PIVOTAL DECADE This page intentionally left blank judith stein Pivotal Decade how the united states traded factories for finance in the seventies new haven and london Published with assistance from the Kingsley Trust Association Publication Fund established by the Scroll and Key Society of Yale College. Copyright ∫ 2010 by Judith Stein. All rights reserved. This book may not be reproduced, in whole or in part, including illustrations, in any form (beyond that copying permitted by Sections 107 and 108 of the U.S. Copyright Law and except by reviewers for the public press), without written permission from the publishers. Set in Scala Roman and Scala Sans type by Keystone Typesetting, Inc. Printed in the United States of America. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Stein, Judith, 1940– Pivotal decade : How the United States traded factories for finance in the seventies / Judith Stein. p. cm. ‘‘Published with assistance from the Kingsley Trust Association Publication Fund.’’ Includes bibliographical references and index. isbn 978-0-300-11818-6 (alk. paper) 1. United States—Economic policy—1971–1981. 2. Keynesian economics. 3. Financial institutions—United States. 4. United States—Politics and government—1969–1974. 5. United States—Politics and government—1974–1977. 6. United States—Politics and government—1977–1981. I. Title. hc106.7.s74 2010 330.973%092—dc22 2009043742 A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library. This paper meets the requirements of ansi/niso z39.48–1992 (Permanence of Paper). 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 For George and Anne Stein This page intentionally left blank contents Preface ix Acknowledgments xv 1 ‘‘The Great Compression’’ 1 2 1971: A∆uence Challenged and Restored 23 3 1972: The Last Election of the 1960s 51 4 OPEC and the Trade Unionism of the Developing World 74 5 1975: ‘‘Capitalism Is on the Run’’ 101 6 1976: Morality and Economy 130 7 International Keynesianism in a Troubled World 154 8 Labor to Capital: Domestic Keynesianism on the Ropes 176 viii contents 9 From Virtuous Circle to Perfect Storm: Oil Crisis, II 205 10 1979–80: ‘‘The Gnomes of Zurich Got Their Way’’ 225 11 Age of Inequality 262 Notes 301 Index 357 preface Ask people old enough to recollect the 1970s and they will amuse you with tales of the flamboyant culture of garish clothes, big hair, and disco. Some will recall the therapeutic culture of TM and Esalen. A few may recount the experience of being ‘‘born again.’’ Many will remember the political cynicism spawned by the Watergate scandal. And a number will evoke the social strife over race and gender. Writers have followed popular recollections. Some written accounts of the decade descend to kitsch, whereas others contain interesting insights on sex, music, films, and drugs.∞ But what do they add up to? Philip Jenkins portrayed a liberal culture that assimilated the social movements of the 1960s, while Bruce Schulman concluded that American culture became more southern, a synonym for conservative. Still, Schulman’s depiction of ethnic, sexual, race, and New Age ideas and movements made American culture seem more sprawling than constricting. The film and music of the 1970s re- vealed profound critiques of authority—notably Martin Scorcese’s Taxi Driver (1976) and the Talking Heads. Country music was more ambig- uous than Schulman made it out to be. Was Loretta Lynn’s ‘‘Coal Miner’s Daughter’’ a conservative anthem, a reassertion of ‘‘southern chauvin- ism,’’ as he claims?≤ Whatever we conclude, it is risky to deduce politics from popular culture. Historians often psychologize the decade’s conflicts. One book is