NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY, CALIFORNIA THESIS NEXUS OF CRIME AND TERRORISM: THE CASE OF THE ABU SAYYAF GROUP by Allan Jones A. Salem December 2016 Thesis Advisor: Carolyn C. Halladay Second Reader: Tristan J. Mabry Approved for public release. Distribution is unlimited. THIS PAGE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK REPORT DOCUMENTATION PAGE Form Approved OMB No. 0704-0188 Public reporting burden for this collection of information is estimated to average 1 hour per response, including the time for reviewing instruction, searching existing data sources, gathering and maintaining the data needed, and completing and reviewing the collection of information. Send comments regarding this burden estimate or any other aspect of this collection of information, including suggestions for reducing this burden, to Washington headquarters Services, Directorate for Information Operations and Reports, 1215 Jefferson Davis Highway, Suite 1204, Arlington, VA 22202-4302, and to the Office of Management and Budget, Paperwork Reduction Project (0704-0188) Washington DC 20503. 1. AGENCY USE ONLY 2. REPORT DATE 3. REPORT TYPE AND DATES COVERED (Leave blank) December 2016 Master’s thesis 4. TITLE AND SUBTITLE 5. FUNDING NUMBERS NEXUS OF CRIME AND TERRORISM: THE CASE OF THE ABU SAYYAF GROUP 6. AUTHOR(S) Allan Jones A. Salem 7. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION NAME(S) AND ADDRESS(ES) 8. PERFORMING Naval Postgraduate School ORGANIZATION REPORT Monterey, CA 93943-5000 NUMBER 9. SPONSORING /MONITORING AGENCY NAME(S) AND 10. SPONSORING / ADDRESS(ES) MONITORING AGENCY N/A REPORT NUMBER 11. SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES The views expressed in this thesis are those of the author and do not reflect the official policy or position of the Department of Defense or the U.S. Government. IRB number ____N/A____. 12a. DISTRIBUTION / AVAILABILITY STATEMENT 12b. DISTRIBUTION CODE Approved for public release. Distribution is unlimited. 13. ABSTRACT (maximum 200 words) The purpose of this study is to provide a clear understanding of the nexus of crime and terrorism, using the Abu Sayyaf Group (ASG) as a case study. This terrorist group in the southern part of the Philippines has evolved as a hybrid organization, combining terrorist and criminal activities to achieve its objectives. Moreover, as a terrorist organization, ASG effectively employs criminal tactics for its survival. This group draws its strength and resilience from collusion with various lawless elements and other criminal groups in Mindanao. This paper examines the theoretical framework of Makarenko’s Crime-Terror (CT) Continuum to provide compelling explanations of the interaction and interoperability of crime and terrorism in the case of the ASG. It also highlights the Philippine CT strategy and approach to counter terrorism and discusses some notable gaps and problems, particularly its failure to recognize the ASG as a hybrid organization. This thesis concludes that the current Philippine counterterrorism strategy, although effective and in good shape, seems inadequate against hybrid organizations. Thus, this paper proposes that the Philippines re- examine its current CT strategy to be more appropriate, effective, and responsive against hybrid terrorist organizations. 14. SUBJECT TERMS 15. NUMBER OF Abu Sayyaf, terrorism, crime, Philippines PAGES 157 16. PRICE CODE 17. SECURITY 18. SECURITY 19. SECURITY 20. LIMITATION CLASSIFICATION OF CLASSIFICATION OF THIS CLASSIFICATION OF OF ABSTRACT REPORT PAGE ABSTRACT Unclassified Unclassified Unclassified UU NSN 7540-01-280-5500 Standard Form 298 (Rev. 2-89) Prescribed by ANSI Std. 239-18 i THIS PAGE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK ii Approved for public release. Distribution is unlimited. NEXUS OF CRIME AND TERRORISM: THE CASE OF THE ABU SAYYAF GROUP Allan Jones A. Salem Lieutenant Colonel, Philippine Army B.S., Philippine Military Academy, 1998 Submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of MASTER OF ARTS IN SECURITY STUDIES (COMBATING TERRORISM: POLICY AND STRATEGY) from the NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL December 2016 Approved by: Carolyn C. Halladay Thesis Advisor Tristan J. Mabry Second Reader Mohammed Hafez Chair, Department of National Security Affairs iii THIS PAGE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK iv ABSTRACT The purpose of this study is to provide a clear understanding of the nexus of crime and terrorism, using the Abu Sayyaf Group (ASG) as a case study. This terrorist group in the southern part of the Philippines has evolved as a hybrid organization, combining terrorist and criminal activities to achieve its objectives. Moreover, as a terrorist organization, ASG effectively employs criminal tactics for its survival. This group draws its strength and resilience from collusion with various lawless elements and other criminal groups in Mindanao. This paper examines the theoretical framework of Makarenko’s Crime-Terror (CT) Continuum to provide compelling explanations of the interaction and interoperability of crime and terrorism in the case of the ASG. It also highlights the Philippine CT strategy and approach to counter terrorism and discusses some notable gaps and problems, particularly its failure to recognize the ASG as a hybrid organization. This thesis concludes that the current Philippine counterterrorism strategy, although effective and in good shape, seems inadequate against hybrid organizations. Thus, this paper proposes that the Philippines re-examine its current CT strategy to be more appropriate, effective, and responsive against hybrid terrorist organizations. v THIS PAGE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK vi TABLE OF CONTENTS