HooverPress:Gough/Alchemy DP0HGOUAPFOR3 rev3.1 pageviii viii Foreword As the essays in this book illuminate, however, the interac- tionsbetweenpoliticsandsciencedonotalwaysbenefitsociety. Politicianscanfocusonscientificobservationsthatprovidesup- portforadecisionthattheyfavorforotherreasons.Scientistscan tailortheirresearchprogramsand,perhapsmoreoften,slanttheir conclusionstoencouragepoliticianstobelievethatgreatpayoffs willfollowfromtheirresearchorthatalurkingcatastrophecan bedetectedorpreventedonlyiffundingfortheirresearchcontin- ues. At a more mundanelevel, when drawingconclusions from researchintoenvironmentalrisks,thescientistintentoncontin- uing research and the government administrator intent on expanding the reach of his or her agency are likely to focus on resultsthatfavortheirinterests. Theessaysinthisbook,writtenbyscientistswhohavepartic- ipated in or witnessed firsthand political-scientific interactions, providedescriptionsofpoliticalmanipulationsofscienceandof political considerations. The essays describe excessive politici- zation——the misapplication or outright manipulation of the sci- entificrecordtoadvancepolicyagendas.Ultimately,actionssuch as those described have unintended consequences, the brunt of whicharebornebyeverydaycitizens,notthosewhopoliticizeat theexpenseofobjectivity. ScholarsoftheHooverInstitutionandtheGeorgeC.Marshall Institutecooperatedon thisprojecttodrawattentionto the mis- givings of politicization for citizens as well as for public policy. These essays are intended to offer important insights to society aboutthecostsofmisusingscienceforpoliticalendsthatinvolve thenation’spolicymakers,interestgroups,media,andscientists. Betterpolicydecisionsandefficientuseofsociety’sresourceswill come from an examination of all available science that is embarked upon in ways that encourage the public interest and discouragepurelyopportunisticbehavior. A number of individuals worked on various stages of this HooverPress:Gough/Alchemy DP0HGOUAPFOR3 rev3.1 pageix Foreword ix projectfromitsconceptiontoitspublication.Thisprojectstarted withconversationsbetweenDirectorJohnRaisianoftheHoover InstitutionandJohn Mooreand JeffreySalmonof the GeorgeC. Marshall Institute. Mark Herlong of the Marshall Institute pro- vided valuable assistance and Richard Sousa, Hoover’s senior associatedirector,providedguidanceandassistancethroughvir- tuallyallphasesoftheprocess. johnraisian williamo’keefe Director, President, HooverInstitution GeorgeC.MarshallInstitute HooverPress:Gough/Alchemy DP0HGOUAPAUTH rev1.1 pagexi Contributors bruce n. amesisaProfessorintheGraduateSchoolofBiochem- istryandMolecularBiologyattheUniversityofCalifornia,Berke- ley, and Senior Scientist at the Children’s Hospital Oakland Re- searchInstitute. Dr. Ames was director of the National Institute of Environ- mentalHealthSciencesCenteratU.C.Berkeleyfortwenty-three years,andhechairedtheU.C.BerkeleyDepartmentofBiochem- istryfor six years,1983–1989.Prior to that he was the Microbial Genetics section chief at the National Institutes of Health in Be- thesda,Maryland,aNationalScienceFoundationseniorfellowin thelaboratoriesofFrancesCrickinCambridge,England,andF. JacobinParis,France,andabiochemistwiththeNationalInsti- tutesofHealth,wherehebeganhiscareer. Bruce Ames is the inventor of the Ames Test, which allows scientiststo test chemicalsto see whether they cause mutations inbacteriaandperhapscancerinhumans.Hisresearchandtes- timonyledtobansonsuchsyntheticchemicalsasTris,theflame- retardantusedinchildren’spajamas. He is the authorof numerousprofessionalpapersas well as HooverPress:Gough/Alchemy DP0HGOUAPAUTH rev1.1 pagexii xii Contributors editorialsandopinionpiecesthathaveappearedinmajornews- papers and magazines and the recipient of nearly thirty profes- sionalhonorsandawards.AmemberoftheNationalAcademyof Sciences,AmesearnedhisPh.D.inbiochemistryandgeneticsat theCaliforniaInstituteofTechnology. roger bateisthedirectoroftheInternationalPolicyNetworkin Washington,D.C., and an adjunct fellow at the CompetitiveEn- terpriseInstitute(CEI),also in Washington.Hewas the founder of the Environment Unit at the Institute of Economic Affairs in 1993,andheco-foundedtheEuropeanScienceandEnvironment Forumin1994.HeisaboardmemberoftheSouthAfricannon- governmentalorganizationAfrica,fightingmalaria.Bate’sPh.D. isfromCambridgeUniversity. HehasadvisedtheSouthAfricagovernmentonwatermarkets and his researchinterestsfocus on internationalenvironmental regulations.Heisparticularlyinterestedintheeffectsofpressures fromWesternpoliticiansandGreenactiviststoimposefirst-world environmentalpoliciesondevelopingcountries. Dr.BateistheeditorofWhatRisk?