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Population Growth and Economic Development: Policy Questions PDF

121 Pages·1986·0.824 MB·English
by  coll.
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i ee er book, not from thg, however, cannot bersion for attribution. PopulaEticoonn Gomroiwc th and pnv e original pacific formattiauthoritative Development: Policy osed from XML files created from thding styles, and other typesetting-speprint version of this publication as the WCorokminmg iGssrioounp o onn B PeCohQpoaumvliamoutriioatltne e aeGn sodron tSw Poitochoip aaulnn lSdat cEisioecnnocneosm aincd D Eedvuecloatpimonent been recompd breaks, heaease use the National Research Council s orPl ginal work hane lengths, wally inserted. the original; liccident n of e orien a ohe w digital representatie breaks are true to thic errors may have b egp naa file: This ng files. Pme typogr PDF esettind so ut this nal typned, a NATIONAL ACADEMY PRESS ogiai Washington, D.C. 1986 Aboriret ii ee er book, not from thg, however, cannot bersion for attribution. NNNotfhofaAOer St aiTTccopoIIinepOCmanrENlmoc :RpeA isTrtetiL,seh at eetehAea er prCb ecNrsaAohplaj aDCoetnicnoEoctsnu eMitanb.hlYcla eAit l Pf,ic sowRa rtd EhhteheoSm esSse yur 2e bmop1jfeeo0 Ecmr1ttn bCowgefoier nstnrhe esaei tsrcire tihrun eodtgpisro,aeo nawnrn t A nfdwo vftrarhe sotneh ma ueIpen itrp shN rtseiopWt vuceeotc eWdiu a onblaf cycs iMh oltsimh enoedgpf iGt ectothioennevn,e ecND. reTanCsthi ian2eong 0nmd 4aB le1wo m8Aiatrbchdae rdroesefg m oatfhryde pnv This report has been reviewed by a group other than the authors according to procedures al pamattiative aenpcperos,v tehde bNya ati oRneaplo Artc Radeevmieyw oCf oEmnmgiinteteeer icnogn, sainstdi nthge o Ifn msteitmutbee orsf oMf ethdeic Ninaet.ional Academy of Sci- e origincific forauthorit Tainshgseo k cNniaoattweio ltenhdaegl beRr aeonsaedda corcofh ma dCmvouiusninnictgyil towhfe as sfce iedesnetarcabel l aigsnohdve deter bnchymn teohnleto .Ng Tyah tweio iCnthao lut hAnecc iAal dcoeapmdeeryam toeyfs 'sS i ncpi uaercnpccooesrsed sian on 1fc 9ef1 uw6rti httoher- s been recomposed from XML files created from thord breaks, heading styles, and other typesetting-spePlease use the print version of this publication as the g1tSmAMALPNmHICWiS8ecoooiccaBeeBeenbi6npaatvnned8 ie3rN.uddgentto ir8aBI1,,.Tleercrcan na4 raw.t0mmiielhpa thcn.ytb D-isPleehphleyieo3 l ue foR6ioo iea n0Cucpowsdofvn6lt e9h l uoigoefgead5Celcs- bgrsyurlneSre 5i0a oootlree nsadi3 chipaapsnw1n tccr ie6cepah itcde9,igdst nkh4b hlyhnNeh8art egne1l :hax cn 6ei©t Caa o-bseapeI.scd 0tnhwn3rsl sos.io Dimd oe. ts0usublChts neh4onieinee dntaae.tnccct u6hlgedrsti oo t'iaRelcdeA0 enem i il( 9n uAsoeotbcUoe—h1 tnmgay1fcl .e7tet di Sa9iMhi ntP2defdach6.eig'o)gms e4ec4e .d-spepm d iyWeiAa8,aunrsi v ynni6cTltoc-naoea did-Paafanctl8nr iduosueki1Ee6cop erpn.bi9ae2nnu