www.cpcs.ca SITUATION ANALYSIS REPORT Preparation of a Physical Development Plan for the Albertine Graben in Uganda Prepared for: Ministry of Lands, Housing and Urban Development Prepared by: CPCS International Limited In association with: KKATT Consult CPCS Ref: 12243 16 May 2014 1st Floor, Trident House Lower Broad Street Bridgetown, Barbados [email protected] www.cpcs.ca 16 May 2014 CPCS Ref: 12243 Permanent Secretary Ministry of Lands, Housing and Urban Development, P. O. Box 7096, Kampala, Uganda Attention: Commissioner Byendamira, Dear Sir: Re: Development of a Physical Development Plan for the Albertine Graben, Uganda We are pleased to deliver our Situation Analysis Report for this Project following an intense six-week data collection effort during April and May. This included significant amounts of field work by 8 of our team along with a highly participatory series of Stakeholder Working Sessions held in 5 major centres. Please find enclosed 3 hard copies and 1 soft copy as per our agreement. We are, of course, always ready to discuss any items that may emerge or for which you require further clarification. We await your comments by 31 May and, as always, appreciate your continuing support in successfully completing this piece of work. Best regards, CPCS Transcom International Limited Rob Story Project Manager/Team Leader SITUATION ANALYSIS REPORT | Preparation of a Physical Development Plan CPCS Ref: 12243 for the Albertine Graben, Uganda Acknowledgements Acknowledgements CPCS would like to acknowledge the kind assistance granted to them by the staff of the Ministry of Lands, Housing and Urban Development. In addition we wish to thank the many officials and residents of the Albertine Region who gave so generously of their time and shared with us their insights into the future development of the Albertine Region. Any errors of fact or interpretation are ours. CPCS Transcom International Limited 1st Floor, Trident House Lower Broad Street Bridgetown, Barbados [email protected] i SITUATION ANALYSIS REPORT | Preparation of a Physical Development Plan CPCS Ref: 12243 for the Albertine Graben, Uganda Table of Contents Acknowledgements ........................................................................................................... i Acronyms/Abbreviations ................................................................................................... i Executive Summary ...........................................................................................................1 1 Introduction ....................................................................................................................1 1.1 Project Background ..................................................................................................... 2 1.2 Project Goals and Objectives ....................................................................................... 2 1.2.1 Project Objectives ................................................................................................ 2 1.3 Strategic Objectives ..................................................................................................... 3 1.4 Components of an Integrated Physical Development Plan ......................................... 4 1.5 Situation Analysis Approach and Methodologies ....................................................... 4 1.5.1 Team and Roles .................................................................................................... 4 1.5.2 Information Sources ............................................................................................. 5 1.5.3 Field Work ............................................................................................................ 5 1.5.4 Stakeholder Participation ..................................................................................... 6 1.5.5 GIS and Air Photo Data ......................................................................................... 6 1.6 Structure of this Report ............................................................................................... 6 2 National & Regional Context ...........................................................................................7 2.1 Project Location & Physical Description ...................................................................... 8 2.2 Socio-Economic Context .............................................................................................. 8 2.3 Institutional Context .................................................................................................. 11 2.3.1 Government Structure ....................................................................................... 11 2.3.2 Institutional Context - Physical Planning ............................................................ 11 2.3.3 Local Government in the Albertine .................................................................... 13 2.4 Legal and Institutional Framework ............................................................................ 15 2.4.1 The Constitution of the Republic of Uganda, 1995 ............................................ 15 2.4.2 The Physical Planning Act, 2010 ......................................................................... 15 2.4.3 The Local Government Act ................................................................................. 16 2.4.4 The Land Act, 1998 ............................................................................................. 17 2.4.5 The Land Acquisition Act, 1965 .......................................................................... 18 2.4.6 The Public Health Act ......................................................................................... 18 2.4.7 The National Environment Act, Cap 153 ............................................................ 18 2.4.8 The Wildlife Act, 1996 ........................................................................................ 19 2.4.9 The Forest Act, 1999 .......................................................................................... 19 2.4.10 The Petroleum Supply Act, 2003 ........................................................................ 19 2.4.11 The Petroleum (Exploration, Development and Production) Bill, 2012 ............ 19 2.4.12 The Petroleum (Refining, Gas Processing and Conversion, Transportation and Storage) Bill, 2012 .............................................................................................................. 20 2.5 The Planning Context and Hierarchy ........................................................................ 20 2.6 Sub-Regions Overview ............................................................................................... 