New Perspectives in Statistical Modeling and Data Analysis: Proceedings of the 7th Conference of the Classification and Data Analysis Group of the Italian Statistical Society, Catania, September 9 - 11, 2009 PDF
Preview New Perspectives in Statistical Modeling and Data Analysis: Proceedings of the 7th Conference of the Classification and Data Analysis Group of the Italian Statistical Society, Catania, September 9 - 11, 2009
Studies in Classification, Data Analysis, and Knowledge Organization ManagingEditors EditorialBoard H.-H.Bock,Aachen Ph.Arabie,Newark W.Gaul,Karlsruhe D.Baier,Cottbus M.Vichi,Rome F.Critchley,MiltonKeynes R.Decker,Bielefeld E.Diday,Paris M.Greenacre,Barcelona C.N.Lauro,Naples J.Meulman,Leiden P.Monari,Bologna S.Nishisato,Toronto N.Ohsumi,Tokyo O.Opitz,Augsburg G.Ritter,Passau M.Schader,Mannheim C.Weihs,Dortmund Forfurthervolumes: http://www.springer.com/series/1564 • Salvatore Ingrassia (cid:2) Roberto Rocci Maurizio Vichi Editors New Perspectives in Statistical Modeling and Data Analysis Proceedings of the 7th Conference of the Classification and Data Analysis Group of the Italian Statistical Society, Catania, September 9-11, 2009 123 Editors Prof.SalvatoreIngrassia Prof.RobertoRocci UniversitàdiCatania UniversitàdiRoma“TorVergata” DipartimentoImpresa DipartimentoSEFEMEQ CultureeSocietà ViaColumbia2 CorsoItalia55 00133Roma 95129Catania Italy Italy [email protected] [email protected] Prof.MaurizioVichi UniversitàdiRoma“LaSapienza” DipartimentodiStatistica ProbabilitàeStatisticheApplicate PiazzaleAldoMoro5 00185Roma Italy [email protected] ISSN1431-8814 ISBN978-3-642-11362-8 e-ISBN978-3-642-11363-5 DOI10.1007/978-3-642-11363-5 SpringerHeidelbergDordrechtLondonNewYork LibraryofCongressControlNumber:2011930788 (cid:2)c Springer-VerlagBerlinHeidelberg2011 Thisworkissubjecttocopyright.Allrightsarereserved,whetherthewholeorpartofthematerialis concerned,specificallytherightsoftranslation,reprinting,reuseofillustrations,recitation,broadcasting, reproductiononmicrofilmorinanyotherway,andstorageindatabanks.Duplicationofthispublication orpartsthereofispermittedonlyundertheprovisionsoftheGermanCopyrightLawofSeptember9, 1965,initscurrentversion,andpermissionforusemustalwaysbeobtainedfromSpringer.Violations areliabletoprosecutionundertheGermanCopyrightLaw. Theuseofgeneral descriptive names, registered names,trademarks, etc. inthis publication does not imply,evenintheabsenceofaspecificstatement,thatsuchnamesareexemptfromtherelevantprotective lawsandregulationsandthereforefreeforgeneraluse. Coverdesign:deblik,Berlin Printedonacid-freepaper SpringerispartofSpringerScience+BusinessMedia(www.springer.com) Preface This volume contains revised versionsof selected paperspresented at the seventh biannualmeetingoftheClassificationandDataAnalysisGroup(CLADAG)ofthe ItalianStatisticalSociety,organizedbytheFacultyofEconomicsattheUniversity ofCataniainSeptember2009. Theconferenceencompassed150presentationsorganizedin3plenarytalksand 42 sessions. Moreover, one tutorial on mixture modeling took place before the meeting.With225attendeesfrom11countries,theconferenceprovidedanattrac- tive interdisciplinary international forum for discussion and mutual exchange of knowledge. The topics of all plenary and specialized sessions were chosen to fit the mission of CLADAG which is to promotemethodological,computationaland appliedresearchwithinthefieldsofClassification,DataAnalysisandMultivariate Statistics. Thechaptersinthisvolumewereselectedinasecondpeerreviewprocessafter the conference.In additionto the fundamentalareas of clusteringand discrimina- tion, multidimensional data analysis and data mining, the volume contains some chaptersconcerningdataanalysisandstatisticalmodelinginareaslikeevaluation, economics,finance,environmentalandmedicalsciences,industryandservices. WewouldliketoexpressourgratitudetothemembersoftheScientificProgram committee for their ability to attractinteresting contributions.We wish also thank thesessionorganizersforinvitingspeakers,thechairpersonsanddiscussantsofthe sessions for their stimulating comments and suggestions. We are very grateful to therefereesfortheircarefulreviewsofthesubmittedpapersandforthetimespent in this professionalactivity.We gratefullyacknowledgethe Facultyof Economics of the University of Catania and the Department of Economics and Quantitative Methods,theDepartmentofEconomicsandTerritory,theDepartmentofSociology andSocialSciences,andtheFacultyofPoliticalSciencesforfinancialsupport.We are also indebted to SAS, CEUR Foundation and the Foundation for Subsidiarity fortheirsupport.AspecialthankisduetotheLocalOrganizingCommitteeforthis well-organizedconference. v vi Preface Finally,wewouldliketothankDr.MartinaBihnofSpringer-Verlag,Heidelberg, forhersupportanddedicationtotheproductionofthisvolume. Catania SalvatoreIngrassia Roma RobertoRocci Roma MaurizioVichi July2010 Contents PartI DataModelingforEvaluation EvaluatingtheEffectsofSubsidiestoFirmswithNonignorably MissingOutcomes.................................................................. 3 FabriziaMealli,BarbaraPacini,andGiuliaRoli EvaluatingLecturer’sCapabilityOverTime.SomeEvidence fromSurveysonUniversityCourseQuality .................................... 13 IsabellaSulis,MarianoPorcu,andNicolaTedesco Evaluating the External Effectiveness of the University EducationinItaly.................................................................. 21 MatildeBini AnalyzingResearchPotentialthroughRedundancyAnalysis: thecaseoftheItalianUniversitySystem ........................................ 29 CristinaDavino,FrancescoPalumbo,andDomenicoVistocco AParticipativeProcessfortheDefinitionofaHumanCapital Indicator ............................................................................ 39 LuigiFabbris,GiovannaBoccuzzo,Maria Cristiana Martini, andManuelaScioni Using PosetTheory to CompareFuzzyMultidimensional MaterialDeprivationAcrossRegions............................................ 49 MarcoFattore,RainerBrüggemann,andJanOwsin´ski SomeNotesontheApplicabilityofCluster-WeightedModeling inEffectivenessStudies............................................................ 57 SimonaC.Minotti Impact Evaluationof JobTrainingProgramsby aLatent VariableModel ..................................................................... 65 FrancescoBartolucciandFulviaPennoni vii viii Contents PartII DataAnalysisinEconomics AnalysisofCollaborativePatternsinInnovativeNetworks................... 77 Alfredo Del Monte, Maria Rosaria D’Esposito, GiuseppeGiordano,andMariaProsperinaVitale TheMeasureofEconomicRe-Evaluation:aCoefficientBased onConjointAnalysis............................................................... 85 PaoloMariani,MauroMussini,andEmmaZavarrone DoGovernmentsEffectivelyStabilizeFuelPricesbyReducing SpecificTaxes?EvidencefromItaly ............................................. 93 MarinaDiGiacomo,MassimilianoPiacenza,andGilbertoTurati AnAnalysisofIndustrySectorViaModelBasedClustering.................101 CarmenCutugno ImpactofExogenousShocksonOilProductMarketPrices..................109 AntonioAngeloRomanoandGiuseppeScandurra PartIII NonparametricKernelEstimation ProbabilisticForecastforNorthernNew ZealandSeismic ProcessBasedonaForwardPredictiveKernelEstimator ....................119 GiadaAdelfioandMarcelloChiodi DiscreteBetaKernelGraduationofAge-SpecificDemographic Indicators ...........................................................................127 AngeloMazzaandAntonioPunzo Kernel-Type Smoothing Methods of Adjusting for Unit Nonresponse in Presence of Multiple and DifferentType Covariates...........................................................................135 EmiliaRocco PartIV DataAnalysisinIndustryandServices