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QCD Convenors: S.Catani,M.Dittmar,D.Soper,W.J.Stirling, S.Tapprogge. Contributingauthors: S.Alekhin, P.Aurenche, C.Bala´zs,R.D.Ball,G.Battistoni, E.L.Berger, T.Binoth,R.Brock,D.Casey,G.Corcella,V.DelDuca,A.DelFabbro,A.DeRoeckC.Ewerz, D.deFlorian,M.Fontannaz, S.Frixione,W.T.Giele,M.Grazzini, J.P.Guillet,G.Heinrich, J.Huston, J.Kalk,A.L.Kataev,K.Kato,S.Keller,M.Klasen,D.A.Kosower,A.Kulesza, Z.Kunszt,A.Kupco, V.A.Ilyin,L.Magnea,M.L.Mangano,A.D.Martin,K.Mazumdar,Ph.Mine´,M.Moretti, W.L.vanNeerven,G.Parente,D.Perret-Gallix, E.Pilon,A.E.Pukhov,I.Puljak,J.Pumplin, 0 0 E.Richter-Was,R.G.Roberts,G.P.Salam,M.H.Seymour, N.Skachkov, A.V.Sidorov, H.Stenzel, 0 D.Stump,R.S.Thorne,D.Treleani,W.K.Tung,A.Vogt,B.R.Webber,M.Werlen,S.Zmouchko. 2 y a Abstract M We discuss issues of QCD at the LHC including parton distributions, Monte 3 Carlo event generators, the available next-to-leading order calculations, re- summation, photon production, smallxphysics, doubleparton scattering, and 1 backgrounds toHiggsproduction. v 5 1. INTRODUCTION 2 0 It is well known that precision QCD calculations and their experimental tests at a proton–proton col- 5 0 lider are inherently difficult. “Unfortunately”, essentially all physics aspects of the LHC, from particle 0 searches beyond theStandard Model(SM)toelectroweak precision measurements andstudies ofheavy 0 quarksareconnectedtotheinteractionsofquarksandgluonsatlargetransferredmomentum. Anoptimal / h exploitation of the LHCis thus unimaginable without the solid understanding of many aspects of QCD p andtheirimplementation inaccurate MonteCarloprograms. - p This review on QCD aspects relevant for the LHC gives an overview of today’s knowledge, of e h ongoingtheoreticaleffortsandofsomeexperimentalfeasibilitystudiesfortheLHC.Moreaspectsrelated : v to the experimental feasibility and an overview of possible measurements, classified according to final i state properties, can be found in Chapter 15 of Ref. [1]. It was impossible, within the time-scale of X this Workshop, to provide accurate and quantitative answers to all the needs for LHC measurements. r a Moreover, owing to the foreseen theoretical and experimental progress, detailed quantitative studies of QCDwillhavenecessarilytobeupdatedjustbeforethestartoftheLHCexperimentalprogram. Theaim ofthisreviewistoupdateRef.[2]andtoprovidereferenceworkfortheactivitiesrequiredinpreparation oftheLHCprogram inthecomingyears. Especially relevant for essentially all possible measurements at the LHCand their theoretical in- terpretation is the knowledge of the parton (quark, anti-quark and gluon) distribution functions (pdf’s), discussed in Sect. 2. Today’s knowledge about quark and anti-quark distribution functions comes from lepton-hadron deep-inelastic scattering (DIS) experiments and from Drell-Yan (DY) lepton-pair pro- duction in hadron collisions. Most information about the gluon distribution function is extracted from hadron–hadron interactions withphotons inthefinalstate. Thetheoretical interpretation ofalargenum- ber ofexperiments has resulted in various sets ofpdf’s which are thebasis for cross section predictions at the LHC. Although these pdf’s are widely used for LHC simulations, their uncertainties are difficult toestimateandvariousquantitative methodsarebeingdeveloped now(seeSects. 2.1 2.4). − The accuracy of this traditional approach to describe proton–proton interactions islimited by the possible knowledge of the proton–proton luminosity at the LHC. Alternatively, much more precise in- formationmighteventuallybeobtainedfromanapproachwhichconsiderstheLHCdirectlyasaparton– parton collider at large transferred momentum. Following this approach, the experimentally cleanest and theoretically best understood reactions would be used tonormalize directly the LHCparton–parton luminosities to estimate various other reactions. Today’s feasibility studies indicate that this approach might eventually lead to cross section accuracies, due to experimental uncertainties, of