Springer Proceedings in Complexity Thomas Gilbert Markus Kirkilionis Editors Gregoire Nicolis Proceedings of the European Conference on Complex Systems 2012 Springer Proceedings in Complexity Forfurthervolumes: www.springer.com/series/11637 Thomas Gilbert (cid:2) Markus Kirkilionis (cid:2) Gregoire Nicolis Editors Proceedings of the European Conference on Complex Systems 2012 Editors ThomasGilbert GregoireNicolis FacultédesSciences FacultédesSciences UniversitéLibredeBruxelles UniversitéLibredeBruxelles Brussels,Belgium Brussels,Belgium MarkusKirkilionis MathematicsInstitute UniversityofWarwick Coventry,UK ISSN2213-8684 ISSN2213-8692(electronic) SpringerProceedingsinComplexity ISBN978-3-319-00394-8 ISBN978-3-319-00395-5(eBook) DOI10.1007/978-3-319-00395-5 SpringerDordrechtHeidelbergNewYorkLondon LibraryofCongressControlNumber:2013944574 ©SpringerInternationalPublishingSwitzerland2013 Thisworkissubjecttocopyright.AllrightsarereservedbythePublisher,whetherthewholeorpartof thematerialisconcerned,specificallytherightsoftranslation,reprinting,reuseofillustrations,recitation, broadcasting,reproductiononmicrofilmsorinanyotherphysicalway,andtransmissionorinformation storageandretrieval,electronicadaptation,computersoftware,orbysimilarordissimilarmethodology nowknownorhereafterdeveloped.Exemptedfromthislegalreservationarebriefexcerptsinconnection with reviews or scholarly analysis or material supplied specifically for the purpose of being entered and executed on a computer system, for exclusive use by the purchaser of the work. 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Printedonacid-freepaper SpringerispartofSpringerScience+BusinessMedia(www.springer.com) Foreword ThepresentvolumecontainscontributionspresentedattheninthEuropeanConfer- ence on Complex Systems, held at Université Libre de Bruxelles, Brussels, from 2 to7September2012,underthesponsorshipoftheComplexSystemsSociety. Thevolumeisdividedintosevenparts.Thefirstsixpartscomprisecontributions tothemainconference,whetheroralorposter,compiledaccordingtothesixconfer- encemaintracks.Thelastpartincludescontributionstosomeofsatellitemeetings hostedattheconference. Wearepleasedtoacknowledgetheinvaluablehelpofthecolleagueswhoassisted intheorganizationofthisevent,startingwiththeOrganizingCommitteemembers, VincentBlondel,TimoteoCarletti,EnricoCarlon,AnneDeWit,PierreGaspard,Al- bertGoldbeter,RenaudLambiotte,andCarloVanderzande,andtheSteeringCom- mittee,responsibleforthedevelopmentandsupportoftheECCSconferenceseries, whosemembersareFatihcanAtay,VittoriaColizza,ThomasGilbert,JanuszHolyst, Jürgen Jost, Markus Kirkilionis (Chair), Kristian Lindgren, Andras Lorincz, Jorge Louçã,RobertoSerra,MinaTeicher,StefanThurner,andJeffJohnson(Presidentof the Complex Systems Society). The six Track Committees were skillfully chaired byClaudeBaesens,AndrásLörincz,EveMitleton-Kelly,JacquesDemongeot,Pe- ter Allen, and Sorin Solomon, who benefited from the support of Anne De Wit, PierreGaspard,HuguesBersini,SergeMassar,AnnickCastiaux,StéphaneVannit- sem, Geneviève Dupont, Tom Lenaerts, Renaud Lambiotte, Nicolas Vandewalle, Vincent Blondel, Timoteo Carletti, Natasa Golo, as well as of many anonymous referees.Theeighteensatellitemeetingshostedattheconferenceweremasterfully organized by independent committees to whom we are indebted. In addition, we wishtothankthestudentsandstaffmembersattheUniversitéLibredeBruxelles, withoutwhomtheconferencecouldnothavebeenorganized. We wish to express our gratitude to Theo Geisel who delivered the inaugural talk,aswellastotheeightinvitedkeynotespeakersCharlesH.Bennett,Jean-Louis Deneubourg,ManfredEigen,SantoFortunato,PeterGrassberger,Jean-MarieLehn, RaymondKapral,andSylviaWalby. Finally, it is our pleasure to thank the sponsors who enthusiastically supported this conference: the Université Libre de Bruxelles, the Fonds de la Recherche v vi Foreword Scientifique—FNRS,theBelgianSciencePolicyOffice-Belspo,ASSYST—Action for the Science of complex SYstems and Socially intelligent icT, funded under the CORDIS Seventh Framework Programme, Naxys—Namur Center for Com- plexSystems,SpringerComplexity,OxfordUniversityPress,CambridgeUniversity Press,GroupeDeBoeck,WorldScientific,WolframResearch,andStarAlliance. ThomasGilbert,ConferenceChair GregoireNicolis,ProgramChair MarkusKirkilionis,ChairoftheSteeringCommittee Contents PartI FoundationsofComplexSystems 1 AggregationandEmergenceinAgent-BasedModels:AMarkov ChainApproach . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3 SvenBanisch,RicardoLima,andTanyaAraújo 2 Chemically-Driven Miscible Viscous Fingering: How Can aReactionDestabilizeTypicallyStableFluidDisplacements? . . . . 9 L.A.Riolfo,Y.Nagatsu,P.M.J.Trevelyan,andA.DeWit 3 DynamicalLocalizationinKickedRotatorasaParadigmofOther Systems:SpectralStatisticsandtheLocalizationMeasure . . . . . . 15 ThanosManosandMarkoRobnik 4 A+B→C ReactionFrontsinHele-ShawCellsUnderModulated GravitationalAcceleration . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23 LaurenceRongy,KerstinEckert,andAnneDeWit 5 EffectofLimitedStirringontheBelousovZhabotinskyReaction . . 29 FlorianWodleiandMihneaR.Hristea 6 SizeDistributionofBarchanDunesbyaCellularDuneModel . . . . 35 AtsunariKatsuki 7 Experimental Study of Buoyancy-Driven Instabilities Around Acid-BaseReactionFronts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39 L.Lemaigre,L.A.Riolfo,andA.DeWit 8 DynamicalTrapEffectinVirtualStickBalancing . . . . . . . . . . . 43 ArkadyZgonnikov,IhorLubashevsky,andMaximMozgovoy 9 Bounded Capacity of Human Cognition as a New Mechanism ofInstabilityinDynamicalSystems . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51 IhorLubashevsky vii viii Contents 10 ComplexSystemswithTrivialDynamics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 57 RicardoLópez-Ruiz 11 AdvectionofOpticalLocalizedStructures . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 67 F.Haudin,R.G.Rojas,U.Bortolozzo,M.G.Clerc,andS.Residori 12 Comparative Analysis of Buoyancy- and Marangoni-Driven ConvectiveFlowsAroundAutocatalyticFronts . . . . . . . . . . . . 73 M.A.Budroni,L.Rongy,andA.DeWit 13 AFieldTheoryforSelf-organisedCriticality. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 79 GunnarPruessner 14 ChaosandNon-linearToolsinWebsiteVisits . . . . . . . . . . . . . 87 MariaCarmelaCatone 15 NetworksandCycles:APersistentHomologyApproachtoComplex Networks . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 93 GiovanniPetri, MartinaScolamiero, IreneDonato, and FrancescoVaccarino 16 Von Neumann Reproduction: Preliminary Implementation ExperienceinCoreworlds . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 101 BarryMcMullin,DeclanBaugh,andTomonoriHasegawa 17 ModellingComplexMulti-particleTransport:FromSmoothFlow toClusterFormation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 107 KovanderWeeleandGiorgosKanellopoulos 18 Out-of-Equilibrium Dynamics in Systems with Long-Range Interactions:CharacterizingQuasi-stationaryStates . . . . . . . . . 117 PierredeBuyl 19 DistanceRatio:AnExploratoryApplicationtoCompareComplex Networks . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 123 NunoCaseiroandPauloTrigo 20 TravelingandStationaryPatternsinBistableReaction-Diffusion SystemsonNetwork . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 131 NikosE.Kouvaris,HiroshiKori,andAlexanderS.Mikhailov 21 SearchingShortestPathsonWeaklyDynamicGraphs . . . . . . . . 137 Jean-YvesColin,MoustafaNakechbandi,andA.S.OuldCheikh 22 EmergenceofLongRangeOrderintheXYModelonDilutedSmall WorldNetworks . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 145 SarahDeNigrisandXavierLeoncini 23 Role Detection: Network Partitioning and Optimal Model oftheLumpedMarkovChain . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 155 MaguyTrefoisandJean-CharlesDelvenne Contents ix 24 Kinetic Limit of Dynamical Description of Wave-Particle Self-consistentInteractioninanOpenDomain . . . . . . . . . . . . 