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Faculty of Education and Social Work Primary school achievement gaps and school decisions to support the academic achievement of disadvantaged students with data: A cross-country comparative study Nicole Bien A thesis submitted in fulfilment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy Faculty of Education and Social Work 2016 ii Faculty of Education and Social Work Office of Doctoral Studies AUTHOR’S DECLARATION This is to certify that: I. this thesis comprises only my original work towards the Doctor of Philosophy Degree II. due acknowledgement has been made in the text to all other material used III. the thesis does not exceed the word length for this degree. IV. no part of this work has been used for the award of another degree. V. this thesis meets the University of Sydney’s Human Research Ethics Committee (HREC) requirements for the conduct of research. Signature: Name: Nicole Ma Bien Date: 29 March 2016 iii Acknowledgements The journey to undertake and complete this thesis has been incredibly rewarding. I am deeply grateful to the many people who accompanied me on my journey and supported me at various junctures so that I could reach my destination. First and foremost, I wish to express my heartfelt gratitude to my Doctoral Supervisor, Dr. Ilektra Spandagou for her generosity, patience and encouragement through the entire course of my candidature. I have benefited immensely from her tireless guidance and academic insights. I also wish to thank my Associate Supervisor, Associate Professor David Evans for his review and constructive feedback. I owe my greatest thanks to my family for their love and unwavering support. Bill, my partner and soulmate, encouraged me to undertake this doctoral study and was my biggest cheerleader through the entire journey. More importantly, Bill’s steadfast support for my career change has been indispensable. My sisters, Dr. Ma and Dr. Ma provided valuable thesis-writing advice and my brothers, Ken and Mitch offered ongoing moral support. My mother, Jenny, taught me perseverance through her own life story. Finally, my children, Bandon and Kaela, who understood the importance of this journey by checking my progress on a regular basis. My thanks also go to Dr. Alun Pope for his review and feedback of the quantitative work and Sonia Bartoluzzi for proof-reading the final copy of this thesis. I am particularly thankful to the school administrators and teachers who gave up their precious time to participate in the interviews. The University also made the thesis possible by awarding generous funding support through the Thomas and Ethel Mary Ewing Scholarship, the Alexander Mackie Research Scholarship, and the Postgraduate Research Support Scheme. Finally, I am grateful to Dr. Armistead and Carol Mille, leaders of the School Board where I worked for approving a sabbatical for me to complete this thesis. iv Abstract Reducing the academic disadvantage of all students is a significant educational goal for many countries. Increasingly, education reforms around the world, including those in Australia and the United States have sought to reduce achievement gaps by adopting a strategy of embedding accountability anchored by standardised assessment. Whether to meet federal and state educational requirements, to provide transparency to the general public, or to inform curriculum and instruction at individual schools, policy makers rely on assessment data and data-driven practice to make a difference. Although external forces such as policy expectations are generally the first step in creating social change, the internal beliefs of change agents can impact their course of action. Being agents of change, school educators can choose to adopt data-driven practice for compliance, or also to engage with data for continuous improvement. Applying the efficacy theory and the theory of planned behaviour from the social cognitive tradition, this thesis examined educators’ belief mechanism regarding embracing data-practice, and considered the direct and indirect benefits of data-engagement, as well as the costs that ensued for teaching and learning. Using standardised assessment results from 2008–2013 in Australia and two counties in California, and six case studies across New South Wales, California, and Hawaii, the present mixed methods research found evidence of progress in raising the proficiency of disadvantaged students, but not in narrowing achievement gaps between advantaged and disadvantaged students. The case studies suggest a positive relationship between academic proficiency progress and data engagement. This can be explained by the structural design and operational procedures of the data-driven process enhancing educators’ attitudes, intention, perceived efficacy beliefs, and perceived behavioural control relating to the challenging task of raising the educational outcomes of disadvantaged students. As a result, participants could see beyond mere compliance with data-driven practice to its potential for professional improvement. v Contents AUTHOR’S DECLARATION .......................................................................................ii Acknowledgements .............................................................................................. iii Abstract ................................................................................................................ iv List of Tables ......................................................................................................... ix List of Figures ........................................................................................................ xi Definition of Key Terms ........................................................................................ xii General Terminology .................................................................................................. xii American Terminology .............................................................................................. xiii Australian Terminology ............................................................................................. xiv Chapter 1 Introduction .......................................................................................... 1 Context……. ................................................................................................................. 1 Rationale for the Study ................................................................................................ 5 Theoretical Framework .............................................................................................. 11 Self-efficacy and collective-efficacy theory. ................................................................... 12 Theory of planned behaviour (TPB). ............................................................................... 14 A combined construct. .................................................................................................... 15 Purpose of the Study .................................................................................................. 16 Research Questions ................................................................................................... 18 Significance of the Study ............................................................................................ 18 Overview of the Methods ........................................................................................... 20 Overview of the Chapters ........................................................................................... 21 Chapter 2 Contextual Framework: the Evolution of Education Transparency and Accountability ...................................................................................................... 