about 1%. ± Suchaccuraciesrequirethatinordertoprofit,thecorresponding theoreticaluncertaintieshavetobecon- trolledatasimilarlevelusingperturbative calculations andthecorresponding MonteCarlosimulations. As examples, the one-jet inclusive cross section and the rapidity dependence of W and Z production are known at next-to-leading order, implying atheoretical accuracy of about 10 %. Toimprove further, higherordercorrections havetobecalculated. Section3addressestheimplementation ofQCDcalculations inMonteCarloprograms, whichare an essential tool in the preparation of physics data analyses. Monte Carlo programs are composed of several building blocks, related to various stages in the interaction: the hard scattering, the production of additional parton radiation and the hadronization. Progress is being made in the improvement and extensionofmatrixelementgeneratorsandinthepredictionforthetransversemomentumdistributionin bosonproduction. Besidestheissuesofpartondistributions andhadronization, anothernon-perturbative piece in a Monte Carlo generator is the treatment of the minimum bias and underlying events. One of theimportant issuediscussed inthesection onMonteCarlogenerators istheconsistent matching ofthe variousbuildingblocks. MoredetailedstudiesonMonteCarlogeneratorsfortheLHCwillbeperformed inaforeseentopicalworkshop. The status of higher order calculations and prospects for further improvements are presented in Sect. 4. Asmentioned earlier, one of the essential ingredients for improving the accuracy of theoretical predictions istheavailability ofhigherordercorrections. Foralmostallprocessesofinterest, containing a (partially) hadronic final state, the next-to-leading order (NLO) corrections have been computed and allow to make reliable estimates of production cross sections. However, to obtain an accurate estimate of the uncertainty, the calculation of the next-to-next-to-leading order (NNLO) corrections is needed. These calculations are extremely challenging and once performed, they will have to be matched with a corresponding increaseinaccuracyintheevolution ofthepdf’s. Section5discussesthesummationsoflogarithmicallyenhancedcontributions inperturbationthe- ory. Examples of such contributions occur in the inclusive production of a final-state system which carries a large fraction of the available center-of-mass energy (“threshold resummation”) or in case of theproductionofasystemwithhighmassatsmalltransversemomentum(“p resummation”). Incaseof T threshold resummations, thetheoretical calculations formostprocesses ofinterest havebeen performed atnext-to-leading logarithmic accuracy. Their importance istwo-fold: firstly, the cross sections atLHC mightbedirectlyaffected;secondly,theextractionofpdf’sfromotherreactionsmightbeinfluencedand thus the cross sections at LHC are modified indirectly. For transverse momentum resummations, two analytical methodsarediscussed. The production of prompt photons (as discussed in Sect. 6) can be used to put constraints on the gluondensityintheprotonandpossiblytoobtainmeasurementsofthestrongcouplingconstantatLHC. The definition of a photon usually involves some isolation criteria (against hadrons produced close in phasespace). Thisrequirementistheoretically desirable, asitreducesthedependence ofobservables on thefragmentationcontributiontophotonproduction. Atthesametime,itisusefulfromtheexperimental point of view as the background due to jets faking a photon signature can be further reduced. A new schemeforisolation isabletoeliminatethefragmentation contribution. InSect. 