O Futuro é Agora 1 SebastianCodeseira– Trends& FuturesDirector LatAm The strategy paradox “All our knowledge is about the past, and all our decisions are about the future.” Ian Wilson, author of ‘The Subtle Art of Strategy: Organizational Planning in Uncertain Times’(Praeger, 2003) 3 THE FUTURES COMPANY © 2015 Lets take some minutes, look into the future, and start to act right now. THE FUTURES COMPANY © 2015 4 More people By 2050, 80% of the global population will live in future A with cities. UN more and more More & smaller households The number of households in the world’s major cities is COMPLEX expected to grow 2.3 times faster than the cities themselves. Kinsey&Company LIVES More and mobile data Monthlyglobal mobiledata trafficwillbe 30.6 exabytes by 2020. 8 times more than2015. Cisco where the people will be searching for ways to manage the pace, More life style stress complexity and fluidity. Automobile fleet in could triple by the year 2030: 60 million vehicles in 2005 vs. 150 million in 2030. Source: Institutode Políticaspara el Transporte Less time Cariocas spend 250 hours per year in traffic. TomTom THE FUTURES COMPANY © 2015 Here are some avenues in this map of chaos… THE FUTURES COMPANY © 2015 1. Keep it simple Be an enabler, a resource, of simplicity in people lives. So you will become relevant. “More and more, I find I’m looking for ways to simplify my life” % of Agree Foodini, Spain Foodiniis a 3D Food Printer that prints out real food based on ready-to-print ingredients; on the webpage it says: “Promoting cooking with fresh ingredients, Foodinimanages the difficult and time-consuming parts of food preparation that often discourage people from creating homemade food”. Source: TheFuturesCompany Global Monitor Survey THE FUTURES COMPANY © 2015 2. Be Brief Life in 140 characters. Fleetingness is a must of the mobil and complex lifestyle. Time, meaning the amount of time that you have at your disposal, is one of the most important human resource % of ranked 1 or 2 Simplified food ordering –USA Based in NYC, Foojiis a food delivery service based on any food emoji. The company have a selection of local restaurants that serves the type of food requested, and customers have no control where the meal will be ordered from. At a flat fee of $15 per emoji(including tax, tip and delivery), the food-ordering process is further simplified. While the range of food emojishas previously been limited, emojicreators have announced that 2016 will see 38 new options, including avocado, bacon and a croissant. Source: TheFuturesCompany Global Monitor Survey THE FUTURES COMPANY © 2015 3. Make people feel incontrol Complexity of life becomes overwhelming, so they need of control becomes stronger. People first, people in control. Extremely/very important in your personal life: Being in control of your life 82% of people in Brazill agreewith“I am constantly aware of the need to identify and manage the risks that surround me in the world Thenew Wazetoolwarnswhen destinationis today” vs. 62% of people globally closeto a local crimezone Source: GM 2016 Source: TheFuturesCompany Global Monitor Survey THE FUTURES COMPANY © 2015 4. Anything on demand Instant-response services that cull the number of tedious or time-leeching tasks This need for radical streamlining and outsourcing is driving a new wave of innovation. I really need the shops and services I use to be available to me around the clock Spawning from the popular ride app Uber, Uber Eats provides a food delivery service of a curated pre-set menu. Meal options are all from local popular restaurants, most of which are highly rated and do not have their own delivery option. Source: TheFuturesCompany Global Monitor Survey THE FUTURES COMPANY © 2015
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