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Product Analytics: Applied Data Science Techniques for Actionable Consumer Insights (Pearson Business Analytics Series) PDF

646 Pages·2020·16.604 MB·English
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About This eBook ePUB is an open, industry-standard format for eBooks. However, support of ePUB and its many features varies across reading devices and applications. Use your device or app settings to customize the presentation to your liking. Settings that you can customize often include font, font size, single or double column, landscape or portrait mode, and figures that you can click or tap to enlarge. For additional information about the settings and features on your reading device or app, visit the device manufacturer’s Web site. Many titles include programming code or configuration examples. To optimize the presentation of these elements, view the eBook in single-column, landscape mode and adjust the font size to the smallest setting. In addition to presenting code and configurations in the reflowable text format, we have included images of the code that mimic the presentation found in the print book; therefore, where the reflowable format may compromise the presentation of the code listing, you will see a “Click here to view code image” link. Click the link to view the print-fidelity code image. To return to the previous page viewed, click the Back button on your device or app. Product Analytics Product Analytics Applied Data Science Techniques for Actionable Consumer Insights Joanne Rodrigues Boston • Columbus • New York • San Francisco • Amsterdam • Cape Town Dubai • London • Madrid • Milan • Munich • Paris • Montreal • Toronto • Delhi • Mexico City São Paulo • Sydney • Hong Kong • Seoul • Singapore • Taipei • Tokyo Many of the designations used by manufacturers and sellers to distinguish their products are claimed as trademarks. Where those designations appear in this book, and the publisher was aware of a trademark claim, the designations have been printed with initial capital letters or in all capitals. The author and publisher have taken care in the preparation of this book, but make no expressed or implied warranty of any kind and assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. No liability is assumed for incidental or consequential damages in connection with or arising out of the use of the information or programs contained herein. For information about buying this title in bulk quantities, or for special sales opportunities (which may include electronic versions; custom cover designs; and content particular to your business, training goals, marketing focus, or branding interests), please contact our corporate sales department at [email protected] or (800) 382-3419. For government sales inquiries, please contact [email protected]. For questions about sales outside the U.S., please contact [email protected]. Visit us on the Web: informit.com/aw Library of Congress Control Number: 2020940464 Copyright © 2021 Pearson Education, Inc. Cover image: Mad Dog/Shutterstock Page 6: “By 2018, the U.S. . . . deep analytic talent.” McKinsey & Company. Page 21: Introduction to Bayes’ Rule, Thomas Bayes. Page 51: “if people are . . . adversely and resist.” Thaler, R. H., & Sunstein, C. R. (2008). Nudge: Improving decisions about health, wealth, and happiness. New Haven, Conn.: Yale University Press. Pages 256-257: “1. Strength of the . . . you could easily test?” Hill, Austin Bradford (1965). “The Environment and Disease: Association or Causation?”. Proceedings of the Royal Society of Medicine. 58 (5): 295–300. Page 271: “Fewer variables are better: There is . . . number of chimneys swept in a day to determine dosage effects.” Radcliffe, Nicholas, and Surry, Patrick. “Real-world uplift modelling with significance based uplift trees.” White Paper TR-2011-1, Stochastic Solutions, 2011. Page 281, Figure 14.1: Screenshot of R Studio window with four panels © 2020 Apple Inc. All rights reserved. This publication is protected by copyright, and permission must be obtained from the publisher prior to any prohibited reproduction, storage in a retrieval system, or transmission in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or likewise. For information regarding permissions, request forms and the appropriate contacts within the Pearson Education Global Rights & Permissions Department, please visit www.pearson.com/permissions/. ISBN-13: 978-0-13-525852-1 ISBN-10: 0-13-525852-9 02 22 To my children Sahana and Ronak, whose infectious laughter kept me focused. Contents Preface Acknowledgments About the Author I Qualitative Methodology 1 Data in Action: A Model of a Dinner Party 1.1 The User Data Disruption 1.1.1 Don’t Leave the Users out of the Model 1.1.2 The Junior Analyst 1.1.3 The Opposite of the Misguided Analyst: The Data Guru 1.2 A Model of a Dinner Party 1.2.1 Why Are Social Processes Difficult to Analyze? 1.2.2 A Party Is a Process 1.2.3 A Party Is an Open System 1.2.4 A “Great” Party Is Hard to Define 1.2.5 Party Guests’ Motives and Opinions Are Often Unknown 1.2.6 A Party Presents a Variable Search Problem 1.2.7 The Real Secret to a Great Party Is Elusive 1.3 What’s Unique about User Data? 1.3.1 Human Behavior Is a Process, Not a Problem 1.3.2 No Clear and Defined Outcomes 1.3.3 Social Systems Have Rampant Problems of Incomplete Information 1.3.4 Social Systems Consist of Millions of Potential Behaviors 1.3.5 Social Systems Are Often Open Systems 1.3.6 Inferring Causation Is Almost Impossible 1.4 Why Does Causation Matter? 1.5 Actionable Insights 2 Building a Theory of the Social Universe 2.1 Building a Theory 2.1.1 Won’t Fancy Algorithms Solve All Our Problems? 2.1.2 The Pervasive (and Generally Useless) One-Off Fact 2.1.3 The Art of the Typology 2.1.4 The Project Design Process: Theory Building 2.1.5 Steps to a Good Theory 2.1.6 Description: Questions and Goals 2.1.7 Analytical: Theory and Concepts 2.1.8 Qualities of a “Good” Theory 2.2 Conceptualization and Measurement 2.2.1 Conceptualization 2.2.2 Measurement 2.2.3 Hypothesis Generation 2.3 Theories from a Web Product 2.3.1 User Type Purchasing Model 2.3.2 Feed Algorithm Model 2.3.3 Middle School Dance Model 2.4 Actionable Insights 3 The Coveted Goalpost: How to Change Human Behavior 3.1 Understanding Actionable Insight 3.2 It’s All about Changing “Your” Behavior 3.2.1 Is It True Behavior Change? 3.2.2 Quitting Smoking: The Herculean Task of Behavioral Change 3.2.3 Measuring Behavior Change 3.3 A Theory about Human Behavioral Change 3.3.1 Learning 3.3.2 Cognition 3.3.3 Randomized Variable Investment Schedule 3.3.4 Outsized Positive Rewards and Mitigated Losses 3.3.5 Fogg Model of Change 3.3.6 ABA Model of Change 3.4 Change in a Web Product 3.5 What Are Realistic Expectations for Behavioral Change? 3.5.1 What Percentage of Users Will See a Real Change in Our Product? 3.5.2 Are Certain Behaviors Easier to Change? 3.5.3 Behavioral Change Worksheet 3.6 Actionable Insights II Basic Statistical Methods 4 Distributions in User Analytics 4.1 Why Are Metrics Important? 4.1.1 Statistical Tools for Metric Development 4.1.2 Distributions

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