Quantification of Maxillary Dental Arcade Curvature with Implications for Estimating Biological Ancestry in Forensic Anthropology Honors Research Thesis Presented in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for Graduating with Research Distinction in Anthropology in the Undergraduate Colleges at The Ohio State University by: Melissa A. Clark The Ohio State University April 2013 Project Advisors: Professors Debbie Guatelli-Steinberg, Mark Hubbe, and Sam Stout, Department of Anthropology Abstract Previous studies suggest that palate shape can be used as an indicator of biological ancestry in the identification of modern human remains. These studies, which are based on qualitative analyses conclude that individuals of African, European, and Indigenous American ancestry tend to have hyperbolic, parabolic, and elliptical-shaped palates, respectively. The purposes of the present study were to: (1) evaluate interobserver error in ancestry estimation using the shapes outlined in previous studies and to (2) explore shape variation in the Gullah African American and Seminole Indigenous populations using a geometric morphometric analysis of maxillary dental casts. The first phase of this study consisted of a survey in which ten graduate students with training in osteology were asked to ascribe biological ancestry to twenty- nine maxillary dental casts from the Gullah and Seminole samples from the Renee M. Menegaz- Bock Dental Anthropology Collection. The results show that the palate shape is not an effective indicator of ancestry in these populations. The mean classification accuracy for the survey was only 27.9% (p-value= 0.5714), indicating that the likelihood of assigning the correct ancestry to a given cast using palate shape was not much higher than random assignment. In the second part of the study, Discriminant Function Analysis correctly classified only 72.2% (n=158) of the sample. Additionally, there were no significant differences in size or curvature between the two groups. This study is important for the field of forensic anthropology because it demonstrates, for the first time, that neither qualitative nor quantitative characterization of palate shape is a reliable means for assessing ancestry. 2 Acknowledgements The author would first like to thank Dr. Debbie Guatelli-Steinberg for her patience, assistance, availability, and endless enthusiasm. The author would also like to thank Dr. Mark Hubbe for his statistical expertise, patient instruction, and for the use of the three-dimensional scanner. She would also like to thank Dr. Sam Stout for his support and suggestions. The author would like to thank Dr. Debbie Guatelli-Steinberg, Dr. Clark Larsen, and Josh Sadvari for allowing her access to the Bioarchaeology Laboratory and Renee M. Menegaz-Bock Dental Anthropology Collection. She would also like to thank Dr. Bart Snapp, Dr. Debbie Guatelli- Steinberg, Dr. Mark Hubbe, and Dr. Sam Stout for serving on her defense committee. Finally, she would like to thank Jillian Linn for her assistance and Dr. Jules Angel and Dr. Amelia Hubbard for their advice and support. 3 Table of Contents Abstract................................................................................................................................2 Acknowledgements..............................................................................................................3 Introduction Introduction to Forensic Anthropology...................................................................5 History of Forensic Anthropology..........................................................................5 Attribution of Ancestry in Forensic Anthropology.................................................6 Evidentiary Standards and Rationale......................................................................7 Background Palate Shape and Ancestry Estimation...................................................................11 Geometric Morphometrics.....................................................................................12 Materials.............................................................................................................................13 Methods..............................................................................................................................15 Principal Components Analysis.............................................................................18 Discriminant Function Analysis............................................................................19 Results...............................................................................................................................21 Discussion and Conclusion...............................................................................................29 Appendix I........................................................................................................................31 Appendix II......................................................................................................................33 Appendix III....................................................................................................................37 Appendix IV....................................................................................................................41 Literature Cited................................................................................................................70 4 Introduction Introduction to Forensic Anthropology Forensic anthropologists make use of methods derived from the fields of archaeology, osteology, and pathology in the recovery, identification and analysis of human remains (Sapse and Kobilinsky 2012). In addition, forensic anthropologists are concerned with understanding probable pre- and postmortem events (Sapse and Kobilinsky 2012). In essence, forensic anthropologists apply