7the issue ofQCDdynamics inthe region ofsmall xisdiscussed. Forsemi-hard strong interactions, whicharecharacterized bytwolarge,differentscales,thecrosssectionscontainlargeloga- rithms. Theresummation of these atleading logarithmic (LL)accuracy can beperformed by theBFKL equation. AvailableexperimentaldataarehowevernotdescribedbytheLLBFKL,indicatingthepresent of large sub-leading contributions and the need to include next-to-leading corrections. Studies of QCD dynamicsinthisregimecanbemadenotonlybyusinginclusiveobservables, butalsothroughthestudy offinalstateproperties. Theseincludetheproduction ofdi-jetsatlargerapidityseparation (studyingthe azimuthaldecorrelationbetweenthetwojets)ortheproductionofmini-jets(studyingtheirmultiplicity). An important topic at the LHC is multiple (especially double) parton scattering (described in Sect. 8), i.e. the simultaneous occurrence of two independent hard scattering in the same interaction. Extrapolations to LHCenergies, based on measurements at theTevatron show the importance oftaking thisprocess intoaccount whensmalltransverse momentaareinvolved. Manifestations ofdouble parton scattering are expected in the production of four jet final states and in the production of a lepton in association withtwob-quarks (wherethelatterisusedasafinalstateforHiggssearches). The last section (Sect. 9) addresses the issue of the present knowledge of background for Higgs searches, for final states containing two photons or multi-leptons. For the case of di-photon final states (used for Higgs searches with 90 < m < 140 GeV), studies of the irreducible background are per- H formed by calculating the (single and double) fragmentation contributions to NLO accuracy and by studying the effects ofsoftgluon emission. Theproduction ofrarefivelepton finalstates could provide valuable information ontheHiggscouplings form > 200GeV,awaitingfurther studiesonimproving H theunderstanding ofthebackgrounds. During the workshop, no studies of diffractive scattering at the LHC have been performed. This topicischallengingbothfromthetheoreticalandtheexperimentalpointofview. Thestudyofdiffractive processes (withatypical signature ofaleading proton and/or alarge rapidity gap)should leadtoanim- provedunderstanding ofthetransitionbetweensoftandhardprocessandofthenon-perturbative aspects ofQCD.Fromtheexperimental pointofview,thedetection ofleading protons intheLHCenvironment ischallengingandrequiresaddingadditionaldetectorstoATLASandCMS.Ifharddiffractivescattering (leading proton(s) together with e.g. jets as signature for a hard scattering) is to be studied with decent statistical accuracy at large p , most of the luminosity delivered under normal running conditions has T to be utilized. A few more details can be found in Chapter 15 of Ref. [1], some ideas for detectors in Ref.[3]. Muchmoreworkremains tobedone, including adetailed assessment ofthecapabilities ofthe additional detectors. 1.1 OverviewofQCDtools Allofthe processes to beinvestigated at theLHCinvolve QCDto someextent. It cannot beotherwise, since the colliding quarks and gluons carry the QCD color charge. One can use perturbation theory to describe thecrosssectionforaninclusivehard-scattering process, h (p )+h (p ) H(Q, ... )+X . (1) 1 1 2 2 → { } Here the colliding hadrons h and h have momenta p and p , H denotes the triggered hard probe 1 2 1 2 (vector bosons, jets, heavy quarks, Higgs bosons, SUSY particles and so on) and X stands for any unobserved particles produced by the collision. The typical scale Q of the scattering process is set by the invariant mass or the transverse momentum of the hard probe and the notation ... stands for any { } other measured kinematic variable oftheprocess. Forexample, thehardprocess maybetheproduction of a Z boson. Then Q = M and wecan take ... = y, where y is the rapidity of the Z boson. One Z { } canalso measure the transverse momentum Q ofthetheZ boson. Thenthesimple analysis described T below applies if Q M . In the cases Q M and M Q , there are two hard scales in the T Z T Z Z T ∼ ≪ ≪ processandamorecomplicatedanalysisisneeded. ThecaseQ M isofparticularimportanceand T Z ≪ isdiscussed inSects.3.3,3.4and5.3. Thecrosssectionfortheprocess(1)iscomputedbyusingthefactorization formula[4,5] σ(p ,p ;Q, ... ) = dx dx f (x ,Q2)f (x ,Q2) σˆ (x p ,x p ;Q, ... ;α (Q)) 1 2 { } 1 2 a/h1 1 b/h2 2 ab 1 1 2 2 { } S a,b Z X + ((Λ /Q)p) . (2) QCD O Here the indices a,b denote parton flavors, g,u,u¯,d,d¯,... . The factorization formula (2) involves { } the convolution of the partonic cross section σˆ and the parton distribution functions f (x,Q2) of ab a/h the colliding hadrons. The term ((Λ /Q)p) on the right-hand side of Eq. (2) generically denotes QCD O non-perturbative contributions (hadronization effects, multiparton interactions, contributions of the soft underlying eventandsoon). Evidently, the pdf’s are of great importance to making predictions for the LHC. These functions are determined from experiments. Some of the issues relating to this determination are discussed in Sect. 2. In particular, there are discussions of the question of error analysis in the determination of the pdf’sandthereisadiscussion oftheprospects fordetermining thepdf’sfromLHCexperiments. The partonic cross section σˆ is computable as a power series expansion in the QCD coupling ab α (Q): S σˆ (p ,p ;Q, ... ;α (Q))=αk(Q) σˆ(LO)(p ,p ;Q, ... ) ab 1 2 { } S S ab 1 2 { } n (NLO) +α (Q)σˆ (p ,p ;Q, ... ) S ab 1 2 { } +α2(Q) σˆ(NNLO)(p ,p ;Q, ... )+ . (3) S ab 1 2 { } ··· o The lowest (or leading) order (LO) term σˆ(LO) gives only a rough estimate of the cross section. Thus one needs the next-to-leading order (NLO)term, which is available for most cases of interest. A list of the available calculations isgiven inSect. 4.1. Cross sections at NNLOare not available at present, but theprospects arediscussed inSect.4.2. The simple formula (2) applies when the cross section being measured is “infrared safe.” This means that the cross section does not change if one high energy strongly interacting light particle in the final state divides into two particles moving in the same direction or if one such particle emits a light particle carrying very small momentum. Thus in order to have a simple theoretical formula one does not typically measure the cross section to find a single high-p pion, say, but rather one measures T the cross section to have a collimated jet of particles with a given total transverse momentum p . If, T instead, a single high-p pion (or, more generally, a high-p hadron H) is measured, the factorization T T formula has to include an additional convolution with the corresponding parton fragmentation function d (z,Q2). Anexample ofacase whereoneneeds amorecomplicated treatment istheproduction of a/H high-p photons. Thiscaseisdiscussed inSect.6. T AsanexampleofaNLOcalculation,wedisplayinFig.1thepredictedcrosssectiondσ/dE dyat T theLHCfortheinclusiveproduction ofajetwithtransverseenergyE andrapidityyaveragedoverthe T rapidityinterval 1 < y < 1. ThecalculationusestheprograminRef.[6]andthepdfsetCTEQ5M[7]. − As mentioned above, the “jets” must be defined with an infrared safe algorithm. Here we use the k T algorithm [8,9]withajoiningparameter R = 1. Thek algorithm hasbettertheoretical properties than T theconealgorithm thathasoftenbeenusedinhadroncollider experiments. In Eq. (2) there are integrations over the parton momentum fractions x and x . The values of 1 2 x and x that dominate the integral are controlled by the kinematics of the hard-scattering process. In 1 2 the case of the production of a heavy particle of mass M and rapidity y, the dominant values of the momentumfractions arex (Me±y)/√s,wheres = (p +p )2 isthesquare ofthecentre-of-mass 1,2 1 2 ∼ energy of the collision. Thus, varying M and y at fixed √s, we are sensitive to partons with different momentumfractions. Increasing√sthepdf’sareprobedinakinematicrangethatextendstowardslarger valuesofQandsmallervaluesofx . Thisisillustrated inFig.2. AttheLHC,x canbequitesmall. 