Pilgrimage to WARREN BUFFETT’S OMAHA A Hedge Fund Manager’s Dispatches from Inside the Berkshire Hathaway Annual Meeting JEFF MATTHEWS McGraw-Hill New York • Chicago • San Francisco • Lisbon • London Madrid • Mexico City • Milan • New Delhi • San Juan Seoul • Singapore • Sydney • Toronto Copyright © 2009 by Jeff Matthews. All rights reserved. Except as permitted under the United States Copyright Act of 1976, no part of this publication may be reproduced or distributed in any form or by any means, or stored in a database or retrieval system, without the prior written permission of the publisher. ISBN: 978-0-07-160198-6 MHID: 0-07-160198-8 The material in this eBook also appears in the print version of this title: ISBN: 978-0-07-160197-9, MHID: 0-07-160197-X. All trademarks are trademarks of their respective owners. Rather than put a trademark symbol after every occur- rence of a trademarked name, we use names in an editorial fashion only, and to the benefit of the trademark owner, with no intention of infringement of the trademark. Where such designations appear in this book, they have been printed with initial caps. McGraw-Hill eBooks are available at special quantity discounts to use as premiums and sales promotions, or for use in corporate training programs. To contact a representative please visit the Contact Us page at www.mhprofessional.com. This publication is designed to provide accurate and authoritative information in regard to the subject matter covered. It is sold with the understanding that neither the author nor the publisher is engaged in rendering legal, accounting, or other professional service. If legal advice or other expert assistance is required, the services of a competent professional person should be sought. —From a Declaration of Principles jointly adopted by a Committee of the American Bar Association and a Committee of Publishers TERMS OF USE This is a copyrighted work and The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. (“McGraw-Hill”) and its licensors reserve all rights in and to the work. Use of this work is subject to these terms. Except as permitted under the Copyright Act of 1976 and the right to store and retrieve one copy of the work, you may not decompile, disassemble, reverse engineer, reproduce, modify, create derivative works based upon, transmit, distribute, disseminate, sell, publish or sublicense the work or any part of it without McGraw-Hill’s prior consent. You may use the work for your own noncommercial and personal use; any other use of the work is strictly prohibited. Your right to use the work may be terminated if you fail to comply with these terms. THE WORK IS PROVIDED “AS IS.” McGRAW-HILL AND ITS LICENSORS MAKE NO GUARANTEES OR WARRANTIES AS TO THE ACCURACY, ADEQUACY OR COMPLETENESS OF OR RESULTS TO BE OBTAINED FROM USING THE WORK, INCLUDING ANY INFORMATION THAT CAN BE ACCESSED THROUGH THE WORK VIA HYPERLINK OR OTHERWISE, AND EXPRESSLY DISCLAIM ANY WARRANTY, EXPRESS OR IMPLIED, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO IMPLIED WAR- RANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY OR FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. McGraw-Hill and its licensors do not warrant or guarantee that the functions contained in the work will meet your requirements or that its operation will be uninterrupted or error free. Neither McGraw-Hill nor its licensors shall be liable to you or anyone else for any inaccuracy, error or omission, regardless of cause, in the work or for any damages resulting therefrom. McGraw-Hill has no responsibility for the content of any information accessed through the work. Under no circumstances shall McGraw-Hill and/or its licensors be liable for any indirect, incidental, special, punitive, consequential or similar damages that result from the use of or inability to use the work, even if any of them has been advised of the possibility of such damages. This limitation of liability shall apply to any claim or cause whatsoever whether such claim or cause arises in contract, tort or otherwise. This is for NJB Love, JLM CONTENTS Preface: Pilgrimage to Omaha . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . vii A Very Rational Place: 2007 PART I: Introduction: Wired at Birth . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3 1 This is Big . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 2 Why Omaha? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21 3 The Newspaper Generation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35 4 The Oracle of Omaha . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43 5 This Motley Group . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51 6 The Math Has to Make Sense . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59 7 Buffett’s Table . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 63 8 The Time Value of Warren Buffett . . . . . . . . . . . . . 67 9 Budding Buffetts: Where to Begin . . . . . . . . . . . . . 75 10 The Most Versatile Investor in the World . . . . . . . 79 11 An Insider’s Information . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 89 12 “You Don’t Want to Let Him Down” . . . . . . . . . . . 93 13 Intrusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 103 14 Whom Do You Trust? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 111 15 Grumpy Old Man? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 117 16 Artful Dodging . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 123 17 One-Half of 1 Percent . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 127 18 What Now? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 133 19 Road Trip . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 139 20 Buffett’s Last Nickel . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 147 21 “This is a Very Rational Place” . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 155 Return to Omaha: 2008 PART II: Introduction: Family Reunion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 167 22 Armageddon Avoided . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 173 23 The 1 Percent . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 181 24 It’s a Beautiful Day . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 187 25 The Usual Procedure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 191 26 In Search of the Oldest Living Manager . . . . . . . . 197 27 What Would Warren Do? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 203 28 A Convulsion That Makes Enron Look Like a Tea Party . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 209 29 Crying Wolf . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 217 30 A Particularly Foolish Mess . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 223 31 Like Breathing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 227 32 Secrets in Plain Sight . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 233 33 Buffett’s Radar . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 239 34 A Family Affair . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 245 35 The Berkshire Flea Market . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 251 36 Decline and Fall of The Sainted Seven . . . . . . . . 257 37 The “Yes” Won’t Change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 265 38 Yesterday I Died . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 271 39 His Fondest Hope . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 277 Coda: Beyond Buffett . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 283 Notes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 287 Index . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .293 Acknowledgments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .297 This page intentionally left blank PREFACE Pilgrimage to Omaha E ach year, during the first weekend in May, Berkshire Hathaway shareholders, their friends, and their family members descend on Omaha, Nebraska for the largest financial gathering of its kind. Seasoned professionals, amateur investors, young learners, and just plain Warren Buffett junkies, they spend the weekend renewing old friendships at Berkshire shareholder receptions and shopping for jewelry, carpeting, and high-definition televi- sions at Berkshire-owned stores. But mainly they come to hear Berkshire Hathaway chairman and chief executive officer Warren Buffett, the “Oracle of Omaha,” answer their questions and impart his wisdom for the better part of an entire Saturday, at the company’s annual meeting. From early morning to mid-afternoon, shareholders ask—and Buffett answers—any question at all. They ask more than 50 questions, on almost any topic, from how to be a great investor to what a good first job for an ambitious 10-year-old girl would be. Seated at a table on a small stage on the floor inside Omaha’s Qwest Center arena, the chairman of one of the largest public companies in the world, along with his close friend, partner, and vice chairman, Charlie Munger, opens a dozen microphones to investors of all stripes. viii PREFACE: PILGRIMAGE TO OMAHA No PR flack screens the questions in advance. No lawyer shields the two men from controversial questions. And no ques- tion goes unanswered, even the most deeply personal, irrelevant, or controversial. The session lasts for more than five hours, and the questioners include everyone from antiabortion protestors to Native American activists. It is the most remarkable, yet unadorned, exhibition of good governance in corporate America. In May 2007, 27,000 people came from around the world to attend, and for the first time in my career, I joined them. I manage a hedge fund. Think of it as a mutual fund without borders. We can invest in anything our investors want, from stocks to bonds to currencies to oil to real estate. We can also bet against companies by selling short. One other thing that distinguishes hedge funds from, say, mutual funds is the way we earn our pay. In addition to a small fee for managing the money—1 or 2 percent—we get paid a piece of the profits we generate for our investors—usually 20 per- cent. No profits, no pay. So we have an incentive to make money for our investors come hell or high water, bull market or bear. That’s why hedge fund managers tend to be more skeptical than the average buy-and-hold investor. Hedge funds come in all different flavors, from trading- oriented to old-fashioned investment funds, reflecting the personality of the hedge fund manager. My hedge fund is rather old-fashioned and is invested only in stocks—no fancy stuff. Like most value-oriented money managers in the business, I’ve stud- ied Buffett’s writings, speeches, and investments for more than two decades. Yet it wasn’t until Chris Wagner, a friend in the business and a Berkshire shareholder invited me to go that I finally went to Omaha for the Berkshire annual meeting. For years, Chris had been encouraging me to attend. “It’s a little spooky,” he said. “It’s a cult. You have to see it to really believe it.” PREFACE: PILGRIMAGE TO OMAHA ix This year, I decided to go with him, to see it for myself. And I expected to hear the old jokes, pithy maxims, and funny anecdotes that made the Berkshire meeting so popular; see his acerbic and (at least outside the Berkshire “family”) under- rated partner, Charlie Munger, in action; take in their com- pany’s rabidly loyal shareholders; and check out one of the most famous Berkshire Hathaway landmarks—the Nebraska Furniture Mart. Then, like aging baby boomers who go to a Rolling Stones concert mainly to be able to say they’d seen Mick Jagger, I’d be able to say, “I saw Warren Buffett.” But as it turned out, the trip meant far more than that. Even before the plane landed in Omaha, I began to grasp that I was entering a very different world. Observations both large and small took on great meaning, from the farmlands surrounding Buffett’s hometown of Omaha to the remarkably low-key way in which Buffett ran the meeting in a venue the size of Madison Square Garden—glancing at his wristwatch and declaring that it was about time for the audience of 27,000 to break for lunch, for example. Over 48 hours, I scribbled 33 pages of notes covering the pro- foundly engrossing question-and-answer session, a brief but enlightening conversation with two Berkshire managers, and a visit to Berkshire’s fabled Nebraska Furniture Mart. The experi- ence was an eye-opener for me, and, as I would soon find out, for the readers of my financial blog. Now, in addition to having run a hedge fund for nearly 15 years, I also write a financial blog called JeffMatthewsIsNotMakingThisUp, reporting on whatever unusual and interesting happenings in the investment world strike my fancy. Unusual and interesting things happen in the investment world all the time, but the most unusual—and by far the most interesting—I ever encountered was the Berkshire Hathaway annual meeting.
Description: