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UC San Diego UC San Diego Electronic Theses and Dissertations Title Probabilistic structural seismic performance assessment methodology and application to an actual bridge-foundation -ground system Permalink https://escholarship.org/uc/item/9jh5t476 Author Zhang, Yuyi Publication Date 2006 Peer reviewed|Thesis/dissertation eScholarship.org Powered by the California Digital Library University of California UNIVERSITYOFCALIFORNIA,SANDIEGO PROBABILISTIC STRUCTURAL SEISMIC PERFORMANCE ASSESSMENT METHODOLOGY AND APPLICATION TO AN ACTUAL BRIDGE-FOUNDATION-GROUND SYSTEM Adissertationsubmitted inpartial satisfactionofthe requirement forthedegreeofDoctorofPhilosophy in Structural Engineering by Yuyi Zhang Committeeincharge: ProfessorJoel P.Conte,Chair ProfessorDavidJ.Benson ProfessorAhmedW.Elgamal ProfessorJ.Enrique Luco ProfessorHidenori Murakami 2006 ©Copyright Yuyi Zhang,2006 All rights reserved The dissertation of Yuyi Zhang is approved, and it is acceptable in quality and form for publication on microfilm: __________________________________________ __________________________________________ __________________________________________ __________________________________________ __________________________________________ Chair UniversityofCalifornia, SanDiego 2006 iii Table of Contents SignaturePage ..............................................................................................................iii TableofContents..........................................................................................................iv List of Figures..............................................................................................................viii List ofTables...............................................................................................................xix Acknowledgements...................................................................................................xxiii Vita ...........................................................................................................................xxiii Abstract......................................................................................................................xxvi 1 Introduction..............................................................................................................1 1.1 Background....................................................................................................1 1.2 Project Objectives andScope.........................................................................8 1.3 OrganizationofText....................................................................................11 2 PEER Performance-BasedEarthquakeEngineeringMethodology.......................14 2.1 PEER ProbabilisticFrameworkEquation....................................................14 2.2 ProbabilisticSeismicHazardAnalysis........................................................17 2.3 ProbabilisticSeismicDemandAnalysis......................................................22 2.4 ProbabilisticSeismicDamageAnalysis......................................................23 2.5 ProbabilisticSeismicLoss Analysis............................................................24 3 Humboldt BayMiddleChannel Bridge..................................................................26 3.1 DescriptionofStructure...............................................................................26 3.2 DescriptionofSiteConditions.....................................................................29 3.3 FaultingandSeismicity................................................................................32 3.4 SeismicRetrofits..........................................................................................33 4 ProbabilisticSeismicHazardAnalysis of Humboldt BayBridgeSite...................35 4.1 Introduction..................................................................................................35 iv 4.2 SeismicSources...........................................................................................36 4.3 Uniform HazardSpectra..............................................................................37 4.4 DeaggregationofSeismicHazard................................................................41 4.5 Process ofSelectingGroundMotionRecordings........................................46 4.5.1 TimeHistories for50%in50Years................................................46 4.5.2 TimeHistories for10%in50Years................................................48 4.5.3 TimeHistories for2%in 50Years..................................................49 4.6 RepresentationofNear Fault RuptureDirectivityEffects intheGround MotionRecordings.......................................................................................51 4.7 RepresentationofStatic GroundDisplacements intheGroundMotion Recordings...................................................................................................52 4.8 Scalingofthe GroundMotionRecordings..................................................53 5 ProbabilisticSeismicDemandAnalysis -Part I: Computational Model ofthe Humboldt BayMiddleChannel Bridgeand PreliminaryAnalyses.......................55 5.1 Introduction..................................................................................................55 5.2 Computational Model..................................................................................60 5.2.1 FoundationSoil................................................................................62 5.2.2 Structure...........................................................................................66 