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Profiting without Producing. How Finance Exploits Us All PDF

370 Pages·2013·3.601 MB·English
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1 2015 2 CONTENTS PART 1 FINANCIALIZATION: THEORETICAL ANALYSIS AND HISTORICAL PRECEDENTS 1 INTRODUCTION: THE RISE AND RISE OF FINANCE 2 APPROACHING FINANCIALIZATION: LITERATURE AND THEORY 3 THE FIRST WAVE OF FINANCIAL ASCENDANCY: MARXIST THEORETICAL RESPONSES PART 2 POLITICAL ECONOMY OF FINANCIALIZATION 4 THE MONETARY BASIS OF FINANCIALIZED CAPITALISM 5 THE FLUID TERRAIN OF FINANCIALIZATION: FINANCE AND THE CAPITALIST ECONOMY 6 THE CONUNDRUM OF FINANCIAL PROFIT PART 3 EMPIRICAL AND HISTORICAL FEATURES OF FINANCIALIZATION 7 THE CONTEXT OF FINANCIALIZED ACCUMULATION 8 UNDERLYING TENDENCIES AND VARIABLE FORMS: MATURE AND SUBORDINATE FINANCIALIZATION 9 TENDING TO CRISIS: GIGANTIC TURMOIL BREAKS OUT IN 2007 10 CONTROLLING FINANCE Bibliography 3 PREFACE The 2000s were an extraordinary period for finance in terms of prices, profits, and volume of transactions, but also in terms of influence and arrogance. By the middle of the decade a vast bubble had been inflated in the US and the UK, the bursting of which could not be reliably timed but whose aftermath was likely to be devastating. Trivial as this point might seem in 2013, it was almost impossible to convey it at the time to specialists and students of finance, and even to activists and socialists. Public perceptions were dominated by the so- called expert skills of the financial system in ‘slicing and dicing’ risk, and by the putative wisdom of the ‘Great Moderation’ in inflation policy. Structural crises were a thing of the past, or of the developing world, not of mature countries, where institutions were strong and economists well trained. It seemed that finance had discovered the perpetuum mobile of profit making. By the middle of the first decade of the new century, it was also apparent that the processes under way amounted to more than financial excess. The bubble reflected profound changes in the conduct of non-financial enterprises, banks, and households. After years of financial ascendancy, the agents of capitalist accumulation assigned to financial operations a weight that was historically unprecedented. Finance was pivotal to profit making and to organizing everyday life, but also to determining economic policy as a whole. Mature capitalism had become financialized. This book was initially conceived in that context, and its aim was to analyse the ascendancy of finance and the concomitant financialization of capitalism. By bringing to bear previous work on money and finance, the intention was to develop a theoretical analysis of financialization with clear Marxist characteristics. It was to be a book that would draw on Anglo-Saxon political economy and Japanese Uno Marxism, while being familiar with mainstream theory of money and finance. It would thus contribute to filling the hole still gaping in political economy in this field. As is often the case with plans of this sort, reality intervened. In August 2007 the US money market had a heart attack, and in August–September 2008 the global financial system had a near-death experience. The bubble had indeed burst and a catastrophe was in the offing. The destructive influence of finance on the rest of the economy had become evident, as had the role of the state in supporting and promoting financialization. More than that, however, it soon became clear that this was a structural crisis that would not go away quickly. The bursting of the bubble had ushered in a crisis of financialization that cast fresh light on the historic transformation of mature capitalism during the preceding decades. It became necessary to re-examine the underlying tendencies of financialization, focusing in particular on the sources of financial profit. The book would have to be delayed. 4 And then in 2010–2012 the crisis took an even more dangerous turn. States had become perilously exposed to debt because recession had reduced tax revenues, while rescuing finance had imposed fresh costs on the exchequer. A bubble inflated by private capital had resulted in a crisis of public finance. Rising state indebtedness created turmoil of extraordinary ferocity in the eurozone, bringing into sharp relief the split between core and periphery, pushing several peripheral countries toward default, and threatening a break-up of the monetary union. The spectre of a gigantic crisis hung over the world economy. It became clear that financialization would have to be rethought still further in view of its monetary dimension, particularly the precariousness of its domestic and international monetary underpinnings. The crisis was far from over at the time of writing this book. However, the temptation had to be resisted to delay publication still further in the expectation that other important features of financialization would emerge. It was time to submit to the public sphere the analysis of the structural and historical content of financialization, even if that meant trying to hit a moving target. The monetary and financial aspects of the transformation of capitalism during the last four decades have been