23 Policy Context ............................................................................................................ 24 The Race to Produce 21st Century Knowledge Workers ................................................ 26 Education Inequity and the Persistent Achievement Gap ............................................ 28 Education inequity in the US .......................................................................................... 30 Education inequity in Australia. ...................................................................................... 33 Federal Solutions: Education Accountability ............................................................... 37 The rise and fall of No Child Left Behind. ....................................................................... 38 The Melbourne Declaration and its implementation. .................................................... 40 The Quest for Transparency and the Outsized Role of Testing ..................................... 45 Conclusion.. ............................................................................................................... 48 Chapter 3 The Impact of Test-Based Accountability Reforms ................................ 50 Needs and Challenges of Disadvantaged Students ...................................................... 51 Equal Access to External Assessment – Goal or Reality? .............................................. 53 Effects on Student Performance and the Achievement Gap ......................................... 60 Academic outcomes of disadvantaged students in the US ............................................ 62 Academic outcomes of disadvantaged students in Australia. ........................................ 67 Unintended Consequences of Test-Based Accountability ............................................. 71 vi Cheating to inflate school performance. ........................................................................ 72 Teaching to the test and narrowing the curriculum. ...................................................... 72 ‘Education triage’. ........................................................................................................... 73 Parallel Evidence in Australia...................................................................................... 75 Contradictory Findings ............................................................................................... 77 The Promise of Data-Driven Practice and the Reality of Practice .................................. 79 Perceived trust and benefits in external data. ............................................................... 81 The nature of data use. ................................................................................................... 84 Data-engagement criteria – human factors. .................................................................. 84 Data-engagement criteria – systemic factors. ................................................................ 86 Conclusion.. ............................................................................................................... 89 Chapter 4 Theoretical Framework ........................................................................ 92 Identifying a Theoretical Framework .......................................................................... 92 Efficacy Theory – An Overview ................................................................................... 94 Mastery experience. ....................................................................................................... 96 Vicarious experience. ...................................................................................................... 97 Social persuasion. ........................................................................................................... 97 Physiological and emotional state. ................................................................................. 98 Efficacy in the education context. .................................................................................. 99 Justifications for the efficacy construct. ....................................................................... 103 The Theory of Planned Behaviour ............................................................................. 105 TPB in the education context........................................................................................ 109 Justifications for the Planned Behaviour Theory. ......................................................... 110 Theoretical Issues .................................................................................................... 111 Justifications for Combining the Two Theories .......................................................... 112 Conclusion.. ............................................................................................................. 115 Chapter 5 Methodology ..................................................................................... 116 Context of the Study ................................................................................................ 116 Philosophical Assumption and Implication for Research ............................................ 118 Mixed Methods Research Paradigm ......................................................................... 119 Rationale for mixed methods research. ....................................................................... 120 Research Questions ................................................................................................. 123 Research Design ....................................................................................................... 124 The Quantitative Study ............................................................................................ 126 Data sources. ................................................................................................................ 128 Sample. ......................................................................................................................... 130 Definition of progress. .................................................................................................. 131 Definition of participation. ........................................................................................... 132 Data analysis and procedure. ....................................................................................... 133 Limitations. ................................................................................................................... 142 The Qualitative Study ............................................................................................... 144 The role of the researcher. ........................................................................................... 146 Ethical considerations. .................................................................................................. 147 Sampling procedure. ..................................................................................................... 148 Participating schools and participants. ......................................................................... 151 Data collection and sources of data. ............................................................................ 159 Data analysis. ................................................................................................................ 166 Validity and reliability. .................................................................................................. 169 vii Limitations. ................................................................................................................... 169 Conclusion.. ............................................................................................................. 