21 2.6.1 North Study Area ................................................................................................ 21 2.6.2 Central Study Area ............................................................................................. 21 2.6.3 South Study Area ................................................................................................ 21 3 Stakeholders' Views ...................................................................................................... 24 3.1 Introduction ............................................................................................................... 25 i SITUATION ANALYSIS REPORT | Preparation of a Physical Development Plan CPCS Ref: 12243 for the Albertine Graben, Uganda 3.2 Stakeholders Working Sessions - Planning Participation Process ............................. 26 3.2.1 Summary of Key Topics Identified ...................................................................... 26 3.2.2 Arua Planning Participation Working Session .................................................... 29 3.2.3 Adjumani Planning Participation Working Session ............................................ 37 3.2.4 Hoima Planning Participation Working Session ................................................. 45 3.2.5 Fort Portal Planning Participation Working Session .......................................... 54 3.2.6 Ishaka-Bushenyi Planning Participation Working Session ................................. 62 3.2.7 MLHUD Planning Participation Working Session ............................................... 72 4 Socio-Economic & Cultural Situation .............................................................................. 78 4.1 Demographics ............................................................................................................ 79 4.2 Migration and Urbanisation Trends .......................................................................... 83 4.3 Local Economy & Employment .................................................................................. 85 4.3.1 Formal Sector ..................................................................................................... 86 4.4 Education ................................................................................................................... 86 4.4.1 Enrolment ........................................................................................................... 86 4.4.2 Distance to Nearest School Facility .................................................................... 87 4.5 Health and Sanitation ................................................................................................ 88 4.5.1 Health Infrastructure .......................................................................................... 88 4.5.2 HIV/AIDs ............................................................................................................. 90 4.6 Gender Equality ......................................................................................................... 92 4.7 Poverty ....................................................................................................................... 93 4.8 Cultural Heritage ........................................................................................................ 95 4.8.1 Ethnic Groups ..................................................................................................... 95 4.9 Issues Relevant to the PDP ........................................................................................ 98 5 Land Use, Management and Settlement Patterns ........................................................ 100 5.1 Introduction - Land .................................................................................................. 101 5.1.1 General Problems in Uganda’s Land Acquisition System ................................. 101 5.1.2 Recommendations to Solve the General Land Acquisition Problems ............. 102 5.2 Land Tenure Regimes in Uganda ............................................................................. 102 5.2.1 Customary Land Tenure ................................................................................... 102 5.2.2 Mailo Tenure and Native Freehold Tenure ...................................................... 104 5.2.3 Freehold Tenure ............................................................................................... 106 5.2.4 Leasehold Tenure ............................................................................................. 107 5.3 Compulsory Land Acquisition .................................................................................. 108 5.4 Land Values .............................................................................................................. 110 5.5 Land-Use Guidelines ................................................................................................ 111 5.6 Land Uses ................................................................................................................. 112 5.7 Settlement Patterns................................................................................................. 115 5.7.1 Settlement Patterns & Growth Trends ............................................................ 115 5.7.2 Settlement Analysis .......................................................................................... 118 6 Infrastructure and Services .......................................................................................... 125 6.1 Transportation ......................................................................................................... 126 6.1.1 Road Transport ................................................................................................. 126 6.1.2 Railway Transport ............................................................................................. 135 6.1.3 Air Transport .................................................................................................... 139 6.1.4 Water Transport ............................................................................................... 145 6.1.5 Pipeline ............................................................................................................. 149 ii SITUATION ANALYSIS REPORT | Preparation of a Physical Development Plan CPCS Ref: 12243 for the Albertine Graben, Uganda 6.1.6 Transportation Needs ...................................................................................... 149 6.1.7 Transport Legal and Regulatory framework .................................................... 151 6.2 Water Supply ........................................................................................................... 