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On the Detectability of High-Energy Galactic Neutrino Sources FrancescoVissani LaboratoriNazionalidelGranSasso,Assergi(AQ),Italy 1 1 FelixAharonian 0 2 DublinInstituteforAdvancedStudies,31FitzwilliamPlace,Dublin2,Ireland n NarekSahakyan a J Universita`diRoma“LaSapienza”andICRANet,Pescara,Italy 5 2 ] E H Abstract . h With the arrival of km3 volume scale neutrino detectors the chances to detect the first astronomical sources of TeV neutrinos will be p dramaticallyincreased.Whilethetheoreticalestimatesoftheneutrinofluxescontainlargeuncertainties,wecanformulatetheconditions - o forthedetectabilityofcertainneutrinosourcesphenomenologically.Infact,sincemostgalacticneutrinosourcesaretransparentforTeV r γ-rays, theirdetectabilityimpliesaminimumfluxoftheaccompanyingγ-rays. Foratypicalenergy-dependenceofdetectionareasof st km3volumeneutrinodetectors,weobtainthequantitativeconditionIγ(20TeV)>2×10−15ph/cm2s,thatthankstothenormalizationof a theγ-rayspectrumat20TeVappearstobequiterobust,i.e.almostindependentoftheshapeofenergyspectrumofneutrinos.Weremark [ thatthisconditionissatisfiedbytheyoungsupernovaremnantsRXJ1713.7-3946andRXJ0852.0-4622(VelaJr)-twoofthestrongest 1 galacticγ-raysources. Thepreliminaryconditionforthedetectabilityofhighenergyneutrinosisthatthebulkofγ-rayshasahadronic v origin:AnewwaytotestthishypothesisforRXJ1713.7-3946isproposed.Finally,weassesstherelevanceofaneutrinodetectorlocated 2 intheNorthernHemisphereforthesearchforgalacticneutrinosources.Inparticular,wearguethatiftheTeVneutrinosourcescorrelate 4 withthegalacticmassdistribution,theprobabilitythatsomeofthemwillbeobservedbyadetectorintheMediterraneanSeaislargerby 8 afactorof1.4-2.9comparedtotheoneofIceCube. 4 . Keywords: highenergyneutrinosources;highenergyγ-rayobservations;galacticastronomy 1 0 1 1 : v i X r a PreprintsubmittedtoAstroparticlePhysics January26,2011 1. Introduction Nγ Ec = 100 100.5 101 101.5 102 102.5 103 The search for neutrinos with E > TeV (Lipari 2006 ν 1.8 70 16 4.9 2.1 1.1 0.7 0.5 [18]) with telescopes of volumes in the km3 scale is con- 1.9 86 20 6.7 3.0 1.7 1.1 0.8 sidered important. IceCube is collecting exposures of the α= 2.0 110 25 9.0 4.2 2.5 1.7 1.3 order of km2×year and this will be continued and extended 2.1 130 32 12 5.9 3.5 2.5 2.0 by KM3NeT.1 As has happened in the past (e.g., for X-ray 2.2 160 41 16 8.0 5.0 3.6 3.0 searches) the new instruments could eventually lead to sur- prising outcomes. The hope for surprises is certainly one Table1:Normalizationoftheγ-rayfluxesNγ,inunitsof10−12/(cm2sTeV) strong motivation of the search for the sources of high en- thatcorrespondstoaninducedfluxIµ+µ¯(>1TeV)=1/(km2yr). Firstcol- ergyneutrinosthatplausiblyarealsosourcesofcosmicrays. umn: slopeoftheγ-rayflux,α. Firstrow: cutoffenergyoftheγ-rayspec- At the same time, there are many reasons why we would trum,Ec,measuredinTeV.SeeEq.1. like to have defined expectations on high energy neutrinos: tointerprettheresultsoftheobservations,toplanthefuture 2. Using high energy γ-rays as a guide for high energy research, to better focus our goals, to optimize the new in- neutrinosearch struments. The trouble is that the hypotheses on which the present expectations are based are still rather uncertain and Hereweconsiderapreciseassumptionontheastrophys- difficulttotest. Thuswedonothavereliablepredictionsyet, ical neutrino sources: We suppose that they are transparent andthislimitsourcapabilitytoplanthenextsteps. to the very high energy gamma radiation. In this way we In this paper, we focus on this aspect of the search for can derive