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Theses are accepted into the series by invited nomination only and must fulfill all of the following criteria • They must be written in good English. • ThetopicshouldfallwithintheconfinesofChemistry,Physics,EarthSciences, Engineering andrelatedinterdisciplinaryfieldssuchasMaterials, Nanoscience, Chemical Engineering, Complex Systems and Biophysics. • The work reported in the thesis must represent a significant scientific advance. • Ifthethesisincludespreviouslypublishedmaterial,permissiontoreproducethis must be gained from the respective copyright holder. • They must have been examined and passed during the 12 months prior to nomination. • Each thesis should include a foreword by the supervisor outlining the signifi- cance of its content. • The theses should have a clearly defined structure including an introduction accessible to scientists not expert in that particular field. Volker Zepf Rare Earth Elements A New Approach to the Nexus of Supply, Demand and Use: Exemplified along the Use of Neodymium in Permanent Magnets Doctoral Thesis accepted by the University of Augsburg, Germany 123 Author Supervisors Dr. VolkerZepf Prof.Dr. ArminReller Coordinator Graduate Programme Chairof ResourceStrategy AugsburgUniversity Department of Physics Augsburg AugsburgUniversity Germany Augsburg Germany Prof.Dr. Gerd Peyke Chairof Human Geography and Geoinformatics AugsburgUniversity Augsburg Germany ISSN 2190-5053 ISSN 2190-5061 (electronic) ISBN 978-3-642-35457-1 ISBN 978-3-642-35458-8 (eBook) DOI 10.1007/978-3-642-35458-8 SpringerHeidelbergNewYorkDordrechtLondon LibraryofCongressControlNumber:2012955237 (cid:2)Springer-VerlagBerlinHeidelberg2013 Thisworkissubjecttocopyright.AllrightsarereservedbythePublisher,whetherthewholeorpartof the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation,broadcasting,reproductiononmicrofilmsorinanyotherphysicalway,andtransmissionor informationstorageandretrieval,electronicadaptation,computersoftware,orbysimilarordissimilar methodology now known or hereafter developed. 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While the advice and information in this book are believed to be true and accurate at the date of publication,neithertheauthorsnortheeditorsnorthepublishercanacceptanylegalresponsibilityfor anyerrorsoromissionsthatmaybemade.Thepublishermakesnowarranty,expressorimplied,with respecttothematerialcontainedherein. Printedonacid-freepaper SpringerispartofSpringerScience?BusinessMedia(www.springer.com) Supervisor’s Foreword Some of the globally implemented technologies which were developed and invented in the last two and three decades often rely on the properties of appro- priately selected functionalmaterials.Inmostcasesthesematerialscontainorare metals themselves, alloys or metallic compounds. This trend of increasing diver- sity of metals is becoming obvious above all in IT, mobility, and energy tech- nologies. Concomitantly to this increasing qualitative material diversity the specific material quantities in products like computers, digital cameras, mobile phones, wind turbines or electric motors differ extremely. Very often, the quan- tities of the functional materials are very small but indispensable for the main functionality. The geologic availability of the mineral resources which are necessary for providing metallic components is partly critical, especially in the case of trace or spicemetals.Partiallyextremedynamics,underwhichnewtechnologiesandnovel product generations are implemented, make it understandable that supply bottle- necks arise. Resource shortage, i.e. scarcity becomes imminent. Such undesired and threatening situations particularly occur when multifunc- tionalmetalsarefunctionalizedindifferenttechnicalbranchesorproducts.The17 elements of the so-called rare earth metals unmistakably belong to this type of critical materials. They show a huge bandwidth of application areas and serve as essential functional materials, alloys, and ceramics. The economic trade restric- tionsimposedbyChinaexemplaryshowthepotentialofandforsupplyshortages. Thus the rare earth metals can act as a paradigm for the present global resource situationandtheimpactontheindustrialdevelopmentworldwide.Thisprevailing situation is the basis for the doctoral thesis of Mr. Volker Zepf. The first introductory part of the thesis presents a detailed analysis of the history,geology,chemical,andphysicalcharacteristicsoftherareearthmetals.As well socio-economic, cultural and political facets are addressed which show the partial indispensable technical functionality of these metals. The thorough and embracing research on technical-historical functionalities of the rare earth metals andtheirpracticalrelevanceleadMr.Zepftoacriticalsummary:validandreliable primary data about supply and use of rare earth metals is extremely difficult to v vi Supervisor’sForeword attain despite the many publications in recent years. The data used therein can mostly be traced back to one literature source—and the data used often is unreliable. The main investigation now aims on providing reliable data. The focus is narrowed on the use of neodymium functionalized in permanent magnets in computer hard drives, mobile phones, wind turbines, and electric motors in e-mobility.Withrespecttoseveralheadlinesthehypothesisisraisedthatthesefour application areas account for about 80 % of the global neodymium demand. The analysis