152 6.2.1 Existing Infrastructure ...................................................................................... 152 6.2.2 Condition of the Water Sources ....................................................................... 153 6.2.3 Water Supply Challenges and Recommendations ........................................... 154 6.2.4 Water Supply Situation Analysis ...................................................................... 155 6.2.5 Water Institutional Framework ........................................................................ 155 6.3 Sanitation ................................................................................................................. 157 6.3.1 Existing Infrastructure ...................................................................................... 157 6.3.2 Sanitation in the Albertine region .................................................................... 157 6.3.3 Planned Projects /Strategies ............................................................................ 157 6.3.4 Sanitation Challenges and Recommendations................................................. 157 6.3.5 Sanitation Situation Analysis ............................................................................ 158 6.3.6 Sanitation Institutional Framework ................................................................. 159 6.4 Solid Waste Management ....................................................................................... 159 6.4.1 Existing Infrastructure ...................................................................................... 159 6.4.2 Condition of Solid Waste Disposal ................................................................... 160 6.4.3 Planned Solid Waste Strategies/Projects ......................................................... 160 6.4.4 Solid Waste Situation Analysis ......................................................................... 160 6.4.5 Solid Waste Legal and Institutional Framework .............................................. 161 6.4.6 Solid Waste Challenges and Recommendations .............................................. 161 6.5 Energy ...................................................................................................................... 162 6.5.1 Introduction ...................................................................................................... 162 6.5.2 Hydropower...................................................................................................... 163 6.5.3 Alternative Energy Sources .............................................................................. 167 6.5.4 Energy Challenges and Recommendations ...................................................... 167 6.5.5 Energy Situation Analysis - Summary ............................................................... 169 6.5.6 Energy Institutional Framework ....................................................................... 170 6.6 Information and Communication Technology ........................................................ 171 6.6.1 Introduction ...................................................................................................... 171 6.6.2 ITC Targets / Planned Developments ............................................................... 172 6.6.3 ITC Challenges and Recommendations ............................................................ 173 6.6.4 ITC Legal and Institutional framework ............................................................. 174 7 Municipalities, Towns and the Albertine ..................................................................... 176 7.1 Introduction- Urban Development .......................................................................... 177 7.2 Urban Areas in the Albertine Graben ...................................................................... 177 7.3 Status of Planning of Urban Areas ........................................................................... 179 7.4 Urban Development Issues, Opportunities and Constraints ................................... 185 7.4.1 Arua .................................................................................................................. 185 7.4.2 Hoima ............................................................................................................... 186 7.4.3 Fort Portal Town ............................................................................................... 188 7.4.4 Kasese Town ..................................................................................................... 190 7.4.5 Masindi Town ................................................................................................... 192 7.4.6 Bushenyi-Ishaka Town ...................................................................................... 193 7.4.7 Pakwach............................................................................................................ 194 7.4.8 Butiaba ............................................................................................................. 195 iii SITUATION ANALYSIS REPORT | Preparation of a Physical Development Plan CPCS Ref: 12243 for the Albertine Graben, Uganda 7.5 Regional Integration ................................................................................................ 199 8 Environmental Situation.............................................................................................. 200 8.1 Introduction ............................................................................................................. 201 8.2 Legal, Administrative and Policy Framework .......................................................... 201 8.2.1 Key Legislation and Policies in Uganda ............................................................ 201 8.2.2 Regulatory and Planning Bodies and their Roles ............................................. 205 8.2.3 Approvals Process as Applied to Oil & Gas ...................................................... 206 8.3 The Existing Environment ........................................................................................ 206 8.3.1 Introduction ...................................................................................................... 206 8.3.2 Atmospheric Environment ............................................................................... 207 8.3.3 Geology and Soils ............................................................................................. 207 8.3.4 Surface Water and Groundwater ..................................................................... 207 8.3.5 Flora, Fauna and Biodiversity ........................................................................... 