1,2 1,2 Thus small x effects that go beyond the simple formula (2) could be important. These are discussed in Sect.7. In Fig.3weplot NLOcross sections for aselection of hard processes versus √s. Thecurves for the lower values of √s are for pp¯collisions, as at the Tevatron, while the curves for the higher values of √s are for pp collisions, as at the LHC. An approximation (based on an extrapolation of a standard Regge parametrization) to the total cross section is also displayed. We see that the cross sections for production of objects with a fixed mass or jets with a fixed transverse energy E rise with √s. This is T Fig.1: JetcrosssectionattheLHC,averagedovertherapidityinterval 1< y < 1. ThecrosssectioniscalculatedatNLO − usingCTEQ5Mpartonswiththerenormalizationandfactorizationscalessettoµ = µ = E /2. Representativevaluesat R F T E =0.5,1,2,3and4TeVare(6.2 103,8.3 101,4.0 10−1,5.1 10−3,5.9 10−5)fb/GeVwithabout3%statistical T × × × × × errors. because theimportantx valuesdecrease, asdiscussed above,andtherearemorepartons atsmallerx. 1,2 On the other hand, cross sections for jets with transverse momentum that is a fixed fraction of √s fall with√s. Thisis(mostly)because thepartonic crosssectionsσˆ fallwithE likeE−2. T T The perturbative evaluation of the factorization formula (2) is based on performing power series expansions in the QCD coupling α (Q). The dependence of α on the scale Q is logarithmic and it is S S givenbytherenormalization groupequation [4] dα (Q) Q2 S = β(α (Q)) = b α2(Q) b α3(Q)+ , (4) dQ2 S − 0 S − 1 S ··· wherethefirsttwoperturbative coefficients are 33 2N 153 19N f f b = − , b = − , (5) 0 12π 1 24π2 andN isthenumberofflavoursoflightquarks(quarks whosemassismuchsmallerthanthescaleQ). f Thethirdandfourth coefficients b andb oftheβ-function arealsoknown[11,12]. Ifweinclude only 2 3 theLOterm,Eq.(4)hastheexactanalytical solution 1 α (Q)= , (6) S b ln(Q2/Λ2 ) 0 QCD wheretheintegration constant Λ fixestheabsolute sizeoftheQCDcoupling. FromEq.(6)wecan QCD seethatachangeofthescaleQbyanarbitraryfactoroforderunity(say,Q Q/2)inducesavariation → in α that is of the order of α2. This variation in uncontrollable because it is beyond the accuracy at S S which Eq. (6) is valid. Therefore, in LO of perturbation theory the size of α is not unambiguously S defined. The QCD coupling α (Q) can be precisely defined only starting from the NLO in perturbation S theory. Tothis order, the renormalization group equation (4) has no exact analytical solution. Different approximatesolutionscandifferbyhigher-ordercorrectionsandsome(arbitrary)choicehastobemade. Different choices can eventually be related to the definition of different renormalization schemes. The LHC parton kinematics 109 x = (M/14 TeV) exp(– y) 1,2 108 Q = M M = 10 TeV 107 106 M = 1 TeV ) 105 2V e G 2Q ( 104 M = 100 GeV 103 y = 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 102 M = 10 GeV fixed 101 HERA target 100 10-7 10-6 10-5 10-4 10-3 10-2 10-1 100 x Fig.2:ValuesofxandQ2probedintheproductionofanobjectofmassM andrapidityyattheLHC,√s=14TeV. mostpopularchoice[13]istousetheMS-schemetodefinerenormalizationandthentousethefollowing approximate solution ofthetwoloopevolution equation todefineΛ : QCD b ln[ln(Q2/Λ2 )] ln2[ln(Q2/Λ2 )] 1 1 MS MS α (Q) = 1 + . (7) S b0ln(Q2/Λ2 ) " − b0ln(Q2/Λ2 ) O ln2(Q2/Λ2 ) !# MS MS MS Herethedefinition ofΛ (Λ = Λ )iscontained inthefact that there isnoterm proportional QCD QCD MS to 1/ln2(Q2/Λ2 ). In this expression there are N light quarks. Depending on the value of Q, one QCD f maywanttousedifferentvaluesforthenumberofquarksthatareconsideredlight. Thenonemustmatch between different renormalization schemes, andcorrespondingly change thevalue ofΛ asdiscussed MS in Ref. [13]. The constant Λ is the one fundamental constant of QCDthat must be determined from MS experiments. Equivalently, experiments can be used to determine the value of α at a fixed reference S scale Q = µ . It has become standard to choose µ = M . The most recent determinations of α 0 0 Z S lead [13] to the world average α (M ) = 0.119 0.002. In present applications to hadron collisions, S Z ± the value of α is often varied in the wider range α (M ) = 0.113 0.123 to conservatively estimate S S Z − theoretical uncertainties. The parton distribution functions f (x,Q2) at any fixed scale Q are not computable in pertur- a/h bation theory. However, their scale dependence is perturbatively controlled by the DGLAP evolution proton - (anti)proton cross sections 109 109 108 s 108 tot 107 107 Tevatron LHC 106 106 105 105 s b 