Bernd Scherer’s Portfolio Construction The book’s sections focus on: P o Portfolio and Risk Budgeting 4th Edition provides a r tf comprehensive and up-to-date treatment of • P ortfolio theory, optimisation o alternative portfolio construction techniques, and resampling lio ranging from traditional methods based on • L ower partial moments and C o Construction mean-variance and lower partial moments deviation from normality n approaches, through Bayesian Techniques, to • C hoices for portfolios and str more recent developments such as portfolio ensuring their stability uc re-sampling and stochastic programming • R emoving long-only constraints tio solutions using scenario optimization. and estimation error n Risk a • R isk management for asset n Fully revised and extended, with the addition managers d and of exercise sections to chapters, the book Ris takes in lessons from the financial crisis, This book is an essential resource for k providing a seasoned view on how best to those developing, managing or selling B Budgeting u approach portfolio construction. Great financial products and provides an d g care has been taken to illustrate theoretical up-to-date analysis of current e concepts with easy-to-understand examples portfolio techniques and their tin g that can be reproduced by readers to test their application. 4 understanding. th 4th edition Now in its fourth edition, Bernd E Written primarily for practitioners, including Scherer’s Portfolio Construction and Risk d portfolio managers, consultants, strategists, Budgeting is a trusted tool for today’s itio n marketers and quantitative analysts, Bernd financial risk managers. Scherer’s Portfolio Construction and Risk By Bernd Scherer Budgeting will also give an edge to final year undergraduates and MBAs looking to expand B their knowledge beyond the mean-variance y based solutions commonly taught in business B e schools. r n d S c h e r e r PEFC Certified This book has been produced entirely from sustainable papers that are accredited as PEFC compliant. www.pefc.org portfCRB4sbk.indd 1 31/8/10 10:00:06 (cid:1) (cid:1) “scherer” — 2010/8/20 — 15:49 — page i — #1 (cid:1) (cid:1) Portfolio Construction and Risk Budgeting FourthEdition (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) “scherer” — 2010/8/20 — 15:49 — page ii — #2 (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) “scherer” — 2010/8/20 — 15:49 — page iii — #3 (cid:1) (cid:1) Portfolio Construction and Risk Budgeting FourthEdition Bernd Scherer (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) “scherer” — 2010/8/20 — 15:49 — page iv — #4 (cid:1) (cid:1) PublishedbyRiskBooks,aDivisionofIncisiveFinancialPublishingLtd HaymarketHouse 28–29Haymarket LondonSW1Y4RX Tel:+44(0)2074849700 Fax:+44(0)2074849797 E-mail:[email protected] Sites:www.riskbooks.com www.incisivemedia.com ©2010IncisiveMedia ISBN978-1-906348-35-9 BritishLibraryCataloguinginPublicationData AcataloguerecordforthisbookisavailablefromtheBritishLibrary Publisher:NickCarver CommissioningEditor:SarahHastings ManagingEditor:JenniferGibb TypesetbyT&TProductionsLtd,London PrintedandboundintheUKbyPrintonDemand-Worldwide Conditionsofsale Allrightsreserved.Nopartofthispublicationmaybereproducedinanymaterialformwhether byphotocopyingorstoringinanymediumbyelectronicmeanswhetherornottransiently orincidentallytosomeotheruseforthispublicationwithoutthepriorwrittenconsentof thecopyrightownerexceptinaccordancewiththeprovisionsoftheCopyright,Designsand PatentsAct1988orunderthetermsofalicenceissuedbytheCopyrightLicensingAgency Limitedof90,TottenhamCourtRoad,LondonW1P0LP. Warning:thedoingofanyunauthorisedactinrelationtothisworkmayresultinbothcivil andcriminalliability. Everyefforthasbeenmadetoensuretheaccuracyofthetextatthetimeofpublication,this