Practical Electronic Relia hili ty Engineering PRACTICAL ELECTRONIC RELIABILITY ENGINEERING Getting the Job Done from Requirement through Acceptance Jerome Klion ~ VAN NOSTRAND REINHOLD ~ _____N ew York Copyright © 1992 by Van Nostrand Reinhold Softcover reprint of the hardcover 1st edition 1992 Library of Congress Catalog Card Number 91-39601 ISBN-13:978-94-011-6972-1 e-ISBN -13 :978-94-011-6970-7 DOl: 10.1007/978-94-011-6970-7 All rights reserved. No part of this work covered by the copyright hereon may be reproduced or used in any form or by any means-graphic, electronic, or mechanical, including photocopying, recording, taping, or information storage and retrieval systems-without written permission of the publisher. Manufactured in the United States of America Published by Van Nostrand Reinhold 115 Fifth Avenue New York, New York 10003 Chapman and Hall 2-6 Boundary Row London, SEI 8HN, England Thomas Nelson Australia 102 Dodds Street South Melbourne 3205 Victoria, Australia Nelson Canada 1120 Birchmount Road Scarborough, Ontario MIK 5G4, Canada 16 15 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Klion, Jerome, 1935- Practical electronic reliability engineering: getting the job done from requirement through acceptance / Jerome Klion. p. cm. Includes index. 1. Electronic apparatus and appliances-Reliability. I. Title. TK7870.K554 1992 621.381'54-dc20 91-39601 CIP This book is dedicated to my wife Lila. Her encouragement, effort, and suggestions made its completion possible. Acknowledgement is also given to Mr Mark McCallumfor his technical aid in the preparation of the manuscript. Contents Preface / xvii 1. Reliability: An Introduction To Concepts and Terms /1 1.1 Reliability and Failure: The Concept /1 1.2 Reliability: Its Origin /5 1.3 Reliability: A Quantitative Definition /6 1.4 Reliability: Comprehension of Definitions, Measures, and Specifications /11 2. Application of Failure Distributions to Reliability /17 2.l Distributions Associated with Failure of Items and Equipment /20 2.1.1 The Exponential Distribution /20 2.1.2 The Weibull Distribution /25 2.1.3 The Log-Normal Distribution /33 2.1.4 The Gamma Distribution /40 2.1.5 Equipment-Level Prediction Using a Hybrid Approach /48 2.2 Distributions Used in Equipment and System Modeling /50 2.2.1 The Poisson Distribution as a Modeling Tool/51 2.2.2 The Binomial Distribution as a Modeling Tool/53 2.2.3 The Normal Distribution as a Modeling Tool/56 2.3 Distributions Used for Reliability Demonstration and Measurement /60 2.3.1 The Poisson Distribution in Demonstration and Measurement /61 VII viii Con ten ts 2.3.2 The Weibull Distribution in Demonstration and Measurement /62 2.3.3 The Gamma Distribution in Demonstration and Measurement /62 2.3.4 The Chi-Square Distribution in Demonstration and Measurement /64 2.3.5 The Binomial Distribution in Demonstration and Measurement /65 2.4 The Relationships Among Distributions /65 3. The Customer's Role in Reliability Programs /69 3.1 How Much Reliability Do We Need? /10 3.1.1 Examining the Need for the Item /10 3.1.2 General Nature of a Requirement /10 3.1.3 Generation of Reliability Requirements /72 3.2 Reliability Warranties in Lieu of Requirements /18 3.2.1 When a Warranty/Guarantee Should be Considered /19 3.2.2 Composition of a Warranty/Guarantee /79 3.3 Structuring Program Requirements: The Five Factors /81 3.3.1 The Five Factors and the Acquisition Process /82 3.3.2 The Five Factors and Equipment System Characteristics /84 3.3.3 The Five Factors and Procurement Strategy /85 3.4 Communicating with the Contractor: Specifications and Standards /92 3.4.1 Transforming General Reliability Program Factors to Engineering Tasks /93 3.5 Reliability Standards and