upper limits on neutrinos, by postulating that all highenergyneutrinosourcesthatwearenowbeginning. We γ-rays originate from proton-proton collisions. In fact, the discussseveralaspects:Weemphasizetherelevanceofγ-ray yield of neutral mesons and of charged mesons are strictly observationsinthe10-100TeVenergyrangeforhighenergy connectedandthereisalinearrelationbetweenthefluxesof neutrinos; weanalyzetheprospecttounderstandbettercer- highenergyγ-raysandneutrinos(Vissani2006[29],Villante tain γ-ray sources that have a special theoretical interest in &Vissani2008[28]). connectionwithhighenergyneutrinos; weclarifytheargu- mentinfavorofaneutrinotelescopeintheNorthernhemi- We can then quantify the concept of “promising” γ-ray sphere. We focus on the subclass of galactic sources that sources. Supposethattheγ-rayfluxhastheform: areofparticularinterestforfutureinstrumentslocatedinthe (cid:20) (cid:113) (cid:21) Northernhemisphere. I (E )= N ×(E /1TeV)−α×exp − E /E , (1) γ γ γ γ γ c Theoutlineofthispaperisasfollows. First,considering thehighenergyγ-raysourcesthataretransparenttothera- whereweconsidertherangesofparameters: α = 1.8−2.2 diation, we characterize those of them that could be, at the (=slope)andE =1TeV−1PeV(=energycutoff).Thisform c same time, bright enough neutrino sources (Sec. 2). Next, corresponds to an exponential cutoff in the spectrum of the after recalling the relevant theoretical context, we discuss cosmicraysthatgeneratetheγ-rays,seeKappesetal.2007 theprospectsofobtainingmoredefinedexpectationsforone [17],andhasbeentestedforadequacyontheavailableγ-ray of the most interesting of these γ-ray sources, namely, the data. FollowingVillante&Vissani2008[28],andrequiring youngsupernovaremnantnamedRXJ1713.7-3946(Sec.3). an induced flux of 1 muon or antimuon per km2 per year Finally,wequantifyinSec.4theimportanceofmonitoring above 1 TeV (i.e. 1 signal event in a conventional neutrino the Southern high energy neutrino sky on the basis of the telescope with an exposure of 1 km2×yr), we determine N γ Galacticmatterdistribution. foreachvalueofαandE ;theresultsaregiveninTab.1and c arefurtherillustratedinFig.1. 1Allconsiderationsbelowapplytoanylarge(i.e.,withvolumesoftheor- This table and this figure identify the transparent γ-ray derofonekm3)neutrinotelescopeoftheNorthernhemisphere;KM3NeTis sources that could be interesting neutrino sources. There is takenasanexample,beingthemostadvancedprojectofthistypeatpresent. a wide variety of possibilities, ranging from intense γ-ray 2 Γ(cid:45)raysourceswith1Ν SNRasamajorexampleoftransparentγ-raysource. Shell perkm2(cid:180)yearabove1TeV typesupernovaremnants(SNR)areanimportantexampleof astronomical sources of γ-rays that is expected to be trans- IΓin1(cid:144)(cid:72)cm2sTeV(cid:76) parent to their γ-ray emission. A few young SNR, recently observedintheTeVrange,2 areknowntoexceedthebound in Eq. 2, thus being of particular interest. We discuss them 10(cid:45)12 heretoillustratetheissuefurther: 10(cid:45)14 • ThefirstexampleisthesupernovaremnantcalledRX J1713.7-3946 and measured by HESS, Aharonian et 10(cid:45)16 al.2007[3]. Ithasaγ-rayspectrumthatisreasonably well described assuming α = 1.79 ± 0.06 and E = 10(cid:45)18 c 3.7±1 TeV in Eq. 1 (Villante & Vissani 2007 [27]) 10(cid:45)201 5 10 50 100 500 1000 EΓinTeV 1an0d−14th/at(chmas2asnTeinVte).nsCitoyrraetsp2o0nTdienVglyo,ft(h1e.7m±ax0im.3)um× Figure1: Fluxesofγ-rayscorrespondingto1eventabove1TeVinaneu- value ofthe neutrinosignal fromthis sourceis larger trinotelescopewithanexposureof1km2×yr,asgiveninEq.1andTab.1. than1eventperkm2 peryear,andmorepreciselywe