5.2.2.1 Abutments.........................................................................66 5.2.2.2 Girders...............................................................................67 5.2.2.3 LapSplicedPiers..............................................................67 5.2.2.4 PileGroupFoundations andPileCaps.............................73 5.2.2.5 ShearKeys at ExpansionandContinuous Joints..............75 5.2.3 BoundaryConditions of Computational Soil Domainand DefinitionofSeismic Input..............................................................78 5.2.3.1 Lysmer-TypeTransmitting/AbsorbingBoundaryand DefinitionofSeismic Input...............................................78 5.2.3.2 Numerical Verification.....................................................82 5.2.4 Inertiaand DampingProperties.......................................................85 5.3 DeconvolutionAnalysis ofSurfaceFree FieldGroundMotions................86 5.4 StagedAnalysis Procedure..........................................................................89 5.5 StaticPushoverAnalysis..............................................................................91 5.6 Small AmplitudeVibrationAnalysis...........................................................98 5.7 EarthquakeResponseAnalysis..................................................................104 5.8 Effects ofSoil BoundaryConditions.........................................................124 5.9 Conclusions................................................................................................131 6 ProbabilisticSeismicDemandAnalysis -Part II: SeismicDemandHazard.......133 6.1 DerivationofSeismicDemandHazardCurve...........................................133 6.2 Potential FailureMechanism and AssociatedEDPs..................................138 6.2.1 FailureofShear Keys.....................................................................139 6.2.2 FailureofBridgePiers...................................................................142 6.2.2.1 Flexural Failure...............................................................142 v 6.2.2.2 ShearFailure...................................................................146 6.2.3 Unseating.......................................................................................149 6.3 CorrelationAnalysis of EDPs....................................................................151 6.4 Conditional ResponseAnalysis Given IM.................................................162 6.5 SeismicDemandHazard Curves................................................................172 6.6 Efficiencyof IMs.......................................................................................178 7 ProbabilisticSeismicDamageAnalysis -Part I: DeterministicSystem Properties..............................................................................................................188 7.1 Introduction................................................................................................188 7.2 ReliabilityFormulationandComputation.................................................193 7.3 Performance-BasedDamageStates for Various FailureMechanisms......197 7.3.1 DefinitionofDamageStates..........................................................197 7.3.2 DamageStates forPierFlexural FailureMechanism....................201 7.3.3 DamageStates forShear KeyFailureMechanism........................204 7.3.4 DamageStates forUnseatingFailureMechanism.........................206 7.4 DeterministicCapacityModels..................................................................206 7.4.1 PredictiveModel ofPier Flexural Capacity...................................206 7.4.2 PredictiveModel ofShearKeyCapacity.......................................213 7.4.3 PredictiveModel ofUnseatingCapacity.......................................218 7.5 FragilityAnalysis.......................................................................................218 7.6 SeismicReliabilityAnalysis......................................................................223 8 ProbabilisticSeismicDamageAnalysis -Part II: Random System Properties....231 8.1 Introduction................................................................................................231 8.2 Uncertainties ExplicitlyConsideredinPEER FrameworkEquations.......237 8.3 SeismicReliabilityAnalysis MethodologyincludingRandomness in System Properties.......................................................................................239 8.4 Inherent Randomness in Structural andGeotechnical Properties..............245 8.4.1 UncertaintyinStructural Mass andGravityLoads........................245 8.4.2 UncertaintyintheStructural Material Properties..........................245 8.4.3 UncertaintyintheSoil Material Properties....................................247 8.5 NonlinearTimeHistoryAnalysis with LatinHypercubeSampling..........250 8.6 SensitivityofStructural SeismicDemandtoRandomness inSystem Properties...................................................................................................252 8.7 ProbabilisticSeismicDemandAnalysis....................................................273 8.8 FragilityCurves IncorporatingRandomness inStructural Properties.......279 8.9 SeismicReliabilityAnalysis......................................................................284 8.10 Conclusions................................................................................................288 9 ProbabilisticSeismicLoss Analysis.....................................................................291 9.1 Introduction................................................................................................291 