Arts Social Sciences Social Policy Research Centre New Minimum Income for Healthy Living Budget Standards for Low-Paid and Unemployed Australians Peter Saunders & Megan Bedford August 2017 Prinicipal Investigators Peter Saunders, Megan Bedford Research Team Liz Adamson, Marilyn McHugh, BJ Newton, Melissa Wong For further information Peter Saunders, Acknowledgements Research on budget standards draws on a huge array of information, data, experience, insight and advice and this study is no exception. Those inputs must be combined with the professional expertise of a dedicated team of researchers and that too has been a feature of the project that underpins this report. Without all of this effort and commitment, the research reported here would not have been possible. First, I wish to thank the three Partner Organisations (POs) that supported the idea of the project from the outset. The idea grew out of several discussions with the then Executive Director of Catholic Social Services, Australia (CSSA) Frank Quinlan, who frst raised the idea of the project with me. He and others at CSSA – notably his successors Paul O’Callaghan and Marcelle Mogg, Policy Offcer Don Arthur and Director of Strategic Policy and Engagement, Joe Zabar were supportive throughout, supplementing CSSA’s substantial cash support. At United Voice, National Secretary Louise Tarrant was similarly supportive at the outset as was her successor Jo Schofeld, while hands-on support was provided by Mel Gatfeld and Melissa Coad. Finally, at the Australian Council of Social Services (ACOSS) we were lucky to have the support and assistance of CEO Cassandra Goldie and Peter Davidson – two of my long-term collaborators. The project was funded by the Australian Research Council under Linkage Project grant LP120200481, with additional cash and in-kind support provided by the POs. The research benefted from the advice of a Project Reference Group that included members of the POs and Professors John Buchanan and Adrian Bauman from the University of Sydney and Associate Professor Paul Henman from the University of Queensland. My thanks go to all three for their advice and feedback, and to Paul Henman in particular for his insightful and helpful comments on the Draft Report. Helpful advice and concrete suggestions were also provided at several stages by Jonathan Bradshaw, Tim Goedemé and Donald Hirsch although none of them bear any responsibility for how that advice has been used in the research. At the SPRC I had the great fortune to be able to draw on the input of a small army of top- notch researchers. Megan Bedford was a constant source of sensible refection and sheer hard work and she and I received excellent support from Marilyn McHugh (who provided general advice and assisted with the focus group discussions), BJ Newton (who helped with the project set-up and undertook the initial pricing with Megan), Liz Adamson (who helped to construct the health budget) and Melissa Wong (who undertook a range of data analysis). In addition to the help provided by CSSA, the focus groups would never have taken place without the support provided by CatholicCare Sydney, The Salvation Army and The Smith Family. The staff we worked with were always cooperative, and I would also like to thank those who participated in the focus group discussions for sharing their insights and experiences with us. It is not easy to talk to strangers about the day-to-day struggles of living in poverty, but without that input our understanding of these processes would have been diminished. Most of the shelf pricing of items took place in Woolworths and Kmart and we thank both for allowing us to collect that critical information in their stores. The Department of Social Services (DSS) provided information that was used to estimate the social safety net incomes I presented in Chapter 5, and the Real Estate Institute of Australia (REIA) generously provided us with their Real Estate Market Facts (REMF) data that was used to estimate housing costs. While the support and contribution of all of these organisations is gratefully acknowledged, the research team is solely responsible for how the advice and data they