QUANTITATIVE INVESTMENT ANALYSIS WORKBOOK Second Edition Richard A. DeFusco, CFA Dennis W. McLeavey, CFA Jerald E. Pinto, CFA David E. Runkle, CFA John Wiley & Sons, Inc. QUANTITATIVE INVESTMENT ANALYSIS WORKBOOK CFA Institute is the premier association for investment professionals around the world, with over 85,000 members in 129 countries. Since 1963 the organization has developed andadministeredtherenownedCharteredFinancialAnalyst Program.Witharichhistory of leading the investment profession, CFA Institute has set the highest standards in ethics, education, and professional excellence within the global investment community, and is the foremostauthorityoninvestmentprofessionconductandpractice. EachbookintheCFAInstituteInvestmentSeriesisgearedtowardindustrypractitioners along with graduate-level finance students and covers the most important topics in the industry. The authors of these cutting-edge books are themselves industry professionals and academicsandbringtheirwealthofknowledgeandexpertisetothisseries. QUANTITATIVE INVESTMENT ANALYSIS WORKBOOK Second Edition Richard A. DeFusco, CFA Dennis W. McLeavey, CFA Jerald E. Pinto, CFA David E. Runkle, CFA John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Copyright(cid:1)c 2004,2007byCFAInstitute.Allrightsreserved. PublishedbyJohnWiley&Sons,Inc.,Hoboken,NewJersey. PublishedsimultaneouslyinCanada. Nopartofthispublicationmaybereproduced,storedinaretrievalsystem,ortransmittedinanyformorbyany means,electronic,mechanical,photocopying,recording,scanning,orotherwise,exceptaspermittedunderSection 107or108ofthe1976UnitedStatesCopyrightAct,withouteitherthepriorwrittenpermissionofthePublisher,or authorizationthroughpaymentoftheappropriateper-copyfeetotheCopyrightClearanceCenter,Inc.,222 RosewoodDrive,Danvers,MA01923,(978)750-8400,fax(978)646-8600,orontheWebatwww.copyright.com. 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HG4529.Q352006 332.601(cid:2)5195—dc22 2006052578 PrintedintheUnitedStatesofAmerica. 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 CONTENTS PART1 LearningOutcomes,SummaryOverview,andProblems CHAPTER1 TheTimeValueofMoney 3 LearningOutcomes 3 SummaryOverview 3 Problems 4 CHAPTER2 DiscountedCashFlowApplications 7 LearningOutcomes 7 SummaryOverview 7 Problems 8 CHAPTER3 StatisticalConceptsandMarketReturns 11 LearningOutcomes 11 SummaryOverview 11 Problems 13 CHAPTER4 ProbabilityConcepts 21 LearningOutcomes 21 SummaryOverview 21 Problems 23 CHAPTER5 CommonProbabilityDistributions 29 LearningOutcomes 29 SummaryOverview 30 Problems 31 v vi Contents CHAPTER6 SamplingandEstimation 37 LearningOutcomes 37 SummaryOverview 37 Problems 39 CHAPTER7 HypothesisTesting 43 LearningOutcomes 43 SummaryOverview 44 Problems 46 CHAPTER8 CorrelationandRegression 53 LearningOutcomes 53 SummaryOverview 53 Problems 55 CHAPTER9 MultipleRegressionandIssuesinRegressionAnalysis 67 LearningOutcomes 67 SummaryOverview 68 Problems 70 CHAPTER10 Time-SeriesAnalysis 83 LearningOutcomes 83 SummaryOverview 84 Problems 85 CHAPTER11 PortfolioConcepts 97 LearningOutcomes 97 SummaryOverview 98 Problems 102 PART2 Solutions CHAPTER1 TheTimeValueofMoney 111 Solutions 111 Contents vii CHAPTER2 DiscountedCashFlowApplications 129 Solutions 129 CHAPTER3 StatisticalConceptsandMarketReturns 135 Solutions 135 CHAPTER4 ProbabilityConcepts 149 Solutions 149 CHAPTER5 CommonProbabilityDistributions 155 Solutions 155 CHAPTER6 SamplingandEstimation 161 Solutions 161 CHAPTER7 HypothesisTesting 167 Solutions 167 CHAPTER8 CorrelationandRegression 175 Solutions 175 CHAPTER9 MultipleRegressionandIssuesinRegressionAnalysis 185 Solutions 185 CHAPTER10 Time-SeriesAnalysis 193 Solutions 193 CHAPTER11 PortfolioConcepts 199 Solutions 199 Aboutthe CFAProgram 205
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