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Populist Parties in Europe This page intentionally left blank Populist Parties in Europe Agents of Discontent? Stijn van Kessel Department of Politics, History and International Relations, Loughborough University, UK, and Institut für Deutsches und Internationales Parteienrecht und Parteienforschung (PRuF), Heinrich-Heine-Universität Düsseldorf, Germany © Stijn van Kessel 2015 Softcover reprint of the hardcover 1st edition 2015 978-1-137-41410-6 All rights reserved. No reproduction, copy or transmission of this publication may be made without written permission. No portion of this publication may be reproduced, copied or transmitted save with written permission or in accordance with the provisions of the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988, or under the terms of any licence permitting limited copying issued by the Copyright Licensing Agency, Saffron House, 6–10 Kirby Street, London EC1N 8TS. Any person who does any unauthorized act in relation to this publication may be liable to criminal prosecution and civil claims for damages. The author has asserted his right to be identified as the author of this work in accordance with the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988. First published 2015 by PALGRAVE MACMILLAN Palgrave Macmillan in the UK is an imprint of Macmillan Publishers Limited, registered in England, company number 785998, of Houndmills, Basingstoke, Hampshire, RG21 6XS Palgrave Macmillan in the US is a division of St Martin’s Press LLC, 175 Fifth Avenue, New York, NY 10010. Palgrave Macmillan is the global academic imprint of the above companies and has companies and representatives throughout the world. Palgrave® and Macmillan® are registered trademarks in the United States, the United Kingdom, Europe and other countries ISBN 978-1-349-49012-7 ISBN 978-1-137-41411-3 (eBook) DOI 10.1057/9781137414113 This book is printed on paper suitable for recycling and made from fully managed and sustained forest sources. Logging, pulping and manufacturing processes are expected to conform to the environmental regulations of the country of origin. A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library. A catalog record for this book is available from the Library of Congress. Contents List of Illustrations vi Acknowledgements v ii List of Abbreviations i x 1 Introduction: Studying Populism in European Party Systems 1 2 Populist Parties across Europe 33 3 Paths to Populist Electoral Success and Failure: fsQCA Analysis 7 4 4 Populist Parties in the Netherlands 99 5 Populist Parties in Poland 121 6 Populist Parties in the United Kingdom 1 44 7 Conclusion: Populist Parties and Their Electoral Performance 1 69 Appendices 1 84 Appendix A List of Consulted Country Experts 184 Appendix B Country Expert Questionnaire 186 Appendix C QCA Data 187 Appendix D List of Interviewees 194 Appendix E Expert Survey (Case Studies) 196 Notes 1 98 Bibliography 2 04 Index 2 29 v List of Illustrations Figures 1.1 Explanatory model concerning the electoral performance of populist parties 28 3.1 Plot of cases’ membership in POPSUC against their membership in CREDIB 86 Tables 2.1 Populist parties in Europe that gained parliamentary representation after national elections between 2000 and 2013 71 3.1 Conditions in the fsQCA 77 3.2 Calibrated data for the fsQCA (period: 2000–2013) 8 4 3.3 Truth Table 88 3.4 Paths implying POPSUC (period: 2000–2013) 9 1 3.5 Paths implying ~POPSUC (period: 2000–2013) 9 4 3.6 Paths implying POPSUC (last election) 95 4.1 Dutch parliamentary election results 1998–2012, in % of the vote 104 4.2 Motivations of PVV voters (spontaneous response to open-ended question), in % of PVV-voting respondents 1 11 5.1 Polish parliamentary election results 1997–2011, in % of the vote 124 6.1 UK general election results 1997–2010, in % of the vote and seats 154 A.1 Election results of populist parties between 2000 and 2013 1 87 A.2 Raw data for the PR, ECOHARD, EURSCEP and CORRUP conditions 190 A.3 Calculation of UNRESP values 191 A .4 Calculation of NATIV values 192 A.5 Data for the fsQCA concerning the latest election results 1 93 vi Acknowledgements I would like to thank the many people who have provided valuable substantive feedback and/or moral support. The research done during my time as a doctoral student at the University of Sussex forms the basis of this book. First of all, I thank my former supervisors Aleks Szczerbiak and Paul Taggart. Thanks to their intensive guidance at the very early stages of the process, I was able to promptly and confidently get the project underway, and the meetings that followed always provided me with a clear sense of direction. I look back with pleasure at the enjoy- able discussions, and I am particularly grateful for their encouragement and enduring readiness to provide advice. I would also like to thank the other members of the department for contributing to the friendly and collegial atmosphere. Special thanks go to those of the preceding ‘gener- ation’ of DPhil students who were present at the time of my arrival, and throughout most