then provides reproducible primary data for selected application areas. Here astonishing and surprising results are provided which refute the original hypothesis by large; only about 20 % could be attributed. This result now is interestinginseveralaspects:itshowsthatawrongperceptionprevailsontheuseof neodymium.Italsoraisesthedemandingquestionontheotherusesofneodymium nowadays.Thisknowledgeisindispensablewhenprojectingpotentialsupplyrisks and the potential for re-phasing rare earth elements, i.e. re-cycling. Finally a resource-geographical consideration combines the results in an impressive and comprehensive global materials chart. This chart can build the basis for further work and especially in the evaluation of potential secondary or urban rare earth mining. In how far the newest economic but also economic developments could shape our technically oriented civilization is subject of the closing multifaceted discussion. Mr. Zepf has demonstrated an extremely high motivation, initiative, and competencewithhisthesisaboutahighlytopicalarea.ForthisMr.Zepfprovides a multidisciplinary view and methodological approach. He develops a multi- structured and complex linked but still clearly structured, consistent, and relevant study. This thesis is of essential scientific relevance as it reveals unknown facts around the supply, demand and use of rare earth metals which is of great importance for further research and economic considerations especially for recycling options. Augsburg, Germany, January 2013 Prof. Dr. Armin Reller Acknowledgments Suchawork,eventhoughitisonlyaround150pageslong,isalotofworkwhich is not manageable without the help of a lot of people, involved directly or indirectly. First of all I thank Silvia for her extremely good, enduring, and motivating supportduringallthetimeofthiswork.WithoutyouandyourstrengthIwouldnot have been able to do this work! Next, my gratitude is to Prof. Dr. Armin Reller, Chair of Resource Strategy, Augsburg University, who gave me this interesting and challenging topic. For his visionary ideas and his quest for revealing links, relations, interrelations in an inter- and transdisciplinary approach. He gave me much freedom for my research and provided the decisive support when necessary; especially for getting the possibility to have the samples analyzed by the Fraunhofer Institute ISC. I like to thank Prof. Dr. Gerd Peyke, Chair of Geography and Geoinformatics, Augsburg University, who always believed in me and for his interest in all the variousaspectsaswellintheoverallpictureandforthediscussionsovertheyears. BenjaminAchzethelpedmewithhisexpertiseinmaterialsscienceandhowto start analyzing materials. A special thank you goes to the Fraunhofer Institute ISC in Würzburg, and especially to Dr. Römer who did and observed the analytic measurements of the magnets. Andlastbutnotleastthankyouall:theonesIforgotandthediligentpeopleat the Universityand from Infau, Augsburg,who helped and provided me with hard disks, mobile phones, and other electric tools. Thank you! vii Contents 1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 1.1 Motivation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4 1.2 An Information Dilemma. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 1.3 Methodology. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 1.3.1 Introductory Thoughts: Managing the Complexity. . . . . . 7 1.3.2 Methods and Data Used. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 1.4 Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 2 Rare Earth Elements: What and Where They Are . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 2.1 Definitions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 2.1.1 The Group of the REE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 2.1.2 The Terms ‘Rare’ and ‘Earth’ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 2.1.3 Light, Medium and Heavy REE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14 2.1.4 Rare Earths, Rare Elements and Rare Metals. . . . . . . . . 16 2.2 Chemical and Physical Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 2.3 The Long History of the Discovery of the REE . . . . . . . . . . . . 18 2.4 Geology and Geochemistry of the REE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20 2.5 Deposits, Current and Potential Future Mining . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24 2.5.1 China . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24 2.5.2 India . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26 2.5.3 Brazil . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26 2.5.4 Russia, Commonwealth of Independent States and Kazakhstan. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27 2.5.5 Australia . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27 2.5.6 USA . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27 2.5.7 South Africa/Canada. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28 2.5.8 Others . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29 2.6 Rare Earth Processing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30 ix x Contents 2.7 Applications for REE. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31 2.7.1 Applications of the Individual REE. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31 2.7.2 Major REE Applications in a Historical Context. . . . . . . 33 2.7.3 Applications of REE According Functional Uses . . . . . . 