increasingly discussed by political economy, particularly its Marxist strain. This book has a distinctive argument to make regarding financialization, including particularly the predatory and expropriating character of financial profit and its implications for social stratification. Light could thus be shed on the tendency to crisis that has characterized financialization since its inception. In offering thanks for help with preparing this book, I must first acknowledge that too many debts are owed to too many people to thank them all by name. Still, Makoto Itoh must be thanked personally, not so much for helping directly but for his unstinting intellectual support over many years. If only other senior political economists shared his generosity of spirit. I must also thank Tomohiko Sekine for sparing the time to discuss with me difficult issues of capitalist accumulation on several occasions. The finer points of Unoist Marxism were far easier to grasp with such teachers. Thanks should also be addressed to many other Japanese political economists who have been friends, colleagues and interlocutors to me over long years. Iroiro to osewa ni narimashite, hontou ni arigatou gozaimashita. It is also necessary to thank members of Research on Money and Finance to whom I owe intellectual and practical debts. RMF came to life when the bubble of the 2000s burst, and I am proud to say that its input in international debate has been significant. Back in 2010, it was impossible to imagine the full extent of the storm hitting Europe, but we gave a good account of ourselves despite having very few resources. Without the lively spirit of inquiry of RMF members, the analysis of financialization would have been much harder to undertake. In this respect I should single out Iren Levina whose persistent intellectual curiosity and facility with data helped shape the arguments of this book. Special thanks are also due to Eugenia Pires, Jeff Powell, Juan Painceira and Jo Michell for help with the bibliography and the data despite heavy pressures of life and work. 5 One of the few positive outcomes of financialization has been the resurgence of Marxist analysis of money and finance. It is not so long ago that these issues were a minority pursuit among Marxist political economists, particularly in the Anglo-Saxon tradition. Things are now very different as a new generation is entering the lists. Things are still more different as activists and socialists have come to realize the specific gravity of finance in contemporary capitalism. There are growing political and social demands for an effective response to the disasters created by financialization. This book is intended as a theoretical contribution to the debate in the hope that it would also contribute to confronting financialization in practice. The opposition to contemporary capitalism will only gain if Marxist theory continues its resurgence. London January 2013 6 Part 1 FINANCIALIZATION: THEORETICAL ANALYSIS AND HISTORICAL PRECEDENTS 1. INTRODUCTION: THE RISE AND RISE OF FINANCE A peculiar crisis In the summer of 2007 several mature capitalist economies entered a period of instability of historic proportions. The first intimations of economic malfunctioning had appeared in the US in the summer of 2006, as the housing market started to fall, demand weakened, and profitability took a turn for the worse. But actual crisis conditions emerged only in August 2007, after a spasm had traversed the international money markets, making liquidity hard to obtain among banks. During the following twelve months, financial conditions became progressively worse, while production, consumption, and trade essentially marked time. And then, in August–September 2008, a ferocious financial storm broke out: international banks failed, credit disappeared, and money became almost impossible to obtain on a private basis. Collapse of much of the US financial system, and by extension much of global finance, was avoided only through state intervention supplying banks with liquidity and capital, all drawn from public resources. Nonetheless, the world economy entered a sharp recession in 2008– 2009, at the end of which conditions of rapid accumulation failed to be restored across developed countries. On the contrary, the tightness of public revenue due to recession, as well as the public expenditures required to rescue finance and forestall economic collapse, created large fiscal deficits in several countries. The result was the emergence of a crisis of public debt after 2010, which assumed a particularly severe form in Europe. The crisis of public debt has had two implications, both pregnant with risks for capitalist accumulation across the world. First, it has menaced banks holding the public bonds of states that have had difficulties in meeting their obligations; hence, the crisis has threatened to return to the financial system whence it has emanated. Second, and far more dangerously, the crisis of public debt has directly affected the cohesion of the European Monetary Union. If the common currency created by the European Union collapsed, it is likely that there would be an unprecedented global disturbance. The crisis of the 2000s will prove fertile ground for