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Photovoltaics for Rural Electrification in Developing Countries: A Road Map PDF

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Green Energy and Technology Tania Urmee David Harries Hans-Gerhard Holtorf Photovoltaics for Rural Electrification in Developing Countries A Road Map Green Energy and Technology More information about this series at http://www.springer.com/series/8059 Tania Urmee David Harries (cid:129) Hans-Gerhard Holtorf Photovoltaics for Rural fi Electri cation in Developing Countries A Road Map 123 TaniaUrmee Hans-Gerhard Holtorf MurdochUniversity University of Oldenburg Murdoch, WA Oldenburg Australia Germany DavidHarries University of Western Australia Crawley, WA Australia ISSN 1865-3529 ISSN 1865-3537 (electronic) Green Energy andTechnology ISBN978-3-319-03788-2 ISBN978-3-319-03789-9 (eBook) DOI 10.1007/978-3-319-03789-9 LibraryofCongressControlNumber:2016939357 ©SpringerInternationalPublishingSwitzerland2016 Thisworkissubjecttocopyright.AllrightsarereservedbythePublisher,whetherthewholeorpart of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission or information storage and retrieval, electronic adaptation, computer software, or by similar or dissimilarmethodologynowknownorhereafterdeveloped. The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, service marks, etc. in this publication does not imply, even in the absence of a specific statement, that such names are exempt fromtherelevantprotectivelawsandregulationsandthereforefreeforgeneraluse. The publisher, the authors and the editors are safe to assume that the advice and information in this book are believed to be true and accurate at the date of publication. Neither the publisher nor the authors or the editors give a warranty, express or implied, with respect to the material contained hereinorforanyerrorsoromissionsthatmayhavebeenmade. Printedonacid-freepaper ThisSpringerimprintispublishedbySpringerNature TheregisteredcompanyisSpringerInternationalPublishingAGSwitzerland Preface …millionsofpeopleintheworld’spoorestcountriesremain imprisoned,enslaved,andinchains.Theyaretrappedinthe prisonofpoverty.Itistimetosetthemfree… —NelsonMandela Over 1 in 5 people living in the world today do not have access to electricity and many more have access to only very limited amounts of electricity. In the main, thesearepeoplewholiveinruralareasindevelopingcountries.Thatlackofaccess to modern energy services means not only that these people have a low quality of life, but also that they are not provided with basic services, such as healthcare and education.Theyare caught inan energy poverty trap. Poverty results in having no access to electricity, and they remain poor while they do not have access to elec- tricity. That there is a moral, social and economic need for electrification pro- grammestoprovidethesepeoplewithaccesstoelectricityinnotinquestion.What isinquestionishowtodosoefficiently,costeffectivelyandwithoutaddingtothe world’salreadyseriousenergy-relatedenvironmentalproblems.Theimportanceof finding answers to this question is amplified by the fact that while many rural electrification programmes based on the use of small-scale renewable energy sys- temhavebeenimplementedoverthepastdecades,itislookinglikelythattherewill be as many people in 2030 without access to power as there are today. If the problem is going to be addressed, the number of rural electrification programmes beingimplementedwillneedtobegreatlyincreasedandtheirscalesexpanded.We willneedmoreandbiggerruralelectrificationprogrammes.Butthereisaproblem! Many rural electrification programmes using renewable energy systems as an alternativetoextendingthegridorusedieselgenerators.Thedegreetowhichthese programmes havebeensuccessful intermsof asustained increaseinthe uptake of renewable energy systems is not well documented. However, there is strong evi- dence that while some of the rural electrification programmes that have been implemented in developing countries to date have been highly successful, not all have been. The problem is that before we invest in larger and bigger rural elec- trification programmes, we need to be able to answer questions such as why some v vi Preface oftheseprogrammeshavenotbeensuccessful,orhavenotbeensuccessfulasthey could have or should have been, and how future programmes can be designed and implemented in ways that result in greater success rates? And those are the ques- tions that this book attempts to answer. In attempting to answer these questions, the immediate paradox that we encounteredwasthatseveralguidelinestoassistthosedesigningandimplementing solar home system (SHS) programmes had been published and that the poor out- comes of some SHS programmes were occurring despite the publication of those guidelines.Forsomereasonorreasons,thepublicationofthoseguidelineshadnot appearedtohaveeffectivelyremediedtheproblemsthattheyhadsoughttoaddress. Ourstartingpoint,therefore,wasthatwritingyetanothersetoftechnicalguidelines was not the solution. What was needed was a better understanding of the causes behind the failures of limited success of many of these programmes, and con- versely, the relative success of others is required. And that is exactly what we set out to do. Todoso,weundertookacomprehensivereviewoftheliterature andthen went on to undertake our own SHS programme case study reviews and surveys, and thirdly, we interviewed SHS programme designers and implementers. These strategieswereusedtogatherandtopulltogethersufficientdataandinformationto beabletounderstandthefullsuiteofrelevantfactorsthatcanhaveaninfluenceon theoutcomeofaSHSprogrammeandtounderstandwhatworksandwhatdoesnot work,andthereasonsthattheyworkordo notwork.Theresultofthisworkisthe comprehensivesetofissuesthatneedtobeconsideredineachofthestepsthatare essential to the design and implementation of a successful SHS programme. Theendresultisadetailedroadmaptoguidethosedesigningandimplementing ruralelectrificationprojectsindevelopingcountriesusingsolarPV.Itincludescase studies derived from our own personal participation in and observations of Solar Home Systems, their impacts, their advantages and disadvantages and their oper- ation. The road map provides a comprehensive list of all of the factors that we concluded need to be considered in developing and implementing a SHS pro- gramme. It is a road map because rural electrification programmes are not simple, butarecomplex.Theissuesthatneedtobeconsideredarelarge,andthecontextsin which they aredevelopedand implementedvaryenormously.It therefore doesnot attempt to provide a list that needs to be rigidly applied or followed, but a way or map to help navigate through the complexities. We have attempted to provide a road map that can be utilised to help in designing and implementing a SHS pro- gramme to ensure that the programme will be as successful and as sustainable as possible within the particular context in which it is implemented. Tania Urmee David Harries Acknowledgements Asalways,abooksuchasthisinvolvesatremendousamountofworkandtimeand