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Project Governance: Getting Investments Right PDF

308 Pages·2012·2.292 MB·English
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Project Governance Also by Terry M. Williams MAKING ESSENTIAL CHOICES WITH SCANT INFORMATION MANAGING AND MODELLING COMPLEX PROJECTS MODELLING COMPLEX PROJECTS MANAGEMENT SCIENCE IN PRACTICE Also by Knut Samset EARLY PROJECT APPRAISAL: Making the Initial Choices PROJECT EVALUATION, MAKING PROJECTS SUCCEED MAKING ESSENTIAL CHOICES WITH SCANT INFORMATION Project Governance Getting Investments Right Edited by Terry M. Williams Hull University Business School, UK and Knut Samset Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Norway Selection and editorial content © Terry M. Williams and Knut Samset 2012 Individual chapters © the contributors 2012 All rights reserved. No reproduction, copy or transmission of this publication may be made without written permission. No portion of this publication may be reproduced, copied or transmitted save with written permission or in accordance with the provisions of the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988, or under the terms of any licence permitting limited copying issued by the Copyright Licensing Agency, Saffron House, 6–10 Kirby Street, London EC1N 8TS. Any person who does any unauthorized act in relation to this publication may be liable to criminal prosecution and civil claims for damages. The authors have asserted their rights to be identified as the authors of this work in accordance with the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988. First published 2012 by PALGRAVE MACMILLAN Palgrave Macmillan in the UK is an imprint of Macmillan Publishers Limited, registered in England, company number 785998, of Houndmills, Basingstoke, Hampshire RG21 6XS. Palgrave Macmillan in the US is a division of St Martin’s Press LLC, 175 Fifth Avenue, New York, NY 10010. Palgrave Macmillan is the global academic imprint of the above companies and has companies and representatives throughout the world. Palgrave® and Macmillan® are registered trademarks in the United States, the United Kingdom, Europe and other countries. ISBN 978-1-349-34897-8 ISBN 978-1-137-27461-8 (eBook) DOI 10.1057/9781137274618 This book is printed on paper suitable for recycling and made from fully managed and sustained forest sources. Logging, pulping and manufacturing processes are expected to conform to the environmental regulations of the country of origin. A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library. A catalog record for this book is available from the Library of Congress. 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 21 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 Contents List of Tables and Figures vi Acknowledgements viii Notes on Contributors ix Introduction 1 Terry Williams and Knut Samset 1 The Influence of Strategic Context on Project Management Systems: A Senior Management Perspective 3 V. K. Narayanan and Robert DeFillippi 2 The Proposal 46 Knut Samset and Gro Holst Volden 3 Assessing the Proposal 81 Chris Chapman 4 Designing the Project 135 Andrew Edkins and Alan Smith 5 Decision-Making in Organisations 175 Tim O’Leary 6 Fading Glory? Decision-Making around the Project – How and Why ‘Glory’ Projects Fail 221 Svetlana Cicmil and Derek Braddon 7 Decision-Making in the Political Environment 256 Tom Christensen Concluding Note 277 Terry Williams Index 282 v List of Tables and Figures Tables 1.1 A comparative summary of the stages of project management systems 23 1.2 Competencies and maturity of PM system 38 2.1 Five widely applied success measures 48 3.1 A traditional four-stage view of the asset lifecycle and dominant management aspects 83 3.2 V (£) as a function of n for the insulation example 119 3.3 V (£ millions) as a function of r = the real discount rate (% per annum) 120 5.1 A stage gate approval process 178 5.2 Comparing the social trajectory and systems control models 197 5.3 Approaches to managing complex and uncertain projects 202 5.4 The structure of conversations for action (based on Winograd and Flores, 1987) 209 Figures 1.1 A framework for analysis 18 1.2 Choice of project management system 37 2.1 Successful projects 49 2.2 An investment case is implemented as a project after prior assessment of alternative concepts 59 2.3 Trade-off between the amount/quality of information and the acquisition cost 65 2.4 Early underestimation relative to what is the finally approved budget is often far greater than the cost overrun 67 2.5 Strategic overestimation of benefits 69 2.6 Costs and benefits over the project’s life cycle 70 2.7 Deterring effects of user fees 72 2.8 Inelastic demand 73 2.9 Pricing of congestion 73 vi List of Tables and Figures vii 3.1 Simple interval estimate example 86 3.2 An illustration of the approximation involved 86 3.3 Sensitivity diagram: Highways Agency (HA) example 89 3.4 The role of the performance lens and the knowledge lens to visualise uncertainty 93 3.5 Decision diagram: One risk efficient choice example 95 3.6 Decision diagram: Two risk efficient choices example 97 3.7 Decision diagram: Comparison of approaches A, B and C 100 3.8 Efficient options in an ‘efficient frontier’ portrayal 104 3.9 The basic project definition process – the seven Ws 105 4.1 A two dimensional view of novelty within projects – with illustrative examples 146 5.1 The project trajectory and the ‘alignment-seeking’ process 198 5.2 The operation of the ‘alignment-seeking’ process 199 Acknowledgements This book is a result of research funded by the Concept Research Programme on front-end management of public investment projects. More information on the programme is given on www.concept.ntnu.no. The editors and author would like to thank John Wiley and Sons for per- mission to use selected parts of ‘How to Manage Project Opportunity and Risk’ (Chapman and Ward, 2011) as a basis for drafting the text of Chapter 3, as well as for permission to reuse figures and tables. viii Notes on Contributors Derek Braddon is Emeritus Professor of Economics at the Bristol Business School, University of the West of England, Bristol. His principal research interests include the economics of defence, peace and conflict and also the economics of international business, the new industrial economics and the governance of large-scale international projects. Professor Braddon has published seven books and many papers in these areas and has made over 200 TV, radio and news media contributions on related themes. He has been Director of the University’s Defence Economics Research Group since 1984 and is also Visiting Professor at the United Nations University’s European Centre for Peace and Development in Belgrade, Serbia. Chris Chapman is Emeritus Professor of Management Science, University of Southampton, UK, and a senior associate of The Nichols Group, London, UK. He is a former director of the School of Management, University of Southampton. He is a past president of the Operational Research Society, and he was Founding Chair of the APM Project Risk Management Specific Interest Group. Consultancy and research grounded on consultancy experi- ence addressing risk, opportunity and uncertainty in project, operations and corporate contexts has been a central concern of his since the 1970s, with an international client set and a range of publications. Tom Christensen is Professor of Public Administration and Public Policy at the Department of Political Science, University of Oslo. He is also Adjunct Professor at University of Bergen and City University of Hong Kong. His main research interest is in the field of comparative public reform and his theory basis is organisation theory. He has published internationally about 80 articles and books. He belongs to several international research networks and projects. Svetlana Cicmilis Director of Postgraduate Research and Associate Professor in Global Operations, Faculty of Business and Law, University of the West of England, UK. A civil engineer by training, she worked in the construction industry before starting an academic career as a researcher and executive management educator internationally. Svetlana’s research focuses on the critical study of project-based work and management as economic, social and political phenomena and on the pursuit of advanced understandings of complexity in organisations, risk, crisis and sustainability. She has published widely in academic and professional journals and co-edited an influential book Making Projects Critical (Palgrave Macmillan, 2005). Her research has been supported by national and intentional grants. ix

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