2004 SMALL The BUSINESS ECONOMY A REPORT TO THE PRESIDENT 2004 SMALL The BUSINESS ECONOMY A REPORT TO THE PRESIDENT United States Government Printing Offi ce Washington: 2004 For sale by the Superintendent of Documents Mail Stop: SSOP U.S. Government Printing Offi ce Washington, D.C. 20402 Dear Mr. President: The Offi ce of Advocacy of the U.S. Small Business Admin is- tration is pleased to present The Small Business Economy: A Report to the President. In 2003, the overall economic indicators improved as the recovery gained momentum. Small businesses have led the way. However, continued strong growth requires an environment that fosters more small business activity. During a recent conference organized by the Offi ce of Advo- cacy, Treasury Secretary John W. Snow noted that it is important for government to create an environment where entrepreneur- ship can thrive. Much of this year’s report focuses on regula- tions. That is no accident. This offi ce enforces the Regulatory Flexibility Act of 1980, as amended by the Small Business Regulatory Enforcement Fairness Act of 1996. Moreover, your Administration has been a supporter of reducing regulatory burden for small businesses; and in August 2002, you signed Executive Order 13272, recognizing that federal agencies need to consider small fi rms when drafting new federal rules. Two studies from the Offi ce of Advocacy highlight the dis- advantages faced by many entrepreneurs when it comes to government rules and regulations. First, in 2001, W. Mark Crain and Thomas D. Hopkins found that small fi rms with fewer than 20 employees pay nearly 60 percent more to com- ply with federal regulations than their larger counterparts with more than 500 employees. Small business owners often lack the time and ability to monitor the mountain of new fed- eral regulations that may affect them, and compliance often means hiring a professional to act on their behalf. Second, we know that home-based businesses are a sizable portion of the U.S. economy, and yet regulations at all levels of government hamper them, according to research by Henry Beale. A Report to the President i The Offi ce of Advocacy works diligently to ensure that small business owners have a say in the federal regulatory process. In fi scal year 2003, for instance, Advocacy’s involvement resulted in more than $6.3 billion in regulatory cost savings for small entities. Yet, this is only part of the picture. Small fi rms also face regu latory burdens at the state level. In December 2002, the Offi ce of Advocacy developed model legislation to encourage states to adopt regulatory fl exibility initiatives. The result has been a groundswell of support from governors and state legisla- tors. Recognizing that small businesses can be engines of growth and new jobs, several states have adopted this legislation or have issued executive orders that recognize small business burdens in the rulemaking process. State leaders also recognize the importance of innovation to economic growth. Advocacy research shows that new fi rms are created around universities that devote more dollars to research and development. Therefore, research institutions generating new patents can enhance their local economies through “spin- off” ventures. Earlier this year, Advocacy funded a conference at Case Western Reserve University that explored government- university partnerships that promote entrepreneurship, and a paper from that conference discussing technology transfer appears as Chapter 3 in this volume. Finally, there were clear signs of macroeconomic improvement in 2003, especially in the second half of the year. A growing eco- nomy means that more small business owners will prosper. Through your leadership, we will continue to focus on issues designed to create an environment where entrepreneurship can fl ourish. Thomas M. Sullivan Chad Moutray Chief Counsel for Advocacy Chief Economist ii The Small Business Economy Acknowledgments The Small Business Economy: A Report to the President was prepared by the U.S. Small Business Administration, Offi ce of Advocacy. The Chief Counsel for Advocacy is Thomas M. Sullivan; the Deputy Chief Counsel is Shawne McGibbon. The Chief Eco- nomist is Chad Moutray, the Director of Interagency Affairs is Susan Howe, the Director of the Offi ce of Information is Jody Wharton, and the Director of Regional Affairs is Viktoria Ziebarth. The project was managed by Kathryn J. Tobias, senior editor. Special thanks to Robert Kleinsteuber for editorial review. Specifi c sections were written or prepared by the following staff: Chapter 1 Brian Headd, Charles Ou, and Major Clark Chapter 2 Henry Beale, of Microeconomic Applications, Inc., with Radwan Saade Chapter 3 Scott Shane of Case Western University Chapter 4 Carrol Barnes and Advocacy Offi ce of Interagency Affairs Chapter 5 Viktoria Ziebarth and Jaime Willis Appendix A Brian Headd Appendix B Chad Moutray The Offi ce of Advocacy appreciates the interest of all who reviewed the report. Thanks are also extended to Jodi Bloom, Kristen Argenio and Jessica Snyder of DesignFarm and to the U.S. Government Printing Offi ce for their assistance. Acknowledgments iii Contents EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1 CHAPTER 1 Small Business Trends, 2003 5 Small Business in the