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Belgium V o lu Special Features: Preparing for population ageing m OECD e Enhancing the economic impact of migration 2 0 0 Economic Surveys 5 / Economic Surveys Non-Member Economies 5 Australia, February 2005 Baltic States, February 2000 Austria, December 2003 Brazil, February 2005 Belgium Belgium, May 2005 Bulgaria, April 1999 Canada, December 2004 Chile, November 2003 Czech Republic, January 2005 Romania, October 2002 Denmark, March 2005 Russian Federation, September 2004 Euro area, September 2004 Slovenia, May 1997 Finland, March 2003 Federal Republic of Yugoslavia, France, July 2003 January 2003 Germany, September 2004 Greece, July 2002 Hungary, May 2004 Iceland, April 2005 Ireland, July 2003 Italy, August 2003 Japan, March 2005 Korea, June 2004 Luxembourg, September 2003 Mexico, January 2004 Netherlands, July 2004 New Zealand, January 2004 Norway, June 2004 Poland, July 2004 O Portugal, November 2004 E Slovak Republic, March 2004 C D Spain, April 2005 E Sweden, March 2004 c o Switzerland, January 2004 n Turkey, December 2004 o m United Kingdom, March 2004 ic United States, May 2004 S u r v e y s Subscribers to this printed periodical are entitled to free online access. If you do not yet have online access B via your institution’s network, contact your librarian or, if you subscribe personally, send an e-mail to: E L [email protected] G I U M www.oecd.org ISSN 0376-6438 2005 SUBSCRIPTION (18 ISSUES) -:HSTCQE=UU][Y^: M Volume 2005/5 – May 2005 I1S0B 2N0 0952 -0654 -10 P0864-0 ay 2 Volume 2005/5 – May 2005 0 0 5 OECD Economic Surveys Belgium 2005 ORGANISATION FOR ECONOMIC CO-OPERATION AND DEVELOPMENT ORGANISATION FOR ECONOMIC CO-OPERATION AND DEVELOPMENT The OECD is a unique forum where the governments of 30 democracies work together to address the economic, social and environmental challenges of globalisation. The OECD is also at the forefront of efforts to understand and to help governments respond to new developments and concerns, such as corporate governance, the information economy and the challenges of an ageing population. The Organisation provides a setting where governments can compare policy experiences, seek answers to common problems, identify good practice and work to co-ordinate domestic and international policies. The OECD member countries are: Australia, Austria, Belgium, Canada, the Czech Republic, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Japan, Korea, Luxembourg, Mexico, the Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Poland, Portugal, the Slovak Republic, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, the United Kingdom and the United States. The Commission of the European Communities takes part in the work of the OECD. OECD Publishing disseminates widely the results of the Organisation’s statistics gathering and research on economic, social and environmental issues, as well as the conventions, guidelines and standards agreed by its members. This survey is published on the responsibility of the Economic and Development Review Committee of the OECD, which is charged with the examination of the economic situation of member countries. Publié également en français © OECD 2005 No reproduction, copy, transmission or translation of this publication may be made without written permission. Applications should be sent to OECD Publishing: [email protected] or by fax (33 1) 45 24 13 91. Permission to photocopy a portion of this work should be addressed to the Centre français d'exploitation du droit de copie, 20, rue des Grands-Augustins, 75006 Paris, France ([email protected]). TABLE OF CONTENTS TTaabbllee ooff ccoonntteennttss Executive summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 Assessment and recommendations. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 Chapter 1. The policy challenge: preparingforpopulation ageing. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21 The economic and budget consequences of population ageing. . . . . . . . . . . . . 22 A strategy to attenuate the impact of population ageing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30 The macroeconomic context . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41 Summing up the policy challenges. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43 Notes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45 Bibliography . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45 Chapter 2. Putting public finances onasustainable path . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47 Main issues. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48 The short-term challenge: achieving a small surplus by2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52 Enhancing the efficiency of public spending. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 57 Notes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 66 Bibliography . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 67 Annex 2.A1. Key assumptions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 69 Chapter 3. Constraining public health expendituregrowth . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 71 Factors driving high growth. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 73 Policy responses: already initiated and desirable reforms . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 78 Assessment. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 85 Notes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 86 Bibliography . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 87 Chapter 4. Increasing the employment rate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 89 Keeping older workers in employment longer . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 90 Reducing the high structural unemployment rate. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 104 Combating unemployment and fostering employment of youngsters . . . . . . . 114 Notes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 117 Bibliography . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 121 Chapter 5. Enhancing the economic impact ofmigration . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 123 Immigration policy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 129 Immigrants in the labour market . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 130 The fiscal impact . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 137 Assessment. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 138 Notes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 139 Bibliography . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 141 OECD ECONOMIC SURVEYS: BELGIUM – ISBN 92-64-00864-0 – © OECD 2005 3 TABLE OF CONTENTS Chapter 6. Raising achievement insecondaryeducation. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 143 School access, streaming and grade repetition are the major selection mechanisms. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 144 Improving the quality and attractiveness of technical and vocational education 150 Reallocating resources to where they are most needed. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 150 Fostering teacher and student performance: striking the right balance between central regulation and autonomy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 151 Notes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 153 Bibliography . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 154 Chapter 7. Increasing productivity growth . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 155 Removing barriers to higher productivity growth in ICT-using sectors . . . . . . 156 Increasing product-market competition more generally. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 160 Strengthening the national innovation system . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 174 Notes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 182 Bibliography . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 184 Glossary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 187 Annex A. Calendar of main economic events . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 189 (cid:127) (cid:127) (cid:127) Boxes 1.1. Trends in labour productivity growth. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25 1.2. Trends in working time. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27 1.3. Budget cost of population ageing based onOECDeconomicprojections . . 30 2.1. Public finance recommendations. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49 2.2. Measures to reinforce the budgetary process . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 56 3.1. Constraining public health expenditure growth: policy recommendations 74 4.1. Increasing employment: policy recommendations. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 91 4.2. Major routes to early withdrawal from the labour market . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 94 4.3. Measures to increase the employment rate for older workers in Finland, NewZealand, and the Netherlands. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 102 4.4. The new procedure of following up on jobseekers’ search efforts . . . . . . . . 109 4.5. The Comprehensive Approach of the Flemish PES. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 110 5.1. Recommendations to enhance the economic impact of migration . . . . . . . 124 5.2. Work permits in Belgium . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 130 6.1. Raising achievement in secondary education: policyrecommendations . . 146 6.2. Main features of the non-tertiary education system intheFrench Community . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 147 7.1. Increasing productivity growth: policy recommendations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 157 7.2. The product market regulation (PMR) indicator system. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 162 7.3. Administrative burden on start-ups . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 168 Tables 1.1. Population growth by age group. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22 1.2. Contributions to the projected evolution of labour supply . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23 4 OECD ECONOMIC SURVEYS: BELGIUM – ISBN 92-64-00864-0 – © OECD 2005 TABLE OF CONTENTS 1.3. Decomposition of long-term economic growth projections . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24 1.4. Decomposition of hourly labour productivity growth . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25 1.5. Official long-term economic growth projections. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28 1.6. Budget cost of population ageing ? official baseline projections. . . . . . . . . . 29 1.7. Budget cost of population ageing based on OECD economic projections2003-30 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30 1.8. Impact of policy reforms on future participation rates, 2000-50. . . . . . . . . . 35 1.9. Short-term projections . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43 2.1. Replacement rate for a basic typology . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48 2.2. Projections for total public health care expenditure. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50 2.3. Evolution of the structural primary surplus. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52 2.4. Maximum implied primary spending growth under different growth assumptions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 54 2.5. Origin of newly hired managers. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 60 3.1. Indicators of supply in the health sectors . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 75 3.2. Indicators of lifestyle habits . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 77 4.1. The combined influence of ageing and alternative employment rate hypotheses for the age group 55-64. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 93 4.2. Income replacement rates in various exit schemes depending on income levels andfamily situation, 2003 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 97 4.3. Net replacement rates in the initial phase of unemployment, 2002 . . . . . . 106 4.4. Net replacement rates after 60months of unemployment, 2002 . . . . . . . . . 