nammg T7 lg.pslwgi i 0yhc i2erno Pne,Giae n.ep vu eh rt tDerreNaenei.oeorortsrdeticaaeuipnonveentt,pesg iireignDon ,c v lo t ocngtoIeihainonnna pdveta mc lpai Pe tg nfa.rhAlormeouygeopncft, um chiucacutnooodyl, na iutrne stdhtoinimediteeefoyltu rsfrynb T c-i.ot e ogtohyIGf stot ofeXh— ir vi ftE ocs s etC thwEh nrahcaneogcdetor hiriomiNntnnpr enga geoiarsonnre rtemoemiidarrossiftv enit sinEtceiomighacco rnc leeeobna ,o sdA nenaNR n rtoldjcdos aeom cahti tsihitdthnitiohipaoeceotnerl mn ncy ItDa,genso lybVre.osr vpytIvooii.eor eftfbuglrroonatienpt--h i-oaf, ginal work hane lengths, wally inserted. wcPFSToierhhripcisniroycttd n.heP dd Prp iriPrninonrt ivittnnihingdteig,e n U,dMg D n,a aiJectruccecleedhyms Ss11b 9tt9aeo88tr 6e e81sl e9oc8ft9 rAonmice rpicaag.ination and laser-printer technology for producing camera the original; liccident FFoifuthrt hP rPinritnintign,g O, Nctoovbeemr 1b9e9r 11990 n of e orien a ohe w digital representatie breaks are true to thic errors may have b egp naa file: This ng files. Pme typogr PDF esettind so ut this nal typned, a ogiai Aboriret iii ee per book, not from thng, however, cannot bversion for attribution. D. GAWLoEr kJOinHgN GSOrNou (pC oocnh aPDiro)ep, vuDelleaoptpairomtnme eGnnttr oowf tEhc oannodm iEcsc, oUnnoimveircsity of e original pacific formattiauthoritative RNOANNCCAChaLYliicDf aog BrDonIiR.a ,DL BESeAErk L(eLCle,o ycPhoapiru)l,a tGiornad, uHateea lGthr,o uapn din NDuetmriotigorna pDhye,p aUrtnmiveenrts,i tyT hoef osed from XML files created from thding styles, and other typesetting-speprint version of this publication as the RESTTAKGAV..ONEE PNMANODNAWW. NF OEUMSUFooE LREDLRUrrTFLIll .EddNES OH WH YCLÍBB VMA.L IHaa GLPAnnE..U RRLkkBCRSL,,IEEA UH,AWWTPESNLOMoZTNaaAp,M,Oss S EuDDhhT,Nl,Iii aeATeDnnR,tpp ggZiOePeaoattp,srooor,n t eNatnnp mPmarS,,uator etmeDDtlcupnianhodue..ttt CCi nni lAoooeaat..fnsft sl oi sEoECRSfon ccteecEuo,onsi cdnaHnetoeitoaoeeenrrmms,aco lUhiCmitcch nesCsi,,cni, ov asYtYuee,n arrnaBd,sllc eiaeUNit tlyUUe nuF sointnv erfCiiile vvtlMorioeeoslrwriilnsstceiy ihgttD yyieogefap Pnaertnmnseynltv, aTnhiae been recompd breaks, heaease use the s orPl ginal work hane lengths, wally inserted. the original; liccident n of e orien a ohe w digital representatie breaks are true to thic errors may have b egp naa file: This ng files. Pme typogr PDF esettind so ut this nal typned, a ogiai Aboriret iv ee er book, not from thg, however, cannot bersion for attribution. Comm1it9te8e3 –o1n9 P8o5pulation pnv e original pacific formattiauthoritative ERNUUAGDNCEOCaNYLliEFf o BArHnINAiRaDM,D BOSMeRArEkKLLeLAl e,(, y CHPhuoanpigru)al,ar itGaionrna A,d ucHaatdeeea mlGthyr,o oufap nS dicn ie NDncueetmrsi,ot iBgorunad paDhpyee,ps taUrtnmiveenrts,i tyT hoef osed from XML files created from thding styles, and other typesetting-speprint version of this publication as the