159 BrunoVieiraRibeiroandYvesElskens 25 TheEmergenceofPathologicalConstructorswhenImplementing theVonNeumannArchitectureforSelf-reproductioninTierra . . . 165 DeclanBaughandBarryMcMullin PartII Complexity,InformationandComputation 26 APreferentialAttachmentModelforEfficientResourcesSelection inDistributedComputingEnvironments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 173 MaríaBotónFernández, FranciscoPrietoCastrillo, and MiguelA.Vega-Rodríguez 27 TheChallengeofSoftwareComplexity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 179 KevinMooreandMichelWermelinger 28 TheInternetGeographicalPoPLevelMaps . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 189 YuvalShavittandNoaZilberman 29 Practical Approach to Construction of Internal Variables ofComplexSelf-organizedSystemsandItsTheoreticalFoundation . 195 DaliborŠtys, PetrJizba, TomášNáhlík, KarinaRomanova, AnnaZhyrova,andPetrCísaˇr 30 AnEfficientSimulatorforBooleanNetworkModels . . . . . . . . . 201 StefanoBenedettiniandAndreaRoli 31 InferringInformationAcrossScalesinAcquiredComplexSignals . 209 SumanKumarMaji,OriolPont,HusseinYahia,andJoelSudre 32 Ontheα-Shiner–Davison–LandsbergComplexityMeasure . . . . . 227 ThomasL.TouliasandChristosP.Kitsos 33 StateSpacePropertiesofBooleanNetworksTrainedforSequence Tasks . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 235 AndreaRoli,MatteoAmaducci,LorenzoGarattoni,CarloPinciroli, andMauroBirattari 34 Towards a Deeper Understanding of the Complex Behaviour ObservedintheDistributionofWordsinWrittenTexts . . . . . . . 241 ConcepciónCarretero-Campos, MarceloA.Montemurro, PedroBernaola-Galván,AnaV.Coronado,andPedroCarpena 35 SharedInformation—NewInsightsandProblemsinDecomposing InformationinComplexSystems . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 251 NilsBertschinger,JohannesRauh,EckehardOlbrich,andJürgenJost 36 ProbabilisticRealSwarmLogicalGate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 271 YutaNishiyama,Yukio-PegioGunji,andAndrewAdamatzky x Contents 37 TheRoleofComplexSystemsinPublic-PrivateServiceNetworks . . 279 AmenehDeljoo,MarijnJanssen,andY.-H.Tan 38 Revisiting von Neumann’s Architecture of Machine Self-reproductionUsingAvida . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 287 TomonoriHasegawaandBarryMcMullin 39 DecimationofFastStatesandWeakNodes:TopologicalVariation viaPersistentHomology . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 295 IreneDonato,GiovanniPetri,MartinaScolamiero,LambertoRondoni, andFrancescoVaccarino PartIII Prediction,PolicyandPlanning,Environment 40 CharacteristicsofSeismicNetworksinSpatialScales . . . . . . . . . 305 D.D.Kang,D.I.Lee,andK.Kim 41 YouAreWhoKnowsYou:PredictingLinksBetweenNon-members ofFacebook . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 309 Emöke-ÁgnesHorvát,MichaelHanselmann,FredA.Hamprecht,and KatharinaA.Zweig 42 VulnerabilityAnalysisofInterdependentInfrastructureSystems . . 317 GaihuaFu,MehdiKhoury,RichardDawson,andSethBullock 43 HumanSecurity—AViewThroughtheLensofComplexity . . . . . 325 AnthonyJ.Masys 44 MitigatingRisksofEventAvalanchesCausedbyClimateChange . . 337 LjubomirJankovic 45 Reliable Probabilities Through Statistical Post-processing ofEnsembleForecasts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 347 BertVanSchaeybroeckandStéphaneVannitsem 46 CoenoSense: A Framework for Real-Time Detection and Visualization of Collective Behaviors in Human Crowds byTrackingMobileDevices . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 353 MartinWirz, TobiasFranke, EveMitleton-Kelly, DanielRoggen, PaulLukowicz,andGerhardTröster 47 AnAgent-BasedModelfortheAnalysisoftheEnergySources DiffusionDynamics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 363 AlessandroFilisetti,StefanoBontempi,andMarcoSetti 48 ComplexityandStandards—ProgrammingInnovation . . . . . . . . 371 AnnaAndreyevnaZaytseva 49 The Right to a Due Deliberation, Mental Models of Judicial ReasoningandComplexSystems . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 383 EnriqueCáceresNieto