33 2.7.4 Applications of REE According Present Discussions About Climate Relevant Uses. . . . . . . . . . . 34 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35 3 The Way to the Chinese Predominance: A Key for Understanding the REE Issue . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41 3.1 The Middle East has its Oil, China has Rare Earths. . . . . . . . . . 41 3.2 Chinese Plans and Regulations Around REE. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42 3.3 The Five-Year Plan Guidelines, Past and Present . . . . . . . . . . . 42 3.4 Chinese Export Issues Around REE. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44 3.5 Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48 4 Numbers About Rare Earth Elements in the (Scientific) Literature. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51 4.1 A Literature Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51 4.2 Production Data of REE, Cumulative and Individual: An Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53 4.2.1 Global Annual REE Production: A Comparison of Data Sets Given by the USGS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53 4.2.2 Global Annual Production of REE: A Comparison of Different Authors’ Data. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55 4.2.3 Annual Production of REE According to Functional Areas. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 57 4.2.4 Individual REE Production Share . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 58 4.2.5 The Quantitative Share of Nd Production. . . . . . . . . . . . 60 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 62 5 Rare Earth Elements in the Magnets Application Field. . . . . . . . . 65 5.1 REE Based Permanent Magnets . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 65 5.2 REE Based Permanent Magnet Application Overview . . . . . . . . 67 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 71 6 Scales and Relations: Analysis of REPM Use with Emphasis on the Years from 2000 to 2010 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 73 6.1 Methodology. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 73 6.2 REPM in Hard Disk Drives . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 74 6.2.1 Data Issues HDDs. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 75 6.2.2 Historical Development and Global Shipment Statistics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 75 Contents xi 6.2.3 Measurement ofPermanent Magnets WeightinHDDs. . . 77 6.2.4 Recycling Potential for HDDs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 84 6.2.5 Outlook HDD. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 85 6.2.6 Further Research. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 86 6.3 REPM Use in Mobile Phones and Earphones . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 86 6.3.1 Data Issues Mobile Phones. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 86 6.3.2 PM Use in Mobile Phone Systems . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 86 6.3.3 Historical Development of Global Annual Mobile Phone Sales. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 87 6.3.4 Analysis of the Mobile Phone REPM . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 88 6.3.5 Outlook Mobile Phones. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 90 6.3.6 Further Research. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 90 6.4 REPM Use in Wind Turbine Generators. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 91 6.4.1 Data Issues WTGs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 93 6.4.2 Types of Wind Turbines . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 93 6.4.3 Wind Turbine Manufacturers . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 97 6.4.4 REPM Use in WTGs. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 102 6.4.5 Outlook. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 104 6.4.6 Further Research. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 106 6.5 REPM Use in Electro Mobility. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 107 6.5.1 Data Issues E-Mobility . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 108 6.5.2 E-Mobility: Status Quo . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 108 6.5.3 Data Analysis E-Mobility. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 111 6.5.4 Outlook E-Mobility. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 113 6.5.5 Further Research. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 113 6.6 Synopsis of REPM Use . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 114 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 117 7 The Geography of the REE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 123 8 Conclusion: The REE and the Real Problem. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 127 8.1 Outlook and Further Research. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 130 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 131 Annex A: Details to the Literature Research . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 133 Annex B: Mobile Phone Measurement Details . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 141 Annex C: HDD Measurement Details. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 145 Annex D: REE Uses and Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 151 About the Author . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 157
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