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On Voter Competence PDF

288 Pages·2012·0.96 MB·English
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On Voter Competence Series in Political Psychology Series Editor John T. Jost Editorial Board Mahzarin Banaji, Gian Vittorio Caprara, Christopher Federico, Don Green, John Hibbing, Jon Krosnick, Arie Kruglanski, Kathleen McGraw, David Sears, Jim Sidanius, Phil Tetlock, Tom Tyler Image Bite Politics: News and the Visual Framing of Elections Maria E. Grabe and Erik P. Bucy Social and Psychological Bases of Ideology and System Justifi cation John T. Jost, Aaron C. Kay, and Hulda Thorisdottir The Political Psychology of Democratic Citizenship Eugene Borgida, Christopher Federico, and John Sullivan On Behalf of Others: The Psychology of Care in a Global World Sarah Scuzzarello, Catarina Kinnvall, and Kristen Renwick Monroe The Obamas and a (Post) Racial America? Gregory S. Parks and Matthew W. Hughey Ideology, Psychology, and Law Jon Hanson The Impacts of Lasting Occupation: Lessons from Israeli Society Daniel Bar-Tal and Izhak Schnell Representing Red and Blue: How the Culture Wars Change the Way Citizens Speak and Politicians Listen David C. Barker and Christopher Jan Carman On Voter Competence Paul Goren On Voter Competence Paul Goren 1 3 Oxford University Press is a department of the University of Oxford. It furthers the University’s objective of excellence in research, scholarship, and education by publishing worldwide. Oxford New York Auckland Cape Town Dar es Salaam Hong Kong Karachi Kuala Lumpur Madrid Melbourne Mexico City Nairobi New Delhi Shanghai Taipei Toronto With offi ces in Argentina Austria Brazil Chile Czech Republic France Greece Guatemala Hungary Italy Japan Poland Portugal Singapore South Korea Switzerland Thailand Turkey Ukraine Vietnam Oxford is a registered trade mark of Oxford University Press in the UK and certain other countries. Published in the United States of America by Oxford University Press 198 Madison Avenue, New York, NY 10016 © Oxford University Press 2013 All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means, without the prior permission in writing of Oxford University Press, or as expressly permitted by law, by license, or under terms agreed with the appropriate reproduction rights organization. Inquiries concerning reproduction outside the scope of the above should be sent to the Rights Department, Oxford University Press, at the address above. You must not circulate this work in any other form and you must impose this same condition on any acquirer. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Goren, Paul. On voter competence / Paul Goren. p. cm. – (Series in political psychology) Includes bibliographical references and index. ISBN 978–0–19–539614–0 (hardback : alk. paper) 1. Voting—United States. 2. Voting—United States—History. I. Title. JK1967.G58 2012 324.973—dc23 2012011459 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Printed in the United States of America on acid-free paper Contents Acknowledgments vii 1 The Indictment of the American Voter 1 2 Policy Cleavages in Historical Context 15 3 Policy Attitudes and Political Sophistication 43 4 The Three Faces of Policy Voting 63 5 The Availability of Policy Principles 89 6 The Centrality of Policy Principles 123 7 The Origins of Policy Principles 159 8 The Electoral Consequences of Policy Principles 195 9 The Exoneration of the American Voter? 233 Appendix: Measurement of Key Variables 245 References 249 Index 263 v This page intentionally left blank Acknowledgments On Voter Competence is my fi rst book. I must confess that the experience of writing it was often miserable. What, exactly, am I trying to say, and why can’t I say it clearly? Well, this chapter doesn’t fi t; I wish I had seen this before. Ugh . . . my SEM program won’t run on the new OS. Taking the stairs down to my basement offi ce to write—and rewrite and rewrite and rewrite—left me feeling as if I was trapped in a course-correcting time loop in which the proper course was diffi cult to chart. At other times I felt like a character in a Beckett novel, compelled to move forward, but not sure how: “I can’t go on, I’ll go on.” Progress came, of course, in fi ts and starts, fi ts mostly, and often left me feeling irritable and exhausted at day’s end. But there were moments of joy as well once everything began to come together. The book is done at last, which brings me to this especially gratifying task. Over the past 4 years I have leaned heavily on the good graces and patience of innumerable col- leagues, friends, and, most importantly, my family. I can fi nally acknowledge these debts and thank those whose support has meant very much to me. I begin with the fi rst rate editorial team at Oxford University Press and the Series in Political Psychology. Lori Handelman contacted me about my idea long before I had put pen