provided has been used and interpreted. Budget standards refer to an ever-changing world and research such as this will inevitably lag behind what is actually happening. Since the estimates reported here were completed, the Consumer Price Index has risen by a further 1.7%, Newstart Allowance has been increased (in September 2016 and March 2017) by just over 1.0% and the minimum wage was increased by 2.4% in July 2016, and by a further 3.3% from July 2017. These increases make the reported estimates slightly outdated but do not affect our broad conclusions. Peter Saunders Chief Investigator II Contents Executive Summary 1 1 Background to the Project 5 1.1 Introduction to Budget Standards 5 1.2 Defning Adequacy 9 1.3 The Role and Impact of Budget Standards Research 11 1.4 Research Aims 15 1.5 Outline of the Report 17 2 Recent Developments and Applications of Budget Standards Research 19 2.1 The Changing Research Landscape 19 2.2 Basic Building Blocks 21 2.3 The EU Reference Budgets Study 24 2.4 The Healthy Living Standard 25 2.5 Uses of Budget Standards 26 2.6 Concluding Comments 27 3 The Approach Adopted – Key Methods and Assumptions 28 3.1 General Approach – Key Elements 28 3.2 Specifying Family Types 31 3.3 Other Major Differences 34 3.4 Other Deviations from the Earlier Methods 40 3.5 Detailed Methods and Assumptions by Budget Area 42 3.6 Summary 51 4 The Focus Group Findings 52 4.1 Overview 52 4.2 Recruitment, Conduct and Participant Characteristics 53 4.3 Focus Group Findings: Economising Strategies 58 4.4 Specifc Comments on Main Budget Areas 63 4.5 Comments on the Overall Budgets 70 4.6 Concluding Comments 71 III 5 The New Estimates: Presentation and Analysis 73 5.1 Introduction 73 5.2 The New Budget Standards Estimates 73 5.3 Incorporating Housing Costs: Alternative Approaches 83 5.4 Estimates of Individual Costs and Economies of Scale 93 5.5 Comparisons with Existing Poverty Lines 99 5.6 Comparisons with Existing Social Safety Net Provisions 102 5.7 Summary 105 6 Summary and Conclusions 106 References 1 Appendix A: Focus Group Material 120 Appendix B: Comparing the New and Original Budget Standards 126 Appendix C: Comparing the New Budget Standards Estimates with ABS Expenditure Data 132 IV List of Tables Table 3.1 Specifcation of Family Types 32 Table 3.2 Need Classifcation of the Essentials of Life in 2006 and 2010 40 Table 5.1 Budget Standard for a Single Female Aged 35 ($/week) 75 Table 5.2 Budget Standard for a Single Male Aged 40 ($/week) 75 Table 5.3 Budget Standard for a Couple with No Children ($/week) 76 Table 5.4 Budget Standard for a Couple with a 6 Year-Old Girl ($/week) 76 Table 5.5 Budget Standard for a Couple with a 6 Year-Old Girl and a 10 Year-Old Boy ($/ week) 77 Table 5.6 Budget Standard for a Sole Parent with a 6 Year-Old Girl ($/week) 77 Table 5.7 Gender-Neutral Budget Standard for a Single Person ($/week) 83 Table 5.8 Weekly Expenditure on Rent and Sample Sizes of Working-Age (25-44), Private Renter Households, 2009-10 86 Table 5.9 House and Other Dwelling (Unit) Rents in NSW and Victoria in the March Quarter 2016 ($ per week) 87 Table 5.10 Assigning Dwellings and Locations to Family Types 88 Table 5.11 Weekly Rents for Selected Dwelling Types, March Quarter 2016 ($ per week) 89 Table 5.12 Comparing the Housing Cost (Rent) Estimates Produced by the Spending Replication and Rental Threshold Approaches ($ per week) 89 Table 5.13 Grossed-up Budget Standards Including Housing Costs based on the Housing Affordability Approach for Low-Paid and Unemployed Families, June Quarter 2016 ($ per week) 92 Table 5.14 Grossed-up Budgets Including Housing Costs based on the Rental Threshold Approach for Low-paid and Unemployed Families, June Quarter 2016 ($ per week) 93 Table 5.15 Budget Standards Estimates of the Cost of Children in Couple Families ($ per week) 98 Table 5.16 Comparing the Grossed-up Budget Standards with Existing Poverty Lines, June Quarter 2016 ($/week) 101 Table 5.17 Comparisons of the Grossed-up Budget Standards with Existing Safety Net Incomes ($ per week, June 2016) 103 Table 5.18 Income Level Limits Required to Satisfy the Housing Affordability Rule Given the Assumed Rent Levels ($/week) 