Weselectedthevaluesα=1.8and2.2(thefirstbeingsmalleratlowener- have: giesandlargerathighenergies)andEc=1,101.5and103TeV(continuous, dashedanddottedlines,respectively). Iµ+µ¯(>1TeV)=(2.4±0.3±0.5)/(km2yr) (3) sourcestoweakones;thisisduetothefactthatthemaincon- seeTab.2andSect.IVofVillante&Vissani2008[28]. tributiontotheneutrinosignalisfromenergieslargerthan1 • AsecondexampleistheSNRcalledVelaJr(RXJ0852. TeV,wherewestillhavelimitedinformationfromγ-rayob- 0-4622) as observed in Aharonian et al. 2007b [4]. servations. Theavailableγ-rayobservationsofthisobjectareless Byasystematicexplorationoftheγ-rayskytillE ∼100 γ complete. Its measured spectrum has been described TeVandofthesourceswithanintensityabove10−12/(cm2 simplybyapowerlawanditsemissionat20TeVisin s TeV) at 1 TeV, we could have a guide for the search of therange(1−3)×10−14 /(cm2sTeV); however, 20 very high energy neutrinos, at least for the sources that are TeVisthehighestmeasuredenergy. transparent to their γ-ray radiation. It is interesting to note thatat20TeV,allfluxesofTab.1areinthenarrowrange NotethatboththeseSNR’sareintheSouthγ-raysky,andare thuspotentiallyinterestingforneutrinotelescopeslocatedin I (20TeV)=(2−6)×10−15ph/(cm2sTeV) (2) γ theNorthernhemisphere(seeSec.4).Inthenextsection,we recallthereasonswhysuchSNR’sareconsideredinteresting that characterizes the region of energies and of intensities anddiscussinmoredetailsthepresentunderstandingofRX wheretheγ-rayobservationsaremorerelevantforthehigh J1713.7-3946andtheprospectsofimprovement. energyneutrinodetectors: seeagainFig.1. We remark that Eq. 2 is a new result. Its relevance can Remarks and caveats. We did not include latitude depen- beunderstoodbetterbyrecallingthattheexistingγ-rayde- dent effects, such as the limited time to observe a source tectors have explored mostly the region of energy around (discussedinthelastsection)ortheabsorptionintheEarth, the TeV. Thus, the future γ-ray measurements in the region inordertosimplifythediscussion. Thelattereffectismore 10-100 TeV–e.g. those by the Cherenkov Telescope Array severe for the fluxes that extend up to the highest energies, (CTA)instrument–willhaveanimportantimpactontheex- pectations of high energy neutrinos. In summary, it will be possibletoclarifytheexpectationsofneutrinoastronomy,by 2AusefulresourceistheHESSSourceCatalogthatcanbeconsultedat: themeasurementsoffutureγ-rayobservatories. http://www.mpi-hd.mpg.de/hfm/HESS/pages/home/sources/. 3 namely those with a smaller value of α and/or a higher en- SNR? To address this question, we have to consolidate the ergy cutoff. We roughly take into account this, by limiting physicalpictureofRXJ1713.7-3946,thatcanbedoneonly thespectrumtoE <1PeV. employinginthebestwaytheavailable(theoreticalandob- ν Letusrepeatthattheγ-raydatapermitustoobtainanup- servational)information. perboundonneutrinos, postulatingthatthesourceistrans- parenttoitsγ-rays.Butinsomecases,highenergyneutrinos Amodelforthespectrum. Arelatedquestionthatweshould andγ-raysdonotcorrelate.Thisisthoughttohappenforcer- tackleiswhichisthenatureoftheelectromagneticspectrum taininterestingastrophysicalobjectssuchasgalacticbinary ofRXJ1713.7-3946. Therearevariousmodelsinthelitera- systemscontainingaluminousopticalstarandacompactob- ture, e.g., Malkovetal.2005[19], Berezhko&Vo¨lk2006- ject(microquasars)wheretheabsorptionofγ-raysisconsid- 2010[7],Morlinoetal.2009[23],Zirakashvili&Aharonian erable. Caseslikethisincreasetheapriorichanceofhaving 2010 [31], Ellison et al. 2010 [11], Fan et al. 2010 [12]. In surprisingly large neutrino fluxes. At the same time, such a typical model, the γ-ray emission is dominated by a sin- a situation causes further difficulties to obtain reliable ex- glemechanismatallenergies,whichreducesthequestionof pectations,duetotheincreaseddependenceonanuncertain neutrinostoadichotomy. theoreticalmodelling. Foramorecompletediscussionofal- We focus on one proposal of Zirakashvili & Aharonian ternativegalacticneutrinosources,seeAharonian2007[2]. 