skeletal biology to a medico-legal context. Law enforcement agencies, coroners, medical examiners, and forensic pathologists may call upon forensic anthropologists (Steadman 2003) to assist in the recovery and identification of human remains from crime scenes, mass disasters (Ousley et al. 2009) such as the Oklahoma City bombing and the September 11th terrorist attacks, and investigations of human rights violations such as those that took place in Argentina, Rwanda, and the former Yugoslavia (Steadman 2003). History of Forensic Anthropology The first time forensic anthropology was used in a criminal investigation was during the 1849 Parkman murder investigation. Anatomists reconstructed the skeleton of the victim and used the bones to construct a biological profile and identify the decedent. After the conclusion of WWII, forensic anthropologists were needed to identify and repatriate remains for soldiers killed in action. To meet this demand, the Central Identification Laboratory in Hawaii (CILHI) was founded. Despite this, forensic anthropology was not formally recognized as a profession until 1972 when the Physical Anthropology Section was added to the American Academy of Forensic Sciences (AAFS). Following this addition, the American Board of Forensic Anthropology (ABFA) was created in 1977 to ensure a standardized level of competence within the profession. Since then, data have been collected to maintain, revise, and update methods (Byers 2010). 5 Attribution of Ancestry in Forensic Anthropology Forensic anthropologists construct biological profiles to aid in the identification of human remains. A biological profile consists of sex, ancestry, age, and stature estimations, as well as individualizing characteristics (e.g., trauma and pathological conditions) (Ousley et al. 2009). Biological profiles are used to compare unidentified human remains to missing persons reports to narrow the pool of probable identifications (Konigsberg 2009). Forensic anthropologists are often criticized by the anthropological community for including ancestry in biological profiles because it is frequently associated with non-biological race, and, until recently, anthropologists were using the terms “race” and “ancestry” interchangeably. Race describes an individual as member of a socially constructed group, and ancestry describes biological human variation that results from different population origins and histories (Steadman 2003). While “ancestry” is quickly replacing “race,” it is important to recognize that in order to work effectively with law enforcement, forensic anthropologists need to orient information in the contemporary cultural context. Because “race” is still used in the vernacular, it would be inappropriate to use the term “ancestry” in a missing persons report because doing so may decrease the likelihood of people coming forward to make a positive identification as “ancestry” may not be a term well- recognized among potential informants. Furthermore, ancestry and race are largely congruent (Steadman 2003). It is therefore necessary to adopt, to an extent, the cultural conventions when assisting in the identification of human remains (Konigsberg 2009). As a result of genetic changes and microevolution, there are a number of traits that may be used to estimate ancestry. These include cranial suture patterns (i.e. simple or complex), the nasal profile (i.e. convex, concave, and/or straight), facial and alveolar prognathism, the angle of the zygomaxillary suture, the shape of the palatine suture, and the shape of the orbits, mastoid 6 process, and mandible (Gill 1998), as well as the shape of the cranial vault and the presence or absence of Wormian bones (Steadman 2003). Such differences suggest that it is appropriate to conduct studies that analyze variation to maximize the chances of positive identification in forensic applications. One traditional trait used to estimate ancestry is palate shape. Gill (1986) found that palate shape could be used as an indicator of biological ancestry in the identification of modern human remains. Qualitative analyses suggest that individuals of African ancestry tend to have a hyperbolic (i.e. widely arched) palate shape, individuals of European ancestry tend to have a parabolic (i.e. a medium) palate shape, and people of Indigenous American ancestry tend to have an elliptical (i.e. narrowly arched) palate shape (Figure 1) (Gill 1986, 1998). Evidentiary Standards and Rationale While qualitative analyses provide good foundations for future studies, they are not sufficient for forensic applications because forensic anthropologists may be required to give legal testimony as expert witnesses. An expert witness is one who has more knowledge of a particular subject than the average person and provides testimonial evidence under oath (Meier 1971). The admissibility of scientific testimonial evidence is determined by several United States Supreme Court rulings including Frye v. United States (1923), The Federal Rules of Evidence (1975), Daubert v. Merrell Dow Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (1993), and Kumho Tire Company Ltd. v. Carmichael (1999) (Palmer 2004). One of the earliest standards for scientific testimonial evidence was the result of Frye v. United States (1923). A criminal defendant who had been convicted of second-degree murder appealed his conviction on the grounds that results of a lie detector test presented in the original trial had been inadmissible because they had not met contemporary standards for expert witness 7 testimony. The Supreme Court ruled that “...while courts will go a long way in admitting expert testimony deduced from a well-recognized scientific principle or discovery, the thing from which the deduction is made must be sufficiently established to have gained general acceptance in the particular field to which it belongs” (D.C. Circuit 