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Future of Business and Finance Johannes Strikwerda Organized Complexity in Business Understanding, Concepts and Tools Future of Business and Finance TheFutureofBusinessandFinancebookseriesfeaturesprofessionalworksaimedat defining,analyzing,andchartingthefuturetrendsinthesefields.Thefocusismainly onstrategicdirections,technologicaladvances,challengesandsolutionswhichmay affect the way we do business tomorrow, including the future of sustainability and governance practices. Mainly written by practitioners, consultants and academic thinkers, the books are intended to spark and inform further discussions and developments. Johannes Strikwerda Organized Complexity in Business Understanding, Concepts and Tools JohannesStrikwerda AmsterdamBusinessSchool UniversityofAmsterdam Eindhoven,TheNetherlands ISSN2662-2467 ISSN2662-2475 (electronic) FutureofBusinessandFinance ISBN978-3-031-25236-5 ISBN978-3-031-25237-2 (eBook) https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-25237-2 #TheEditor(s)(ifapplicable)andTheAuthor(s),underexclusivelicensetoSpringerNatureSwitzerland AG2023 Thisworkissubjecttocopyright.AllrightsaresolelyandexclusivelylicensedbythePublisher,whether thewholeorpartofthematerialisconcerned,specificallytherightsoftranslation,reprinting,reuseof illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission or information storage and retrieval, electronic adaptation, computer software, or by similarordissimilarmethodologynowknownorhereafterdeveloped. Theuseofgeneraldescriptivenames,registerednames,trademarks,servicemarks,etc.inthispublication doesnotimply,evenintheabsenceofaspecificstatement,thatsuchnamesareexemptfromtherelevant protectivelawsandregulationsandthereforefreeforgeneraluse. The publisher, the authors, and the editorsare safeto assume that the adviceand informationin this bookarebelievedtobetrueandaccurateatthedateofpublication.Neitherthepublishernortheauthorsor theeditorsgiveawarranty,expressedorimplied,withrespecttothematerialcontainedhereinorforany errorsoromissionsthatmayhavebeenmade.Thepublisherremainsneutralwithregardtojurisdictional claimsinpublishedmapsandinstitutionalaffiliations. ThisSpringerimprintispublishedbytheregisteredcompanySpringerNatureSwitzerlandAG Theregisteredcompanyaddressis:Gewerbestrasse11,6330Cham,Switzerland This book is dedicated to my granddaughter, Nina, and her generation. Preface I enjoyed writing this book. Not because it was an easy process, but because the perspectiveandtheideaofcomplexityhelpedme,asitwillthereader,tounderstand in a new and fruitful way essential relations between familiar, concrete issues as knowledge work, combinatorial innovation, exponential organizations, self- managing teams, how information outmaneuvers structure, effective tactics to deal with uncertainty, agility in relation how to be in-control, regnorance, adaptation efficiency,CEO-effectiveness,bottom-upinitiatives,etc.Allthisisachievedwithout losing oneself, and hopefully the reader, in obscure mathematical models or aca- demic theories, whilst maintaining consistency with contemporary economic developments and insights. I also experienced a paradoxical nature of complexity. On the one hand, the complexity in business, as needed for economic growth, is muchmorecomplexastraditionaltheoriesoncomplexityassume.Comparedtothe complexity in business, there is even a kind of naïve simplicity in traditional complexitytheories.Ontheotherhand,inbusinessanumberofpragmaticconcepts andpracticesexisttodealeffectivelywiththegrowthofcomplexity.Thisispossible because of a growth of knowledge and because of the growth of information. The caveathoweveristhatnoteveryoneinsocietydelightsindealingwithcomplexityin everydaylife.Forsomeweneedtoorganizesimplicityimplyingthatothersneedto absorbcomplexitytomaintaintherequisitevariety.Oneofmyinterestsisinforma- tion.Weliveinaninformationsociety,butwhatisinformation?Tomyjoyinthis book,Imanagedtointegratetherichcyberneticinformationtheorywithcomplexity theoryasaresultofwhichitbecomesclearwhyconceptslikemission,values,and abstractthinkingaresoeffectivetodealwithcomplexity.Knowingone’spurposeor mission and values also helps to avoid information overload. This also avoids the trapoftryingtocopewithcomplexitybybrutecalculationsandusinglargeamounts ofdata,whichseemstootrivialinanageofBigData.Tocalculateisnotthesameas to think. The weakness of the ancient Greeks was that they lacked a system for numerical calculations, whereas the Egyptians did have a method for numerical calculations. The Greeks therefore were forced to think in order to understand, resulting in a superior philosophical understanding, whereas the Egyptians did not progress. That is what good managers do, they think and budget time for thinking and reading. Another insight I learned doing the research for this book, the com- plexityofaproblemorsituationisnotsomuchanintrinsicpropertyofthatsituation, vii viii Preface butisinthefirstplacedefinedbyourownknowledge.Complexityinmanycasesis subjective.Youwanttoreduceanexperiencedcomplexity?Growyourknowledge and the world becomes simpler. That indeed is my personal experience. Actually, one of the things helping me making complexity lighter to deal with is the insight thatdifferenttypesofcomplexityexistandknowinghowtodealwithdifferenttypes ofcomplexityindifferentwaysmakeslifeeasier. The origin of this book lays in an invitation by Dr. Peter Kinne to speak on complexityinbusinessforasmallaudienceinDüsseldorfinJanuary2016.Theidea, sowasconcludedatthatseminar,istowriteabasictextoncomplexity,fromwhich to distill more accessible presentations to be used in workshops with managers, a taskaccomplishedbyDr.Kinneinseparatepublications.Mytaskgottrappedinan emergencetypeofprocess,socharacteristicforcomplexsystems,makingcomplex- ity even more complex by acknowledging that the elements in a complex system, especially social systems, themselves are complex and that even the relations between the elements are complex. But that brings complexity closer to daily life. Thewritingofabookoncomplexityisacomplexprocess. This book is in remembrance of my spouse, Nora van Delft, who after a companionshipof45yearspassedawayjustbeforethebookwasfinished. Eindhoven,TheNetherlands JohannesStrikwerda Contents PartI UnderstandingComplexityandtheEconomy 1 Introduction. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3 1.1 TheNewnessofthisBook. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3 1.2 WhatthisBookIsAbout. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 1.3 ObjectiveofthisBook. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 Bibliography. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 2 Complexity3.0. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9 2.1 TheUsefulnessofComplexity. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9 2.2 DifferentTypesofComplexity. .. . . . . .. . . . . .. . . . . .. . . 11 2.3 WhyComplexityTheory?. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 2.3.1 ObsoleteAssumptions. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 2.3.2 InstitutionallyInducedComplexity. . . . . . . . . . . . 14 2.3.3 ComplexityofObjectives. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 2.3.4 ControlWithoutBeingControlled. . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 2.3.5 ComplexityasProvenance. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18 2.4 ComplexityTheoryandtheChangingNatureoftheFirm. . . 19 2.5 NewOptionstoOrganize. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21 2.6 AFirstUnderstandingofOrganizationalComplexity. . . . . . . 23 2.7 FromModernComplexitytoPost-modernComplexity. . . . . 25 Bibliography. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28 3 SimplicityandComplexity. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31 3.1 OurNeedforSimplicity. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31 3.2 TwoTypesofSimplicity. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34 3.3 SimplicityandPerspective. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36 3.4 SimplicityVersusLimitedComplexity. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38 3.5 DominantLogic. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39 3.6 ComplexityandLanguage. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41 3.7 TheParadoxofTraditionalSystemThinking. . . . . . . . . . . . 45 Bibliography. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47 4De finitionsofComplexity. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51 4.1 TheComplexityofComplexity. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51 iixx x Contents 4.2 ComplexityandSystemsThinking. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52 4.3 Complexity,Cybernetics,andControl. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 54 4.4 TypesofComplexity. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 60 4.4.1 DetailComplexityVersusDynamicComplexity. . . 61 4.4.2 ObjectiveComplexityandSubjectiveComplexity. 63 4.4.3 DisorganizedComplexityandOrganized Complexity. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 65 4.4.4 OverviewofTypesofComplexitiesandTheir Handling. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 68 4.5 OrganicOrganizationsasIntelligentComplexAdaptive Systems(ICAS). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 70 Bibliography. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 79 5 EconomicGrowth,Complexity,andInstitutionalConflicts. . . . . . 83 5.1 HowComplexityContributestoEconomicGrowth. . . . . . . . 83 5.2 ModeratingVariables. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 88 5.3 TheLimitationofIntuitiveManagementBooks. . . . . . . . . . 89 5.4 AConceptualModelforEconomicComplexity. . . . . . . . . . 91 Bibliography. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 93 PartII OrganizationalComplexity 6 InformationandComplexity. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 97 6.1 TheParadoxoftheInformationSociety. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 97 6.2 DiscursiveInformationandDisinformation. . . . . . . .. . . . . . 101 6.3 TheCyberneticConceptofInformation. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 106 6.3.1 Goal-Information. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 106 6.3.2 MotivationorAxiologicalInformation. . . . . . . . . . 108 6.3.3 MaterialInformation. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 110 6.3.4 EideticInformation. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 113 6.3.5 AccountabilityInformation. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 117 6.3.6 AllelopathicInformation. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 118 6.3.7 InterfaceInformation. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 119 6.3.8 CausalInformationandConceptualInformation. . . 119 6.3.9 PragmaticInformation. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 127 6.3.10 TransactionInformation(TransactionData). . . . . . 129 6.3.11 ReproductiveInformation. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 133 6.4 ComplexityandInformation. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 134 Bibliography. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 135 7 ComplexDecision-Making. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 139 7.1 Introduction. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 139 7.2 WhatIsaDecision?. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 139 7.3 WhatIsaDecision-Problem?. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 140 7.4 Well-StructuredProblems. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 142 7.5 WhyByandLargeIsDecision-MakingSuccessful?....... 156

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