(Butterworth-Heinneman, 1997),a collectionof papersthatcriticallyassessthewayriskis regulated in society, and the author of several scholarly papers about risk and policies in developing countries. In addition, he haspublishednumerousarticlesaboutriskandpoliticsinnews- papersand magazines,includingthe WallStreetJournal,the Fi- nancialTimes,Accountancy,andLM.HismostrecentbookisLife’s Adventure:VirtualRiskinaRealWorld(Butterworth-Heinemann, 2000). bernard l. cohenearnedhisD.Sc.inphysicsin1950.Hewasa group leader in cyclotron research at the Oak Ridge National Laboratoryfrom1950through1958.From1958through1994,he was professor of physics and an adjunct professor in four other departments at the University of Pittsburgh, and he is now pro- HooverPress:Gough/Alchemy DP0HGOUAPAUTH rev1.1 pagexiii Contributors xiii fessoremeritusattheuniversity.Hehasreceivedseveralawards fromprofessionalphysicssocieties. Inadditiontomorethat300paperspublishedinprofessional journals, Dr. Cohen has written six books: Heart of the Atom (Doubleday, 1967), translated into French, German, Italian, and Japanese;ConceptsofNuclearPhysics(McGraw-Hill,1971),trans- lated into Arabic and republished by Tata McGraw-Hill(India); Nuclear Science and Society (Doubleday, 1974); Before It’s Too Late: A Scientist’sCase for NuclearPower (Plenum, 1983), trans- lated into Turkish; Radon (Consumer Reports Books, 1987, and Avon Books, 1989); and The Nuclear Energy Option, Alternative fortheNineties(Plenum,1990),translatedintoJapaneseandSpan- ish. Dr. Cohen developed an inexpensive, accurate radon mea- surementdevicethathasbeenusedbythousandsofhomeowners. lois swirsky goldisdirectoroftheCarcinogenicPotencyPro- jectandaSeniorScientist,UniversityofCalifornia,Berkeley,and Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory. She has directed the CarcinogenicPotencyProjectfortwenty-fouryears,andhasbeen amemberoftheNationalInstituteofEnvironmentalHealthSci- encesCenterattheUniversityofCaliforniaatBerkeleyforfifteen years. Dr.GoldhasservedonthePanelofExpertReviewersforthe National Toxicology Program and on the boards of the Harvard Center for Risk Analysis and the Annapolis Center; she was a memberoftheHarvardRiskManagementGroupandisatpresent a member of the Advisory Committee to the Director, National CenterforEnvironmentalHealth,CentersforDiseaseControland Prevention(CDC).Sheisamongthemostfrequentlycitedscien- tistsinherfieldandwasawardedtheAnnapolisCenterPrizefor riskcommunication. Sheistheauthorof100papersonthesubjectsofanalysesof animalcancer tests and implicationsfor human cancer preven- HooverPress:Gough/Alchemy DP0HGOUAPAUTH rev1.1 pagexiv xiv Contributors tion, interspeciesextrapolation,risk assessment, and regulatory policy.HerCarcinogenicPotencyDatabase(CPDB),whichpres- ents analyses of the results of 6,000 chronic, long-term cancer testson1,400chemicals,waspublishedasaCRChandbookand isavailableontheWorldwideWebathttp://potency.berkeley.edu. michael gough,aconsultant,earnedaB.A.atGrinnellCollege, and a Ph.D. (biology) at Brown University. After a decade-long academic career at the University of Michigan, Baylor Medical School,andtheStateUniversityofNewYorkatStonyBrook,and two yearsat theNationalInstitutesof Health,he joinedthe con- gressionalOfficeofTechnologyAssessmentin1977.AtOTA,he beganworkinhealthriskassessmentandenvironmentalhealth policy and directed and contributed to OTA reports on subjects ranging from environmental causes of cancer, occupational health and safety, and Love Canal through corn genetics and biotechnologytooilshalemining. In the early 1980’s, Gough directed OTA’s congressionally mandatedoversightofExecutiveBranchstudiesofcancerinvet- eransof