Polyvinyl Alcohol from Taiwan Investigation No. 731-TA-1088 (Final) Publication 4218 March 2011 U.S. International Trade Commission Washington, DC 20436 U.S. International Trade Commission COMMISSIONERS Deanna Tanner Okun, Chairman Irving A. Williamson, Vice Chairman Charlotte R. Lane Daniel R. Pearson Shara L. Aranoff Dean A. Pinkert Karen Laney Acting Director of Operations Staff assigned Angela Newell, Investigator Larry Johnson, Industry Analyst Gerald Benedick, Economist Charles Yost, Accountant Mary Jane Alves, Attorney Karl von Schriltz, Attorney Mara Alexander, Statistician George Deyman, Supervisory Investigator Address all communications to Secretary to the Commission United States International Trade Commission Washington, DC 20436 U.S. International Trade Commission Washington, DC 20436 www.usitc.gov Polyvinyl Alcohol from Taiwan Investigation No. 731-TA-1088 (Final) Publication 4218 March 2011 CONTENTS Page Determination .................................................................. 1 Views of the Commission ......................................................... 3 Dissenting Views of Chairman Deanna Tanner Okun and Commissioner Daniel R. Pearson ............................................... 35 Part I: Introduction ............................................................ I-1 Background .................................................................. I-1 Previous and related investigations................................................ I-2 Statutory criteria and organization of the report ...................................... I-3 Statutory criteria ........................................................... I-3 Organization of the report .................................................... I-4 U.S. market summary .......................................................... I-5 Scope PVA ............................................................... I-5 PVA ..................................................................... I-5 Summary data and data sources .................................................. I-5 Nature and extent of sales at LTFV ............................................... I-6 Sales at LTFV ............................................................. I-6 The subject merchandise ........................................................ I-6 Commerce’s scope .......................................................... I-6 Tariff treatment ............................................................ I-6 The product .................................................................. I-7 Description and applications .................................................. I-7 Manufacturing processes ..................................................... I-9 Domestic like product issues .................................................... I-9 Physical characteristics and uses ............................................... I-11 Manufacturing facilities and production employees ................................ I-12 Interchangeability and customer and producer perceptions .......................... I-12 Channels of distribution...................................................... I-13 Price .................................................................... I-13 Part II: Conditions of competition in the U.S. market ................................ II-1 U.S. channels of distribution..................................................... II-1 Regional sales ............................................................. II-4 Information on suppliers of scope PVA ......................................... II-5 U.S. market characteristics ...................................................... II-6 Purchaser profiles .......................................................... II-8 Supply and demand considerations................................................ II-11 U.S. supply ............................................................... II-11 U.S. demand .............................................................. II-16 Foreign demand ............................................................ II-25 Substitutability issues .......................................................... II-26 Factors affecting purchasing decisions .......................................... II-28 Comparison of the U.S.-produced and imported PVA .............................. II-33 Elasticity estimates ............................................................ II-37 U.S. supply elasticity ........................................................ II-37 U.S. demand elasticity ....................................................... II-37 Substitution elasticity ....................................................... II-38 iii CONTENTS Page Part III: U.S. producers’ production, shipments, and employment ...................... III-1 U.S. producers ............................................................... III-1 U.S. capacity, production, and capacity utilization ................................... III-3 U.S. producers’ shipments ...................................................... III-4 Captive production ............................................................ III-5 The threshold for the application of the statutory criteria ............................ III-5 The first statutory criterion ................................................... III-6 The second statutory criterion ................................................. III-6 The third statutory criterion ................................................... III-7 U.S. producers’ imports and purchases............................................. III-8 U.S. producers’ inventories ..................................................... III-8 U.S. employment, wages, and productivity ......................................... III-8 Part IV: U.S. imports, apparent consumption, and market shares ...................... IV-1 U.S. importers ................................................................ IV-1 U.S. imports ................................................................. IV-1 Negligibility ................................................................. IV-2 Apparent U.S. consumption ..................................................... IV-3 U.S. market shares ............................................................ IV-3 Ratio of imports to U.S. production ............................................... IV-4 Part V: Pricing and related information ............................................ V-1 Factors affecting pricing ........................................................ V-1 Raw material costs .......................................................... V-1 U.S. inland transportation costs ................................................ V-3 Pricing practices .............................................................. V-4 Pricing methods ............................................................ V-4 Discounts and sales terms .................................................... V-5 Supply contracts ........................................................... V-5 Price data ................................................................... V-7 Announced selling-price changes for scope PVA .................................. V-7 Questionnaire price data ..................................................... V-7 Price trends ............................................................... V-12 Price comparisons .......................................................... V-13 Lost revenues and lost sales ..................................................... V-14 iv CONTENTS Page Part VI: Financial experience of U.S. producers ..................................... VI-1 Background .................................................................. VI-1 Scope PVA and PVA operations ................................................. VI-1 Merchant market operations on scope PVA and PVA .............................. VI-3 Variance analysis ........................................................... VI-4 Assets and return on investment ............................................... VI-4 Capital expenditures and research and development expenses ........................... VI-5 Capital and investment ......................................................... VI-5 Actual negative effects ...................................................... VI-5 Anticipated negative effects .................................................. VI-6 Part VII: Threat considerations and information on nonsubject countries ............... VII-1 The industry in Taiwan ......................................................... VII-1 U.S. inventories of scope PVA from Taiwan ........................................ VII-2 U.S. importers’ current orders ................................................... VII-2 Antidumping investigations in third-country markets ................................. VII-2 Information on nonsubject countries .............................................. VII-3 Global market ............................................................. VII-3 Appendixes A. Federal Register notices....................................................... A-1 B. Hearing witnesses ............................................................ B-1 C. Summary data............................................................... C-1 D. Price comparisons among the U.S.-produced scope PVA products and those imported from Taiwan and nonsubject countries ................................................ D-1 E. Comparisons of questionnaire selling price data reported by Sekisui for PVA products 1-5 produced domestically and by *** for PVA products 1-5 imported from Taiwan ....... E-1 Note.–Information that would reveal confidential operations of individual concerns may not be published and therefore has been deleted from this report. Such deletions are indicated by asterisks. v UNITED STATES INTERNATIONAL TRADE COMMISSION Investigation No. 731-TA-1088 (Final) POLYVINYL ALCOHOL FROM TAIWAN DETERMINATION On the basis of the record1 developed in the subject investigation, the United States International Trade Commission (Commission) determines, pursuant to section 735(b) of the Tariff Act of 1930 (19 U.S.C. ' 1673d(b)) (the Act), that an industry in the United States is materially injured by reason of imports from Taiwan of polyvinyl alcohol, provided for under subheading 3905.30.00 of the Harmonized Tariff Schedule of the United States, that have been found by the Department of Commerce (Commerce) to be sold in the United States at less than fair value (LTFV).2 BACKGROUND The Commission instituted this investigation effective September 7, 2004, following receipt of a petition filed with the Commission and Commerce by Celanese Chemicals, Ltd., Dallas, TX. The final phase of the investigation was scheduled by the Commission following notification of a preliminary determination by Commerce that imports of polyvinyl alcohol from Taiwan were being sold at LTFV within the meaning of section 733(b) of the Act (19 U.S.C. ' 1673b(b)). Notice of the scheduling of the final phase of the Commission=s investigation and of a public hearing to be held in connection therewith was given by posting copies of the notice in the Office of the Secretary, U.S. International Trade Commission, Washington, DC, and by publishing the notice in the Federal Register of October 4, 2010 (75 FR 61175). The hearing was held in Washington, DC, on January 25, 2011, and all persons who requested the opportunity were permitted to appear in person or by counsel. 1 The record is defined in sec. 207.2(f) of the Commission=s Rules of Practice and Procedure (19 CFR ' 207.2(f)). 2 Chairman Deanna Tanner Okun and Commissioner Daniel R. Pearson made negative determinations. 1
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