RRSPGJAIHOOEDNIODNNLWWUFNEFOAIEr nePFMaooLLYwi nRrrvFDLEllc eEddYOiE Nrs GFYsBBoE cKiRAOr otaa,kyM EEnn.LI kkNEnBCD,,sD ,UNStWW iOMLTtIuCaafAEAtfsseOiIhhTcN NiiLeoAnn,, fL oggOP ,fttHoP oo , CPponnePouaep,,o plnluDDtpauthltue..ali CCralotPa it..nofiotooi nlSonri cn t uPyR,S d oHteSiulseiedtecsuaia yedlCrt sichSee h,nst ,ua,ta ePndnUrdird,ei n nUsNi,cTv neuTerittarvohrsieinenitrt iiysUoPni ntgonoy pifD v ouCeCeflar epaMstnaliiiottrifyetcnomrh ,r CinegnioBaatun,,r noTScwhailnne, been recompd breaks, heaease use the AJSGOAENAMONNR UM GNEIELEL LLHBSE..O RPSN,RI MP,E oOSMpTvuOeOlraNsNteiSo,a ,nPs DoDSpeteuupvdlaeairltetoimsop nCem neSetnt nutoted frC i,eH oUsue nCnailcevtinhelt, re PsWril,ta yaUn sonnhfiii nvnPgege rtnsaoninntsyd,y DolAvf. 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Contents pnv al pamattiative e origincific forauthorit osed from XML files created from thding styles, and other typesetting-speprint version of this publication as the 1 PIWnrteirlfola dsclueocwtieorn population growth increase the growth rate of per capita v1i11i been recompd breaks, heaease use the 2 Wiirlnle scsolooumwrcee ertsh p?roopuuglha tiinocnr egarsoiwngth p ienrc craepasitea tahvea gilraobwiltihty r aotfe e oxfh paeurs tciabpleita 18 the original work has ginal; line lengths, worccidentally inserted. Pl 34 WWiiirtllnilleo scssnollooo umowwrfce eet ehrrtsh epp?r ooonppuauutgullhaar attiiinloo cennrn eggvarrisrooiowwnngttmhh p ealeenlrlat ec?dva tipoait tmea poaovrelal iuclaatibpoiinltia taly np doe frt hrween oderekwgearrba,dlea- 3450 n of e orien a thereby increasing per worker output and consumption? ohe w digital representatie breaks are true to thic errors may have b egp naa file: This ng files. Pme typogr PDF esettind so ut this nal typned, a ogiai Aboriret CONTENTS vi ee er book, not from thg, however, cannot bersion for attribution. 5 Dore lexodpwuloecreit dap tosioptinum leauctliuoosnn ot odm etineescsih toinefo ssl ocleagaliedc aitnlo i pnlornowodveurac tptiioeornn ca aannpddi t raie nidfnurcacosemtdruecst vuirae ?a 47 pnv 6 Will slower population growth increase per capita levels of school- 53 al pamattiative ing and health? e origincific forauthorit 7 Will slower population growth decrease the degree of inequality in 62 osed from XML files created from thding styles, and other typesetting-speprint version of this publication as the 89 RCWCeoaifnntiglenhl cr artesoleo lu wcodn stowicthisuhoeetep?snr riml bepu'oostd pifeoeurnrlnta i otleiifoct yinon nbgcoeormohmwaievct? ihso efrac ictmoilrpi taoansteed tcaholelse tavsb ioasonter sppotricooibnelt oeymf a wts looarfrk gueerr?bsan 98674568 been recompd breaks, heaease use the Index 105 s orPl ginal work hane lengths, wally inserted. the original; liccident n of e orien a ohe w digital representatie breaks are true to thic errors may have b egp naa file: This ng files. Pme typogr