atombombtestsandof the healthof Vietnamveterans. HechairedaDepartmentofVeteransAffairsadvisorycommittee (1987–90)aboutthe possiblehealtheffectsof herbicidesused in VietnamandtheDepartmentofHealthandHumanServicescom- mittee(1990–95)thatadvisestheUnitedStatesAirForcestudyof the health of Air Force personnelwho sprayedAgent Orangein Vietnam. In September 2000, he accepted reappointment to the DHHScommittee.In1995,heservedontheEnvironmentalPro- tection Agency’s Science Advisory Board committee that evalu- atedEPA’sdioxinreassessment. During his academic career, he was a Fulbright Lecturer in Peru and India, and published two dozen papers in molecular biology, genetics, and microbiology. He is the author of Dioxin, Agent Orange (Plenum, 1986), coeditor, with T. S. Glickman, of HooverPress:Gough/Alchemy DP0HGOUAPAUTH rev1.1 pagexv Contributors xv Readings in Risk (Johns Hopkins University Press, 1990), and coauthor,withStevenJ.Milloy,ofSilencingScience(Cato,1999). He is the authorof morethanfortypapersabout environmental andoccupationalhealthaswellasnumerousnewspaperop-eds. HehastestifiedaboutthreedozentimesbeforeCongress.Heisa fellow of the Society for Risk Analysis and was president of the InternationalSocietyfor RegulatoryToxicologyand Pharmacol- ogy(2001–2002). dr. william happerisaProfessorintheDepartmentofPhysics at Princeton University. On August 5, 1991, with the consent of theSenate,hewasappointedDirectorofEnergyResearchinthe DepartmentofEnergybyPresidentGeorgeH.W.Bush.Heover- saw a basic research budget of some $3 billion, which included muchofthefederalfundingforhighenergyandnuclearphysics, materialsscience, magnetic confinement fusion, environmental science,biology,thehumangenomeproject,andotherareas.He remainedattheDOEuntilMay31,1993,tohelpduringthetran- sitiontotheClintonadministration.HewasreappointedProfessor of Physics at Princeton University on June 1, 1993, and named EugeneHiggensProfessorofPhysicsandChairoftheUniversity Research Board in 1995. With an interest in applied as well as basic science, he has served as a consultant to numerous firms, charitablefoundations,and governmentagencies.From 1987 to 1990heservedaschairmanoftheSteeringCommitteeofJASON, a group of scientists and engineers who advise agencies of the federal government on matters of defense, intelligence, energy policy, and other technical problems. A Fellow of the American PhysicalSocietyandtheAmericanAssociationfor theAdvance- mentofScience,andamemberoftheAmericanAcademyofArts andSciences,theNationalAcademyofSciences,andtheAmeri- can Philosophical Society, he has published over 160 scientific HooverPress:Gough/Alchemy DP0HGOUAPAUTH rev1.1 pagexvi xvi Contributors papers.HeisalsoamemberoftheBoardofDirectorsoftheGeorge C.MarshallInstitute. joseph p. martinoisaprivateconsultantinthefieldoftechnol- ogy management. He is a Fellow or Associate Fellow of several professional organizations, including the Institute of Electrical andElectronicsEngineers,theAmericanInstituteofAeronautics & Astronautics, and the American Association for the Advance- ment of Science.Dr. Martinoserved for twenty-twoyears in the U.S.AirForce,retiringasafullcolonel.Heholdsdegreesinphys- ics(A.B.,MiamiUniversity),electricalengineering(M.S.,Purdue University), and mathematics (Ph.D., Ohio State University). Whileonactiveduty,hewasamemberofthePlansStaffofboth the Air Force Avionics Laboratory and the Air Force Office of Scientific Research and was also Chief of the Environmental AnalysisDivisionoftheAirForceOfficeofResearchandAnalysis. AfterleavingtheAirForce,Dr.MartinobecameaSeniorResearch ScientistattheUniversityofDaytonResearchInstitute(1975–93), where he conducted research for the Army Missile Command, MartinMarietta,AT&T,IT&T,theHobartCorporation,andother sponsors. He also created and taught graduate-level courses in technological forecasting and technology assessment in the SchoolofEngineering——coursesthatcoveredtechnologicalfore- casting (its application to R&D planning, business, and govern- ment)andmethodsofanticipatingthesocial,economic,anden- vironmentalconsequencesofnewtechnology.Heistheauthorof TechnologicalForecastingforDecisionMaking(ElsevierScience, 