Handbooks That You Should Know About /94 3.5.1 Mil-Std-785:" Reliability Program for Systems and Equipment Development/Production /96 3.5.2 Mil-M-3851O: "General Specifications for Micro Electronics" /97 3.5.3 Mil-Std-883: "Test Methods and Procedures for Micro Electronics" /97 3.5.4 Mil-Std-756: "Reliability Modeling and Prediction" /98 3.5.5 Mil-Hdbk-217: "Reliability Prediction of Electronic Equipment" /99 3.5.6 Mil-Hdbk-338: "Electronic Reliability Design Handbook" /100 3.5.7 Mil-Std-2164 (EC): "Environmental Stress Screening Process for Electronic Equipment" /100 Contents IX 3.5.8 DOD-Hdbk-344 (USAF): "Environmental Stress Screening of Electronic Equipment" /101 3.5.9 Mil-Std-2155 (AS): Failure Reporting Analysis and Corrective Action System /101 3.5.10 Mil-Std-1629: "Procedures for Performing a Failure Mode Effects and Criticality Analysis" / 102 3.5.11 Mil-Hdbk-251 : "Reliability/Design Thermal Applications" / 103 3.5.12 Mil-Std-781:" Reliability Testing for Engineering Development, Qualifications and Production" / 103 3.5.13 Mil-Hdbk-781: "Reliability Test Methods, Plans and Environments for Engineering Development, Qualification and Production" / 103 3.5.14 Mil-Hdbk-189: "Reliability Growth Management" /104 3.5.15 Mil-Std-1521 (USAF): "Program Reviews" /104 3.5.16 Mil-Std-721: "Definition of Terms for Reliability and Maintainability" / 10 5 3.6 Customer Responsibilities /105 3.6.1 Customer Responsibilities: Preparing for the Program / 10 5 3.6.2 Customer Responsibilities in the Application of Mil-Stds /106 3.6.3 Customer Responsibilities Irrespective of Standards Used /108 3.6.4 Structuring the Reliability Program /108 3.6.5 Customer Responsibilities: Providing Information and Detail/II 7 3.6.6 Customer Responsibilities to the Customer Organization /118 4. The Role of the Contractor /Developer in Formulating Reliability Approaches and Needs /123 4.1 The Reliability Organization: Form and Responsibilities /124 4.2 Reliability Technical Planning: A Developer's View /125 4.2.1 Cycling Constraints: Reliability Multipliers /126 4.2.2 Allowable Downtime: Reliability Multipliers /126 4.2.3 Fault Tolerance: Reliability Multipliers (Functional or Replicative) /126 4.2.4 Maintenance Allowed: Reliability Multipliers /127 4.2.5 Technology Advances: Reliability Multipliers /128 4.2.6 Integration and Sharing of Resources /128 4.2.7 Use of Higher-Reliability Parts /128 x Contents 4.3 Formulating the Reliability Design/Development Approach /128 4.4 Correlating the Reliability Program with the System Engineering Process /130 4.4.1 Demonstration/Validation Phase of Development /131 4.4.2 The Full-Scale Engineering Phase Development /133 4.4.3 The Production Phase of a Development Program /136 4.5 The Role of the Developer/Producer After Contract Award /137 5. Rudimentary Probabilisitc/Statistical Concepts Used in Performance of Reliability Program Tasks 1138 5.1 The Mean /138 5.2 A Probability /139 5.3 An Expected Value /139 5.4 An Independent Event /141 5.5 A Conditional Event /141 5.6 Mutually Exclusive Events /141 5.7 The Addition Law for Probabilities /142 5.8 The Multiplication Law for Probabilities /144 5.9 Addition and Multiplication Guides for Distributions /146 5.10 The Tchebychev Inequality /147 6. The Parts Program-What You Should Know, What You CanDo 1149 6.1 Reliability and Quality Interfaces and Effects /150 6.2 Rationale and Use of Part Specifications and Standards /151 6.3 Applying Controls to Enhance Part Reliability and Quality /155 6.3.1 When Tri-service Standards and Specifications Are Not Applicable as Controls /156 6.4 Improving the Reliability and Quality of an Existing Part /158 6.5 Dealing with New or Unique Parts /159 6.6 Effects of Part Defects