economic historians for decades to come with regard to both its causes and consequences. However, the crisis has already had one definite outcome: it has finally lifted the curtain on the transformation of mature and developing capitalist economies during the last three decades, confirming the pivotal role of finance, both domestically and internationally. Financial capital permeates economic 7 activity, and interacts with financial markets in ways capable of generating enormous profits but also precipitating global crises. In terms that will be used throughout this book, contemporary capitalism is ‘financialized’ and the turmoil commencing in 2007 is a crisis of ‘financialization’. The economic processes – and the social relations – characteristic of financialization represent a milestone in the development of capitalism. The catalyst of crisis in 2007 was speculative mortgage lending to the poorest workers in the US during the 2000s, the loans being subsequently traded in ‘securitized’ form in global financial markets. It is hard to exaggerate what an extraordinary fact this is. Under conditions of classical, nineteenth- century capitalism it would have been unthinkable for a global disruption of accumulation to materialize because of debts incurred by workers, including the poorest. But this is precisely what has happened under conditions of financialized capitalism, an economic and social system that is much more sophisticated than its nineteenth-century predecessor. Financialization has emerged gradually during recent decades, and its content and implications are the focus of this book. To be sure, capitalist economies are continually restructured due to pressures of competition and to the underlying drive to maintain profitability. However, some transformations have a distinctive historical significance, and financialization is one of those. The change that has taken place in mature capitalist economies and societies since the late 1970s requires appropriate attention to be paid to finance. Consider the following features of financialization to substantiate this claim. Context and structural aspects of financialization Mature capitalism has been historically marked by deep transformations of economy and society. Toward the end of the nineteenth century, for instance, there emerged new methods of production in heavy industry, accompanied by the rise of monopolistic, joint- stock enterprises. The change coincided with a long depression, 1873–96, and led to a rebalancing of global productive power away from Britain and toward the US and Germany. Similarly, at the end of the Second World War, mass consumption emerged across several developed countries based on methods of mass production. A long boom occurred, lasting until 1973–74, during which production became increasingly dominated by transnational monopolistic enterprises, while finance operated under a system of controls domestically and internationally. For nearly three decades, the US was the dominant economic force in global production and trade. The transformation represented by financialization is of a similar order of importance. Since the 1970s, there have been profound changes in production methods deriving from information and telecommunications technologies. Transnational enterprises have become dominant over global production and international trade. The centre of gravity of global productive capacity has partly shifted from mature economies in the West toward rising economies in the East, primarily China. Meanwhile, the institutional framework of capitalist 8 activity has been altered as deregulation has prevailed in important markets, above all, for labour and finance. Throughout this period, accumulation has lacked dynamism in mature countries, inequality was exacerbated, and crises have become sharper and more frequent. The most striking feature of the period, however, has been the rise of finance, the start of which can be usefully placed in the late 1970s. The financial sector had become progressively larger in the 1950s and 1960s, while still operating within the regulatory framework characteristic of the long post-war boom. However, even by the late 1970s, the domestic and international importance of finance remained modest. The three decades that followed have witnessed unprecedented expansion of financial activities, rapid growth of financial profits, permeation of economy and society by financial relations, and domination of economic policy by the concerns of the financial sector. At the same time, the productive sector in mature countries has exhibited mediocre growth performance, profit rates have remained below the levels of the 1950s and 1960s, unemployment has generally risen and become persistent, and real wages have shown no tendency to rise in a sustained manner. An asymmetry has emerged between the sphere of production and the ballooning sphere of circulation. The rise of finance has been predicated on a radical alteration of the monetary framework of capitalist accumulation, both internationally and domestically. International monetary conditions have been stamped by the collapse of the Bretton Woods Agreement in 1971–73. Bretton Woods had enforced the convertibility of