Economy of 2003 5 Small Business Financial Trends 12 Small Business Procurement 35 CHAPTER 2 Rules, Regulations, and Home-based Businesses 53 Characteristics of Home-based Businesses 54 The Internal Revenue Service and its Effect on Home-based Businesses 60 Zoning Ordinances 81 CHAPTER 3 Government Policies to Encourage Economic Development through Technology Transfer 103 University Spin-offs Enhance Economic Development 104 The Effect of Government Policies 107 Policy Implications 117 CHAPTER 4 Report on the Regulatory Flexibility Act (RFA), FY 2003 125 Overview of the RFA 126 The Role of the Offi ce of Advocacy 137 Contents v CHAPTER 5 Regulatory Flexibility Initiatives in the States 151 The Model Legislation Initiative 152 The Model Legislation 155 Progress Report on the State Regulatory Flexibility Initiatives 161 APPENDIX A Small Business Data 169 APPENDIX B Lessons from the Economic Research Focus Groups 195 INDEX 209 vi The Small Business Economy Executive Summary In this third edition of The Small Business Economy, the Offi ce of Advocacy reviews the economic environment for small businesses in the year 2003, including the fi nancial and federal procurement marketplaces. New research on the regulatory environment for home-based business and on govern- ment policies to encourage technology transfer are the subjects of Chapters 2 and 3. Advocacy’s mandate to improve the regulatory environment for small businesses generates an annual report on implementation of the Regulatory Flexibility Act, included here as Chapter 4, and the results of a groundbreak- ing Advocacy initiative to carry regulatory fl exibility successes to the state level are summarized in Chapter 5. Appendices provide additional data on small businesses, the results of Advocacy’s academic focus groups in 2003, and additional information on Regulatory Flexibility Act implementation. The Small Business Economy in 2003 The year 2003 was one of transition, as signs of economic recovery began to appear in mid-year. Real gross domestic product increased at an annual rate of 8.2 percent in contrast to lower rates in the previous quarters. The number of fi rms grew, and business bankruptcies declined. Corporate profi ts were up and sole proprietorship income increased 6.2 percent. Trends in employment over the 2002–2003 period indicated that small fi rms fared better in some indus- tries than in others. This is in keeping with Joel Popkin’s research on historical patterns that show, for example, service-producing fi rms in large and small businesses experience similar changes in a downturn, while those in goods- producing industries experience different effects based on fi rm size. A look at this and other research on small businesses over the business cycle can help shed some light on small business directions for 2004 and beyond. Executive Summary 1 The fi nancial markets were on a track for supporting more growth in 2003, as low interest rates spawned corporate bond issues and generated a wave of mortgage refi nancings by households. Equity markets began to rally, although this did not immediately translate into a stronger equity market for small fi rms. Lending to small businesses by banks showed little growth over the June 2002 to June 2003 period of observation (based on data availability), but this was expected, given that the economic pickup occurred later in the year. Bank consolidations continued to affect the relative importance of banks of differ- ent sizes in the small business loan market, with a steadily increasing share concentrated in the larger banks. Questions about how banking concentration will affect small business credit availability over the long term continue to be a topic of study for policymakers. The federal government increased contract dollars going to small businesses in fi scal year 2003 from $89.4 billion to about $98 billion, including both prime contracts and subcontracts. As in the past, about two-thirds of the dollars in prime contracts over $25,000 were from the Department of Defense. Increasing shares of small business contract dollars were in the categories of supplies and equipment, and research and development. Minority-, women-, and veteran-owned businesses all increased their shares of contract dollars. The Regulatory Environment for Home-based Businesses Home-based businesses make up 53 percent of the small business population and represent a broad range of U.S. industrial sectors. Some 60 percent are in service industries, 16 percent in construction, 14 percent in retail trade, and the rest are scattered across the manufacturing, fi nance, transportation and communications, wholesale trade, and other industries that make up the U.S. economy. Ninety-one percent report no paid employees. Although home-based businesses are exempted from many industrial regulations, new Advocacy-sponsored research fi nds they face particular regulatory hurdles in two areas: Internal Revenue Service tax regulations at the federal level, and zoning regulations at the local level. The study in Chapter 2 looks in detail at the specifi c burdens of these regulations, identifying specifi c problems that are especially burdensome to these very small businesses. 2 The Small Business Economy
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