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PERCOLATION IN A HIERARCHICAL RANDOM GRAPH 7 D.A.DAWSON*ANDL.G.GOROSTIZA** 0 0 2 Abstract. We study asymptotic percolation as N →∞ inan infinite ran- n dom graph GN embedded in the hierarchical group of order N, with con- nection probabilitiesdependingonanultrametricdistancebetween vertices. a J GN is structured as a cascade of finite random subgraphs of (approximate) Erdo′′s-R´enyi type. However, the results are different from those of classical 8 randomgraphs,e.g.,theaveragelengthofpathsinthegiantcomponentofan ultrametricballismuchlongerthanintheclassicalcase. Wegiveacriterion ] R for percolation, and show that percolation takes place along giant compo- nents of giant components at the previous level inthe cascade of subgraphs P for all consecutive hierarchical distances. The proof involves a hierarchy of h. “doublystochastic”randomgraphswithverticeshavinganinternalstructure t andrandomconnectionprobabilities. a m [ 2 1. Introduction v Randomgraphs havebeen usedto analyzepercolationin some infinite systems 1 3 (e.g., [6, 7] and references therein). On the other hand, hierarchical structures 1 have been used in applications in physics, biology (in particular, genetics), etc., 7 where an underlying ultrametric distance plays a basic role (e.g., [14, 15, 16, 26] 0 and references therein). Hence it is natural to consider infinite random graphs 6 embedded in hierarchical structures, with the probability of connection between 0 / twoverticesdependingonanultrametricdistancebetweenthem. Inthispaperwe h study percolation in an infinite random graph, , embedded in an ultrametric t GN a group, Ω , called hierarchical group of order N, as N . The structure of N m is a cascade of (approximate) Erdo′′s-R´enyi random s→ubg∞raphs at consecutive N G : hierarchical distances, and this allows using results from the classical theory of v randomgraphs[1,9,17,18,22]. However,weusethemonlyasatechnicaltool. As i X weshallsee,for therearedifferentresultsfromthe classicalones. Anessential N G r feature of is that, due to the tree-type form of Ω , any path connecting a GN N two vertices must contain an edge (or 1-step connection) of size equal to the hierarchical distance between them. In order to prove that percolation occurs along giant components in the cascade at consecutive distances, we introduce a family of random graphs whose vertices have an internal structure involving giantcomponents atthe previoushierarchicallevels. In these “doubly stochastic” 2000 Mathematics Subject Classification. Primary05C80;Secondary 60C05,60K35. Key words and phrases. Percolation, hierarchical random graph, ultrametric, giant component. *ThisresearchissupportedbyNSERC. **PartiallysupportedbyCONACyTgrant45684-F. 1 2 D.A.DAWSONANDL.G.GOROSTIZA randomgraphstheconnectionprobabilitiesbetweenverticesarerandomvariables which are highly dependent, but asymptotically deterministic as N . There → ∞ are papers that consider random graphs with connection probabilities depending ona distance between vertices or some function ofpairs of vertices (e.g., [5, 8, 10, 13]), and/or involving hierarchical structures or ultrametrics (e.g., [3, 8, 20, 21, 23, 24, 25, 27]), but we have not seen the setup we consider here. Definition 1.1. The hierarchical group of order N (integer 2) is defined as ≥ Ω = x=(x ,x ,...):x 0,1,...,N 1 , i=1,2,...,; N 1 2 i { ∈{ − } x =0only for finitely manyi , i 6 } with addition componentwise mod N, i.e., Ω is the direct sum of a countable N number of copies of the cyclic group of order N. The hierarchical distance on Ω N is given by 0 if x=y, d(x,y)= (cid:26) max i:xi =yi if x=y. { 6 } 6 Notethatd(, )istranslation-invariant,anditis anultrametric,i.e.,itsatisfies · · the strong (or non-Archimedean) triangle inequality: for any x,y,z, d(x,y) max d(x,z),d(z,y) , ≤ { } and for each integer k >1, a k-ball in Ω (i.e., a set of points at distance at most N k fromeachother)containsNk points,anditistheunionofN (k 1)-ballswhich − are at distance k from each other (a 0-ball is a single point). The group Ω has been used as a state space for stochastic models in several N applications (e.g., [15] and references therein). We areinterestedinstudying percolationpropertiesonΩ , andto this endwe N consider a random graph whose vertex set is Ω , with connection probabili- N N G ties depending on the hierarchical distance between points. We parameterize the connection probabilities so as to characterize the critical regime for percolation. The random graph is defined as follows. N G Definition 1.2. We define aninfinite randomgraph withthe pointsofΩ as N N G vertices, and for each k 1 the probability of connection between x and y such ≥ that d(x,y)=k is given by c k , (1.1) N2k−1 wherec isapositiveconstant(independentofN),allconnectionsbeingindepen- k dent. In this paper we do not investigate percolation for fixed N, we obtain a result for large N, i.e., asymptotic percolation as N , by means of the theory of → ∞ random graphs. This method is natural for the framework of the hierarchy of random graphs which constitutes . N G Recall that in the classicaltheory of Erdo′′s-R´enyi(ER) randomgraphs (N,p) G with N vertices and connection probability p, the rightparameterizationfor exis- tence of giant components as N is p= c/N, c >1. Analogously, the choice →∞ of connection probabilities (1.1) will allow us to characterize percolationin as N G N in terms of the sequence (c ) with all c > 1. One of our main tools k k → ∞ PERCOLATION IN A HIERARCHICAL RANDOM GRAPH 3 is the ER theory, which we will apply recursively along consecutive hierarchical distances. Since a k-ball has Nk points, the ER theory would require connection probabilities c /Nk,c > 1. The fact that percolation in can occur with con- k k N G nection probabilities of the form (1.1) is due to the internal hierarchicalstructure of k-balls. We shall see in Section 3.2 that the average length of shortest paths between randomly chosen points in the giant component of a k-ball is of order (logN)k, which should be compared with klogN in the classical case. To begin, we observe why the theory of ER random graphs can be used to investigate . By(1.1),twodifferent(k 1)-ballsinagivenk-ballareconnected N G − within the k-ball with probability c N2(k−1) c pN,k =1 1 k , k >1, pN,1 = 1. (1.2) −(cid:18) − N2k−1(cid:19) N Hence pN,k c /N as N . More precisely, using the elementary inequality k ∼ →∞ m y m m 2y2 0< y 1 1 < , 0<y <n, m 2, (1.3) n −(cid:20) −(cid:18) − n(cid:19) (cid:21) (cid:18)n(cid:19) 2 ≥ with y =c , n=N2k−1, m=N2(k−1), we have from (1.2) k c 1 c pN,k = k +o as N , k >1, pN,1 = 1. (1.4) N (cid:18)N(cid:19) →∞ N Two(k 1)-ballsinak-ballcanalsobeconnectedthroughpointsoutsidethek-ball. − However,asweshallsee,thisdoesnotaddmorethano(1/N)totheprobabilityof connectionbetweenthe(k 1)-balls. Ontheotherhand,weareinterestedinwhat − happens inside the k-ball. Thereforewe will disregardconnections throughpoints outside the k-ball. By (1.4), for any k > 1, a k-ball with its N (k 1)-balls as − vertices is a random graph (N,pN,k) which approximates the ER random graph G (N,c /N) as N . Note that (1.1) is equal to c /N with a norming which is k k G →∞ the product of the sizes of two (k 1)-balls. (See Remark 2.4). − The tree representationofΩ (See Figure 1)shows asa cascadeofrandom N N G subgraphs (N,pN,k), k =1,2,..., wherethe form(1.4)ofthe connectionproba- G bilities is inherited throughout the hierarchy. Note that the hierarchicaldistances k are the same for all N. We consider asymptotic percolation in , meaning that, as N , there N G → ∞ existsapathgoingfrom0 Ω to infinity, i.e.,to pointsatarbitrarilylargehier- N ∈ archicaldistances, with positive probability. This is made precise in the following definition. Definition 1.3. We say that there is asymptotic percolation in if N G P :=inf liminfP[0 Ω is connected by a path to a point at distance k] perc N k N→∞ ∈ >0. (1.5) In Theorem 2.2 we give a criterion for asymptotic percolation in , and we N G show that percolation occurs along giant components of giant components at the previouslevelin the cascadeofsubgraphs (N,pN,k)for all hierarchicaldistances G k. This involves replacing the connection probabilities pN,k, given by (1.2), by 4 D.A.DAWSONANDL.G.GOROSTIZA p p Figure 1. Tree representation of Ω N random connection probabilities between giant components, which generates a hierarchyofdoublystochasticrandomgraphs. Althoughweusethebasicresultson thesizesofcomponentsinERrandomgraphs,mostoftheworkintheproofofthe theorem consists in formulating the problem in such a way that those results can be employed to obtain upper and lower bounds for the probability of percolation. Another part of the proof consists in showing that percolation occurs along the cascadeofgiantcomponentsatconsecutivehierarchicallevels. Wewillalsodiscuss the possible form of percolation paths, and comment on approximate scale-free degree sequences in the graphs (N,c /N) for large k. k G Inafinalsectionwemakesomeheuristiccommentsregardingdoublystochastic randomgraphsofthetypeusedfortheproofofTheorem2.2andtheirapplication, inparticularreferringtoaveragedistanceandcentrallimittheoremforthecascade of giant components. These random graphs give rise to questions that suggest further research which would be of independent interest. PERCOLATION IN A HIERARCHICAL RANDOM GRAPH 5 2. Asymptotic percolation and cascade percolation We will use the following fundamental result on ER random graphs (N,c/N) G (see, e.g., [22], Theorem 5.4; recall that “a.a.s.” for a graph property means that theprobabilitythattherandomgraphpossessesthepropertytendsto1asN →∞ [22]): (A) If c>1, then a.a.s. (N,c/N) has a unique giant component, its size is βN, G where β (0,1)satisfies β =1 e−cβ, andallthe other components havesizes at ∈ − most 16c logN. (c−1)2 For each k 1 and each k-ball, we have a random graph (N,pN,k) whose ≥ G verticesaretheN (k 1)-ballscontainedinthek-ball,withconnectionprobability − pN,k given by (1.2). We assume that c >1 for all k, hence, because of (1.4) and k (A), each (N,pN,k) has a unique giant component a.a.s.. We may assume that G N is large enough so that the giant components have emerged in all k-balls for all k. Note that, by (1.3), pN,k > qN,k/N, where qN,k = c (1 c /2N) > 1 for k k − N > c2/2(c 1), therefore unique giant components emerge in (N,pN,k) for k k − G all k as N . Since percolation involves c as k , our method is k → ∞ → ∞ → ∞ restricted to the limiting situation N . →∞ If S is a non-empty setof verticesof (N,pN,k), we denote by S the number G || || of its elements (hence 0 < S N), and by S the number of points of Ω N || || ≤ | | contained in S, thus S = S Nk−1. | | || || Itisreasonabletoconsiderpercolationwithconnectionsalonggiantcomponents in the subgraphs (N,pN,k) at consecutive hierarchical distances k. Indeed, it G may happen that 0 is in the giant component of the 1-ball it belongs to, and that this 1-ball is in the giant component of the 2-ball it belongs to, but it may also happen that 0 is not in the giant component of the 1-ball it belongs to, but that it is connected to the giant component of the 2-ball, which may still be good for percolation. However, by (A), the second possibility is negligible with respect to the first one as N . The same argument can be made for the → ∞ vertices of the subgraphs (N,pN,k) and any two consecutive values of k. In G addition, if Y(k) denotes the number of 1-step connections from a point to points at distance k from it, we shall see that P[Y(k) > 0] c N−(k−1) as N for k ∼ → ∞ eachk 1, so, the probability of