MeasurementErrorsandUncertainty:AStatisticalPerspective ............145 LauraDeldossiandDiegoZappa Measurement Uncertainty in Quantitative Chimerism MonitoringafterStemCellTransplantation....................................155 RonS.Kenett,DeborahKoltai,andDonKristt Satisfaction,LoyaltyandWOMinDentalCareSector........................165 PaoloMarianiandEmmaZavarrone Contents ix ControlledCalibrationinPresenceofClusteredMeasures...................173 SilviaSaliniandNadiaSolaro PartV VisualizationofRelationships LatentTiesIdentificationinInter-FirmsSocialNetworks....................185 PatriziaAmeli,FedericoNiccolini,andFrancescoPalumbo AUniversalProcedureforBiplotCalibration..................................195 JanGraffelman AnalysisofSkew-SymmetryinProximityData ................................203 GiuseppeBove SocialStratificationandConsumptionPatterns:Cultural PracticesandLifestylesinJapan.................................................211 MikiNakai CentralityofAsymmetricSocialNetwork:SingularValue Decomposition,ConjointMeasurement, andAsymmetric MultidimensionalScaling .........................................................219 AkinoriOkada PartVI Classification SomePerspectivesonMultivariateOutlierDetection .........................231 AndreaCerioli,AnthonyC.Atkinson,andMarcoRiani Spatial Clustering of Multivariate Data Using Weighted MAX-SAT...........................................................................239 SilviaLiveraniandAlessandraPetrucci ClusteringMultipleDataStreams ...............................................247 AntonioBalzanella,YvesLechevallier,andRosannaVerde NotesontheRobustnessofRegressionTreesAgainstSkewed andContaminatedErrors.........................................................255 GiulianoGalimberti,MarilenaPillati,andGabrieleSoffritti ANoteonModelSelectioninSTIMA ...........................................265 ClaudioConversano Conditional Classification Trees by Weighting the Gini ImpurityMeasure..................................................................273 AntonioD’AmbrosioandValerioA.Tutore x Contents PartVII AnalysisofFinancialData VisualizingandExploringHighFrequencyFinancialData: BeanplotTimeSeries ..............................................................283 CarloDragoandGermanaScepi UsingPartialLeastSquaresRegressioninLifetimeAnalysis.................291 IntissarMdimaghandSalwaBenammou RobustPortfolioAssetAllocation................................................301 LuigiGrossiandFabrizioLaurini ADynamicAnalysisofStockMarketsthroughMultivariate LatentMarkovModels ............................................................311 MicheleCostaandLucaDeAngelis AMEMAnalysisofAfricanFinancialMarkets................................319 GiorgiaGiovannettiandMargheritaVelucchi GroupStructuredVolatility.......................................................329 PietroCoretto,MicheleLaRocca,andGiuseppeStorti PartVIII FunctionalDataAnalysis Clustering Spatial Functional Data: A Method Based onaNonparametricVariogramEstimation.....................................339 ElviraRomano,RosannaVerde,andValentinaCozza Prediction of an Industrial Kneading Process viatheAdjustmentCurve.........................................................347 Giuseppina D. Costanzo, Francesco Dell’Accio, and Giulio Trombetta DealingwithFDAEstimationMethods..........................................357 TonioDiBattista,StefanoA.Gattone,andAngelaDeSanctis PartIX ComputerIntensiveMethods Testing for Dependence in Mixed Effect Models forMultivariateMixedResponses ...............................................369 MarcoAlfó,LucianoNieddu,andDonatellaVicari SizeandPowerofTestsforRegressionOutliersintheForward Search ...............................................................................377 FrancescaTortiandDomenicoPerrotta
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