QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS IN ARCHAEOLOGY Todd L. VanPool & Robert D. Leonard A John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., Publication ffffiirrss..iinndddd iiiiii 88//2266//22001100 11::5555::5599 PPMM ffffiirrss..iinndddd vvii 88//2266//22001100 11::5555::5599 PPMM QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS IN ARCHAEOLOGY ffffiirrss..iinndddd ii 88//2266//22001100 11::5555::5599 PPMM ffffiirrss..iinndddd iiii 88//2266//22001100 11::5555::5599 PPMM QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS IN ARCHAEOLOGY Todd L. VanPool & Robert D. Leonard A John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., Publication ffffiirrss..iinndddd iiiiii 88//2266//22001100 11::5555::5599 PPMM This edition fi rst published 2011 © 2011 Todd L. VanPool and Robert D. Leonard Blackwell Publishing was acquired by John Wiley & Sons in February 2007. Blackwell’s publishing program has been merged with Wiley’s global Scientifi c, Technical, and Medical business to form Wiley-Blackwell. Registered Offi ce John Wiley & Sons Ltd, The Atrium, Southern Gate, Chichester, West Sussex, PO19 8SQ, United Kingdom Editorial Offi ces 350 Main Street, Malden, MA 02148-5020, USA 9600 Garsington Road, Oxford, OX4 2DQ, UK The Atrium, Southern Gate, Chichester, West Sussex, PO19 8SQ, UK For details of our global editorial offi ces, for customer services, and for information about how to apply for permission to reuse the copyright material in this book please see our website at www.wiley.com/wiley-blackwell. The right of Todd L. VanPool and Robert D. Leonard to be identifi ed as the author of this work has been asserted in accordance with the UK Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988. All rights reserved. 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If professional advice or other expert assistance is required, the services of a competent professional should be sought. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data VanPool, Todd L., 1968- Quantitative analysis in archaeology / Todd L. VanPool, Robert D. Leonard. p. cm. ISBN 978-1-4051-8951-4 (hardback : alk. paper) – ISBN 978-1-4051-8950-7 (pbk. : alk. paper) 1. Archaeology–Methodology. 2. Quantitative research. 3. Archaeology–Research. I. Leonard, Robert D. II. Title. CC75.7.V36 2010 930.1072–dc22 2010030199 A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library. Set in 10.5/13pt Minion by Toppan Best-set Premedia Limited Printed in Malaysia 01 2011 ffffiirrss..iinndddd iivv 88//2266//22001100 11::5555::5599 PPMM To Connie Woebke and Glenn McCoy, two teachers who taught TVP what counts To Grandmas Maggie and Ferne, for helping RDL learn his numbers ffffiirrss..iinndddd vv 88//2266//22001100 11::5555::5599 PPMM ffffiirrss..iinndddd vvii 88//2266//22001100 11::5555::5599 PPMM Contents List of Tables xi List of Figures xv List of Equations xx Acknowledgments xxii 1 Quantifying Archaeology 1 2 Data 5 Scales of Measurement 6 Nominal level measurement 6 Ordinal level measurement 8 Interval level measurement 9 Ratio level measurement 9 The relationship among the scales of measurement 10 Validity 12 Accuracy and Precision 13 Populations and Samples 15 3 Characterizing Data Visually 18 Frequency Distributions 20 Histograms 25 Stem and Leaf Diagrams 28 Ogives (Cumulative Frequency Distributions) 31 Describing a Distribution 32 Bar Charts 34 Displaying Data like a Pro 36 Archaeology and Exploratory Data Analysis 38 ffttoocc..iinndddd vviiii 88//2266//22001100 11::5566::0022 PPMM viii Contents 4 Characterizing Data Numerically: Descriptive Statistics 43 Measures of Central Tendency 45 Mean 45 Median 47 Mode 47 Which measure of location is best? 47 Measures of Dispersion 48 Range 49 Interquartile range 49 Variance and standard deviation 50 Calculating Estimates of the Mean and Standard Deviation 53 Coeffi cients of Variation 54 Box Plots 57 Characterizing Nominal and Ordinal Scale Data 58 Index of dispersion for nominal data and the index of qualitative variation 59 5 An Introduction to Probability 66 Theoretical Determinations of Probability 66 Empirical Determinations of Probability 68 Complex Events 71 Using Probability to Determine Likelihood 72 The Binomial Distribution 74 The psychic’s trick 76 Simplifying the binomial 78 Probability in Archaeological Contexts 81 6 Putting Statistics to Work: The Normal Distribution 86 7 Hypothesis Testing I: An Introduction 97 Hypotheses of Interest 98 Formal Hypothesis Testing and the Null Hypothesis 100 Errors in Hypothesis Testing 105 8 Hypothesis Testing II: Confi dence Limits, the t-Distribution, and One-Tailed Tests 109 Standard Error 114 Comparing Sample Means to m 116 Statistical Inference and Confi dence Limits 118 The t-Distribution 121 Degrees of freedom and the t-distribution 122 Hypothesis Testing Using the t-Distribution 124 Testing One-Tailed Null Hypotheses 127 ffttoocc..iinndddd vviiiiii 88//2266//22001100 11::5566::0022 PPMM
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