104 V Table B.1 Budget Components Used by the ABS and in the SPRC Budget Standards Studies 127 Table B.2 Updating of the New Budgets to the June Quarter 2016 128 Table B.3 Original Modest But Adequate and Low Cost Budget Standards Updated to June Quarter 2016 and New Healthy Living Budgets: Single Female ($/week) 129 Table B.4 Original Modest But Adequate and Low Cost Budget Standards Updated to June Quarter 2016 and New Healthy Living Budgets: Couple with No Children ($/week) 129 Table B.5 Original Modest But Adequate and Low Cost Budget Standards Updated to June Quarter 2016 and New Healthy Living Budgets: Couple with One Child ($/week) 130 Table B.6 Original Modest But Adequate and Low Cost Budget Standards Updated to June Quarter 2016 and New Healthy Living Budgets: Couple with Two Children ($/week) 130 Table B.7 Original Modest But Adequate and Low Cost Budget Standards Updated to June Quarter 2016 and New Healthy Living Budgets: Sole Parent with One Child ($/week) 131 Table C.1 Sample Size by Household Characteristics, 2009-10 134 Table C.2 Updated HES Expenditures, Single Female and Sole Parent with One Child 134 Table C.3 Updated HES Expenditures, Couples with 0, 1 and 2 Children 135 VI List of Figures Figure 1.1 Movements in Alternative Income Series ($ per week in current prices) 8 Figure 5.1 Budget Standards for Low-Paid Families ($/week, June Quarter 2016) 78 Figure 5.2 Budget Standards for Unemployed Families ($/week, June Quarter 2016) 78 Figure 5.3 Budget Standard Shares for Low-Paid Families 79 Figure 5.4 Budget Standard Shares for Unemployed Families 80 Figure 5.5 Grossed-up Budget Standards Including Housing Costs for Low-paid Families, June Quarter 2016 ($ per week) 94 Figure 5.6 Grossed-up Budget Standards Including Housing Costs for Unemployed Families, June Quarter 2016 ($ per week) 94 Figure 5.7 Grossed-up Budget Shares for Low-Paid Families 95 Figure 5.8 Grossed-up Budget Shares for Unemployed Families 96 VII Executive Summary Executive Summary Background • A budget standard indicates how much income a particular family living in a particular place at a particular time needs to achieve a particular standard of living. It is derived by specifying every item that is needed by the family, pricing each item and summing to produce the overall budget. • The budget standards method itself is over a hundred years old, having been frst used in Australia to set the basic wage in the 1907 ‘Harvester Judgement’. • The enduring value of the budget standards approach refects its common-sense approach to how to set an income level that is adequate to meet individual and family needs. • Budget standards estimates are used in Australia to help guide the setting of the minimum wage and to assess the adequacy of social security payments. • Most applications rely on updates of the estimates produced by the Social Policy Research Centre (SPRC) in the 1990s, but these estimates are out-dated because of changes in social practices and community norms and advances in budget standards research. • The aim of this study is to review and refne the earlier SPRC estimates to produce a new set of budget standards for low-paid and unemployed families that are relevant to contemporary Australian conditions. Recent Research Developments • Recent budget standards research developments have been led from the UK and from within the EU more generally. • The UK Minimum Income Standard (MIS) is the product of a major programme of work reporting regularly on how much income households need to afford an acceptable standard of living. The estimates are used frequently in policy debates and by some charities to target fnancial support. • The recent Reference Budgets study commissioned by the European Commission and conducted by a research team at the University of Antwerp has added new depth and quality to research in the feld and provided a template for future developments. • The standard to which the new budgets apply is the Minimum Income for Healthy Living (MIHL) standard developed in the UK public health literature. The MIHL standard is designed to ensure that all individuals are able to lead healthy lives and participate in society. 1