connections at distance k is negligible w.r.t. the ≥ probability of connections at distance k 1, and all external connections from a − k-ball will be at distance k+1 from it for all k as N . Therefore we will → ∞ look at asymptotic percolation along giant components at consecutive distances k. Moreover, we will consider asymptotic percolation along the cascade of giant componentsofgiantcomponentsatthepreviouslevelforallhierarchicaldistances k. This precisely means that 0 is in the giant component of the 1-ball it belongs to; this giant component is connected to other giant components of 1-balls in the 2-ball in they belong to, forming a level 2 giant component; and so on for every hierarchical distance k. For brevity, we call cascade percolation this special form of percolation. In order to study cascade percolation, for each k > 1 and large N we consider a random graph whose vertices are the (k 1)-balls that are the vertices of N,k G − (N,pN,k), but now each vertex has an internal structure which involves all the G 6 D.A.DAWSONANDL.G.GOROSTIZA components in the j-balls, j =1,...,k 2, in the (k 1)-ball. Clearly, the giant − − components are the ones that will determine percolation. These random graphs are described in the proof of Theorem 2.2, and their composition is reformulated after the proof in terms of giant components alone. For each k 1, let β (0,1) satisfy k ≥ ∈ βk =1 e−ckβk2−1βk, β0 =1, (2.1) − where c β2 > 1. We will show that the probability of asymptotic percolation k k−1 P is givenby β . Hence weneeda conditionforpositivity ofthis productin perc k termsofthe ck,wQhicharethe dataofthe graph N. This isgiveninthefollowing G lemma (proved in the Appendix). Lemma 2.1. Assume c as k , c >2log2 and c >8log2. Then k 1 2 ր∞ →∞ β >1/2 and c β2 >1 for all k, (2.2) k k k−1 and ∞ ∞ β >0 if and only if e−ck < . (2.3) k ∞ kY=1 Xk=1 The main result in this paper is the following theorem. Theorem 2.2. Assume c as k , c >2log2, c >8log2. Then there k 1 2 is asymptotic percolation inրGN∞if and→on∞ly if ∞k=1e−ck <∞, asymptotic perco- lation occurs in the form of cascade percolationP, and the probability of percolation (1.5) is given by ∞ P = β . (2.4) perc k kY=1 Proof. Let us assume that percolation takes places only with connections along consecutive pairs of hierarchical distances k. In the last part of the proof we will show that this is so. Weprovefirstthat e−ck = impliesthereisnopercolationin N alongcon- ∞ G secutivehierarchicaldPistances. Bytheleft-handinequalityin(1.3),theconnection probability pN,k given by (1.2) satisfies c pN,k < k. N Hence it suffices to show that there is no percolation along the random graphs (N,c /N) at distance k for every k in the weaker sense that 0 is in the giant k G component of the 1-ball it belongs to, this 1-ball is in the giant component of the 2-ball it belongs to, and so on. The probability of percolation along the graphs (N,c /N) is given by ∞ γ (connections at different distances are G k k=1 k independent), where, by (A), γk Q>0 satisfies γ =1 e−ckγk (2.5) k − for each k 1. Now, e−ck = implies e−ckγk = , since all γk < 1, ≥ ∞ ∞ which by (2.5) implies P(1 γk) = , andPtherefore γk = 0. Hence there − ∞ P Q PERCOLATION IN A HIERARCHICAL RANDOM GRAPH 7 is no percolation. So, percolation along consecutive hierarchical distances implies e−ck < . ∞ PNote that if for some k the vertex ((k 1)-ball) in (N,ck/N) containing 0 is − G notinthegiantcomponentofthek-ball,thenby(A)thecorrespondingγ in γ k k is 0. More precisely, if the (k 1)-ballcontaining 0 is not in the giant compoQnent − inthek-ball,then,by(A),0isconnectedtoatmostO(Nk−1logN)pointswithin the k-ball. But the probability of connection between a set of Nk−1logN points in the k-ball and points in the (k+1)-ball outside the k-ball is, by (1.1), c (Nk−1logN)Nk(N−1) k+1 1 1 −(cid:18) − N2k+1(cid:19) logN c 0 as N . k+1 ∼ N → →∞ Therefore there is no percolation. This observation allows us to omit non-giant components in the proofs. Now we assume e−ck < , hence βk > 0 by Lemma 2.1. We denote by ∞ Qperc the probabilitPy of cascade percolatQion. We will show that ∞ Q = β . (2.6) perc k kY=1 This obviously implies that there is asymptotic percolation in . N G We prove first that ∞ Q β . (2.7) perc k ≥ kY=1 We proceed by steps. For k = 2, a given 2-ball and large N, the graph has N vertices, which N,2 G are the 1-balls in the 2-ball, and the internal structure of a 1-ball is the family of its components. Although only the giant component G(1) will be relevant for percolation,the other ones complete the size of the 1-ball,and this plays a role in theproof. By(1.1),twogiantcomponentsG(1),G(1),i=j (whichareatdistance2 i j 6 (1) fromeachother)areconnectedwithconditionalprobability(giventhesizes G , | i | G(1) ) | j | |G(1)||G(1)| c i j pN,2 =1 1 2 . (2.8) ij −(cid:18) − N3(cid:19) We write pN,2 as ij c β2 pN,2 = 2 1 +AN,2+BN,2, (2.9) ij N ij ij where c |G(i1)||G(j1)| G(1) G(1) AN,2 = 1 1 2 | i || j |c , (2.10) ij −(cid:18) − N3(cid:19) − N3 2 G(1) G(1) β2 BN,2 = | i || j | 1 c . (2.11) ij (cid:18) N3 − N (cid:19) 2 8 D.A.DAWSONANDL.G.GOROSTIZA By (1.3), AN,2 0 and ij ≤ G(1) G(1) 2c2 c2 AN,2 | j || j | 2 2 , | ij |≤(cid:18) N3 (cid:19) 2 ≤ 2N2 since G(1) N. Hence | i |≤ c2 2 AN,2 0. (2.12) − 2N2 ≤ ij ≤ We take 0 < δ < 1 and delete from the vertices (1-balls) with giant 2 N,2 G components G(1) such that i G(1) β (1 δ )N, (2.13) | i |≤ 1 − 2 where β satisfies (2.1) with k = 1, except the one that contains 0 if it happens 1 to be in this case. For a pair ij of giant components that do not satisfy (2.13) we have, by (2.11) and (2.13), c β2 c β2 BN,2 > 2 1((1 δ )2 1)= 2 1(δ2 2δ ). (2.14) ij N − 2 − N 2 − 2 Then, from (2.9), (2.12) and (2.14), for the remaining giant components we have c β2 c pN,2 > 2 1 (1 δ )2 2 . (2.15) ij N (cid:18) − 2 − 2β2N(cid:19) 1 Since c β2 > 1, by Lemma 2.1, for any 0 < ε < 1 such that c β2(1 ε ) > 1 2 1 2 2 1 − 2 we can take δ small enough and N large enough so that, from (2.15), 2 2 q(ε2) pN,2 > 2 , where q(ε2) =c β2(1 ε )>1, (2.16) ij N 2 2 1 − 2 for all N N , for all pairs ij of giant components which do not satisfy (2.13). 2 ≥ Let MN,2 denote the number of1-balls of whose giantcomponents satisfy N,2 G (2.13). MN,2 is distributed Bin(N,P[G(1) β (1 δ )N]) (the G(1) are i.i.d.). | |≤ 1 − 2 | i | Hence, for any 0<η <1, MN,2 1 1 P >η EMN,2= P[G(1) β (1 δ )N] 1 2 (cid:20) N (cid:21) ≤ Nη η | |≤ − 0 as N , → →∞ by (2.1) for k =1 and (A) for the ER graph (N,c /N) (see also [1], p.167). So, 1 G MN,2=o(N)asN (o (N)inthenotationof[22],p.11). Therefore,deleting p →∞ from the 1-balls whose giant components satisfy (2.13) does not impair the N,2 G emergence of a giant component in , which actually emerges due to (2.16). N,2 G The giant component of is a level 2 giant component, whose elements are N,2 G 1-balls with their internal structures. Fork =3,agiven3-ballandlargeN,the graph hasN vertices,whichare N,3 G the 2-balls in the 3-ball, and the internal structure of a 2-ball is the family of its components, in particular the giant component of the corresponding graph , N,2 G asdescribed above. Havingdeleted fromeach2-ballano(N) number of 1-ballsas above, we are left only with 1-balls whose connection probabilities between their giantcomponentspN,2satisfy(2.16)(andthe1-ballcontaining0). Wenowconnect ij PERCOLATION IN A HIERARCHICAL RANDOM GRAPH 9 these 1-balls with the smaller probability q(ε2)/N (recall that we are looking for 2 a lower bound for Q ), and we consider the resulting level 2 giant components perc G(2). i By (1.1), two giant components G(2),G(2),i =j (which are at distance 3 from i j 6 each other) are connected with probability c |G(i2)||G(j2)| pN,3 =1 1 3 , (2.17) ij −(cid:18) − N5(cid:19) where G(2) = G(2) N (each 