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Petrostate: Putin, power, and the new Russia PDF

257 Pages·2008·1.665 MB·English
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Petrostate This page intentionally left blank PETROSTATE Putin, Power, and the New Russia Marshall I. Goldman 1 2008 3 Oxford University Press, Inc., publishes works that further Oxford University’s objective of excellence in research, scholarship, and education. Oxford New York Auckland Cape Town Dar es Salaam Hong Kong Karachi Kuala Lumpur Madrid Melbourne Mexico City Nairobi New Delhi Shanghai Taipei Toronto With offices in Argentina Austria Brazil Chile Czech Republic France Greece Guatemala Hungary Italy Japan Poland Portugal Singapore South Korea Switzerland Thailand Turkey Ukraine Vietnam Copyright © 2008 by Marshall I. Goldman Published by Oxford University Press, Inc. 198 Madison Avenue, New York, NY 10016 www.oup.com Oxford is a registered trademark of Oxford University Press All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise, without the prior permission of Oxford University Press. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Goldman, Marshall I. Petrostate : Putin, power, and the new Russia / Marshall I. Goldman. p. cm. Includes bibliographical references and index. ISBN 978–0-19–534073–0 1. Energy policy—Russia (Federation) 2. Russia (Federation)—Foreign relations. 3. Putin, Vladimir Vladimirovich, 1952–. I. Title. HD9502.R82G65 2008 327.47—dc22 2007040202 1 3 5 7 9 8 6 4 2 Printed in the United States of America on acid-free paper To Merle; not the First Dedication and I Hope not the Last This page intentionally left blank Contents List of Figures and Tables viii Preface ix Introduction R ussia—Once Again an Energy Superpower 1 Chapter 1 Russia as an Early Energy Superpower 17 Chapter 2 W orld War II to 1987: Russia Looks Inward and Outward 33 Chapter 3 P irates Unleashed: Privatization in the Post-Soviet Era 55 Chapter 4 Post-1998 Recovery: The Petroleum Export Bonanza 73 Chapter 5 Putin Takes Over: The Return of the Czar 93 Chapter 6 Natural Gas: Russia’s New Secret Weapon 136 Chapter 7 Russia: The Unrestrained Super Energy Power 170 Notes 211 Glossary of People and Companies 225 Index 231 Figures and Tables FIGURES Figure 1 Gazprom Dispatching Center 2 Figure 2 Oil and Gas Pipeline to Europe 8 Figure 3 Proposed Far East Oil and Gas Pipeline 9 Figure 4 The Breakup and Reconsolidation of the Ministry of Petroleum and Rosneft 62 Figure 5 How Price, Not Putin, Affected Oil Production 171 TABLES Table Intro.1 Russian and American Petroleum Production and Export 4 Table 2.1 Petroleum Production 35 Table 4.1 Russian Oil Production and GDP 80 Table 4.2 Russian Exports and Imports 92 Table 5.1 Monthly Change to Industrial Production 95 Table 5.2 Putin Creates National Champions 100 Table 5.3 Yukos Senior Executives—Arrest and Exile 117 Table 5.4 Renationalization and Control by Siloviki 134 Table 6.1 Gazprom Expansion Abroad 153 Table 6.2 Europe’s Reliance on Russian Gas 166 Table 7.1 Russian Petroleum Company Expansion Abroad 175 Table 7.2 Russian Gas and Petroleum Available for Possible Export 189 Table 7.3 Siloviki in Business 193 Table 7.4 Princelings 196 Preface More than in my past writing efforts, I owe thanks to a set of enthusi- astic helpers. They provided invaluable help in preparing my manuscript. Two of them have the ability to read my handwriting, something I am not always able to do myself. Doing my best to ignore the advances of the modern computerized world, I prefer to write out the text in long- hand on legal-size yellow pads. Robert Price was able to transcribe those writings for me onto a computer, so I was devastated when he went to work at a higher calling. To my relief Sue Sypko took over and proved to be as able, and, equally important, she hasn’t frowned when I bring her yet another set of nearly incomprehensive scribbles. In fact, I have taken to awarding her Stakhanovite prizes for her efforts. The third member is Coco Downey, who offered herself as research assis- tant and eagerly agreed to chase after obscure facts and display them in a way that aids the understanding of how things work in Russia. I have come to call her “the wizard.” After reading her charts and diagrams in the chapters that follow, I suspect the readers, even those in Russia, will agree that they can now understand the previously incomprehen- sible. The fourth and most unlikely member of this quartet is Thomas Luly, a most amazing high school junior. Out of the blue he wrote an e-mail asking if I needed any assistance. To humor him, I sent him an early draft of the manuscript and to my amazement, he not only read the whole thing and made extensive notes, but he found more incon- sistencies in the text than I am embarrassed to admit should have been there. He also asked some probing questions that should help both me and I hope future readers deal with issues that are all too often skirted.

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