the US dollar into gold at $35 to the ounce, thus fixing exchange rates during the long boom. Its collapse led to the gradual emergence of alternative international monetary arrangements based on the US dollar functioning as inconvertible quasi-world-money. The new arrangements have generated considerable instability of exchange and interest rates, thereby spurring the growth of international financial markets. Growth of international capital flows during the same period, partly in response to exchange and interest rate instability, has led to financialization in developing countries. Domestic monetary conditions, in contrast, have been marked by the steady accumulation of power by central banks as controllers of credit money backed by the state. Central banks have emerged as the dominant public institution of financialization, the defender of the interests of the financial sector. The ascendancy of central banks is hardly surprising, since financialization in general would have been impossible without active and continuous intervention by the state. Financialization has depended on the state to deregulate the financial system with regard to prices, quantities, functions and cross-border flows of capital. Equally, financialization has depended on the state to regulate the adequacy of own capital, the management of risk, and the rules of competition among financial institutions. Even more decisively, financialization has depended on the state to intervene periodically to underwrite the solvency of banks, to provide extraordinary liquidity and to guarantee the deposits of the public with banks. 9 Ultimately, however, the rise of finance has resulted from changes deep within capitalist accumulation. Three characteristic tendencies of accumulation in mature countries have shaped financialization as a structural transformation of contemporary capitalism. First, non- financial enterprises have become increasingly involved in financial processes on an independent basis, often undertaking financial market transactions on own account. The financialization of industrial and commercial enterprises has affected their profitability, internal organization, and investment outlook. Non-financial enterprises have become relatively more remote from banks and other financial institutions. Second, banks have focused on transacting in open financial markets with the aim of making profits through financial trading rather than through outright borrowing and lending. At the same time banks have turned toward individual and household income as a source of profit, often combining trading in open markets with lending to households, or collecting household savings. Third, individuals and households have come increasingly to rely on the formal financial system to facilitate access to vital goods and services, including housing, education, health, and transport. The savings of households and individuals have also been increasingly mobilized by the formal financial system. The transformation of the conduct of non-financial enterprises, banks and households constitutes the basis of financialization. Examining these relations theoretically and empirically, and thus establishing the deeper content of financialized capitalism, is the main task of this book. The concepts and methods deployed for the purpose derive from Marxist political economy. To summarize, the capitalist economy is treated as a structured whole that comprises different spheres of activity – namely production, circulation, and distribution – among which production is dominant. Both production and circulation possess their own internal logic, even though the two spheres are inextricably linked. Production creates value; its motive is profit (surplus value) deriving from the exploitation of labour; its aim is the accumulation of capital. Circulation does not create value; it results in profits, but these derive mostly – though not exclusively – from redistributing surplus value. Finance is a part of circulation, but also possesses mechanisms standing aside commodity trading and its corresponding flows of money. The traded object of finance is loanable money capital, the cornerstone of capitalist credit. Production, circulation and distribution give rise to class relations, pivoting on the ownership of the means of production, but also determined by the appropriation of profits. Financialization reflects a growing asymmetry between production and circulation – particularly the financial component of the latter – during the last three decades. The asymmetry has arisen as the financial conduct of non-financial enterprises, banks and households has gradually changed, thus fostering a range of aggregate phenomena of financialization. A telling aspect of the transformation has been the rise of profits accruing through financial transactions, including new forms of profit that could even be unrelated to surplus value. This process is summed up as ‘financial expropriation’ in subsequent chapters. New social layers have emerged as financial profit has burgeoned. 10

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Most books are stored in the elastic cloud where traffic is expensive. For this reason, we have a limit on daily download.