1923 in Palmer 2004). The conviction was overturned, and Frye set the precedent of general acceptance by the scientific community for techniques and methods used in expert witness testimony (National Academy of Sciences 2009). The next important development in standards for scientific evidence was the adoption of Rule 702 in The Federal Rules of Evidence in 1975 (Sapse and Kobilinsky 2012). The initial wording of Rule 702 appeared to allow relevant evidence in expert witness testimony, regardless of its acceptance within the scientific community, thus making it seem as though it conflicted with the ruling in Frye v. United States (1923). This apparent opposition would later affect the ruling in Daubert v. Merrell Dow Pharmaceuticals (1993) (National Academy of Sciences 2009). In Daubert v. Merrell Dow Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (1993), the plaintiffs argued that the drug Benedictin had caused birth defects when administered to pregnant women. The defendant argued that the studies introduced as evidence by the plaintiffs were inadmissible because while relevant, they did not meet Frye’s requirement for general acceptance. The judge ruled that the admissibility and reliability of scientific evidence was to be determined by the judge rather than the scientific community, thus weakening the influence of the Frye standard (Palmer 2004). Furthermore, the judge clarified that Rule 702 superseded Frye and required scientific evidence to be both relevant and reliable, thus establishing a standard of evidentiary reliability (National Academy of Sciences 2009). When determining the admissibility of scientific evidence, presiding judge Justice Blackmun noted that several factors need to be considered. First, judges 8 should consider whether or not a technique or theory on which the evidence is based is generally accepted within the scientific community and whether or not it had been subjected to publication or peer review. Second, judges should consider whether or not the theory or technique in question has a standard rate of error and whether or not a given technique has been standardized. Finally, the judge ruled that in order for judges to allow scientific testimony, the theory or technique on which it is based must be testable (Palmer 2004). The decisions in Daubert v. Merrell Dow Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (1993) and Rule 702 were reaffirmed by the ruling in Kumho Tire Company Ltd. v. Carmichael (1999) (National Academy of Sciences 2009). The plaintiffs claimed that tires defective in manufacture and design had caused a number of injury-accidents. The plaintiffs called an expert witness, whose testimony was ruled to be inadmissible in the Eleventh Circuit Court of Appeals because the testimony did not meet the criteria set forth by Daubert (Palmer 2004). Daubert remains the standard for evidence admissibility in the United States federal jurisdictions, but states are permitted to use the evidentiary standard of their choice for their independent jurisdictions (National Academy of Sciences 2009). Arkansas, Colorado, Delaware, Hawaii, Kentucky, Louisiana, Massachusetts, Montana, Nebraska, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Oregon, Rhode Island, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, West Virginia, and Wyoming all follow Daubert, while Alabama, Arizona, California, Florida, Illinois, Kansas, Maryland, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania, and Washington all follow Frye. The remaining states apply various other standards (Palmer 2004). Given the above evidentiary standards and the weight of forensic science in the courtroom, it is necessary that the reliability of forensic science be maintained. Because of the adversarial nature of the judicial system and because of the heavy caseloads of lawyers and judges, the scientific community 9 needs to continue to ensure the accuracy, reliability, and validity of forensic methods. The National Academy of Sciences makes several recommendations to maintain the admissibility of forensic testimony. First, it suggests that studies measuring the accuracy and reliability of forensic methods do so quantitatively and that these studies be peer reviewed through journal publications. It is also recommended that studies assessing “human observer bias and sources of human error in forensic examinations” be encouraged (National Academy of Sciences 2009). In the first phase of the present study a qualitative method for inferring ancestry that is currently used in the identification of human remains is tested for its reliability. Participants experienced in osteology were asked to ascribe biological ancestry to dental casts in the sample based on Gill’s (1986) criteria. This phase assesses the accuracy of a current qualitative method by documenting interobserver error. In the second phase of the present study, geometric morphometric analysis of shape variation in two population samples is explored as a potential quantitative method for assigning ancestry. The purpose of this second phase is to determine if a quantitative method, i.e., one that does not rely on subjective assessments of shape, provides a more accurate means of assigning ancestry than does Gill’s (1986) classification scheme. Both phases make use of maxillary dental casts from the Renee M. Menegaz-Bock Dental Anthropology Collection at The Ohio State University. Evaluation of these qualitative and quantitative methods contributes to our understanding of modern human variation and ensures that anthropological methods continue to meet the legal standards set forth by Frye v. United States (1923) (Moenssens 1993), Daubert v. Merrell Dow Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (1993) (Page et al. 2011), and Kumho Tire Company Ltd. v. Carmichael (1999) (Palmer 2004). 10
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