107 4.5. Road distance between provincial capitals. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 108 5.1. Shares of foreigners in population, main nationalities in2002. . . . . . . . . . . 126 5.2. Labour market status, age and education: Belgians and foreigners, 2003. . 129 5.3. Labour market indicators by nationality, 2001. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 132 5.4. Skill structure of the Belgian population aged 25-64 (average1996-2002). . 135 5.5. Employment by sector and nationality. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 135 5.6. Registered independents by nationality, 2002. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 136 6.1. Performance in reading, mathematical and scientific literacy insecondary education. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 145 6.2. Proportion of pupils with no year lost in the French andFlemish communities, 2001-02 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 148 6.3. Rate of degree achievement by branch of education . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 149 7.1. State control: country scores by domain and sub-domain . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 164 7.2. State control: values of the low-level indicators . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 165 7.3. Barriers to entrepreneurship: country scores by domain andsub-domain. 166 7.4. Barriers to entrepreneurship: values of the low-level indicators . . . . . . . . . 167 7.5. Regulation indices in professional services . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 170 Figures 1.1. Old age dependency ratio . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24 1.2. Hourly labour productivity growth . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25 1.3. Gap in hourly labour productivity levels between Belgium andtheUnited States. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26 1.4. Trend growth in hours worked per person employed . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27 1.5. Employment rates . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32 1.6. Employment rate for the 15-24age group and tertiary attainment . . . . . . . 32 OECD ECONOMIC SURVEYS: BELGIUM – ISBN 92-64-00864-0 – © OECD 2005 5 TABLE OF CONTENTS 1.7. Employment rate for older workers and employment/unemployment rates for younger workers. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33 1.8. Working time and GDP per capita . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36 1.9. Government administration expenditure. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37 1.10. Hourly labour productivity gap vis-à-vis the United States . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38 1.11. Contribution of ICT-using services to value added per person engaged . . . . 39 1.12. Labour productivity growth in the distribution and financial sectors. . . . . 40 1.13. Product Market Regulation (PMR) indicators . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40 1.14. GDP growth and the NBB business cycle indicator . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42 2.1. Government financial balances . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52 2.2. Public administration employment 2002 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 58 2.3. E-government maturity and growth since2001, 2001-04. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 62 2.4. State-aid to the railway sector . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 64 3.1. Health expenditures and GDP per capita . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 72 3.2. Average number of doctors’ consultations. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 76 4.1. Labour market status of persons aged 50-64 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 93 4.2. Change in labour force participation rate of 45-59year old males andlevel of the output gap. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 96 4.3. Wages increase steeply with age. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 98 4.4. Progress in raising the employment rates of older workers hasbeenslow 101 4.5. Unemployment rate by region, age and attainment. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 104 4.6. Incidence of long-term unemployment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 105 4.7. Unemployment and vacancies. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 108 4.8. Public spending on labour market measures. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 111 4.9. Few students work and many non-students do not work. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 115 5.1. Population movement: natural increase, net migration andnaturalisations . 127 5.2. Migration flows by nationality, gross and net . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 128 5.3. Belgium, recorded immigration, asylum seekers, andworkpermitsissued. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 131 5.4. Prosecutions for irregular employment by sector. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 137 7.1. Summary indicators of regulation in retail distribution. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 158 7.2. Product market regulation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 161 7.3. The PMR indicators system. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 163 7.4. Electricity prices excluding taxes. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 171 7.5. Relative efficiency in railways . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 172 7.6. Rail Liberalisation Index . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 173 7.7. R&D spending and patenting are close to EU averages . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 175 7.8. Educational attainment of the 25- to 64-year-old population (1991-2002). . 