9.2 Building-Specific Loss Estimation............................................................293 9.3 Loss Analysis throughMultilayerMonteCarloSimulation......................298 vi 9.3.1 Random GenerationofIM.............................................................298 9.3.2 Random GenerationofEDPs.........................................................298 9.3.3 Random GenerationofDMs..........................................................300 9.3.4 Random GenerationofComponent Repair/Replacement Cost.....301 10 ConcludingRemarks............................................................................................307 10.1 Summaryofwork......................................................................................307 10.2 Summaryof Findings.................................................................................311 10.3 Recommendations for FutureResearch:....................................................316 References..................................................................................................................319 vii List of Figures Fig.2.1: PEER PBEEmethodology(Porter2003).................................................15 Fig.2.2: ProcedureofPSHA...................................................................................19 Fig.3.1: Humboldt BayBridges .............................................................................27 Fig.3.2: Aerial view of Humboldt Bay Middle Channel Bridge (courtesy of Caltrans)....................................................................................................28 Fig.3.3: Superstructure andsubstructureofHBMC Bridge...................................28 Fig.3.4: Abutment joint ofHBMC Bridge.............................................................28 Fig.3.5: Interiorexpansionjoint ofHBMC Bridge................................................29 Fig.3.6: Continuous joint ofHBMC Bridge...........................................................29 Fig.3.7: Two-dimensional soil profile of HBMC Bridge site (layer 1: Tertiary and Quaternary Alluvial deposits; layer 2: medium dense organic silt, sandysilt and stiff siltyclay; layer 3: dense sand; layer 4: silt; layer 5: medium dense to dense siltysand and sand with some organic matter; layer 6: dense silty sand and sand; layer 7: soft or loose sandy silt or silty sand with organic matter; layer 8: soft organic silt; and layer 9: abutment fill..............................................................................................31 Fig.3.8: Shearwavevelocityprofileat HBMC Bridgesite...................................32 Fig.3.9: Secondretrofit scheme..............................................................................34 Fig.4.1: Uniform hazardspectraoftheHBMC Bridgesite...................................40 Fig.4.2: Seismichazard curves of theHBMC Bridgesite.....................................40 viii Fig.4.3: Deaggregation of seismic hazard of Humboldt Bay site at 10% in 50 years hazard level andperiod0.5sec.........................................................43 Fig.4.4: Deaggregation of seismic hazard of Humboldt Bay site at 10% in 50 years hazard level and period1.0sec.........................................................44 Fig.4.5: Deaggregation of seismic hazard of Humboldt Bay site at 10% in 50 years hazard level and period2.0sec.........................................................45 Fig.4.6: Spectral acceleration of scaled ground motions at the three seismic hazard levels..............................................................................................54 Fig.5.1: OpenSees finite element model of HBMC Bridge ground system (based on blue prints courtesy of Caltrans, mesh constructed using GIDsoftware)...........................................................................................61 Fig.5.2: Pressureindependent soil material............................................................63 Fig.5.3: Pressuredependent soil material...............................................................65 Fig.5.4: Fiberdiscretizationofpiers cross-section.................................................70 Fig.5.5: Uni-axial cyclic Kent-Park-Scott concretemodel....................................70 Fig.5.6: Uni-axial bilinearsteel model...................................................................70 Fig.5.7: Cyclic moment-curvature response of fiber-section at 4 upper G-L points ofpierelements..............................................................................71 Fig.5.8: Uni-axial hysteretic model for reinforcing steel at the base cross- sectionofthebridgepiers.........................................................................71 Fig.5.9: Simulatedcyclicbasemoment-curvatureresponseoflapsplicedpier....72 Fig.5.10: Moment-curvature responses at four lower G-L points of cantilever bridge pier subjected to quasi-static monotonic pushover (G-L points numberedfrom bottom totopofpier)......................................................72 Fig.5.11: Fiber discretization of the pile group cross-sections (the piles in the sameellipsearelumpedintooneequivalent pile)....................................74 Fig.5.12: Shearkeyat abutment joints: (a)as built,and(b)finiteelement model..76 ix

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PROBABILISTIC STRUCTURAL SEISMIC PERFORMANCE. ASSESSMENT METHODOLOGY AND APPLICATION TO AN ACTUAL. BRIDGE-FOUNDATION-GROUND SYSTEM. A dissertation submitted in partial satisfaction of the requirement for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy in. Structural
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