2010 [31], where the spectrum is instead composite: it has significantcontributionsbothfromtheInverseCompton(IC, i.e. leptonic mechanism) and from neutral pion decays (π0, 3. TowardreliablepredictionsfortheSNRRXJ1713.7- i.e.hadronicmechanism). Eveniftheirmodelwillturnout 3946 tobeincorrectinsomequantitativeaspect,suchahypothesis allows us to make one step ahead in the right direction: to In this section we analyze why supernova remnants are understandneutrinos,weneedtoknowwhichpartoftheγ- expectedtoactasemittersofhighenergyneutrinosanddis- rayemissionishadronic. cussindetailsthepromisingcaseofthesupernovaremnant Thisproposalhasgoodphysicalmotivations:1)Thesim- calledRXJ1713.7-3946. ilarityofthefeaturesobservedinX-raysisexplained,since Thekineticenergyofsupernovaremnants(SNR)isone theICdominatestheintegratedspectrummeasuredbyHESS. order of magnitude larger than the cosmic ray losses of the 2)Attributingthehighenergytailofthespectrumtoπ0 de- Galaxy(Ginzburg&Syrovatskii1964[15])anddiffusiveac- caysinsteadovercomesthedifficultiesinaccountingforitby celerationontheshockwave(Fermi1949[13])canprovide IC,whosespectrumshouldbecut-offabruptly. Thequestion themechanismforcosmic-rayacceleration(seee.g.,Malkov wewanttoaddressbecomes:Howdowetestthepredictions &O’Drury2001[20]): Thus,weexpectthatSNR’scontain ofthismodel? highdensitiesofcosmicrays. TheSNRcanalsobesources Prospectsofobservationaltests. ThemeasurementsofAg- of high energy γ-rays and neutrinos, especially when they ileandFermiintheenergyrange1-10GeVwillbeakeytest areassociatedwithmolecularclouds,thatactasatargetfor (seee.g.,Morlino,Blasi,Amato2009[23]),fortheshapeof the cosmic ray collisions (Aharonian, O’Drury, Vo¨lk 1994 the γ-ray spectrum at GeVenergies depends on the mecha- [5],O’Drury,Aharonian,Vo¨lk1994[24]). nismofemission: Assumingthatprotonsandelectronshave ThespectrumoftheyoungSNRRXJ1713.7-3946,mea- power-law spectra with the same slope, ∝ E−α, π0 decays suredbyHESS(Aharonianetal.2007[3])till100TeVand p,e (as already discussed) exceeding the bound of Eq. 2, has a give ∝ Eγ−(α−0.1) whereas IC gives ∝ Eγ−(α+1)/2; thus, extrap- special interest in the discussion of high energy neutrinos. olatingtheγ-rayspectrafromthelowestpointmeasuredby This is even more true when one realizes that this SNR in- HESS,Eγ =300GeV,wefindthatthehadronicmechanism teractswithasystemofmolecularcloudsdetectedbyNAN- leads to an emission 3 times more intense than the one due TEN(Fukuietal.2003[14],Sanoetal.2010[25]). Itisin to the leptonic mechanism already at 10 GeV. But it is un- theSouthernneutrinosky,relativelyclosetous,D∼1kpc. clear whether Agile or Fermi will attain sufficient angular These are the reasons why it is urgent to ask: How far resolutiontorevealthattheγ-rayscomepreferentiallyfrom wearefromunderstandingthehighenergyneutrinosofthis 4 Energy Dominant Observational Relevant mentofphotonstatistics,foranyreasonableobservationtime, ofγ-rays emission test data onlybyafactoroftwoorso. Arealbreakthroughinthisre- ∼1−10GeV π0 intensity&shape Fermi,Agile gardisexpectedonlywiththenextgenerationγ-rayinstru- ∼1−10TeV IC SNRshell HESS mentslikeCTA. >10TeV π0 molecularclouds HESS Implicationsforhighenergyneutrinoastronomy. Ifthemodel