104 1041 -s 103 103-2m c 102 s jet(ETjet > (cid:214) s/20) 102330 1 = s (nb) 111000-011 s jet(ETjet > 100 GessVWZ) 111000-011nts/sec for L e v 10-2 10-2e 10-3 s 10-3 t 10-4 s jet(ETjet > (cid:214) s/4) 10-4 10-5 s Higgs(MH = 150 GeV) 10-5 10-6 10-6 s (M = 500 GeV) Higgs H 10-7 10-7 0.1 1 10 (cid:214) s (TeV) Fig.3: Crosssectionsforhardscatteringversus√s. Thecrosssectionvaluesat√s = 14TeVare: σ = 99.4mb,σ = tot b 0.633mb,σ =0.888nb,σ =187nb,σ =55.5nb,σ (M =150GeV)=23.8pb,σ (M =500GeV)=3.82pb, t W Z H H H H σ (Ejet > 100 GeV) =1.57 µb,σ (Ejet >√s/20) = 0.133nb,σ (Ejet >√s/4) = 0.10fb. Allexceptthefirstof jet T jet T jet T thesearecalculatedusingthelatestMRSTpdf’s[10]. equation [14–17] df (x,Q2) 1 dz Q2 a/h = P (α (Q2),z)f (x/z,Q2) . (8) dQ2 z ab S a/h b Zx X Having determined f (x,Q2) at a given input scale Q = Q , the evolution equation can be used to a/h 0 0 computethepdf’satdifferentperturbative scalesQandlargervaluesofx. The kernels P (α ,z) in Eq. (8) are the Altarelli–Parisi (AP) splitting functions. They depend ab S on the parton flavours a,b but do not depend on the colliding hadron h and thus they are process- independent. TheAPsplitting functions canbecomputedasapowerseriesexpansion inα : S P (α ,z) = α P(LO)(z)+α2P(NLO)(z)+α3P(NNLO)(z)+ (α4) . (9) ab S S ab S ab S ab O S (LO) (NLO) TheLOandNLOtermsP (z)andP (z)intheexpansion areknown[18–24]. Thesefirsttwo ab ab terms (their explicit expressions are collected in Ref. [4]) are used in most of the QCD studies. Partial (NNLO) calculations [25,26] of the next-to-next-to-leading order (NNLO) term P (z) are also available ab (seeSects.2.5,2.6and4.2). As in the case of α , the definition and the evolution of the pdf’s depends on how many of the S quark flavors are considered to be light in the calculation in which the parton distributions are used. Again, there are matching conditions that apply. In the currently popular sets of parton distributions thereisachangeofdefinitionatQ = M,whereM isthemassofaheavyquark. The factorization on the right-hand side of Eq. (2) in terms of (perturbative) process-dependent partonic cross sections and (non-perturbative) process-independent pdf’s involves some degree of arbi- trariness, which is known as factorization-scheme dependence. We can always ‘re-define’ the pdf’s by multiplying (convoluting) them by some process-independent perturbative function. Thus, we should always specify the factorization-scheme used to define the pdf’s. The most common scheme is the MS factorization-scheme [4]. Analternativescheme,knownasDISfactorization-scheme [27],issometimes used. Ofcourse,physicalquantitiescannotdependonthefactorization scheme. Perturbativecorrections beyond the LO to partonic cross sections and AP splitting functions are thus factorization-scheme de- pendent to compensate the corresponding dependence of the pdf’s. In the evaluation of hadronic cross sections at a given perturbative order, the compensation may not be exact because of the presence of yetuncalculated higher-order terms. Quantitativestudiesofthefactorization-scheme dependence canbe usedtosetalowerlimitonthesizeofmissinghigher-order corrections. Thefactorization-scheme dependence isnottheonlysignal oftheuncertainty related tothecom- putation of thefactorization formula (2)bytruncating itsperturbative expansion atagiven order. Trun- cation leads to additional uncertainties and, in particular, to a dependence on the renormalization and factorization scales. The renormalization scale µ is the scale at which the QCDcoupling α is evalu- R S ated. The factorization scale µ is introduced to separate the bound-state effects (which are embodied F inthepdf’s)fromtheperturbative interactions (whichareembodied inthepartonic crosssection) ofthe partons. InEqs.(2)and (3)wetookµ = µ = Q. Onphysical grounds thesescales havetobeofthe R F sameorderasQ,buttheirvaluecannotbeunambiguously fixed. Inthegeneral case,theright-hand side ofEq.