PDF esettind so ut this nal typned, a ogiai Aboriret PREFACE vii ee er book, not from thg, however, cannot bersion for attribution. Preface pnv al pamattiative e origincific forauthorit osed from XML files created from thding styles, and other typesetting-speprint version of this publication as the gFraenrolodelwl vothaTItwhnneh intni 1as gasn9 un rd6aemd 3np e m occtihrunoatert rnrr isooezPunmdematsunli mcycteht liae ddoro eenicnzvb oe teanhPsltcoae oeltdppu v msusimeidleotaeasnntn jitsofo,co rniec rn tqo ohPaunn r ectfo hisetbnethnila eoetplr mn arcrsotehsi bl nabaolgpteefi tmao eortnrh,in. nse thgh tih eCpoe sorn emd bpteemohvtrewietst lteeaoee dpenrd ie norlpeganost ipsnSoeuacnslti saienhotniiinoncpsnees. been recompd breaks, heaease use the aetahnnse tdwi tplePueldubl blaiTlcsih acbet iy PoG noor ltioohcfwey ri t thois n forf eoft phrWmoer oetN rdwl adpet ieroPernso oeapxnlu pslA arietncisa osmdnioe.a nmnTsyy ho ecfo o facu ponSpntcorciiieeenrsntn,mc eatehsbn eotnpu uotf bfet lhlittesh h baieytm d psp calaiin ceeranlett ipiaosontnsrdst, the original work has ginal; line lengths, worccidentally inserted. Pl opp1pTcar9efoh our6pecnsp3u eeodo lndauitptsh tnu,ibp aoclyartaeno td rrtpiahoao optefnare i tnt daihtdot nhred nena ealnwtuoc tdaelwnoisl gnr .ocl r-edouacsA,nlto deitetnnr sitl obipetmnhfaue uaodctiiteinr o adttcanolt rlil yemiaoata cy feiscd n ,elce o o oltutowehmhbrfe-ea lb ii ttnpniihnmocogeeono odo mrgs efiltwe nro t bihcactateohrohel n u ephasnp soietog rprqtaphiouuetu leefsalte .naht rittoIatoiitiftao ln liwna ti ycenathcv rscteaee rhnedleraeysad trt rs air3eemtewa5 imoca aonhtysafe ee idwndatt rehh aisdn2ees. n of e orien a almost unchanged. ohe w digital representatie breaks are true to thic errors may have b pdbcmreooeedovlupourenuewcltlS orta iiipttoen1iheosnc ad pn ean i e sc nhr 1o caao9utes fh6 nwnfbe3stther ,e, i eodtea nlehsne a otdp.hht wh aIaetns se hsr veesalgeo odtrrerwmo.,a, w Aeteetar ht elhldteoodh-r fw iao ntpmhui-dneiegaunacihtcckrri eioc anta mhogdgsefgee e c r ereathlahifgranfteeaseeea t c esariot, na l fast a nteoo hp ns feo hduo paeabfturc hlip rllegriat anhrdtotie egeorwdca en oltnt iiehfnnei neri inanc itnhi lrcnale eryl ae mt fsdhaeescoeer etov sir tnlewet ioltatmoioyl nlpwr a uhlitidenhena'ldgesssl egp naa file: This ng files. Pme typogr high in many developing countries. PDF esettind so ut this nal typned, a ogiai Aboriret PREFACE viii ee er book, not from thg, however, cannot bersion for attribution. ecwthocieomt hnim soDssmiuuetpteibecp aea ot ndeorde tf cv ftioerhnonle omt1 ipOn9 mu7tfhfe1eiedn c p teA.ua obgbTfoelh inutsehcht eyeNt dhFfa eooat irr ro eteIwnilngaaotntle-i rovSAnnoeacslctuahirdmoiepentesama rlryby eD e pctoeowhfvra eteiS erleeocnndi petp minbtolcyeepe nduRst l, Roa (ttgAaiheopIrrnDio d Ru) gg,Pe rhveoo xewpalault mehlsa, t ituanaidnnoeydddn pnv Growth: Consequences