209 8.3.6 Fishing ............................................................................................................... 211 8.3.7 Protected Areas ................................................................................................ 211 8.4 Potential Development Impacts .............................................................................. 212 8.4.1 Introduction ...................................................................................................... 212 8.4.2 Climate Change ................................................................................................ 217 8.4.3 Land Cover and Soils ........................................................................................ 218 8.4.4 Surface Water and Groundwater ..................................................................... 218 8.4.5 Flora and Fauna ................................................................................................ 220 8.4.6 Wetlands .......................................................................................................... 221 8.4.7 Protected Areas ................................................................................................ 222 8.4.8 Fish ................................................................................................................... 223 8.4.9 Cumulative Effects ............................................................................................ 224 8.4.10 Secondary Effects ............................................................................................. 224 8.5 Location of Environmental Disturbance .................................................................. 225 8.5.1 Introduction ...................................................................................................... 225 8.5.2 Protected areas ................................................................................................ 227 8.5.3 Wetlands .......................................................................................................... 227 8.5.4 Wildlife, Species of Special Importance and Biodiversity ................................ 228 8.5.5 Fish Populations ............................................................................................... 228 8.5.6 Soil Erosion ....................................................................................................... 229 8.6 Conclusions .............................................................................................................. 229 9 Natural Resources Management ................................................................................. 231 9.1 Context / Introduction ............................................................................................. 232 9.1.1 Definition .......................................................................................................... 232 9.1.2 Ecosystem Services: Framework for Natural Resources Management ........... 233 9.1.3 Purpose of this Chapter .................................................................................... 234 9.1.4 The National Context of Natural Resources ..................................................... 234 9.2 National Institutional, Legal and Regulatory Context ............................................. 235 9.2.1 Institutional Structure ...................................................................................... 235 9.2.2 Legislation and Regulation ............................................................................... 237 9.2.3 International Considerations ............................................................................ 238 9.3 Natural Resources of the Albertine Graben region ................................................. 238 9.3.1 Introduction ...................................................................................................... 238 9.3.2 Non-renewable Resources: Minerals and Oil & Gas ........................................ 239 iv SITUATION ANALYSIS REPORT | Preparation of a Physical Development Plan CPCS Ref: 12243 for the Albertine Graben, Uganda 9.3.3 Renewable Resources: Water Supply and the Ecological Reserve .................. 239 9.3.4 Climate Change ................................................................................................ 242 9.3.5 Water and Fisheries ......................................................................................... 242 9.3.6 Water and Energy: Hydropower ...................................................................... 243 9.3.7 Land, Soils and Agriculture and Forestry ......................................................... 244 9.3.8 Forests and Forestry ......................................................................................... 245 9.3.9 Wood Resources and Biomass Energy (Charcoal) ............................................ 248 9.3.10 Wildlife, Biodiversity and Tourism ................................................................... 251 9.4 Issues Relevant to the PDP ...................................................................................... 255 9.4.1 Synopsis and Best Practice ............................................................................... 255 9.4.2 Natural Resource Opportunities for the Albertine Graben ............................. 259 9.4.3 Natural Resource Constraints in the Albertine Graben ................................... 259 10 Agriculture - The Economic Base ................................................................................ 261 10.1 Introduction ............................................................................................................. 262 10.1.1 Background ....................................................................................................... 262 10.2 Agriculture Sector in the Albertine Graben ............................................................. 263 10.3 Land Uses in the Albertine Graben ......................................................................... 267 10.4 Agriculture Performance ......................................................................................... 267 10.4.1 Land .................................................................................................................. 267 10.4.2 Key Agriculture Enterprise Profiles in the Albertine Graben ........................... 268 10.5 Key Issues Shaping Competitiveness in Agriculture ................................................ 270 10.5.1 Increased Production, Productivity and Resilience .......................................... 270 10.5.2 Improved Marketing Systems and Access ........................................................ 