179 7.9. Expenditure on tertiary education institutions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 181 6 OECD ECONOMIC SURVEYS: BELGIUM – ISBN 92-64-00864-0 – © OECD 2005 BASIC STATISTICS OF BELGIUM, 2003 THE LAND Area (1 000km2) 30.5 Major urban areas (thousand inhabitants) Agricultural area (1 000km2) 13.4 Brussels 999.9 Antwerp 944.9 Liège 587.0 Ghent 502.5 THE PEOPLE Population (thousands) 10396 Total labour force (thousands) 4531 Inhabitants per km2 340 Total domestic employment (thousands): 4124 Net increase (31-12-2003) 40577 Agriculture 97 Net migration (thousands, 31-12-2003) 28 Industry and construction 872 Other 3155 THE PRODUCTION Gross domestic product (billion euro) 270 Gross domestic product by origin, at market Gross domestic product per head (USD) 29369 prices (per cent): Gross fixed investment: Agriculture 1.2 Per cent of GDP 18.9 Industry 18.4 Per head (USD) 5563 Construction 4.5 Other 75.9 THE GOVERNMENT General government (per cent of GDP): Composition of the House of Representatives Current expenditure 51.0 (number of seats): Current revenue 51.3 Liberals 50 Gross debt (31-12-2003) 99.9 Socialists 48 Christian-democrats 28 Ecologists 4 Others 20 Last election: 18.5.2003 THE FOREIGN TRADE Exports of goods and services Imports of goods and services (per cent of GDP) 81.6 (per cent of GDP) 77.6 Main exports (per cent of total), Main imports (per cent of total), SITC, Rev. 3: SITC, Rev. 3: Iron and steel products (67 + 68) 5.4 Iron and steel products (67 + 68) 4.1 Chemical products (5) 26.7 Chemical products (5) 23.2 Machinery and equipment (71to 77) 13.1 Machinery and equipment (71to 77) 15.7 Textile products (65) 2.7 Textile products (65) 1.6 Transport equipment (78 + 79) 14.2 Transport equipment (78 + 79) 13.0 Energy (3) 8.9 THE CURRENCY Irrevocable conversion rate: 40.3399 Currency units of euro per USD, average of daily figures: Year 0.8852 December2004 0.7454 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Executive summary T he dominant challenge for Belgium in the years to come is to prepare for population ageing. This entails putting in place policies to attenuate its effects on economic growth and public finances. The few years left before large numbers of baby boomers retire provide a window of opportunity to push ahead with such policies and so preserve the essential elements of the system of social protection. First, further budget consolidation is required to put public finances on a sustainable path. Second, reforms are needed to increase employment rates, especially for the older working age-population, school leavers and ethnic minorities, and to slow the decline in working time. Finally, reforms are required to raise productivity growth. Putting public finances on a sustainable path The government should implement consolidation measures to improve the structural budget balance by about 1% of GDP by2007, with the focus being on expenditure restraint. Healthcare reforms will be needed to contain expenditure growth in the medium term. Should efficiency reforms fail to constrain adequately the growth in public health expenditure, it will also be necessary for the authorities to re-consider the public share of healthcare expenditures. Savings on government expenditure to make room for reducing the high tax rates on labour income should be sought by increasing the efficiency of government and reducing subsidies. In particular, high public transport subsidies should be reduced when it becomes feasible to introduce road pricing, also reducing the economic cost of climate change policies. Increasing labour utilisation Belgium has considerable scope to attenuate the effects of population ageing by raising the currently low employment rate of school leavers, older workers and ethnic minorities and slowing the decline in working time. This should be mainly achieved by progressively phasing out subsidies for early retirement (abolishing the older unemployed scheme and making retirement decisions actuarially neutral) and using budgetary room to reduce the taxes on labour income. Furthermore, job-search requirements should be more rigorously enforced and active labour market policies redirected from job creation to job placement. The government should also ease EPL on temporary employment contracts, lower barriers to student work and seek ways to improve education outcomes to enable more young people to find a first job. Better education outcomes would also help to improve labour-market integration of ethnic minorities, and more effective anti-discrimination measures are required. Successful programmes to improve the language competence of migrant children should be offered more widely. Increasing productivity growth Increasing productivity growth would also attenuate the costs of population ageing. This could be facilitated by removing barriers to productivity growth in ICT-using sectors (in particular retail trade and, at the European level, in retail banking), strengthening product market competition and 8 OECD ECONOMIC SURVEYS: BELGIUM – ISBN 92-64-00864-0 – © OECD 2005 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY refocusing innovation policy. Reaping the benefits from applying more ICT in the distribution sector will require easing zoning restrictions, simplifying rules on overtime, making shop opening hours more flexible and widening the scope for temporary work contracts. In retail banking, the Belgian authorities and their European counterparts should fully implement the Financial Services Action Plan and apply the four-level “Lamfalussy framework”. The high administrative burden on entrepreneurship should be reduced. Competition should be increased in the electricity sector by a series of measures limiting the incumbent’s capacity to abuse its market power. Tertiary education and research institutions could be made more efficient by increasing inter-university competition and the share of private contributions. Innovation policy should provide more support for organisational change, enhance collaboration between business and researchers and foster a broader and more rapid diffusion of knowledge. This should be complemented by improving the ICT-using competencies of persons with lower intermediate skills and low education attainment. OECD ECONOMIC SURVEYS: BELGIUM – ISBN 92-64-00864-0 – © OECD 2005 9

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