to paper, waited patiently for the prospectus to arrive, and provided much good cheer along the way. Abby Gross proved remarkably patient and helpful as I brought the project to a close and worked tirelessly to ensure a key deadline was met. Aaron van Dorn and Joanna Ng handled all queries I had quickly and professionally. John Jost provided criti- cal feedback on the proposal and draft manuscript and, thankfully, saved me from a critical error late in the game. Finally, comments from the anonymous reviewers, much of which has been incorporated into these pages, improved the manuscript immeasurably. Friends and colleagues at the University of Minnesota and elsewhere delivered timely and invaluable feedback on various theoretical, substantive, and method- ological issues. I’m not sure how the book would have turned out without their vii viii ACKNOWLEDGMENTS generous help. I do know it would have been much worse. Howie Lavine read every chapter, gave excellent commentary across the board, and supplied plenty of help along the way. Chris Federico read most of the book, made many astute comments about psychological theory and American politics, and offered sage statistical advice. I thank him too for scoring tickets for the Boris ~ Kurihara and GBV shows. Chris Chapp somehow managed to read my man- uscript while completing his own book. His commentary was always expert and his suggestions spot on (and his spots in the rack greatly appreciated). Ed Schiappa read the entire manuscript with remarkable dispatch, offered cogent advice, and pushed me to keep my eye on the big picture, all the while serving as chair of the Department of Communication Studies at Minnesota. Where he found the time I will never know. Tim Johnson and David Kimball read the complete manuscript as well and made a number of very useful suggestions. They too pushed me to emphasize broad themes and clarify my prose. David Samuels, Markus Prior, and Aaron Hoffman deserve credit on this score as well. Joanne Miller offered much needed criticism on early drafts of the con- ceptual/theoretical chapters, forcing me to simplify matters in my own mind. Two historians, James Patterson at Brown University and Robert Collins at the University of Missouri, answered an out-of-the-blue cry for help from a political scientist desperately trying to condense a great deal of historical material into a coherent narrative. Both graciously read drafts of Chapter 2 with a careful and critical eye, saved me from several embarrassing factual errors, and taught me a thing or two about the historian’s craft. Finally, I thank Paul Sniderman. Though I did not realize it at the time, the idea for the book originated in a conference paper I presented at the American Political Science Association’s annual meeting in 2001. After the presentation, Paul introduced himself, shared some kind words about my efforts, and encouraged me to think big. Later on in another venue, he furnished critical advice about the project, all of this despite the fact that some of what I was doing challenged his work. Many other people provided helpful comments or assistance along the way, including Scott Abernathy, Liz Beaumont, John Bullock, Logan Dancey, Mat- thew DeBell, John Freeman, Kim Fridkin, Sarah Allen Gershon, Jim Gimpel, Jessica Goren, Rick Herrera, Jon Hurwitz, Bill Jacoby, Stephen Jessee, Andy Karch, Pat Kenney, Miki Caul Kittilson, Pay Luevano, Makoto Kawabata, Ron Krebs, Jay McCann, Bill McCready, Takashi Mizutani, Jeff Mondak, Christopher Muste, Kathryn Pearson, Brian Rathbun, Mark Ramirez, Shalom Schwartz, Phil Shively, Dara Strolovitch, John Sullivan, Shawn Treier, and Joan Tronto. Finan- cial support for the three surveys described in Chapter 7 was provided by the Graduate School and the Center for the Study of Political Psychology at the Acknowledgments ix University of Minnesota and the International Studies Association. I thank Bill Chittick and Jason Reifl er for bringing me onboard the ISA project. Despite all this generous help errors surely remain, for which I accept full responsibility. My greatest debts are to my family. My mother, Elaine Goren, taught me a love of books at an early age and my father, Nurullah Goren, instilled in me the discipline it would take to one day write one. My in-laws, Brian and Rosemary Dingle, offered much encouragement over the years, as did my sisters Jessica Goren and Leslie Doyle. I thank them all here. My children, Nurry, Elsie, and Indigo, though not always sure why I had to work so much, reminded me daily about what is most important in life. Finally, my wife Lisa has borne many heavy burdens the past several years. Through all the late nights and parental shirking and lost weekends, she remained cheerful, supportive, and understanding. For this and so much more, I will always be grateful. I dedi- cate this book to her.

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