170 Chapter 6 Quantitative Findings: Academic Progress in California ....................... 172 Data and Statistical Procedures ................................................................................ 173 Statistical procedures. .................................................................................................. 173 Data summary. .............................................................................................................. 175 Reading Achievement Trends ................................................................................... 177 Mathematics Achievement Trends ........................................................................... 183 Progress on Achievement Gap .................................................................................. 189 Reading. ........................................................................................................................ 189 Mathematics. ................................................................................................................ 192 Inclusion in Assessment ........................................................................................... 195 Discussion… ............................................................................................................. 195 Summary…….. .......................................................................................................... 198 Chapter 7 Quantitative Findings: Academic Progress in Australia ........................ 200 Data and Statistical Procedures ................................................................................ 200 Data summary. .............................................................................................................. 201 Statistical analysis. ........................................................................................................ 202 Reading and Numeracy Achievement Trends ............................................................ 205 Subgroup differences in reading and numeracy. ......................................................... 208 Progress on NAPLAN. .................................................................................................... 213 Progress on Achievement Gap. ................................................................................. 217 Trends on NAPLAN Absence and Withdrawal ............................................................ 219 Discussion… ............................................................................................................. 222 Summary…… ............................................................................................................ 225 Chapter 8 Becoming Data-Driven Schools ........................................................... 227 Case Context, Data Definition, and Student Support Structure .................................. 228 Case context. ................................................................................................................ 228 Data definition. ............................................................................................................. 243 Support structure for low-performing students. .......................................................... 245 The Evolution of Data Engagement ........................................................................... 249 Perception of data utility. ............................................................................................. 252 Nature of data use. ....................................................................................................... 256 Similarities and Differences ...................................................................................... 265 Instructional leadership. ............................................................................................... 265 Goal-oriented, accountable and transparent. .............................................................. 266 Goal attainment – the currency for programming and instructional freedom. ........... 266 Not 100% on board. ...................................................................................................... 268 Strategic versus tactical orientation. ............................................................................ 269 Perceived versus actual accountability pressure. ......................................................... 270 Portfolio view versus strict assessment view. .............................................................. 271 Conclusion.. ............................................................................................................. 272 Chapter 9 Interpreting Behavioural Change ........................................................ 274 The Theoretical Construct ........................................................................................ 275 The Formation and Influence of Efficacy Belief, Intention and Behaviour Control ....... 277 Higher degree of perceived behavioural control and mastery experience. ................. 278 viii Positive vicarious experience........................................................................................ 283 An improved physiological and emotional state. ......................................................... 285 Affirming social persuasion........................................................................................... 287 Influences of attitude and subjective norms. ............................................................... 290 Relevance and Implications of Strong Efficacy Belief and Planned Behaviour ............. 291 Students are not the problem regardless of background. ........................................... 293 Student-centric practice. .............................................................................................. 294 Collaboration over isolation. ........................................................................................ 296 Subsequent direct and indirect benefits. ..................................................................... 299 Costs of Data Engagement ........................................................................................ 306 Constant testing. ........................................................................................................... 306 Seeing the forest for the trees. ..................................................................................... 307 Compromising creativity. .............................................................................................. 308 Limited visibility of students not at risk of failing. ........................................................ 309 Conclusion.. ............................................................................................................. 310 Chapter 10 Discussion and Conclusions .............................................................. 313 Context…….. ............................................................................................................ 313 Significance of the Study .......................................................................................... 313 Key Findings............................................................................................................. 314 Quantitative findings. ................................................................................................... 314 Qualitative findings. ...................................................................................................... 318 Implications of the Study ......................................................................................... 322 Prospects for closing the achievement gaps. ............................................................... 322 The ‘real’ value of data-driven practice. ....................................................................... 325 Lessons from policy-borrowing and policy-lending. ..................................................... 327 Limitations and Further Research Direction .............................................................. 330 Conclusion…………….. ................................................................................................ 331 References ......................................................................................................... 334 Appendices ........................................................................................................ 359 Appendix A Recruitment Letter ........................................................................................ 359 Appendix B Participant Information Statement................................................................ 360 Appendix C Participant Consent Form .............................................................................. 362 Appendix D Interview Guide ............................................................................................. 364 Appendix E Colour-code Worksheet of Student Achievement at Almond ....................... 366 Appendix F Pacing Guide at Kukui ..................................................................................... 367 Appendix G Data Team Process at Hibiscus ...................................................................... 368 Appendix H Learning Community Meeting Protocol at Hibiscus ...................................... 369 Appendix I Instructional Leadership Team Meeting Agenda at Kukui .............................. 370 Appendix J Evaluation of Student Performance and Action Plan Part I at Almond .......... 371 Appendix K Evaluation of Student Performance and Action Plan Part II at Almond ........ 372 ix List of Tables Table 2.1 Government Recurring School Funding ..................................................... 32 Table 2.2 Enrolment in Australian Schools (2008) ..................................................... 35 Table 3.1 Score Changes on the NAEP (1990 and 2013) ........................................... 63 Table 3.2 NAPLAN Score and Minimum Proficiency Percentage Change between 2008 and 2014 .......................................................................................... 68 Table 5.1 Advantaged and Disadvantaged Subgroups for California Data Comparison ............................................................................................. 135 Table 5.2 Standardised Beta Coefficients of Australian School Background Variables ................................................................................................................ 139 Table 5.3 Disadvantaged and Advantaged Proxies for NAPLAN Categorical Variables ................................................................................................................ 140 Table 5.4 Categorisation of NAPLAN Numeric Variables ......................................... 140 Table 5.5 Summary of Case Study Participant ......................................................... 152 Table 5.6 Student Profiles at California Participating Schools and Districts (2011– 2012) ....................................................................................................... 154 Table 5.7 Staff Information at Almond and Walnut (2011–2012) .......................... 155 Table 5.8 Student Profiles at Hawaiian Participating Schools and Complexes (2011– 2012) ....................................................................................................... 156 Table 5.9 Staff Information at Kukui and Hibiscus (2011–2012) ............................. 156 Table 5.10 Australian Participating School Profiles (2012) ....................................... 158 Table 5.11 NAPLAN Mean Scale Scores (2012) .......................................................... 159 Table 6.1 Percentage of Schools Represented by Subgroup in Grade 3 .................. 176 Table 6.2 Percentage of Schools Represented by Subgroup in Grade 5 .................. 176 Table 6.3 Grade 3 Reading Means and Proficiency Rates at Almond County ......... 178 Table 6.4 Grade 5 Reading Means and Proficiency Rates at Almond County ......... 178 Table 6.5 Grade 3 Reading Means and Proficiency Rates at Walnut County .......... 181 Table 6.6 Grade 5 Reading Means and Proficiency Rates at Walnut County .......... 181 Table 6.7 Grade 3 Mathematics Means and Proficiency Rates at Almond County . 183 Table 6.8 Grade 5 Mathematics Means and Proficiency Rates at Almond County . 184 Table 6.9 Grade 3 Mathematics Means and Proficiency Rates at Walnut County . 185 Table 6.10 Grade 5 Mathematics Means and Proficiency Rates at Walnut County . 185 Table 6.11 Grade 3 Reading Achievement Gaps between Groups at Almond County ................................................................................................................ 190 Table 6.12 Grade 5 Reading Achievement Gaps between Groups at Almond County ................................................................................................................ 190 Table 6.13 Grade 3 Reading Achievement Gaps between Groups at Walnut County ................................................................................................................ 191 Table 6.14 Grade 5 Reading Achievement Gaps between Groups at Walnut County ................................................................................................................ 191 x Table 6.15 Grade 3 Mathematics Achievement Gaps between Groups at Almond County ..................................................................................................... 192 Table 6.16 Grade 5 Mathematics Achievement Gaps between Groups at Almond County ..................................................................................................... 193 Table 6.17 Grade 3 Mathematics Achievement Gaps between Groups at Walnut County ..................................................................................................... 194 Table 6.18 Grade 5 Mathematics Achievement Gaps between Groups at Walnut County……………………………………………………………………………………………….194 Table 7.1 Disadvantaged and Advantaged Proxies for NAPLAN Variables ............. 202 Table 7.2 Average NAPLAN Scale Score Means and Standard Deviations (2008– 2013) ....................................................................................................... 209 Table 7.3 Average NAPLAN Proficiency Rates and Standard Deviations (2008– 2013) ................................................................................................................ 212 Table 7.4 Difference in NAPLAN Means (2013 less 2008) ....................................... 216 Table 7.5 Average NAPLAN Score Gaps and Growth Trends (2008–2013) ............. 217 Table 7.6 Average NAPLAN Proficiency Gaps and Growth Trends (2008–2013)..... 218 Table 7.7 NAPLAN Absentee/Withdrawal Percentage Change Over Time (2013 less 2008) ....................................................................................................... 221 Table 8.1 The Meaning of 'Data' in the Interviews………………………………………………244 Table 8.2 Nature of Data Use .................................................................................. 256

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at individual schools, policy makers rely on assessment data and data-driven practice .. Chapter 3 The Impact of Test-Based Accountability Reforms . than English (LBOTE). A NAPLAN classification used to identify students or parents/guardians who speak a language other than. English at home.
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