401 Coin Tossing and Spinning – Useful Classroom Experiments for Teaching Statistics Helmut Ku¨chenhoff......................................... 417 Linear Models in Credit Risk Modeling Thomas Nittner............................................ 427 Index.................................................... 441 List of Contributors A.K.Md. Ehsanes Saleh Bettina Gru¨n Technische Carleton University/School of Universita¨t Wien/Institut Mathematics and Statistics fu¨r Statistik und Wahrschein- Ottawa, Canada lichkeitstheorie Wiedner [email protected] Hauptstrasse 8-10 - 1040 Vienna, Austria Alan T.K. Wan City University [email protected]. of Hong Kong/Department of at Management Sciences - Kowloon, Hong Kong Burkhard Schaffrin Ohio State [email protected] University/School of Earth Sciences - Columbus Ohio, U.S.A. Aman Ullah University of [email protected] California/Department of Economics University Avenue 900 C. Radhakrishna Rao Penn - Riverside, CA 92521, U.S.A. State University/Department of [email protected] Statistics PA 16802 - University Park, U.S.A. Angela D¨oring GSF-National [email protected] Research Center for Environment and Health, Chandra Mani Paudel Tribhu- Ingola¨stter Landstrasse 1, 85764 van University/Department Neuherberg, Germany of Statistics - Pokhra, Nepal [email protected] [email protected] Anoop Chaturvedi University of Allahabad/Department of Changli He Dalarna University Statistics - Allahabad, India - Dalarna, Sweden [email protected] [email protected] XII List of Contributors Christian Heumann University G¨otz Trenkler University of of Munich/Department of Dortmund/Department of Statistics Akademiestrasse 1 - Statistics Vogelpothsweg 87 - 80799 Munich, Germany 44221 Dortmund, Germany christian.heumann@stat. trenkler@statistik. uni-muenchen.de uni-dortmund.de Christoph Hanck University of Guohua Zou University of Dortmund/Department of Rochester/Department of Statistics Vogelpothsweg 78 - Biostatistics and Computational 44221 Dortmund, Germany Biology Rochester, NY 14642, christoph.hanck@ U.S.A. uni-dortmund.de Guohua [email protected]. edu David Rummel emnos GmbH Theresienho¨he12-80339Munich, Germany d [email protected] Hans Malmsten La¨nsfo¨rs¨akringar - Stockholm, Dietrich Trenkler University of Sweden Hans.Malmsten@ Osnabru¨ck/Rolandstrasse 8 lansforsakringar.se - 49069 Osnabru¨ck, Germany [email protected]. Hans Schneeweiss University uni-osnabrueck.de of Munich/Department of Friedrich Leisch University of Statistics Ludwigstrasse 33 - Munich/Department of 80539 Munich, Germany Statistics Ludwigstrasse 33 - [email protected] 80539 Munich, Germany Friedrich.Leisch@stat. Helmut Ku¨chenhoff University uni-muenchen.de of Munich/Department of Statistics Akademiestrasse 1 - Guoqi Qian University of 80799 Munich, Germany Melbourne/Department of helmut.kuechenhoff@stat. Mathematics and Statistics VIC uni-muenchen.de 3010 - Melbourne, Australia [email protected] Hilmar Drygas University of Gerhard Tutz University of Kassel/Department of Munich/Department of Statistics Mathematics - 34109 Kassel, Akademiestrasse 1 - 80799 Germany Munich, Germany [email protected]. [email protected] kassel.de