Table2:TestsoftheZirakashvili&Aharonianmodelfortheγ-rayspectrum oftheSNRnamedRXJ1713.7-3946. Firstcolumn,theenergyrangeofthe ofZirakashvili&Aharonianwillbevalidatedbyfuturedata measurement;second,thedominantmechanismofemissionexpectedinthe analyses,theinducedmuonfluxfromRXJ1713.7-3946will model;third,thepossibletest;lastcolumn,therelevantexperiment.Seethe be lower than the upper limit that we derive in the extreme textfordetails. hypothesisofhadronicemissionfromEq.3,namely: Iµ+µ¯(> 1TeV) < 3.5 / (km2yr) at 90 % CL. This will make the thesiteswherecosmicraycollisionsandπ0decaysaremore searchforasignalmoredifficultbutwillbeaccompaniedby frequent,i.e.themolecularclouds. adecreaseofthebackground,forthesourcesofhighenergy This qualifying hypothesis could be verifiable at much neutrinos are the relatively small molecular clouds and not largerenergies. Infact,themodelofZirakashvili&Aharo- themuchlargerSNR. nian2010[31]predicts,atseveraltensofTeV,aγ-raysignal Bycomparingthesizeoftheoverdensecloudswiththe enhancedinthedirectionoftheoverdensemolecularclouds oneoftheSNR,onewouldexpectinidealconditionsade- ofNANTEN,ofsize(2−8)µsr(Sanoetal.2010[25]), on crease of the background by a factor of ten; however, the top of the known background distribution due to misiden- decrease will be limited by instrumental features, if the an- tified cosmic rays and of a minor component of the signal gularresolutionoftheneutrinotelescopeswillbelargerthan distributedastheSNRshell. thecloudsize. Justforillustration, anangularresolutionof Dowehaveenoughdatatotestthispicture?HESS(Aha- δθ = 0.2◦ at the relevant energies corresponds to a search ronianetal.2007[3])has1021(resp.,474)eventsONagainst windowofπδθ2 =40µsr. Multiplyingbythenumberofthe 751(resp.,338)OFFabove20(resp.,30)TeV,namelyabout main overdense clouds, i.e. four (see Sano et al. 2010 [25]) 250 (resp., 130) signal events3. To illustrate the meaning andcomparingtothesizeoftheSNRimpliesadecreaseof of these numbers, suppose that 750 background events are thebackgroundbyafactoroftwo. uniformly distributed in 25 patches of equal area; thus, 30 WewouldliketoemphasizethatthemodelofZirakashvili signaleventsinasinglepatchareenoughtodoubletheaver- &Aharonian2010[31]doesnotnecessarilyimplyastrong age density of events. The low statistics conditions suggest reductionoftheneutrinodetectionratecomparedtothepure an unbinned likelihood analysis of the γ-ray data, as those hadronicmodel,becauseinthecompositespectrumthemost proposed for similar applications in neutrino astronomy by relevant γ-rays–those with energy above 10 TeV–are con- Braunetal.2008[8]andbyIannietal.2009[16]. tributed mainly by cosmic ray interactions. On the other Are´sume´ ofpossibletestsisprovidedinTab2. hand, the composite model implies that the γ-rays and of The above estimates show that the existing HESS data coursethehighenergyneutrinosareproducedinmorecom- can only marginally provide a decisive study of energy de- pactregions,whichleadstoasignificantreductionofback- pendent γ-ray morphology of RX J1713.7-3946. Thus, it groundevents. is highly desirable to increase significantly the TeV photon Wewillbeinabetterpositiontoquantifytheexpected, statisticsbynewobservationsofthesource. Presentlysuch neutrino-induced muon flux when we will know the results observations can be performed only by the HESS array of of the analyses of Agile and Fermi. In order to predict the telescopes. However, because of the limited potential of very high-energy neutrino flux, it would be even more im- HESS at energies above 10 TeV, we can hope for enhance- portanttoknowtheamountofveryhigh-energyγ-rayscor- related with the molecular clouds. HESS could provide us withsomeevidenceforsuchahadronicemission,butfuture 3TheterminologyON/OFFreferstothetwocaseswhenthegammaray highstatisticsobservationswillbecrucialtoobtainreliable telescopepointstothesourceandwheninsteaditpointstoaregionwhere measurements(orstronglimits)ofthiscomponentoftheγ- nosignalisexpected. rayemission. 