includeseffortstocontacteachauthortoensuretheaccuracyoftheirdetailsatpublication iscorrect.However,noresponsibilityforlossoccasionedtoanypersonactingorrefraining fromactingasaresultofthematerialcontainedinthispublicationwillbeacceptedbythe copyrightowner,theeditor,theauthorsorIncisiveMedia. Manyoftheproductnamescontainedinthispublicationareregisteredtrademarks,andRisk Bookshasmadeeveryefforttoprintthemwiththecapitalisationandpunctuationusedbythe trademarkowner.Forreasonsoftextualclarity,itisnotourhousestyletousesymbolssuch asTM,®,etc.However,theabsenceofsuchsymbolsshouldnotbetakentoindicateabsence oftrademarkprotection;anyonewishingtouseproductnamesinthepublicdomainshould firstclearsuchusewiththeproductowner. Whilebesteffortshavebeenintendedforthepreparationofthisbook,neitherthepublisher, theeditornoranyofthepotentiallyimplicitlyaffiliatedorganisationsacceptresponsibility foranyerrors,mistakesandoromissionsitmayprovideorforanylosseshowsoeverarising fromorinrelianceuponitsinformation,meaningsandinterpretationsbyanyparties. (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) “scherer” — 2010/8/20 — 15:49 — page v — #5 (cid:1) (cid:1) ToKatja,Leonhard,Sebastian,JanaandKatharina (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) “scherer” — 2010/8/20 — 15:49 — page vi — #6 (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) “scherer” — 2010/8/20 — 15:49 — page vii — #7 (cid:1) (cid:1) Contents AbouttheAuthor ix Introduction xi 1 APrimeronPortfolioTheory 1 2 ApplicationinMean–VarianceInvesting 51 3 IncorporatingDeviationsfromNormality:LowerPartial Moments 75 4 PortfolioResamplingandEstimationError 113 5 RobustPortfolioOptimisationandEstimationError 143 6 BayesianAnalysisandPortfolioChoice 165 7 TestingPortfolioConstructionMethodologiesOut-of-Sample 209 8 PortfolioConstructionwithTransactionCosts 223 9 PortfolioOptimisationwithOptions:FromtheStatic ReplicationofCPPIStrategiestoaMoreGeneralFramework 263 10 ScenarioOptimisation 281 11 Core–SatelliteInvesting:BudgetingActiveManagerRisk 307 12 Benchmark-RelativeOptimisation 337 13 RemovingLong-OnlyConstraints:120/20Investing 375 14 Performance-BasedFees,IncentivesandDynamicTracking ErrorChoice 389 15 Long-TermPortfolioChoice 417 16 RiskManagementforAsset-ManagementCompanies 439 Index 473 vii (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) “scherer” — 2010/8/20 — 15:49 — page viii — #8 (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) “scherer” — 2010/8/20 — 15:49 — page ix — #9 (cid:1) (cid:1) About the Author BerndSchererteachesfinanceatEDHECBusinessSchoolandisa member of EDHEC Risk. He is also on the management board of theLondonQuantGroup.BeforejoiningEDHEChewasmanaging directorandglobalheadofQuantitativeAssetAllocationatMorgan StanleyInvestmentManagement,wherehewasresponsibleforthe creationofactiveinvestmentstrategieswithincommodities,foreign exchange,creditandvolatilityproducts.Duringhis16-yearcareer in asset management he has held various senior positions at Mor- gan Stanley, Deutsche Bank, Oppenheim Investment Management andJ.P.MorganInvestmentManagement.Bernd’scurrentresearch interests focus on signal construction, portfolio optimisation and assetliabilitymodelling.Hehaswrittensixbooksandmorethan50 publicationsinleadingacademicandpractitionerjournals,suchas theJournalofBankingandFinance,JournalofFinancialMarkets,Jour- nalofEconomicsandStatistics,JournalofPortfolioManagement,Finan- cialAnalystsJournal,JournalofInvestmentManagement,Risk,Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Journal of Asset Management, etc. Bernd holds MBAand MSc degrees from the University of Augs- burgandtheUniversityofLondon,aswellasaPhDinfinancefrom theUniversityofGiessen. ix (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1) (cid:1)