(2)ismodifiedbyintroducing explicitdependence onµ ,µ according tothereplacement R F f (x ,Q2) f (x ,Q2) σˆ (x p ,x p ;Q, ... ;α (Q)) a/h1 1 a/h2 2 ab 1 1 2 2 { } S ↓ f (x ,µ2) f (x ,µ2) σˆ (x p ,x p ;Q, ... ;µ ,µ ;α (µ )) . (10) a/h1 1 F a/h2 2 F ab 1 1 2 2 { } R F S R Thephysicalcrosssectionσ(p ,p ;Q, ... )doesnotdependonthearbitraryscalesµ ,µ ,butparton 1 2 R F { } densities and partonic cross sections separately depend on these scales. The µ ,µ -dependence of the R F partonic cross sections appears in their perturbative expansion and compensates the µ dependence of R α (µ ) and the µ -dependence of the pdf’s. The compensation would be exact if everything could S R F be computed to all orders in perturbation theory. However, when the quantities entering Eq. (10) are evaluated at,say, then-thperturbative order, theresult exhibits aresidual µ ,µ -dependence, whichis R F formally of the (n+1)-th order. That is, the explicit µ ,µ -dependence that still remains reflects the R F absence of yet uncalculated higher-order terms. For this reason, the size of the µ ,µ dependence is R F oftenusedasameasureofthesizeofatleastsomeoftheuncalculated higher-order termsandthusasan estimatorofthetheoretical errorcausedbytruncating theperturbative expansion. As an example, we estimate the theoretical error on the predicted jet cross section in Fig. 1. We varytherenormalization scaleµ andthefactorization scaleµ . InFig.4,weplot R F dσ(µ /E ,µ /E )/dE dy R T F T T ∆(µ /E ,µ /E ) = h i (11) R T F T dσ(0.5,0.5)/dE dy T h i versus E for four values of the pair µ /E ,µ /E , namely 0.25,0.25 , 1.0,0.25 0.25,1.0 , T R T F T { } { } { } { } and 1.0,1.0 . We see about a 10% variation in the cross section. This suggests that the theoretical { } uncertainty isatleast10%. The issue of the scale dependence of the perturbative QCDcalculations has received attention in theliteratureandvariousrecipeshavebeenproposed tochoose‘optimal’valuesofµ(seethereferences Fig.4: Variationofthejetcrosssectionwithrenormalizationandfactorizationscale. Weshow∆definedinEq.(11)versus E forfourchoicesof µ /E ,µ /E . T R T F T { } in [13]). There is no compelling argument that shows that these ‘optimal’ values reduce the size of the yet unknown higher-order corrections. These recipes may thus be used to get more confidence on the central value of the theoretical calculation, but they cannot be used to reduce its theoretical uncer- tainty asestimated, forinstance, byscale variations around µ Q. Thetheoretical uncertainty ensuing ∼ from the truncation of the perturbative series can only be reduced by actually computing more terms in perturbation theory. Wehavesofardiscussed thefactorization formula(2). Weshouldemphasizethatthereisanother mode of analysis of the theory available, that embodied in Monte Carlo event generator programs. In this type of analysis, one is limited (at present) to leading order partonic hard scattering cross sections. However,onesimulatesthecompletephysicalprocess,beginningwiththehardscatteringandproceeding throughpartonshoweringviarepeatedonepartontotwopartonsplittingsandfinallyendingwithamodel forhowpartons turnintohadrons. Thisclassofprograms, whichsimulatecomplete eventsaccording to anapproximation toQCD,arevery important to thedesign andanalysis ofexperiments. Current issues inMonteCarloeventgenerator andotherrelatedcomputerprogramsarediscussed inSect.3. 2. PARTONDISTRIBUTIONFUNCTIONS1 Parton distributions (pdf’s) play a central role in hard scattering cross sections at the LHC. A precise knowledge of the pdf’s is absolutely vital for reliable predictions for signal and background cross sec- tions. In many cases, it is the uncertainty in the input pdf’s that dominates the theoretical error on the prediction. Such uncertainties can arise both from the starting distributions, obtained from a global fit to DIS, DY and other data, and from DGLAP evolution to the higher Q2 scales typical of LHC hard scattering processes. To predict LHC cross sections we will need accurate pdf’s over a wide range of x and Q2 (see Fig. 2). Several groups have made significant contributions to the determination of pdf’s both