I. INTRODUCTION..................................................................................................1 A. MAJOR RESEARCH QUESTION..........................................................1 B. SIGNIFICANCE OF THE RESEARCH QUESTION ...........................2 C. LITERATURE REVIEW .........................................................................3 1. Definition of Terrorism .................................................................4 2. Terrorism and Crime ....................................................................7 3. Financing Terror and Responses ................................................13 4. Approaches to Counterterrorism ...............................................18 D. POTENTIAL EXPLANATIONS AND HYPOTHESES .....................25 E. RESEARCH DESIGN .............................................................................25 F. THESIS OVERVIEW AND DRAFT CHAPTER OUTLINE .............26 II. CASE STUDY: THE ABU SAYYAF GROUP .................................................29 A. HISTORICAL BACKGROUND OF THE ABU SAYYAF GROUP .....................................................................................................31 B. STRENGTH AND CAPABILITIES ......................................................36 C. IDEOLOGY, OBJECTIVES, AND LEADERSHIP ............................37 D. EVOLUTION OF THE ABU SAYYAF GROUP FROM TERRORISM TO ORGANIZED CRIME ............................................41 E. CONCLUSION ........................................................................................42 III. THE ABU SAYYAF GROUP’S PLACE ON THE CRIME-TERROR CONTINUUM ......................................................................................................43 A. ORGANIZED CRIME AND TERRORISM: A COMPARISON .......44 B. MAKARENKO’S CRIME-TERROR CONTINUUM .........................48 1. Alliance Formation ......................................................................48 2. Operational Motivations .............................................................50 3. Convergence .................................................................................52 4. The “Black Hole” Thesis .............................................................55 C. THE ABU SAYYAF GROUP’S PLACE ON THE CRIME- TERROR CONTINUUM ........................................................................56 1. Terrorism-Crime Period of the Abu Sayyaf Group .................56 2. Period of Alliance with Lawless Elements and Other Threat Groups ..............................................................................59 3. Operational Tool Period ..............................................................60 D. SOURCES OF RESILIENCE ................................................................61 E. CONCLUSION ........................................................................................63 vii IV. THE ABU SAYYAF GROUP’S KIDNAPPING ACTIVITIES ......................65 A. ANALYSIS OF THE ABU SAYYAF GROUP’S KIDNAPPING TRENDS ...................................................................................................65 B. MOTIVATIONS, RANSOM SCHEME, AND MODUS OPERANDI ..............................................................................................74 C. FACTORS THAT CONTRIBUTE TO KIDNAPPINGS ....................76 D. CONCLUSION ........................................................................................78 V. THE PHILIPPINE GOVERNMENT’S APPROACH TO COUNTERTERRORISM ...................................................................................81 A. NATIONAL COUNTERTERRORISM STRATEGY AND POLICY ....................................................................................................82 B. INTER-AGENCY COORDINATION AND INTEGRATION ...........86 C. LEGISLATIVE MEASURES .................................................................88 D. INTELLIGENCE COOPERATION AND COLLABORATION .......92 E. FOCUSED MILITARY OPERATIONS ...............................................96 F. PROBLEMS AND GAPS IDENTIFIED ...............................................98 G. NOTABLE PROBLEMS THAT LED TO RELENTLESS KIDNAPPINGS......................................................................................102 H. CONCLUSION ......................................................................................105 VI. CONCLUSION ..................................................................................................107 A. RECOMMENDED SOLUTIONS FOR COUNTERTERRORISM STRATEGIES ..........................................110 1. Address the Socio-Economic and Ideological Aspects of Terrorism ....................................................................................111 2. Engage and Empower Local Government Units ....................112 3. Pursue an Intelligence-Driven Counterterrorism Operation ....................................................................................113 4. Enhance and Upgrade the Capabilities of the Military and Police ....................................................................................114 5. Pursue Stronger Bilateral, Regional, and International Cooperation for Terrorism and Crime ....................................115 B. RECOMMENDED SOLUTIONS TO PREEMPT AND PREVENT KIDNAPPINGS .................................................................116 1. Strict Implementation of the “No Negotiation and No Ransom” Policies ........................................................................117 2. Formulation of a National Strategy against Kidnapping .......118 3. Enhancement of Border Cooperation ......................................118 4. Pursue an Effective Counter-Radicalization Program ...........118 5. Promotion of Multi-Sectoral Information Advocacy..............120 viii
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