and Policy Implications. al pamattiative A dozen years later, in response to the ongoing debate about population e origincific forauthorit gdrisocwutshs,e da sinso cthiaet eidn treosdpuecctiiaolnly t ow tihthis trheep orptu, bAliIcDat iaogna ino f asskeevde rathl e mAacjaodr emwoyr ktos s been recomposed from XML files created from thord breaks, heading styles, and other typesetting-spePlease use the print version of this publication as the uFANWCpenmfrscthaeyvoranlocRcpoeeosiotndamtdi dortrCrsooeoedtaeekrearmnrmTf et ncitqlsfsFsmnaiheci isuH ,tunktdpgsei y.teys wngseeer e nH ooo wtd ewrGoceoidre nai.frelr *hsfrupon ekm sto telcontC oe ShWeutrieor ard eevocnptdiPfs iciemiF o scettonoraluhheooonnsanmgplnes ulnnp cl utysdnatyitne sihhmlth,ned-i satd iPecdereid s ttean uohpi ee a tintoccsrhpr eomtnithrnrsuoo iup.deeo si ap.pnmluts nn nnahTrp wstTltdop tghaeuo hiashovlret eoerPeel iacerets sn o otok,to mooNe e nifRp nrt r nsp Geaheuioso fg rgptnseeolebrorcirauio tqorofoikng tirptr runowinwieeargttoplehaaf faptirttno eenlfmt hdohot yrod rlce ew:ralAt l e ceteqiatalaas tssheorcdnunhpnos sanw fda od rdm Fodoocet if ts euneoon lhsem Eop Dmne u neeaddgaocndo n t eyaenioiopt rsdmnetwe voatfnueaasauod enlorol ot cyle fali ifeigmroeo tohsdttoxkhryisEtpnne;rioasi,e c irc s n pno oneie cteiagnh tesafn glrDhgni twyedsns niserdp ca,i,me oeea rd ourfvdsaelswloeautbewe y nirhrt sdcnltilpb id heihnoants ttrca e iwr hgpaegaccefitdWw empe hothk v fti anser haodedei.cr do ll rrneneeeeoul(i tovsicltdNsAivpvaae ul oea aritemtab goblstenoellrotytyuhfdiy.orbi es p) oi a mlaratoittettntt nnnhhhhehuoimiadngddeceeeesfl ginal work hane lengths, wally inserted. aametni todhad eleler.r x athtTtreeeh mpomoseoes simttpi ooaenlsracistra imfonantivissloti— sroet rwd v thbhieiyecw hmms —oamnsiatyg rc heso tc mchboopenll aascricsade.le nlTrete dhvd ii ste hhwreee rspe eocixnrott,nr fecaimensrd enws i enleingltlvt ltiehar oess nuetmphcpoeeo nnrmottam olfiorisecrt the original; liccident effectTsh oef Wpooprukliantgio Gn rgoruopw othn. Population Growth and Economic Development n of e orien a ohe w digital representatie breaks are true to thic errors may have b * The National Research Council (NRC) Fund is a pool of private, discretionary, neagap nonfederal funds that is used to support a program of Academy-initiated studies of ut this PDF file: This nal typesetting files. Pned, and some typogr ncCaAFcpoonuaoannmtdburdisn lonrpFiienecdsalgwta aonspiltrie ioaeo Wiol ssCniH fsc;.t ou yehreMcwt aphsiotsol e enesria ltutnalrrtAoete iibFns wcoc u oanwhoFtdu iinoeionoctcmunhdhfe ns a yrN ttsdne icaeofecIirtwndnheioo, ndn m wncuoYthe, sli ooet tahtrr gahy Jk nieot c,chd haPote Rnlhrn t oo eehcsDgcc ooeChkr.ran atnelhtaimtefounhaenlm,rd lo tlol ;ege wC fsrya o h aUn EfFtifd hc..oiS h egputC.r uhr niisrsnuevdeec elaa epiN ettksTeeinaiosp .gtc neinMefoar,oi nnfaauaFinanccnnoluAad dduaAn a rnlttt ttceldhihycaocaue.odhnt rinens TAoFm tonrhloliif,yeobn ur getucnohNydltdfuei Roa daPSntWCnii.cnso d i ginSe Flf n,wllr uiocoattinahhetmmdhnees ogiai Aboriret and the National Academy of Engineering endowments. PREFACE ix ee er book, not from thg, however, cannot bersion for attribution. ataPahcbllseatooi nvu tnoitct iopyntmi ghc eosmE fs ifosuftpsemhiecoermt naivetaCiedrooin nzmaee sdmgas r,ni ohtditues erp eem c ;oo aoftmn hnbaep gaslPceeekomt iagpnerrugneol tau actn iioodtmefn dpa,f ajaotpthmrher eroiasl uys Wsgt hehpasoolstrau mkcnti.oenn vniIgnnet g ro Ga indnpr do rwtoiuetgpihcor ahantnom , inicass a lFski enandcm oeotwtinahlindyel pnv developing world. al pamattiative In carrying out its mandate, the Working Group on Population Growth and e origincific forauthorit Eeacrolyn odmraicft sD eovf ebloapckmgernotu mnde tp saepveerrsa la ntidm teos abnedg icno tnod uscytnetdh eas iwzeo rtkhseh ofpin tdoi nrgesv ifeowr s been recomposed from XML files created from thord breaks, heading styles, and other typesetting-spePlease use the print version of this publication as the twgtmdwRifwtsaGhhhnetsrruoohhrlreeisasaolsodntmiirooftor rskehtuya u wstrfbThimgla e.munhddde a,hnhp Plgae iridweo taolrsnl at;i nDnepug orgh,prcttc ketrt aeo.a.r aoitot d sitnchnlo snnh u Sa udLecsraticepsesolse ornersi a ive ceppr Cmeiabr gesi ear i tauahtrno aaaealeuttata eplnm jreehdtrslenrlpih d eesoy yczbddwrtsoa tleere ibpiu. redudi rr cseottrTxHesrgehih tgena.caaphahg oasifsttntTsreneleiotihriei dlso sbsnhanraees e n riienw gsyeolnc fdo eidsi ,oifchgotrf ndps yrao w r cra te afktdmehltdraicfhtnuiaouteieosimnemhndcd ape sr g gt tle rooiiiphelt tne t cocyrohantRaepitogien enss pdaotwoemrst odoe tror iboeo o atrtnaaputceh; fsftnrshi l pori etke Gdvaettti otarhhix an h e nJtermtelae t dem.dh goe n di seiLep Cfnsrednetgrmf ersadoma Noracrouppee fobtrmjpbeoatiyhKdeeueiorstertmn a cripone.tarosm ttg Gvsnr h;ip nmo y s Aoin eroDrasdfoa.foe ee lfil enftilotg ewmt Iha dhRdthnnrnthne o bteehe e Phe eMrs eoefn,sw ak ee sire nerLnd e.s tecaow c eShaddiwporBCernralo ichk om stdtoemhJthpoihsirel.hornom at eruxkC;anDgomary etiwivy,tl uo.nt,o logoii t guetgoenrE rnPzreshn coerag,eruusa co uleg megdpliNscpsr wlaetspahto a aaRroonalfoiaunncfsotrnniCrifhhpdoyaerrt,,, ginal work hane lengths, wally inserted. SacopompclimiaeTld iht Steteh ceei ceisront amcufenfms uf isotautrnea tdelh eedEiirsid t eoufgrcfiroaaatrltit eostaf noul,en ln attnhtso dits o r aEtelhlpla eoi nrrthete.pe oMrwtc.oGrkarinragu gghr, ouppro dmucetmiobne resd iatonrd, the original; liccident EUGENE HAMMEL, CHAIR n of e orien a COMMITTEE ON POPULATION ohe w digital representatie breaks are true to thic errors may have b egp naa file: This ng files. Pme typogr PDF esettind so ut this nal typned, a ogiai Aboriret

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