5 the galactic center is at δ ∼ −π/6, thus the region δ < 0 is morepopulated;finally,thefeaturesarelessprominentwhen weinclude1/r2 sincethisemphasizesthelocalpatchofthe Galaxyratherthanthedistantregions. Let us consider the traditional signal of induced muons (see Markov 1963 [21] for the original references). High energy neutrino detectors observe only downward to safely avoid atmospheric muons; thus, a source at declination δ is seenonlyforafractionoftime: Re[arccos(−tanδtanφ)] f[δ,φ]=1− (4) π as a function of the latitude φ of the detector, as discussed e.g., in Costantini & Vissani 2005 [9]. For instance, the Figure2: Continuousline: normalizedmassdistributionoftheGalaxy,as galactic center, that is in the Southern sky at δ = −29◦, is afunctionofthedeclination. Dashedline,thesamebutweightedwiththe invisible in IceCube (f = 0) and it is seen for a fraction of inversesquareddistancefromthemass. time f =67%,63%,64%or75%inAntares,NEMO,Nestor orBaikalrespectively. 4. AnappraisalofatelescopeintheNorthernHemisphere By convoluting f with the distribution of the matter in the Milky Way we estimate the relevance of a high energy Inthelastsection, wediscusstheimportanceofoperat- neutrino detector. The result is shown in the curves Fig. 3. inganewtelescopeforhighenergyneutrinosintheNorth- They are symmetric around 1/2 when φ → −φ, just as f: ern Hemisphere. The discussion elaborates quantitatively f[δ,φ] + f[δ,−φ] = 1, for two antipodal detectors see the the oft-heard observation: most of the Galaxy, being in the entiresky. Fromthisfigure,weverifythattheSouthPoleis SouthernHemisphere,liesintheNorthernneutrinosky. a less promising place to search for neutrinos from galactic sources. A detector in the Mediterranean, say with latitude Webeginbyconsideringaneducatedguessonthegalac- φ = 36◦30(cid:48), has 2.9 times better chances; when we weight tic sources of neutrinos. It is plausible that the distribution themassdistributionwith1/r2,theimprovementisafactor of neutrino sources follows the mass distribution of super- of 1.4 instead. The first number applies if the hypothetical novae,youngmatterand/orstar-formingregions. Weusethe sourcesaresointense,thatallofthemcanbeseen;thesec- distributionofneutronstarsofYusifov&Ku¨c¸u¨k2004[30], ond one is plausibly a better estimation of the factor of im- adoptedforthestudyofsupernovaneutrinosofMirizzietal. provementifthereisasortof“standardsource”withafixed 2006 [22] (see their Eqs. (1), (2) and (4) and compare with intensity, andtheneutrinodetectorsareabletoseeonlythe Costantini,Ianni,Vissani2005[9]). Wesetthe x-axisfrom closestones. thegalacticcentertotheEarth,thez-axisinthedirectionof Similar arguments are frequently invoked in favor of a the galactic North, obtaining for components of the Earth’s detectorintheNorthernhemisphere; however,thequantita- rotationaxistheunitvector(ux,uy,uz)=(.484,.747,.456). tiveevaluationofthefactorofimprovementthatweobtained Now we derive the normalized mass distribution as a is,tothebestofourknowledge,anewresult. function of the declination of the sources δ, that we regard astheprobabilityoffindingneutrinosources. Similarly,we Remarksandcaveats. Thereareotheraspectstobekeptin derivethemassdistributionweightedwiththeinverseofthe mind; e.g., it seems