couldnothavebeenwrittenwithouttheassistanceofmany.Inthiscase,thenumber is too large to be named individually here. Those from our professional and aca- demic networks have assisted directly, while many others have assisted indirectly by sharing their experiences and knowledge. We met many in rural areas. They hosted us and they shared their real-life problems on the ground of non-electrified areas. We greatly appreciated the assistance and acknowledge the support of all. Without that assistance, advice and input completing this project would not have been possible. We would also like to acknowledge our families who have provided moral support and as always bore the greatest sacrifice by foregoing time that we should have spent with them. We would also like to thank Hanse-Wissenschaftskolleg at Delmenhorst in GermanywholentgreatsupporttothisprojectbyprovidingafellowshipforTania Urmee. We dedicate this book to those who currently do not share the advantages of modernelectricityservices—approximately20%ofthoselivingintheworld—and tothosewhoareinvestingtheirtimeandefforttochangethat.Ourhopeisthatthis project contributes to the successful implementation of Solar Home System pro- grammessothatthispartofworld’spopulationasrapidlyaspossibleobtainsaccess to electricity and all of the benefits that come with that. Finally, we have put much effort in editing this book, but inevitably like all thingsinlife—includingSHSprogrammes—errors andflawcansneakinandthen be missed. If any of those errors give rise to misinterpretations, we take full responsibility. Tania Urmee David Harries Hans-Gerhard Holtorf vii Contents 1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 1.1 Why are Rural Electrification Programmes Needed?. . . . . . . . . . 2 1.2 The Nexus Between Poverty and Lack of Access to Electricity. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3 1.3 Rural Electrification Rates. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 1.4 Rural Electrification Strategies. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 1.5 Dimensions of Electricity Access. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9 1.6 Electrification Using Renewable Energy Technologies . . . . . . . . 10 1.7 Why is a Rural Electrification Road Map Needed?. . . . . . . . . . . 11 1.7.1 Successful Versus Sustainable. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 1.7.2 Target Groups of Rural Electrification Programmes . . . . 13 1.8 Outline of the Book. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14 References. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 2 Solar Home Systems—A Description of the Technology and Its Applications. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 2.1 Set-up of a Solar Home System. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 2.2 PV Modules and Arrays. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 2.3 Energy Storage of the Solar Home System . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20 2.3.1 Lead–Acid Batteries. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23 2.3.2 Lithium-Ion Batteries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31 2.4 Battery Charge Controllers . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32 2.4.1 Maximum Power Point Tracking. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32 2.4.2 Miscellaneous Requirements of Battery Charge Controllers . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33 2.5 DC–DC Converters . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34 2.6 Balance-of-System Components. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34 2.7 Inverters. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35 2.8 Appliances for Use in Solar Home Systems . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37 2.9 Operation and Maintenance. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37 ix x Contents 2.10 Sizing of Solar Home Systems . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38 2.10.1 Determination of the Energy Demand. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40 2.10.2 PV Modules Sizing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41 2.10.3 Battery Sizing. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42 2.10.4 Battery Charge Controller Sizing. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43 2.11 Standards for Solar Home Systems . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43 2.12 The Market Chain and Key-Stakeholders for Solar Home Systems . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44 2.13 Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46 References. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47 3 Overview of Financing Mechanisms for Solar Home Systems in Developing Countries. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49 3.1 The Cost of SHSs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49 3.2 Why is Financing Important for SHS Programmes?. . . . . . . . . . 50 3.3 Types of Financing Mechanisms . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52 3.3.1 Cash Sales . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52 3.3.2 Subsidies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55 3.3.3 Direct Subsidy. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 56 3.3.4 Fee-for-Service . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 60 3.3.5 Credit Sales . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 63 3.4 Strength, Weakness, Opportunity and Threat. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 70 3.4.1 Cash Sales . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 70 3.4.2 Subsidised Sales . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 70 3.4.3 End-User Credit. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 71 3.4.4 Hire Purchase Model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 71 3.4.5 Microfinance. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 72 3.5 Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 75 References. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 75 4 Success and Sustainability Criteria and Issues for SHS Programmes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 79 4.1 Status of Solar Electrification Programme in Asia, Pacific and African Countries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 80 4.1.1 Status of Solar Electrification in Asia and the Pacific. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 81 4.1.2 Status of Solar Electrification in Africa. . . . . . . . . . . . . 85 4.2 Lessons Learned from Solar PV Electrification Programmes . . . . 87 4.3 Solar PV Programme Success Factors . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 89 4.3.1 Programme Success Criteria and Its Indicators for Solar PV Programmes. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 96 4.4 Challenges for Success Measurement and Weighting the Success Factors . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 100 4.5 Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 103 References. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 103

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