and Tolerance Levels on Assembly, Quality, and Equipment Reliability /159 6.6.1 Part Defects and the Quality and Reliability of Assemblies /160 6.6.2 Part Tolerance vs. Assembly Quality and Reliability /167 6.6.3 Using Statistical Design Techniques to Reduce Rework /174 6.6.4 Part Tolerances and Reliability /194 Contents XI 6.7 The Parts Program: Things a Reliability Engineering Manager Should Know /198 6.7.1 Part Selection Criteria /198 6.7.2 Quality Differences Between Mil-Std and Non-Mil-Std Parts /199 6.7.3 Part Acquisition/Procurement /200 7. Providing a Basis for Detailed Design. The Reliability Block Diagram and Reliability Apportionment /202 7.1 The Reliability Block Diagram: The Starting Point of Many Reliability Activities /203 7.2 Reliability Apportionment/ Allocation in the Development Process /206 7.2.1 What Reliability Apportionment and Allocation Is /206 7.2.2 Reliability Apportionment: The First Cut /207 7.2.3 Reliability Apportionment with Respect to Criticality /209 7.2.4 Reliability Control, A Key Element in Apportionment /213 7.2.5 Reliahility Apportionment with Respect to Identified Engineering Alternatives /214 7.2.6 Reliability Cost/Payoff Approach to Apportionment /217 8. Reliability Prediction During the Development Process /220 8.1 Initial Reliability Prediction Approaches /222 8.1.1 Extrapolation Approaches to Initial Reliability Estimation /222 8.2 Intermediate Design-Level Predictions: Module Count Methods /235 8.3 Intermediate to Detailed Approaches to Prediction. Part Count Methods /245 8.4 Detailed Reliability Prediction Approaches /253 8.4.1 Detailed Reliability Prediction: A Failure Rate Approach /253 8.4.2 Detailed Reliability Prediction: Deterministic Approach /264 8.5 Special Considerations in Predicting Reliability /266 8.5.1 Duty-Cycle Mode Effects on Reliability /266 8.5.2 Multifunction Systems Reliability Prediction /270 8.5.3 Unequal Operating Times Associated with System Components /272 xii Contents 8.5.4 Accounting for Stresses That Are Mission Phase-Dependent in Reliability Prediction /275 8.5.5 Accounting for Failure Rates of Nonoperating Systems /276 8.5.6 Accounting for Operational Influences on Reliability /282 9. Reliability Analysis and Evaluation of Series-Connected Systems /286 9.1 Mission Reliability Measures Used for Evaluation /286 9.1.1 Components with Exponential Failure Distributions /288 9.1.2 Components with Weibull Failure Distributions /292 9.2 Evaluating "Mean Time" Measures of Reliability /299 9.2.1 "Mean Time" Measures Associated with an Exponential Distribution of Failures /299 9.2.2 "Mean Time" Measures Associated with Items with Wei bull Distributions of Failure /302 9.3 Evaluating Availability Measures of Reliability /304 9.3.1 The System States: What They Are and How They Can Be Identified /306 9.3.2 Steady-State Availability in General /310 9.3.3 Dynamic Measures Associated with Availability /319 9.3.4 Availability When Maintenance Is Not Performed at Failure /338 9.4 Combined Measures of Reliability and Availability Effectiveness /340 10. Reliability Analysis and Evaluation of Redundant or Fault-Tolerant Systems /343 10.1 Redundant Systems Which Are Not Maintained /345 10.1.1 Full-On Redundancy: The Single-Survivor Subsystem; Perfect Sensing and Switching /346 10.1.2 Full-On Redundancy: Multiple-Survivor Subsystem/System; Perfect Sensing and Switching /352 10.1.3 Full-On Redundancy: An Alternate Way of Understanding and Evaluating Mean Time to First Failure /355 10.1.4 Full-On Redundancy: Taking Into Account Imperfect Sensing and Switching /357 10.1.5 Standby Redundancy: The Single-Survivor Subsystem; Perfect Sensing and Switching /362
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