This book defends the prospects for a science of society. It argues that behind the diverse methods of the natural sciences lies a common core of scientific rationality that the social sciences can and sometimes do achieve. It also argues that good social science must be in part about large-scale social structures and processes and thus that methodological individual- ism is misguided. These theses are supported by a detailed discussion of actual social research, including theories of agrarian revolution, organiza- tional ecology, social theories of depression, and supply-and-demand ex- planations in economics. Professor Kincaid provides a general picture of explanation and con- firmation in the social sciences and discusses the nature of scientific ratio- nality, functional explanation, optimality arguments, meaning, and inter- pretation; the place of microfoundations in social explanation; the status of neo-classical economics; the role of idealizations and non-experimental evidence; and other controversies in social research. PHILOSOPHICAL FOUNDATIONS OF THE SOCIAL SCIENCES Philosophical foundations of the social sciences ANALYZING CONTROVERSIES IN SOCIAL RESEARCH HAROLD KINCAID University of Alabama at Birmingham CAMBRIDGE UNIVERSITY PRESS CAMBRIDGE university press Cambridge, New York, Melbourne, Madrid, Cape Town, Singapore, São Paulo, Delhi, Dubai, Tokyo, Mexico City Cambridge University Press The Edinburgh Building, Cambridge CB2 8RU, UK Published in the United States of America by Cambridge University Press, New York www.cambridge.org Information on this title: www.cambridge.org/9780521558914 © Cambridge University Press 1996 This publication is in copyright. Subject to statutory exception and to the provisions of relevant collective licensing agreements, no reproduction of any part may take place without the written permission of Cambridge University Press. First published 1996 A catalogue record for this publication is available from the British Library Library of Congress Cataloguing in Publication Data Kincaid, Harold, 1952— Philosophical foundations of the social sciences : analyzing controversies in social research / Harold Kincaid. p. cm. ISBN 0-521-48268-2. — ISBN 0-521-55891-3 (pbk.) 1. Social sciences—Research. 2. Social sciences—Philosophy. I. Title. H62.K515 1996 300'—dc20 95-13774 CIF ISBN 978-0-521-48268-4 Hardback ISBN 978-0-521-55891-4 Paperback Cambridge University Press has no responsibility for the persistence or accuracy of URLs for external or third-party internet websites referred to in this publication, and does not guarantee that any content on such websites is, or will remain, accurate or appropriate. Information regarding prices, travel timetables, and other factual information given in this work is correct at the time of first printing but Cambridge University Press does not guarantee the accuracy of such information thereafter. In memory of the generation that went before Harold Wilson Kincaid 1920-1943 Earl Alexander Kincaid, Jr. 1926-1970 Katherine Kincaid Brooks 1919-1987 CONTENTS List of figures page xi Acknowledgments xiii Preface xv Chapter 1: Issues and arguments 1 1.1 The naturalist and holist traditions and their detractors 2 1.2 An outline of the argument 9 Chapter 2: Challenges to scientific rationality 16 2.1 Quine and the demise of positivism 17 2.2 Varieties of rationality 27 2.3 Kuhn and shifting standards 30 2.3.1 Incommensurability 30 2.3.2 Theory-laden data 33 2.3.3 Ambiguous criteria 35 2.4 Social constructivism and post-modernist rhetoric 37 2.5 The subtle invasion of values 43 2.6 The symptoms of good science 47 Chapter 3: Causes, confirmation, and explanation 58 3.1 Some a priori objections 59 vii
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