2ded.,1983)andScienceFunding:PoliticsandPorkbarrel(Trans- actionPub,1992). patrick j. michaelsistheVirginiaStateClimatologist,Professor of EnvironmentalSciences at the Universityof Virginia,and the CEOofanenvironmentalconsultingfirm.HeholdsA.B.andS.M. degreesinbiologicalsciencesandplantecologyfromtheUniver- HooverPress:Gough/Alchemy DP0HGOUAPAUTH rev1.1 pagexvii Contributors xvii sity of Chicago and a Ph.D. in ecological climatology from the UniversityofWisconsinatMadison.Heisapastpresidentofthe American Association of State Climatologists and was program chairfortheCommitteeonAppliedClimatologyoftheAmerican MeteorologicalSociety.HeisavisitingscientistwiththeGeorge C.MarshallInstituteinWashington,D.C.,andaseniorfellowof theCatoInstitute,alsoinWashington. MichaelsisacontributingauthorandrevieweroftheUnited NationsIntergovernmentalPanelonClimateChange,andhisre- search papers have been published in the major scientific jour- nals, including Climate Research, Climatic Change, Geophysical ResearchLetters,JournalofClimate,Nature,andScience.Hiswrit- ingsforthegeneralpublichaveappearedintheWashingtonPost, Washington Times, Los Angeles Times, USA Today, Houston Chronicle, and Journal of Commerce. He has appeared on ABC, NPR’s “All Things Considered,” PBS, Fox News Channel, CNN, MSNBC,CNBC,BBC,andVoiceofAmerica.AccordingtoNature magazine,Michaelsmaybethemostpopularlecturerinthena- tiononthesubjectofglobalwarming. henry i. miller, m.s., m.d., is a research fellow at the Hoover Institution.Hisresearchfocusesonpublicpolicytowardscience andtechnology,especiallypharmaceuticaldevelopmentandthe newbiotechnology.Hisworkoftenemphasizesmodelsforregu- latoryreform.MillerjoinedtheFoodandDrugAdministrationin 1979,wherehewasthemedicalreviewerforthefirstgenetically engineereddrugsevaluatedbytheFDAandwasinstrumentalin the rapid licensing of human insulin and human growth hor- mone. From 1989 to 1994 he was the founding director of the FDA’s Office of Biotechnology,and he representedthe FDA and the U.S. government on various expert and policy panels. After leaving government service, Miller became the Robert Wesson Fellow in Scientific Philosophy and Public Policy at the Hoover HooverPress:Gough/Alchemy DP0HGOUAPAUTH rev1.1 pagexviii xviii Contributors Institution(1994–96).Hismonographsaboutriskassessmentand management and regulatory policy and reform include Policy Controversy in Biotechnology: An Insider’s View (R. G. Landes, 1997),BiotechnologyRegulation:TheUnacceptableCostsofExces- siveRegulation(London:SocialAffairsUnit,1997),andTo Ame- rica’s Health:A Proposalto Reformthe Food and Drug Adminis- tration (Hoover Institution Press, 2000). In addition, he has publishedacademicpapersinprominentmedical,scientific,and publicaffairsjournals——TheLancet,JournaloftheAmericanMed- icalAssociation,Science,Nature,andNatureBiotechnology——and articles for the general public in magazines and newspapers worldwide,including,theWeeklyStandard,NationalReview,Wall Street Journal, New York Times, and Financial Times (London). He is a regular commentator on the nationally syndicated John Batchelor–PaulAlexanderProgramonABCradio. robert nilsson joined the Swedish Environmental Protection Agency in 1974. While the head of the toxicological unit of the Products Control Division, he was instrumental in pushing throughregulationsonreductionsofleadingasoline,aswellas thefirstgeneralrestrictionsintheworldontheuseofcadmium. In 1986, the newly created National Chemicals Inspectorate (KEMI)tookovermostoftheresponsibilityforchemicalscontrol, andNilssonwasseniortoxicologistatKEMI untilJuly2002.Dr. Nilsson’sPh.D.wasearnedinbiochemistryandradiationbiology. HehasworkedforOECDinvariouscapacities,fortheInter- national Program on Chemical Safety (IPCS) and for WHO, and hasadvisedtheMinistriesofEnvironmentofthegovernmentsof IranandIndia.From1992throughJuly2002,withsupportfrom U.S. industry and the Commission of the European Union, he conductedresearchon internationalenvironmentalactivitiesin hiscapacityasadjunctprofessorofmoleculartoxicologyandrisk assessmentatStockholmUniversity,andsinceJuly2002he has
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