271 10.5.3 The Case for “Dutch Disease” Impetus: ........................................................... 271 10.5.4 Information Access and Involvement of Civil Society Organisations ............... 272 10.5.5 Human Resource Capacity and Skills Enhancement: ....................................... 272 10.5.6 Marketing ......................................................................................................... 273 10.5.7 Agricultural Financing ....................................................................................... 273 11 The Petroleum Industry in the Albertine .................................................................... 276 11.1 Introduction ............................................................................................................. 277 11.2 Overarching Issue: Managing Expectations ............................................................ 279 11.2.1 Expectations from Government of Industry .................................................... 279 11.2.2 Expectations from Communities of Industry ................................................... 280 11.2.3 Expectations of Industry from Government .................................................... 280 11.2.4 Expectations of Communities from Governments ........................................... 281 11.3 Land ......................................................................................................................... 282 11.3.1 Complex Land Use Traditions ........................................................................... 282 11.3.2 Land Valuation and Speculation ....................................................................... 283 11.3.3 Involuntary Resettlement ................................................................................ 283 11.4 Institutional Presence/Capacity .............................................................................. 284 11.5 Coordinating Company/Community /National Development Plans ....................... 285 11.6 Challenges and Related Best Practices .................................................................... 286 11.6.1 Sustainability Performance Standards ............................................................. 286 11.6.2 Revenue Transparency ..................................................................................... 287 11.6.3 Stakeholder Engagement ................................................................................. 287 11.6.4 Project-induced In-migration ........................................................................... 289 11.6.5 Local Content and Vocational Training ............................................................ 289 v SITUATION ANALYSIS REPORT | Preparation of a Physical Development Plan CPCS Ref: 12243 for the Albertine Graben, Uganda 11.7 Issues Relevant to the PDP ...................................................................................... 291 12 Economic Development ............................................................................................. 292 12.1 Macro-Economic Overview - Uganda ...................................................................... 293 12.2 Uganda in the East Africa Community ..................................................................... 296 12.3 The Albertine in Uganda .......................................................................................... 297 12.3.1 Agriculture – Crop Production ......................................................................... 297 12.3.2 Agriculture – Fisheries ...................................................................................... 299 12.3.3 Agriculture – Other ........................................................................................... 300 12.3.4 Tourism ............................................................................................................. 300 12.3.5 Petroleum Industry .......................................................................................... 301 12.3.6 Mining............................................................................................................... 301 12.4 Opportunities and Limitations/Constrains .............................................................. 302 12.4.1 Oil Sector Impact on Uganda ........................................................................... 302 12.4.2 Oil Sector Development within National Development Plan ........................... 303 12.4.3 Specific Opportunities for the Albertine Region .............................................. 305 12.4.4 Major Economic Opportunity Constraints in the Albertine ............................. 305 12.5 Issues Relevant to the PDP ...................................................................................... 309 13 On-going and Planned Projects .................................................................................. 311 13.1 Planned and On-Going Projects in the Albertine .................................................... 312 14 IEC Programme ......................................................................................................... 314 14.1 Introduction ............................................................................................................. 315 14.2 Understanding IEC ................................................................................................... 315 14.2.1 Information ...................................................................................................... 315 14.2.2 Education .......................................................................................................... 316 14.2.3 Communication ................................................................................................ 316 14.3 The IEC Strategy ....................................................................................................... 316 14.3.1 Goal & Objectives ............................................................................................. 316 14.3.2 Approach & Methodology ................................................................................ 316 14.3.3 IEC Materials & Activities ................................................................................. 317 14.3.4 Targeted Audience ........................................................................................... 317 14.4 Monitoring Effectiveness ......................................................................................... 317 14.5 IEC Progress to Date (Situation Analysis Phase – May 2014) .................................. 318 14.5.1 Monitoring and Evaluation ............................................................................... 322 14.6 Way Forward ........................................................................................................... 