during and after the workshop. The MRST and CTEQ global analyses have been updated and refined, and small numerical problems have been corrected. The ‘central’ pdf sets obtained from these global fits are, not surprisingly, very similar, and remain the best way to estimate central values for LHC cross sections. Speciallyconstructed variantsofthecentralfits(exploring, forexample,differentvaluesofα S ordifferenttheoretical treatmentsofheavyquarkdistributions) allowthesensitivityofthecrosssections tosomeoftheinputassumptions. Arigorousandglobaltreatmentofpdfuncertaintiesremainselusive,buttherehasbeensignificant progressinthelastfewyears,withseveralgroupsintroducingsophisticatedstatisticalanalysesintoquasi- global fits. Whilesomeofthemorenovelmethods arestillataratherpreliminary stage, itishoped that overthenextfewyearstheymaybedeveloped intousefultools. One can reasonably expect that by LHCstart-up time, the precision pdf determinations willhave improved from NLO to NNLO. Although the complete NNLO splitting functions have not yet been 1Sectioncoordinators: R.Ball,M.DittmarandW.J.Stirling. d (exp) F 2 d (feed-down) ~ S xq d a ,d g S d (higher-twist) low log Q2 high Fig. 5: Schematicrepresentation of the various uncertainties contributing to theprediction of astructure function or parton distributionathighQ2. calculated, severalstudieshavemadeuseofpartialinformation (moments,x 0,1limitingbehaviour) → toassesstheimpactoftheNNLOcorrections. Atthesametime,accuratemeasurements ofStandardModel(SM)crosssections attheLHCwill further constrain the pdf’s. The kinematic acceptance of the LHC detectors allows a large range of x and Q2 to be probed. Furthermore, the wide variety of final states and high parton-parton luminosities available will allow an accurate determination of the gluon density and flavour decomposition of quark densities. All of the above issues are discussed in the individual contributions that follow. Lack of space hasnecessarilyrestrictedtheamountofinformationthatcanbeincluded, butmoredetailscanalwaysbe foundintheliterature. 2.1 MRS:pdfuncertaintiesandW andZ productionattheLHC2 There are several reasons why it is very difficult to derive overall ‘one sigma’ errors on parton distri- butions of the form f δf . In the global fit there are complicated correlations between a particular i i ± pdf at different xvalues, and between the different pdf flavours. Forexample, the charm distribution is correlated withthegluondistribution, thegluondistribution atlowxiscorrelated withthegluonathigh xviathemomentumsumrule,andsoon. Secondly, manyoftheuncertainties intheinputdataorfitting procedure are not ‘true’ errors in the probabilistic sense. For example, the uncertainty in the high–x gluon in the MRSTfits [28] derives from a subjective assessment of the impact of ‘intrinsic k ’ on the T prompt photon cross sections included in the global fit. Despite these difficulties, several groups have attempted to extract meaningful δf pdf errors (see [29,30] and Sects. 2.3,2.4). Typically, these anal- i ± yses focus on subsets of the available DIS and other data, which are statistically ‘clean’, i.e. free from undetermined systematic errors. As a result, various aspects of the pdf’s that are phenomenologically important, theflavourstructure oftheseaandtheseaandgluondistributions atlargexforexample, are eitheronlyweaklyconstrained ornotdeterminedatall. Facedwiththedifficultiesintryingtoformulateglobalpdferrors,onecanadoptamorepragmatic approach to the problem by making a detailed assessment of the pdf uncertainty for a particular cross section of interest. This involves determining which partons contribute and at which x and Q2 values, and then systematically tracing back to the data sets that constrained the distributions in the global fit. Individual pdfsetscanthenbeconstructed toreflecttheuncertainty intheparticular partons determined byaparticular dataset. 2Contributingauthors:A.D.Martin,R.G.Roberts,W.J.StirlingandR.S.Thorne.

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