1-ball in G(2) contains N points), and, by (A), | i | || i || i G(2) β(ε2)N a.a.s., (2.18) || i ||∼ 2 where β(ε2) >0 satisfies 2 β(ε2) =1 e−q2(ε2)β2(ε2). (2.19) 2 − Now we are in a similar situation as in the previous step (k = 2), with 1-balls playing the role of points and q(ε2) playing the role of c . The fact that o(N) 2 1 1-balls have been deleted from each 2-ball has no effect, and in any case it helps towards a lower bound. So, proceeding as above with (2.17), (2.18), (2.19), we take0<δ <1 anddelete from the 2-balls with giantcomponents G(2) such 3 GN,3 i that G(2) β(ε2)(1 δ )N, (2.20) || i ||≤ 2 − 3 (excepttheonecontaining0). Choosingδ smallenoughandN largeenough(and 3 3 larger than N ), we have that the connection probabilities pN,3 for the remaining 2 ij giant components satisfy q(ε2,ε3) pN,3 > 3 , where q(ε2,ε3) =c (β(ε2))2(1 ε )>1, (2.21) ij N 3 3 2 − 3 with small enough ε , for all N N . Note that since q(ε2) c β2 as ε 0, 3 ≥ 3 2 ր 2 1 2 ց then, form (2.19), β(ε2) β as ε 0, where β satisfies (2.1) with k = 2, and 2 ր 2 2 ց 2 since c β2 > 1 by Lemma 2.1, then ε and ε can be taken small enough so that 3 2 2 3 q(ε2,ε3) >1. 3 Since β(ε2) <β <γ (see (2.5)), we have as above that the number of deleted 2 2 2 2-ballsfrom iso(N) asN , andweconnectthe remainingones withthe N,3 G →∞ smaller probability q(ε1,ε3)/N. 3 Iterating this scheme, for each k, each given k-ball and large N, we have a graph whose N vertices are the (k 1)-balls in the k-ballwith their internal N,k G − structures, which involve the level (k 1) giant components in the corresponding − graphs . A number o(N) of vertices of are deleted, as above, the N,k−1 N,k G G remaining ones are connected with the smaller probability q(ε2,...,εk)/N, where k q(ε2,...,εk) =c (β(ε2,...,εk−1))2(1 ε )>1, (2.22) k k k−1 − k and β(ε2,...,εk) >0 satisfies k β(ε2,...,εk) =1 e−qk(ε2,...,εk)βk(ε2,...,εk). (2.23) k − 10 D.A.DAWSONANDL.G.GOROSTIZA Clearly,becauseofthedeletionswehavemadeandtheuseofsmallerconnection probabilities, we have ∞ Q β β(ε2,...,εk) (2.24) perc ≥ 1 k kY=1 (connections at different distances are independent). Letting ε ,ε ,... 0 (in this order), we have from (2.22) and (2.23): q(ε2) 2 k ց 2 ր c β2, hence β(ε2) β , where β satisfies (2.1) for k = 2, hence q(ε2,ε3) c β2, 2 1 2 ր 2 2 3 ր 3 2 hence β(ε2,ε3) β , where β satisfies (2.1) for k = 3, and so on. Therefore, we 3 ր 3 3 obtain (2.7) from (2.24). Notethatthecascadeofgiantcomponentscontaining0willalwaysremain,and in any case it would not be deleted according to (2.13), (2.20), etc., a.a.s.. We now prove that ∞ Q β . (2.25) perc k ≤ kY=1 The approach is analogous to the one used for proving (2.7), but now we replace the random connection probabilities between giant components by upper bounds. Since non-giant components in k-balls have no effect on percolation, we consider only the connections between giant components. For k =2, from (2.9), (2.11), (2.12), and (A) for the ER graph (N,c /N) we 1 G have c β2 G(1) G(1) β2 pN,2 2 1 +c | i || j | 1 ij ≤ N 2(cid:12) N3 − N (cid:12) (cid:12) (cid:12) c β2 c (cid:12)(cid:12) G(1) G(1) (cid:12)(cid:12) = 2 1 + 2 | i || j | β2 N N(cid:12) N2 − 1(cid:12) (cid:12) (cid:12) < c2(β2+δ(cid:12)(cid:12)) a.a.s. (cid:12)(cid:12) N 1 2 for any δ > 0. Now we connect the 1-balls in a 2-ball with probability c (β2 + 2 2 1 δ )/N, and we consider the resulting level 2 giant components G(2) in 2-balls 2 i (we keep the notation G(2) used before, but now the connection probabilities are i different). For k =3, twogiantcomponents G(2),G(2), i=j, ina 3-ballareconnected, by i j 6 (1.1), as above, with probability |G(2)||G(2)| c i j pN,3 =1 1 3 , (2.26) ij −(cid:18) − N5(cid:19) where G(2) = G(2) N, and, by (A), | i | || i || G(2) β(δ2)N a.a.s., (2.27) || i ||∼ 2 where β(δ2) >0 satisfies 2 β(δ2) =1 e−q2(δ2)β2(δ2), (2.28) 2 −

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