323 14.7 IEC for Physical Plan Implementation ...................................................................... 323 15 Issues, Opportunities, Constraints ............................................................................. 325 15.1 Albertine Development Issues, Opportunities and Constraints .............................. 326 16 Next Steps ................................................................................................................. 334 16.1 Next Steps ................................................................................................................ 335 16.1.1 Client and Stakeholder Review ........................................................................ 335 16.1.2 Formal Presentation of the Situation Analysis Report ..................................... 335 16.1.3 Preparation of the Draft Albertine Graben PDP .............................................. 335 16.1.4 Proposed Presentation, Consultation on the Draft PDP .................................. 335 Annexes......................................................................................................................... 336 Annex 1: Document List ................................................................................................. 337 Annex 2: Identified Stakeholders ................................................................................... 340 vi SITUATION ANALYSIS REPORT | Preparation of a Physical Development Plan CPCS Ref: 12243 for the Albertine Graben, Uganda List of Figures Figure 1-1: Integrated Physical Planning Components .............................................................. 4 Figure 2-1: Planning Institutional Hierarchy ............................................................................ 13 Figure 2-2: Physical Development Plan Hierarchy ................................................................... 20 Figure 3-1: Integrated Planning Approach ............................................................................... 26 Figure 5-1: Global Urban-Rural Population Trends ................................................................ 116 Figure 5-2: Fort Portal Formal Pattern ................................................................................... 118 Figure 5-3: Arua Settlement Pattern Analysis ........................................................................ 119 Figure 5-4: Hoima Settlement Pattern Analysis ..................................................................... 120 Figure 5-5: Fort Portal Settlement Pattern Analysis .............................................................. 120 Figure 5-6: Rhino Camp Settlement Pattern Analysis ............................................................ 121 Figure 5-7: Urban Formal Settlement - Density Sample ........................................................ 122 Figure 5-8: Informal Urban Settlement - Density Sample ...................................................... 122 Figure 5-9: Peri-Urban Settlement - Density Sample ............................................................. 123 Figure 5-10: Rural Settlement - Density Sample .................................................................... 123 Figure 6-1: Road Networks - Existing and Future Works ....................................................... 131 Figure 6-2: Passenger traffic at CAA managed Aerodromes .................................................. 142 Figure 6-3: Albertine Water Supply Coverage........................................................................ 156 Figure 6-4: Albertine Hydro Situation .................................................................................... 164 Figure 7-1: Proposed "Eco-City, Arua" ................................................................................... 185 Figure 7-2: Arua Planning ....................................................................................................... 186 Figure 7-3: Hoima Planning .................................................................................................... 187 Figure 7-4: Hoima Structure Plan ........................................................................................... 188 Figure 7-5: Fort Portal Planning ............................................................................................. 189 Figure 7-6: Fort Portal Structure Plan .................................................................................... 190 Figure 7-7: Kasese Planning .................................................................................................... 191 Figure 7-8: Masindi Planning .................................................................................................. 192 Figure 7-9: Masindi Structure Plan ......................................................................................... 193 Figure 7-10: Pakwach Planning .............................................................................................. 194 Figure 7-11: Butiaba Planning ................................................................................................ 195 Figure 9-1: Lake Albert Fishing and Invasive Weeds .............................................................. 241 Figure 12-1: Real GDP and GDP Per Capita (2002 constant prices), 2002-2013 .................... 293 Figure 12-2: Uganda’s Economic Structure – Employment vs. Contribution to GDP ............ 294 Figure 12-3: Tourism Sector’s Contribution to GDP and Employment, 2000-2020 ............... 295 Figure 12-4: Contribution of Albertine Region in National Food Crop Production, 2008/09 297 Figure 12-5: Production of Four Top Food Crops (metric tonnes), 2008/09 ......................... 298 Figure 12-6: Fish Catch by Water Source, 2009-2012 ............................................................ 299 Figure 12-7: Number of Visitors to National Parks, 2012 ...................................................... 300 Figure 12-8: Doing Business Ranking by Indicator, 2014 ....................................................... 307 Figure 12-9: Starting Business Procedures and Time ............................................................. 308 Figure 12-10: Domestic Credit to Private Sector by Banks (in % of GDP), 2012 .................... 309 Figure 14-1: Poster 1 (English/Rutooro/Runyoro) ................................................................. 318 Figure 14-2: Poster 2 .............................................................................................................. 319 Figure 14-3: Poster Sample Addopting Visuals ...................................................................... 324 vii
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