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Christopher J. O’Donnell Productivity and Efficiency Analysis An Economic Approach to Measuring and Explaining Managerial Performance fi Productivity and Ef ciency Analysis ’ Christopher J. O Donnell fi Productivity and Ef ciency Analysis An Economic Approach to Measuring and Explaining Managerial Performance 123 Christopher J.O’Donnell University of Queensland Brisbane, QLD,Australia Additional material tothis bookcanbedownloaded from http://extras.springer.com. ISBN978-981-13-2982-1 ISBN978-981-13-2984-5 (eBook) https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-13-2984-5 LibraryofCongressControlNumber:2018958930 ©SpringerNatureSingaporePteLtd.2018 Thisworkissubjecttocopyright.AllrightsarereservedbythePublisher,whetherthewholeorpart of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission orinformationstorageandretrieval,electronicadaptation,computersoftware,orbysimilarordissimilar methodologynowknownorhereafterdeveloped. The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, service marks, etc. in this publicationdoesnotimply,evenintheabsenceofaspecificstatement,thatsuchnamesareexemptfrom therelevantprotectivelawsandregulationsandthereforefreeforgeneraluse. The publisher, the authors and the editors are safe to assume that the advice and information in this book are believed to be true and accurate at the date of publication. Neither the publisher nor the authorsortheeditorsgiveawarranty,expressorimplied,withrespecttothematerialcontainedhereinor for any errors or omissions that may have been made. The publisher remains neutral with regard to jurisdictionalclaimsinpublishedmapsandinstitutionalaffiliations. ThisSpringerimprintispublishedbytheregisteredcompanySpringerNatureSingaporePteLtd. Theregisteredcompanyaddressis:152BeachRoad,#21-01/04GatewayEast,Singapore189721, Singapore To the memory of my parents, Brian James and Arkley Jean. Preface This book provides a coherent description of the main economic concepts and statisticalmethodsusedtoanalysemanagerialperformance.Itisprimarilyaimedat researchers, statisticians, accountants and economists working in regulatory authorities, government departments and private firms. The target audience also includes graduate students and academics. All readers are expected to have com- pleted introductory university courses in economics, mathematics and statistics. The book contains nine chapters. Chapter 1 provides a summary of the main ideas presented later in the book. Among other things, it explains exactly what is meant by the terms ‘production technology’, ‘production environment’, ‘produc- tivity’ and ‘efficiency’. Chapter 2 discusses various sets and functions that can be used to represent the input–output combinations that are possible using different technologies indifferent environments. Thefocusisondistance, revenue,costand profit functions. Chapter 3 explains how to measure productivity change. In this book, measures of productivity change are defined as measures of output quantity change divided by measures of input quantity change. To explain changes in out- putsandinputs,andthereforechangesinproductivity,weneedtoknowsomething about managerial behaviour. Chapter 4explainsthat firm managers tend tobehave differentlydependingonwhattheyvalue,andonwhattheycanandcannotchoose. It then discusses some of the simplest optimisation problems faced by managers (e.g. profit maximisation). Chapter 5 defines various measures of efficiency. Measures of efficiency can be viewed as ex post measures of how well managers have solved different optimisation problems. Estimating and predicting levels of efficiency involves estimating production frontiers. Chapter 6 explains how to estimate the parameters of piecewise frontiers. The focus of this chapter is on data envelopment analysis (DEA) estimators. Chapter 7 explains how to estimate the parameters of deterministic frontiers. Here, the focus is on least squares (LS) estimators. Chapter 8 explains how to estimate the parameters of stochastic frontiers. Here, the focus is on maximum likelihood (ML) estimators. Finally, Chap. 9 provides a practical step-by-step guide to analysing managerial perfor- mance. It also considers government policies that can be used to target the main drivers of performance. vii viii Preface ThereisenoughmaterialinChap.1foraone-ortwo-dayintroductorycourseon productivity and efficiency analysis. There is enough material in the remaining chapters to build courses that can run over one or two semesters. Approximately eighthoursoflecturesandfourhoursinthecomputerlaboratoryshouldbeenough tocovermostofthematerialinChaps.2–5.Approximatelytwentyhoursoflectures and another fifteen hours in the computer laboratoty should be enough to cover most of the material in Chaps. 6–8. A one-hour lecture and another hour in the computer laboratory is enough to cover the material in Chap. 9. These time esti- mates assume that students have little or no experience with computer program- ming. The empirical results reported in this book were obtained by running R Version 3.3.3 (2017-03-06) on a MacBookPro with an OS X 10.10.5 (Yosemite) operating system. The datasets and computer codes are available at http://extras. springer.com/2018. Slightly different results may be obtained by running different software packages (including more recent versions of R) on computers with dif- ferent operating systems. Partsofthebookaresomewhatrepetitive.Somereadersmayfindthisannoying. However, it should help other readers see patterns in, and make connections between, seemingly unrelated concepts and techniques. It should also help some readers commit new material to memory. It also means that most chapters are reasonably self-contained, which should make thebook more useful as areference text. Finally,some acknowledgementsaredue.Many ofthedefinitionsandconcepts presented in the book were first developed while I was on sabbatical at the Universitat Autónoma de Barcelona in 2008. I would like to thank Emili Grifell-Tatjéforhostingmeduringthatvisit,andalsotheGeneralitatdeCatalunya for providing financial support. In the last decade, I have been refining the main ideasandbringingthemtogetherintheformofthisbook.Duringthistime,Ihave received enormous encouragement from my wife, Adrienne, and my children, Benjamin, Lachlan, Joshua and Courtney; I cannot thank them enough for their patience and unwavering support. On an academic level, I am grateful for con- structivecomments providedbystaff,studentsandacademicvisitorstotheSchool of Economics at the University of Queensland. I am also grateful for feedback receivedduringshortcoursesdeliveredattheAustralianDepartmentofHealthand Ageing(DoHA),theAustralianConsumerandCompetitionCommission(ACCC), the Independent Hospital Pricing Authority (IHPA), the Victorian Department of Education and Early Childhood Development (DEECD), the University of Queensland,theUniversityofWaikato,andtheAustralianDefenceForceAcademy (ADFA). Individuals who deserve special mention include (in alphabetical order) Julian Alston, Boris Bravo-Ureta, Cinzia Daraio, Rolf Färe, Finn Førsund, Bill Greene, Kristiaan Kerstens, Chris Parmeter, Antonio Peyrache, Victor Podinovski, Marshall Reinsdorf and Peter Schmidt. None of these individuals are in any way responsible for any errors in the book. Brisbane, Australia Christopher J. O’Donnell August 2018 Contents 1 Overview . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 1.1 Basic Concepts and Terminology . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 1.2 Production Technologies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3 1.2.1 Output Sets . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4 1.2.2 Input Sets . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 1.2.3 Production Possibilities Sets . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 1.2.4 Output Distance Functions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 1.2.5 Input Distance Functions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 1.2.6 Other Sets and Functions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 1.3 Measures of Productivity Change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 1.3.1 Output Quantity Indices . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 1.3.2 Input Quantity Indices . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14 1.3.3 Productivity Indices . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14 1.3.4 Other Indices . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 1.4 Managerial Behaviour . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 1.4.1 Output Maximisation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 1.4.2 Input Minimisation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19 1.4.3 Productivity Maximisation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20 1.4.4 Other Types of Behaviour . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21 1.5 Measures of Efficiency . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21 1.5.1 Output-Oriented Measures . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21 1.5.2 Input-Oriented Measures . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23 1.5.3 Productivity-Oriented Measures . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24 1.5.4 Other Measures . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26 1.6 Piecewise Frontier Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27 1.6.1 Basic Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28 1.6.2 Productivity Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33 1.6.3 Other Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37 ix x Contents 1.7 Deterministic Frontier Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37 1.7.1 Basic Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37 1.7.2 Least Squares Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38 1.7.3 Productivity Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42 1.7.4 Other Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43 1.8 Stochastic Frontier Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44 1.8.1 Basic Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45 1.8.2 Maximum Likelihood Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46 1.8.3 Productivity Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48 1.8.4 Other Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51 1.9 Practical Considerations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51 1.9.1 The Main Steps . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51 1.9.2 Government Policies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52 1.10 Summary and Further Reading . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53 2 Production Technologies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55 2.1 Output Sets . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55 2.1.1 Assumptions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 56 2.1.2 Example . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59 2.2 Input Sets . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59 2.2.1 Assumptions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59 2.2.2 Example . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 61 2.3 Production Possibilities Sets . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 61 2.3.1 Assumptions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 62 2.3.2 Example . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 63 2.4 Output Distance Functions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 63 2.4.1 Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 64 2.4.2 Marginal Effects . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 65 2.4.3 Example . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 66 2.5 Input Distance Functions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 67 2.5.1 Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 67 2.5.2 Marginal Effects . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 69 2.5.3 Example . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 69 2.6 Revenue Functions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 70 2.6.1 Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 71 2.6.2 Marginal Effects . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 72 2.6.3 Example . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 73 2.7 Cost Functions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 73 2.7.1 Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 74 2.7.2 Marginal Effects . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 75 2.7.3 Example . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 75 Contents xi 2.8 Profit Functions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 76 2.8.1 Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 77 2.8.2 Marginal Effects . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 77 2.8.3 Example . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 78 2.9 Other Sets and Functions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 78 2.9.1 Production Functions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 79 2.9.2 Input Requirement Functions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 80 2.9.3 Directional Distance Functions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 82 2.9.4 Hyperbolic Distance Functions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 83 2.9.5 Technology-and-Environment-Specific Sets and Functions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 83 2.9.6 Period-Specific Sets and Functions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 85 2.9.7 State-Contingent Sets and Functions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 86 2.10 Summary and Further Reading . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 86 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 91 3 Measures of Productivity Change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 93 3.1 Output Quantity Indices . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 93 3.1.1 Additive Indices . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 95 3.1.2 Multiplicative Indices . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 96 3.1.3 Primal Indices . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 97 3.1.4 Dual Indices . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 98 3.1.5 Benefit-of-the-Doubt Indices . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 98 3.1.6 Other Indices . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 99 3.1.7 Toy Example . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 102 3.2 Input Quantity Indices . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 105 3.2.1 Additive Indices . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 106 3.2.2 Multiplicative Indices . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 106 3.2.3 Primal Indices . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 107 3.2.4 Dual Indices . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 108 3.2.5 Benefit-of-the-Doubt Indices . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 109 3.2.6 Other Indices . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 109 3.2.7 Toy Example . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 112 3.3 Productivity Indices . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 115 3.3.1 Additive Indices . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 116 3.3.2 Multiplicative Indices . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 116 3.3.3 Primal Indices . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 117 3.3.4 Dual Indices . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 118 3.3.5 Benefit-of-the-Doubt Indices . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 119 3.3.6 Other Indices . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 119 3.3.7 Toy Example . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 123

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This book provides a coherent description of the main concepts and statistical methods used to analyse economic performance. The focus is on measures of performance that are of practical relevance to policy makers. Most, if not all, of these measures can be viewed as measures of productivity and/or
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