possible to cover safely a few degrees squared distance of the source, accounting for the fact that abovethehorizonalreadywithIceCube(Abbasietal.2009 the number of events scales as 1/r2 for a standard source. [1]). Also,whenKM3NeTwilloperate,aportionofthesky The results are given in Fig. 2 and are easy to understand: willbealreadyexploredbyIceCube;however,someredun- TheanglebetweenthegalacticplaneandtheCelestialequa- dancy in the observations could be precious to cross check toris∼π/3,thusmostofthematterisat|δ|<1;furthermore, theproperfunctioningofthedetectors. 6 A new high-energy neutrino telescope in the Northern Hemisphere is considered highly desirable. We discussed in Sec. 2 which γ-ray sources may yield a minimum sig- nal in neutrino telescopes, assuming that the γ-rays are not absorbed. We found that, for high energy neutrino search, itwouldbeparticularlyimportanttoknowtheγ-raysources withasufficientlyintenseemissionaround20TeV:seeEq.2. WearguedinSec.3thattherearereasonablechancesofget- tingareliablepredictionforRXJ1713.7-3946,thatcouldbe- comeareferencetargetforatelescopelocatedintheNorth- ern hemisphere. The chances are linked to future analyses of existing γ-ray data: those by Agile and Fermi, which shouldrevealanemissionmoreintensethantheoneexpected assuming the leptonic mechanism; those by HESS above 20 − 30 TeV, that should reveal the correlation of the γ- Figure 3: Fraction of the Galaxy seen by a neutrino detector at a given ray events with the molecular clouds that interact with RX latitude.Forthedashedlines,themassdistributionwasweightedwith1/r2 J1713.7-3946. Finally,wediscussedtheimportancetohave totakeintoaccountthatnearbysourcesareeasiertodetect. anewhigh-energyneutrinotelescopeintheNorthernHemi- sphere. We developed in Sec. 4 the oft-heard argument in favorofsuchaninstrument,concludingthatitwillbesupe- One can repeat the calculations including the halo, or a riorbyafactorof1.4-2.9toIceCubeasamonitorofgalactic “bar” as part of the Milky Way, possibilities that above we neutrinosourcesdistributedasthematteroftheMilkyWay. disregarded. Alternatively,onecouldconsidersuitablegen- eralizations,forinstancethecaseofdarkmatterdecayoran- Acknowledgement nihilation;thelatterrequirestoweightthefraction f withthe WearegratefultoR.RuffiniforhospitalityinICRANet, Pescara, where squareofthedensityofthedarkmatterdistribution.Manyof thisworkwasbegun. WethankP.L.Ghia,P.Lipari,A.Masiero,N.Paver, thesecasesresemblecloselyasourceinthegalacticcenter, G.RiccobeneandO.Ryashzkayaforusefuldiscussions,hintsandhelp.F.V. discussedabove. thanksM.L.CostantiniandF.L.Villanteforcollaborationonrelatedtopics. 5. 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[17] KappesA.,HintonJ.,StegmannC.,AharonianF.,2007,Astrophys. J.656,870. [18] LipariP.,2006,Nucl.Instrum.Meth.A567,405. [19] MalkovM.A.,DiamondP.H.,SagdeevR.Z.,2005,Astrophys.J.624, L37. [20] MalkovM.A.,O’DruryL.,2001,Rep.onProgressinPhysics,64, 429. [21] MarkovM.A.,TheNeutrino,1963,DubnapreprintD-1269,chapt.6. [22] MirizziA.,RaffeltG.,SerpicoP.D.,2006,JCAP0605,012. [23] MorlinoG.,P.BlasiP.,AmatoE.,2009,Astropart.Phys.31,376. [24] O’DruryL., AharonianF., Vo¨lkH.J., 1994, Astron.Astroph.287, 959. [25] SanoH.etal.,2010,arXiv:1005.3409. [26] SapienzaP.,RiccobeneG.,2009,Riv.delNuovoCim.32,12. [27] VillanteF.L.,VissaniF.,2007,Phys.Rev.D76,125019. [28] VillanteF.L.,VissaniF.,2008,Phys.Rev.D78,103007. [29] VissaniF.,2006,Astropart.Phys.26,310. [30] YusifovI.,Ku¨c¸u¨kI.,2004,Astron.Astrophys.422,545. [31] ZirakashviliV.,AharonianF.,2010,Astrophys.J.708,965. 8

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