of my years at Sussex, for making me feel at home so quickly: John FitzGibbon, Martine Huberty and Dan Keith. I also thank Elisabeth Carter and Paul Webb, who provided me with useful comments and feedback during my v iva voce, and the V SBfonds and Prins Bernhard Cultuurfonds for their support at the time of my doctoral studies. In my post-Sussex period I ended up in various departments, where colleagues have also contributed to the finalisation of this research project. I would like to thank in particular Niels Spierings and Andrej Zaslove at the Radboud University for valuable feedback and support. At the VU University in Amsterdam, my former MSc supervisor Ben Crum provided feedback and advice during the embryonic stages of the project. I subsequently started my lectureship at Loughborough University, and I am very grateful for Loughborough’s readiness to grant me a two-year research leave at the Party Research Institute (PRuF) at the Heinrich-Heine-University Düsseldorf. This gave me the opportunity to concentrate fully on this book. My fellowship in Düsseldorf has been made possible by the Alexander von Humboldt Stiftung, which I thank for its generous support. I would also like to thank Thomas Poguntke for his advice and readiness to act as my academic host during my post- doctoral fellowship. Moving beyond my immediate working environment, I am grateful to the many scholars listed in Appendix A who have kindly shared vii viii Acknowledgements their knowledge of party systems covered in this book. Among those I harassed most frequently are Daniele Albertazzi, Sergiu Gherghina, Duncan McDonnell and Jens Rydgren. The (anonymous) scholars who participated in the three conducted expert surveys have also been of great help, and I am further indebted to the interviewees listed in Appendix D who took the time to speak with me and to share their insights. I would also like to thank Simona Guerra and Bartek Napieralski for their feedback on an earlier draft of the Polish case study chapter, and Sabina Avdagic, Emelie Lilliefeldt, Carsten Q. Schneider, Barbara Vis and Claudius Wagemann for their comments on preliminary or more advanced draft QCA analyses. Naturally, any shortcomings and errors in this book are entirely my own responsibility. I would further like to thank the members of the team at Palgrave Macmillan who have been involved in this book project Amber Stone-Galilee, Sara Crowley-Vigneau, Andrew Baird, and Jemima Warren. Several other academic colleagues and friends have also provided feedback and support throughout the past years, and should also be mentioned for their more general kindness: Simona Guerra, S askia Hollander, André Krouwel and Andrea Pirro. I could, furthermore, always rely on my loyal friends Jochem Brons, Chris Heijs and Wouter Prause for their unfal- tering assistance in moving my possessions between the countries I lived in. Last, but certainly not least, I would like to thank my brother and sister, Nard and Jaco van Kessel, and their other halves, Rinske Piek and Ruben Klaphake, for their love, support and encouragement. I am also indebted to my parents, Jos and Klarie van Kessel, for having provided me with the biological stuff that enabled me to finish this book, and with a safe and loving environment for me to grow up in. I am particu- larly thankful to my mother, who taught me the values and discipline which helped me in completing my work. It saddens me deeply not to be able to share my experiences with my parents or to show them the results of my work. List of Abbreviations ść AWS A kcja Wyborcza Solidarno (Solidarity Electoral Action, Poland) BNP B ritish National Party CBOS C entrum Badania Opinii Społecznej (Public Opinion Research Centre, Poland) CD C entrumdemocraten (Centre Democrats, the Netherlands) CDA C hristen Democratisch Appel (Christian Democratic Appeal, the Netherlands) CP C entrumpartij (Centre Party, the Netherlands) EP E uropean Parliament EU E uropean Union fsQCA f uzzy set Qualitative Comparative Analysis LN L eefbaar Nederland (Liveable Netherlands) LPF L ijst Pim Fortuyn (List Pim Fortuyn, the Netherlands) LPR L iga Polskich Rodzin (League of Polish Families) MEP M ember of the European Parliament MP M ember of Parliament NF N ational Front (UK) ść PiS P rawo i Sprawiedliwo (Law and Justice, Poland) PO P latforma Obywatelska (Civic Platform, Poland) PR P roportional Representation PRR Populist Radical Right PSL P olskie Stronnictwo Ludowe (Polish Peasant Party) PvdA P artij van de Arbeid (Labour Party, the Netherlands) PVV P artij voor de Vrijheid (Freedom Party, the Netherlands) QCA Q ualitative Comparative Analysis SLD S ojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej (Democratic Left Alliance, Poland) SMP S ingle Member Plurality SO S amoobrona Rzeczpospolitej Polskiej (Self Defence, Poland) SP S ocialistische Partij (Socialist Party, the Netherlands) TON T rots op Nederland (Proud of the Netherlands) UKIP U K Independence Party VVD V olkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (Liberal Party, the Netherlands) ix

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